Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 30 October 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 October 2016, Everton 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   23  +15       2.48    71.71     3.52    79.26     7.82    44.43    40.79    64.36    80.29    90.23    98.40     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   23  +13       3.21    76.77     3.50    76.58     7.87    37.44    25.26    50.00    69.44    83.33    96.50     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        10   23  +11       6.40    93.18     6.48    72.94     8.33    29.59    13.60    31.39    50.53    68.74    90.66     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          10   22  +12       4.17    82.89     5.63    73.40     8.00    32.38    14.18    33.30    53.65    71.80    92.48     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        10   20   +9       2.01    67.44     2.58    68.65     7.97    24.39     4.87    14.97    29.36    47.58    80.88     0.00     0.00  
Everton          10   18   +7       1.85    66.09     3.55    59.01     8.17    10.58     0.46     1.92     5.12    10.96    36.11     0.15R    0.01  
Watford          10   15   +1       2.86    75.00     3.42    47.96     7.85    -8.46     0.01     0.05     0.18     0.53     4.34     4.68R    0.53  
Man_Utd          10   15   +1      -0.86    42.29    -2.10    60.65     7.97    11.65     0.50     2.35     6.27    13.79    43.68     0.07R    0.00  
Southampton      10   13   +1      -1.96    32.76    -0.76    57.98     8.13    10.61     0.26     1.21     3.61     8.54    31.39     0.25R    0.01  
Bournemouth      10   12   -2       0.94    59.95     2.71    41.80     7.82   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.09     0.90    18.73R    3.54  
Leicester        10   12   -4      -1.77    34.78    -3.80    54.61     8.24     1.99     0.06     0.43     1.36     3.77    18.27     0.85R    0.10  
Crystal_Palace   10   11   -2      -1.02    41.73     0.71    41.84     7.66   -14.44     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.07     0.79    17.45R    2.98  
Burnley          10   11   -5       0.44    55.85    -0.25    42.78     7.93   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.08    16.04R    2.74  
Middlesbrough    10   10   -2      -1.84    34.23     0.70    40.16     7.82   -14.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.54    23.70R    4.73  
West_Brom        10   10   -4      -1.18    40.16    -0.18    40.74     7.53   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.49    21.02R    3.89  
West_Ham         10   10   -9      -3.03    24.25    -7.38    44.93     8.09   -15.35     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.25     2.19    10.70R    1.63  
Stoke             9    9   -7      -1.19    39.54    -3.64    40.86     7.93   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.68    22.43R    4.39  
Hull             10    7  -15      -1.91    33.73    -7.08    33.21     7.58   -35.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    61.13R   24.48  
Swansea           9    5   -7      -4.56    11.73    -2.43    39.92     8.08   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.58    25.81R    5.99  
Sunderland       10    2  -13      -7.23     1.98    -5.19    29.23     7.50   -31.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    76.98R   44.98  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 October 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       15   34  +20       4.92    81.25     6.70    95.54     8.37    50.27    77.31    93.46    99.70    95.85P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        15   31  +14       5.02    82.89     5.81    84.64     8.35    30.01    15.38    58.72    94.88    71.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield    15   28   -1       9.72    96.32     2.48    67.48     8.50    -5.64     0.34     2.75    32.17     7.45P    1.28R    0.04  
Norwich         15   27   +2       3.06    70.77    -3.20    77.51     9.01    14.29     4.43    22.40    76.01    38.35P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         15   25   -1       5.87    86.01     1.18    64.91     8.38    -4.44     0.12     1.50    22.54     5.46P    2.46R    0.12  
Bristol_City    15   24   +6       3.64    74.52     6.58    66.16     8.52     5.35     0.22     2.35    29.09     7.78P    1.61R    0.08  
