Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 30 October 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 October 2016, Everton 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 10 23 +15 2.48 71.71 3.52 79.26 7.82 44.43 40.79 64.36 80.29 90.23 98.40 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 10 23 +13 3.21 76.77 3.50 76.58 7.87 37.44 25.26 50.00 69.44 83.33 96.50 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 10 23 +11 6.40 93.18 6.48 72.94 8.33 29.59 13.60 31.39 50.53 68.74 90.66 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 10 22 +12 4.17 82.89 5.63 73.40 8.00 32.38 14.18 33.30 53.65 71.80 92.48 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 10 20 +9 2.01 67.44 2.58 68.65 7.97 24.39 4.87 14.97 29.36 47.58 80.88 0.00 0.00 Everton 10 18 +7 1.85 66.09 3.55 59.01 8.17 10.58 0.46 1.92 5.12 10.96 36.11 0.15R 0.01 Watford 10 15 +1 2.86 75.00 3.42 47.96 7.85 -8.46 0.01 0.05 0.18 0.53 4.34 4.68R 0.53 Man_Utd 10 15 +1 -0.86 42.29 -2.10 60.65 7.97 11.65 0.50 2.35 6.27 13.79 43.68 0.07R 0.00 Southampton 10 13 +1 -1.96 32.76 -0.76 57.98 8.13 10.61 0.26 1.21 3.61 8.54 31.39 0.25R 0.01 Bournemouth 10 12 -2 0.94 59.95 2.71 41.80 7.82 -17.48 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.09 0.90 18.73R 3.54 Leicester 10 12 -4 -1.77 34.78 -3.80 54.61 8.24 1.99 0.06 0.43 1.36 3.77 18.27 0.85R 0.10 Crystal_Palace 10 11 -2 -1.02 41.73 0.71 41.84 7.66 -14.44 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.07 0.79 17.45R 2.98 Burnley 10 11 -5 0.44 55.85 -0.25 42.78 7.93 -15.04 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 1.08 16.04R 2.74 Middlesbrough 10 10 -2 -1.84 34.23 0.70 40.16 7.82 -14.13 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.54 23.70R 4.73 West_Brom 10 10 -4 -1.18 40.16 -0.18 40.74 7.53 -15.70 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.49 21.02R 3.89 West_Ham 10 10 -9 -3.03 24.25 -7.38 44.93 8.09 -15.35 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.25 2.19 10.70R 1.63 Stoke 9 9 -7 -1.19 39.54 -3.64 40.86 7.93 -20.19 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.68 22.43R 4.39 Hull 10 7 -15 -1.91 33.73 -7.08 33.21 7.58 -35.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 61.13R 24.48 Swansea 9 5 -7 -4.56 11.73 -2.43 39.92 8.08 -14.81 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.58 25.81R 5.99 Sunderland 10 2 -13 -7.23 1.98 -5.19 29.23 7.50 -31.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 76.98R 44.98Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 October 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 15 34 +20 4.92 81.25 6.70 95.54 8.37 50.27 77.31 93.46 99.70 95.85P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 15 31 +14 5.02 82.89 5.81 84.64 8.35 30.01 15.38 58.72 94.88 71.06P 0.00R 0.00 Huddersfield 15 28 -1 9.72 96.32 2.48 67.48 8.50 -5.64 0.34 2.75 32.17 7.45P 1.28R 0.04 Norwich 15 27 +2 3.06 70.77 -3.20 77.51 9.01 14.29 4.43 22.40 76.01 38.35P 0.07R 0.00 Reading 15 25 -1 5.87 86.01 1.18 64.91 8.38 -4.44 0.12 1.50 22.54 5.46P 2.46R 0.12 Bristol_City 15 24 +6 3.64 74.52 6.58 66.16 8.52 5.35 0.22 2.35 29.09 7.78P 1.61R 0.08 Birmingham 15 24 +3 2.32 66.76 1.19 65.25 8.33 1.34 0.22 1.83 24.55 6.75P 1.84R 0.07 Sheff_Wed 15 24 -1 2.66 69.11 -2.30 69.39 8.46 3.57 0.57 4.27 41.70 13.32P 0.61R 0.02 Leeds_United 15 23 +1 3.10 72.04 1.72 61.14 8.22 -4.89 0.05 0.56 11.86 2.61P 5.27R 0.39 Brentford 15 22 +7 -0.50 46.54 4.13 70.40 8.73 16.02 0.90 6.52 48.81 18.41P 0.57R 0.03 Fulham 15 21 +3 0.76 55.69 3.75 61.20 8.52 -1.38 0.06 0.68 13.52 3.23P 5.84R 0.56 Barnsley 15 20 +3 1.59 61.71 6.59 58.14 8.87 -4.72 0.02 0.33 8.39 1.91P 12.91R 1.38 Preston 15 20 +0 0.44 54.04 1.16 62.43 8.34 0.37 0.06 0.76 15.73 4.07P 4.18R 0.34 QPR 15 19 -5 -1.35 41.17 -4.74 59.64 8.41 -7.60 0.02 0.40 9.40 2.37P 8.44R 0.78 Aston_Villa 15 18 +0 -2.65 31.96 -0.61 61.13 8.57 1.33 0.05 0.72 13.04 3.77P 6.09R 0.51 Ipswich 15 18 -2 -2.65 31.32 -2.43 60.70 8.36 -1.10 0.02 0.42 11.58 3.11P 6.29R 0.48 Wolverhampton 15 17 -1 -3.35 27.20 -0.66 59.77 8.50 -0.28 0.03 0.37 10.34 2.72P 8.08R 0.70 Burton_Albion 15 17 -2 0.51 55.20 3.54 52.33 8.36 -12.10 0.00 0.04 1.91 0.42P 30.22R 4.85 Derby 15 17 -2 -5.84 14.28 -5.37 65.13 8.41 6.54 0.16 1.69 25.04 8.92P 2.16R 0.12 Nott'm_Forest 15 15 -5 -4.35 21.46 -2.98 54.34 8.49 -10.18 0.00 0.08 3.18 0.71P 22.33R 2.89 Cardiff 15 15 -10 -4.37 21.56 -8.31 52.19 8.23 -17.54 0.00 0.04 1.48 0.38P 31.21R 4.86 Wigan 15 14 -2 -5.39 16.10 -0.55 55.03 8.62 -3.59 0.01 0.12 4.04 1.12P 19.57R 2.79 Blackburn 15 13 -8 -6.68 10.32 -7.09 50.85 8.25 -14.69 0.00 0.02 1.05 0.24P 36.70R 6.08 Rotherham 15 7 -19 -6.36 9.59 -6.59 36.51 7.95 -40.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 92.25R 72.89League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 16 34 +20 5.84 84.14 10.48 84.12 8.53 33.66 42.24 63.11 92.82 71.29P 0.00R 0.00 Bolton 16 31 +9 5.37 81.95 3.62 79.33 8.75 19.76 19.43 38.64 80.61 49.89P 0.05R 0.00 Bradford 16 29 +8 3.75 74.45 3.21 75.57 8.37 16.11 9.16 22.16 68.10 34.25P 0.12R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 15 28 +8 4.43 78.64 3.49 78.15 8.75 19.45 15.61 33.61 77.15 45.17P 0.08R 0.00 Northampton 16 24 +4 2.60 67.06 5.17 62.68 8.86 -0.34 0.56 2.04 16.05 4.72P 7.71R 0.65 Rochdale 16 24 +1 1.03 57.41 -0.46 66.90 8.59 3.59 1.45 4.45 28.50 10.06P 2.62R 0.14 Peterborough 16 23 +7 -2.30 34.71 1.88 69.26 8.63 14.64 2.75 8.03 40.74 16.81P 1.35R 0.07 Bristol_Rovers 15 23 +2 4.44 78.68 5.15 63.46 9.02 -1.37 0.69 2.41 18.20 5.39P 7.15R 0.70 AFC_Wimbledon 16 23 +2 4.82 80.31 7.74 58.20 8.51 -7.12 0.16 0.55 6.53 1.56P 17.33R 1.84 Fleetwood_Town 15 22 +3 2.32 66.85 4.17 65.22 8.56 4.19 0.84 2.98 22.90 7.19P 3.80R 0.26 Port_Vale 16 22 -4 2.11 64.82 -0.82 61.73 8.45 -6.14 0.30 1.09 12.00 3.21P 8.95R 0.85 Walsall 15 21 -1 -1.72 38.12 -4.15 66.79 8.62 3.93 1.24 4.27 28.87 10.49P 