Birmingham      15   24   +3       2.32    66.76     1.19    65.25     8.33     1.34     0.22     1.83    24.55     6.75P    1.84R    0.07  
Sheff_Wed       15   24   -1       2.66    69.11    -2.30    69.39     8.46     3.57     0.57     4.27    41.70    13.32P    0.61R    0.02  
Leeds_United    15   23   +1       3.10    72.04     1.72    61.14     8.22    -4.89     0.05     0.56    11.86     2.61P    5.27R    0.39  
Brentford       15   22   +7      -0.50    46.54     4.13    70.40     8.73    16.02     0.90     6.52    48.81    18.41P    0.57R    0.03  
Fulham          15   21   +3       0.76    55.69     3.75    61.20     8.52    -1.38     0.06     0.68    13.52     3.23P    5.84R    0.56  
Barnsley        15   20   +3       1.59    61.71     6.59    58.14     8.87    -4.72     0.02     0.33     8.39     1.91P   12.91R    1.38  
Preston         15   20   +0       0.44    54.04     1.16    62.43     8.34     0.37     0.06     0.76    15.73     4.07P    4.18R    0.34  
QPR             15   19   -5      -1.35    41.17    -4.74    59.64     8.41    -7.60     0.02     0.40     9.40     2.37P    8.44R    0.78  
Aston_Villa     15   18   +0      -2.65    31.96    -0.61    61.13     8.57     1.33     0.05     0.72    13.04     3.77P    6.09R    0.51  
Ipswich         15   18   -2      -2.65    31.32    -2.43    60.70     8.36    -1.10     0.02     0.42    11.58     3.11P    6.29R    0.48  
Wolverhampton   15   17   -1      -3.35    27.20    -0.66    59.77     8.50    -0.28     0.03     0.37    10.34     2.72P    8.08R    0.70  
Burton_Albion   15   17   -2       0.51    55.20     3.54    52.33     8.36   -12.10     0.00     0.04     1.91     0.42P   30.22R    4.85  
Derby           15   17   -2      -5.84    14.28    -5.37    65.13     8.41     6.54     0.16     1.69    25.04     8.92P    2.16R    0.12  
Nott'm_Forest   15   15   -5      -4.35    21.46    -2.98    54.34     8.49   -10.18     0.00     0.08     3.18     0.71P   22.33R    2.89  
Cardiff         15   15  -10      -4.37    21.56    -8.31    52.19     8.23   -17.54     0.00     0.04     1.48     0.38P   31.21R    4.86  
Wigan           15   14   -2      -5.39    16.10    -0.55    55.03     8.62    -3.59     0.01     0.12     4.04     1.12P   19.57R    2.79  
Blackburn       15   13   -8      -6.68    10.32    -7.09    50.85     8.25   -14.69     0.00     0.02     1.05     0.24P   36.70R    6.08  
Rotherham       15    7  -19      -6.36     9.59    -6.59    36.51     7.95   -40.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   92.25R   72.89  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Scunthorpe       16   34  +20       5.84    84.14    10.48    84.12     8.53    33.66    42.24    63.11    92.82    71.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Bolton           16   31   +9       5.37    81.95     3.62    79.33     8.75    19.76    19.43    38.64    80.61    49.89P    0.05R    0.00  
Bradford         16   29   +8       3.75    74.45     3.21    75.57     8.37    16.11     9.16    22.16    68.10    34.25P    0.12R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        15   28   +8       4.43    78.64     3.49    78.15     8.75    19.45    15.61    33.61    77.15    45.17P    0.08R    0.00  
Northampton      16   24   +4       2.60    67.06     5.17    62.68     8.86    -0.34     0.56     2.04    16.05     4.72P    7.71R    0.65  
Rochdale         16   24   +1       1.03    57.41    -0.46    66.90     8.59     3.59     1.45     4.45    28.50    10.06P    2.62R    0.14  
Peterborough     16   23   +7      -2.30    34.71     1.88    69.26     8.63    14.64     2.75     8.03    40.74    16.81P    1.35R    0.07  
Bristol_Rovers   15   23   +2       4.44    78.68     5.15    63.46     9.02    -1.37     0.69     2.41    18.20     5.39P    7.15R    0.70  
AFC_Wimbledon    16   23   +2       4.82    80.31     7.74    58.20     8.51    -7.12     0.16     0.55     6.53     1.56P   17.33R    1.84  
Fleetwood_Town   15   22   +3       2.32    66.85     4.17    65.22     8.56     4.19     0.84     2.98    22.90     7.19P    3.80R    0.26  
Port_Vale        16   22   -4       2.11    64.82    -0.82    61.73     8.45    -6.14     0.30     1.09    12.00     3.21P    8.95R    0.85  
Walsall          15   21   -1      -1.72    38.12    -4.15    66.79     8.62     3.93     1.24     4.27    28.87    10.49P    2.78R    0.15  
Millwall         15   21   -2      -1.83    37.76    -5.25    70.38     8.89     8.51     3.58     9.97    44.48    19.40P    1.33R    0.07  
Charlton         15   20   +4      -2.94    30.36     0.45    65.59     9.05     8.68     1.33     4.06    26.36    10.11P    4.13R    0.31  
Bury             16   20   -1       0.43    54.06     2.99    56.32     8.41    -8.84     0.05     0.26     4.18     0.99P   22.82R    3.05  
Southend         16   20   -7       1.13    59.08    -2.26    56.44     8.32   -13.97     0.05     0.20     3.55     0.80P   23.24R    3.18  
Oxford_Utd       16   19   -2      -0.84    45.51     0.93    57.30     8.66    -6.18     0.12     0.43     5.48     1.59P   20.03R    2.88  
Gillingham       16   17   -7      -4.95    20.21    -6.75    56.95     8.66    -9.41     0.11     0.37     5.13     1.45P   21.58R    3.06  
Coventry         15   16   -4      -5.37    16.29    -5.28    58.94     8.60    -3.08     0.16     0.61     7.57     2.40P   14.39R    1.69  
MK_Dons          16   16   -5      -6.29    14.39    -5.43    58.16     8.88    -3.57     0.12     0.53     7.03     2.29P   17.99R    2.53  
Swindon          16   16   -7      -5.30    18.18    -5.84    54.27     8.46   -11.51     0.04     0.17     2.55     0.68P   31.20R    5.10  
Oldham           16   15   -9      -2.90    30.67    -3.74    48.93     7.96   -18.29     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.08P   56.39R   14.64  
Chesterfield     15   12   -6      -7.18     9.48    -3.98    49.52     8.49   -13.96     0.01     0.03     0.76     0.18P   52.29R   13.81  
Shrewsbury       16   11  -13      -6.07    13.57    -5.33    42.55     8.04   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   82.67R   45.02  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 3 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             15   35  +13       8.80    94.87     4.76    89.37     8.60    30.48    53.41    87.30    98.71    90.57P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             15   31  +12       8.02    92.34     8.39    79.97     8.85    21.57    12.99    52.91    88.78    61.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster            15   27   +8       0.63    53.82    -0.94    82.22     9.12    27.66    20.88    63.48    92.46    72.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                15   24   +9       0.80    55.66     5.11    71.08     8.81    15.83     2.29    17.69    60.44    28.49P    0.19R    0.04  
Portsmouth           15   24   +7      -0.29    48.03     1.43    76.37     8.74    21.58     6.72    36.67    80.59    49.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County         15   22   +1       2.60    68.31     2.88    60.81     8.73    -5.20     0.11     2.08    17.24     4.82P    4.15R    1.63  
Crewe                15   22   +1       0.46    53.87    -0.44    66.51     9.17     3.94     0.90     7.86    38.96    15.29P    1.23R    0.39  
Grimsby              15   21   +0       1.93    64.09     2.02    57.08     8.73    -9.40     0.04     0.85     9.03     2.39P    9.40R    3.83  
Accrington_Stanley   15   20   -1      -1.80    37.69    -2.78    65.05     8.83     2.77     0.46     5.48    32.35    11.91P    1.50R    0.51  
Crawley_Town         15   20   -3       2.69    69.83     1.86    56.68     8.39   -11.30     0.03     0.57     7.28     1.69P    9.76R    4.25  
Yeovil               15   20   -5       1.81    63.84    -1.90    57.19     8.41   -11.97     0.03     0.67     8.27     2.01P    8.64R    3.46  
Morecambe            15   20   -9       3.38    73.32    -1.99    54.86     8.62   -22.41     0.01     0.36     5.32     1.11P   15.67R    7.46  
Mansfield            15   19   +0      -1.21    41.80     0.25    59.08     8.56    -3.11     0.05     1.31    12.89     3.74P    5.42R    2.14  
Barnet               15   19   -3      -0.08    50.32    -0.54    58.14     8.77    -8.53     0.05     1.00    11.06     2.88P    7.83R    3.23  
Blackpool            15   18   +4      -5.70    16.25    -0.62    69.07     9.09    16.71     1.51    13.17    51.91    25.46P    0.59R    0.19  
Cheltenham           15   17   -1      -2.78    31.68     0.05    59.13     8.94    -1.29     0.08     1.49    13.96     4.30P    6.44R    2.71  
Stevenage            14   17   -2      -1.37    40.83    -0.76    57.66     8.89    -7.20     0.08     1.07    10.42     3.03P    8.86R    3.85  
Colchester           15   17   -2      -4.26    23.22    -2.89    61.44     9.20     0.67     0.22     2.83    21.23     7.41P    4.18R    1.62  