2.78R 0.15 Millwall 15 21 -2 -1.83 37.76 -5.25 70.38 8.89 8.51 3.58 9.97 44.48 19.40P 1.33R 0.07 Charlton 15 20 +4 -2.94 30.36 0.45 65.59 9.05 8.68 1.33 4.06 26.36 10.11P 4.13R 0.31 Bury 16 20 -1 0.43 54.06 2.99 56.32 8.41 -8.84 0.05 0.26 4.18 0.99P 22.82R 3.05 Southend 16 20 -7 1.13 59.08 -2.26 56.44 8.32 -13.97 0.05 0.20 3.55 0.80P 23.24R 3.18 Oxford_Utd 16 19 -2 -0.84 45.51 0.93 57.30 8.66 -6.18 0.12 0.43 5.48 1.59P 20.03R 2.88 Gillingham 16 17 -7 -4.95 20.21 -6.75 56.95 8.66 -9.41 0.11 0.37 5.13 1.45P 21.58R 3.06 Coventry 15 16 -4 -5.37 16.29 -5.28 58.94 8.60 -3.08 0.16 0.61 7.57 2.40P 14.39R 1.69 MK_Dons 16 16 -5 -6.29 14.39 -5.43 58.16 8.88 -3.57 0.12 0.53 7.03 2.29P 17.99R 2.53 Swindon 16 16 -7 -5.30 18.18 -5.84 54.27 8.46 -11.51 0.04 0.17 2.55 0.68P 31.20R 5.10 Oldham 16 15 -9 -2.90 30.67 -3.74 48.93 7.96 -18.29 0.00 0.01 0.40 0.08P 56.39R 14.64 Chesterfield 15 12 -6 -7.18 9.48 -3.98 49.52 8.49 -13.96 0.01 0.03 0.76 0.18P 52.29R 13.81 Shrewsbury 16 11 -13 -6.07 13.57 -5.33 42.55 8.04 -28.73 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 82.67R 45.02League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 3 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 15 35 +13 8.80 94.87 4.76 89.37 8.60 30.48 53.41 87.30 98.71 90.57P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 15 31 +12 8.02 92.34 8.39 79.97 8.85 21.57 12.99 52.91 88.78 61.57P 0.01R 0.00 Doncaster 15 27 +8 0.63 53.82 -0.94 82.22 9.12 27.66 20.88 63.48 92.46 72.46P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 15 24 +9 0.80 55.66 5.11 71.08 8.81 15.83 2.29 17.69 60.44 28.49P 0.19R 0.04 Portsmouth 15 24 +7 -0.29 48.03 1.43 76.37 8.74 21.58 6.72 36.67 80.59 49.65P 0.02R 0.00 Notts_County 15 22 +1 2.60 68.31 2.88 60.81 8.73 -5.20 0.11 2.08 17.24 4.82P 4.15R 1.63 Crewe 15 22 +1 0.46 53.87 -0.44 66.51 9.17 3.94 0.90 7.86 38.96 15.29P 1.23R 0.39 Grimsby 15 21 +0 1.93 64.09 2.02 57.08 8.73 -9.40 0.04 0.85 9.03 2.39P 9.40R 3.83 Accrington_Stanley 15 20 -1 -1.80 37.69 -2.78 65.05 8.83 2.77 0.46 5.48 32.35 11.91P 1.50R 0.51 Crawley_Town 15 20 -3 2.69 69.83 1.86 56.68 8.39 -11.30 0.03 0.57 7.28 1.69P 9.76R 4.25 Yeovil 15 20 -5 1.81 63.84 -1.90 57.19 8.41 -11.97 0.03 0.67 8.27 2.01P 8.64R 3.46 Morecambe 15 20 -9 3.38 73.32 -1.99 54.86 8.62 -22.41 0.01 0.36 5.32 1.11P 15.67R 7.46 Mansfield 15 19 +0 -1.21 41.80 0.25 59.08 8.56 -3.11 0.05 1.31 12.89 3.74P 5.42R 2.14 Barnet 15 19 -3 -0.08 50.32 -0.54 58.14 8.77 -8.53 0.05 1.00 11.06 2.88P 7.83R 3.23 Blackpool 15 18 +4 -5.70 16.25 -0.62 69.07 9.09 16.71 1.51 13.17 51.91 25.46P 0.59R 0.19 Cheltenham 15 17 -1 -2.78 31.68 0.05 59.13 8.94 -1.29 0.08 1.49 13.96 4.30P 6.44R 2.71 Stevenage 14 17 -2 -1.37 40.83 -0.76 57.66 8.89 -7.20 0.08 1.07 10.42 3.03P 8.86R 3.85 Colchester 15 17 -2 -4.26 23.22 -2.89 61.44 9.20 0.67 0.22 2.83 21.23 7.41P 4.18R 1.62 Exeter 15 16 -3 -3.59 26.70 -1.52 55.82 8.64 -7.05 0.03 0.58 6.87 1.91P 11.92R 5.33 Hartlepool 