Exeter               15   16   -3      -3.59    26.70    -1.52    55.82     8.64    -7.05     0.03     0.58     6.87     1.91P   11.92R    5.33  
Hartlepool           15   16   -5      -0.69    46.39     1.28    49.03     8.49   -20.40     0.00     0.05     1.34     0.28P   36.21R   20.76  
Wycombe              15   16   -5      -3.63    25.60    -3.89    58.29     8.51    -4.75     0.03     0.84    10.43     3.05P    6.92R    2.91  
Cambridge_Utd        15   16   -6      -3.01    29.77    -3.78    56.93     8.61    -8.11     0.04     0.65     8.30     2.31P    9.63R    4.09  
Leyton_Orient        15   15   -4      -6.53    12.03    -5.51    58.19     8.72    -2.91     0.05     1.07    11.31     3.49P    7.09R    3.04  
Newport_County       14   11   -6      -4.46    19.36    -0.49    47.01     8.61   -17.59     0.00     0.02     0.86     0.20P   44.35R   28.55  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2016, Aldershot 1 0 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Forest_Green       18   40  +22       5.55    82.98     7.03    91.41     7.60    41.90    44.37    94.72    60.47P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       18   36  +20       6.41    85.84    12.31    82.66     7.93    33.04     9.98    69.85    22.97P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   36  +15       2.96    68.22     2.43    88.01     7.82    36.08    25.14    87.80    45.46P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           18   36  +14       3.70    73.33     2.70    84.95     7.67    29.43    14.03    78.79    33.61P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             18   34  +13       7.41    88.88    10.33    75.67     7.90    18.12     1.68    33.87     6.98P    0.02R    0.00  
Aldershot          18   32   +7       6.88    87.75     6.18    70.04     7.77     6.71     0.27    12.38     2.16P    0.07R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     18   31   +3       3.36    70.90    -1.37    76.64     8.01    14.71     2.01    37.93     9.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          18   30  +10       0.81    55.49     2.77    74.97     7.96    19.82     1.33    31.77     8.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       18   30   +8       5.76    84.04     8.17    69.67     7.68    10.44     0.23    11.45     2.19P    0.08R    0.00  
Macclesfield       18   30   +7       0.94    56.09     0.55    72.23     7.76    12.95     0.56    19.19     4.70P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   29  +11       1.30    58.80     6.54    69.65     7.88    14.52     0.28    12.76     2.54P    0.09R    0.00  
Chester            18   26   +5       1.14    57.91     4.80    65.14     7.90     5.69     0.06     4.59     0.77P    0.72R    0.01  
Sutton_United      18   25   +0       2.91    68.96     4.21    60.77     8.19    -3.94     0.02     1.81     0.31P    2.90R    0.05  
Wrexham            18   24   -7      -0.54    47.05    -7.00    63.48     7.69    -5.27     0.01     2.34     0.43P    1.14R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     18   22   -6       2.02    64.11     1.55    54.49     8.05   -16.09     0.00     0.27     0.03P   13.45R    0.53  
Maidstone_United   18   22   -9       2.59    67.47    -0.18    51.07     7.98   -25.54     0.00     0.08     0.01P   25.97R    1.42  
Bromley            18   21   -7      -0.69    46.50    -2.13    55.36     7.63   -14.12     0.00     0.20     0.02P   10.09R    0.28  
Torquay            18   18   -9      -3.52    28.17    -4.35    50.89     7.59   -17.52     0.00     0.03     0.00    23.94R    1.21  
Southport          18   16  -21      -1.45    41.16    -9.00    43.89     7.32   -37.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.33R    7.87  
York               18   15  -12     -10.33     4.67   -12.99    53.80     8.02   -11.62     0.00     0.16     0.03P   14.62R    0.69  
Woking             18   13  -13      -9.49     5.67    -8.98    49.73     7.86   -17.09     0.00     0.03     0.00P   29.16R    2.06  
Braintree_Town     18   13  -17      -9.81     4.53   -14.32    48.17     7.58   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.58R    2.67  
Guiseley           18   10  -12      -8.63     5.79    -2.33    37.97     7.35   -28.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.18R   24.86  
North_Ferriby      18   10  -22      -4.93    17.59    -6.89    33.31     7.15   -44.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.60R   58.35