15 16 -5 -0.69 46.39 1.28 49.03 8.49 -20.40 0.00 0.05 1.34 0.28P 36.21R 20.76 Wycombe 15 16 -5 -3.63 25.60 -3.89 58.29 8.51 -4.75 0.03 0.84 10.43 3.05P 6.92R 2.91 Cambridge_Utd 15 16 -6 -3.01 29.77 -3.78 56.93 8.61 -8.11 0.04 0.65 8.30 2.31P 9.63R 4.09 Leyton_Orient 15 15 -4 -6.53 12.03 -5.51 58.19 8.72 -2.91 0.05 1.07 11.31 3.49P 7.09R 3.04 Newport_County 14 11 -6 -4.46 19.36 -0.49 47.01 8.61 -17.59 0.00 0.02 0.86 0.20P 44.35R 28.55National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2016, Aldershot 1 0 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Forest_Green 18 40 +22 5.55 82.98 7.03 91.41 7.60 41.90 44.37 94.72 60.47P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 18 36 +20 6.41 85.84 12.31 82.66 7.93 33.04 9.98 69.85 22.97P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 18 36 +15 2.96 68.22 2.43 88.01 7.82 36.08 25.14 87.80 45.46P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 18 36 +14 3.70 73.33 2.70 84.95 7.67 29.43 14.03 78.79 33.61P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 18 34 +13 7.41 88.88 10.33 75.67 7.90 18.12 1.68 33.87 6.98P 0.02R 0.00 Aldershot 18 32 +7 6.88 87.75 6.18 70.04 7.77 6.71 0.27 12.38 2.16P 0.07R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 18 31 +3 3.36 70.90 -1.37 76.64 8.01 14.71 2.01 37.93 9.12P 0.00R 0.00 Eastleigh 18 30 +10 0.81 55.49 2.77 74.97 7.96 19.82 1.33 31.77 8.18P 0.02R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 18 30 +8 5.76 84.04 8.17 69.67 7.68 10.44 0.23 11.45 2.19P 0.08R 0.00 Macclesfield 18 30 +7 0.94 56.09 0.55 72.23 7.76 12.95 0.56 19.19 4.70P 0.03R 0.00 Gateshead 18 29 +11 1.30 58.80 6.54 69.65 7.88 14.52 0.28 12.76 2.54P 0.09R 0.00 Chester 18 26 +5 1.14 57.91 4.80 65.14 7.90 5.69 0.06 4.59 0.77P 0.72R 0.01 Sutton_United 18 25 +0 2.91 68.96 4.21 60.77 8.19 -3.94 0.02 1.81 0.31P 2.90R 0.05 Wrexham 18 24 -7 -0.54 47.05 -7.00 63.48 7.69 -5.27 0.01 2.34 0.43P 1.14R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 18 22 -6 2.02 64.11 1.55 54.49 8.05 -16.09 0.00 0.27 0.03P 13.45R 0.53 Maidstone_United 18 22 -9 2.59 67.47 -0.18 51.07 7.98 -25.54 0.00 0.08 0.01P 25.97R 1.42 Bromley 18 21 -7 -0.69 46.50 -2.13 55.36 7.63 -14.12 0.00 0.20 0.02P 10.09R 0.28 Torquay 18 18 -9 -3.52 28.17 -4.35 50.89 7.59 -17.52 0.00 0.03 0.00 23.94R 1.21 Southport 18 16 -21 -1.45 41.16 -9.00 43.89 7.32 -37.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.33R 7.87 York 18 15 -12 -10.33 4.67 -12.99 53.80 8.02 -11.62 0.00 0.16 0.03P 14.62R 0.69 Woking 18 13 -13 -9.49 5.67 -8.98 49.73 7.86 -17.09 0.00 0.03 0.00P 29.16R 2.06 Braintree_Town 18 13 -17 -9.81 4.53 -14.32 48.17 7.58 -21.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.58R 2.67 Guiseley 18 10 -12 -8.63 5.79 -2.33 37.97 7.35 -28.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.18R 24.86 North_Ferriby 18 10 -22 -4.93 17.59 -6.89 33.31 7.15 -44.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.60R 58.35