Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 27 October 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 October 2016, Chelsea 4 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 9 20 +11 2.04 68.92 1.44 77.00 8.13 39.20 36.81 59.06 74.70 85.59 96.35 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 9 20 +10 2.52 72.60 2.06 74.62 8.11 33.66 24.33 46.41 64.43 78.28 93.73 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 9 20 +9 5.44 90.87 5.51 71.03 8.53 27.01 13.34 29.58 46.42 62.54 85.96 0.00R 0.00 Chelsea 9 19 +10 2.68 73.62 3.80 70.78 8.25 28.91 12.12 28.29 45.52 62.10 86.15 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 9 19 +9 2.75 74.19 3.11 70.09 8.13 26.25 10.15 24.91 41.49 58.10 84.27 0.00 0.00 Everton 9 15 +5 0.94 58.78 2.61 57.54 8.42 8.86 0.53 2.15 5.00 10.18 29.93 0.41R 0.03 Man_Utd 9 14 +1 -0.11 49.07 -1.56 62.05 8.20 13.34 1.50 5.18 11.43 20.75 50.51 0.05R 0.00 Southampton 9 13 +3 -0.92 40.88 0.71 60.22 8.27 14.00 1.01 3.57 8.47 15.89 42.01 0.15R 0.01 Watford 9 12 +0 1.77 67.87 3.24 46.61 8.03 -9.21 0.02 0.06 0.19 0.56 3.26 7.86R 1.15 Bournemouth 9 12 +0 1.91 69.10 4.11 43.84 8.02 -14.29 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.24 1.68 14.14R 2.53 Crystal_Palace 9 11 +0 -0.16 49.58 1.82 43.72 7.82 -11.28 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.18 1.44 13.10R 2.18 Leicester 9 11 -4 -1.81 33.43 -4.45 54.18 8.39 0.75 0.17 0.68 1.85 4.44 17.06 1.34R 0.13 West_Brom 9 10 +0 -0.86 42.78 2.16 43.05 7.80 -10.19 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.17 1.22 14.90R 2.50 Burnley 9 10 -5 0.14 52.66 -1.06 41.77 8.21 -17.39 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.12 1.09 21.53R 4.76 West_Ham 9 10 -7 -2.21 29.64 -6.28 46.58 8.31 -12.97 0.02 0.06 0.22 0.63 3.65 8.56R 1.44 Stoke 9 9 -7 -1.10 40.49 -3.50 40.98 7.94 -20.09 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.09 0.70 23.56R 5.20 Middlesbrough 9 7 -4 -2.96 23.41 -0.52 38.04 8.08 -16.95 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.37 35.77R 10.11 Hull 9 7 -14 -1.02 41.91 -6.75 33.84 7.78 -36.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 59.51R 24.87 Swansea 9 5 -7 -4.68 11.12 -2.63 39.60 8.04 -15.41 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.52 28.31R 7.35 Sunderland 9 2 -10 -6.79 2.36 -3.81 30.89 7.71 -28.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 70.81R 37.73Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2016, Aston_Villa 1 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 14 31 +19 3.68 75.03 6.40 94.14 8.65 49.32 73.49 90.36 99.42 93.79P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 14 28 +9 4.78 82.38 2.92 81.11 8.65 22.29 10.25 38.49 87.19 54.08P 0.01R 0.00 Huddersfield 14 28 +4 9.91 97.25 5.51 70.40 8.75 1.78 1.08 6.30 44.18 12.84P 0.59R 0.02 Norwich 14 27 +7 2.95 70.50 -0.52 81.17 9.30 22.79 11.63 40.45 85.30 54.53P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 14 24 +1 3.42 74.35 -1.12 71.38 8.57 6.55 1.33 7.08 49.83 17.86P 0.35R 0.02 Bristol_City 14 23 +6 4.07 77.83 6.59 65.91 8.82 4.50 0.35 2.65 27.79 7.77P 2.08R 0.12 Birmingham 14 23 +3 2.88 71.05 1.44 65.91 8.67 1.85 0.37 2.50 26.66 7.80P 1.87R 0.09 Reading 14 22 -3 4.86 82.70 0.09 62.61 8.67 -7.42 0.11 0.90 15.47 3.52P 4.96R 0.32 Preston 14 20 +1 1.31 60.54 1.44 63.65 8.61 1.26 0.18 1.37 18.98 5.23P 3.37R 0.22 Leeds_United 14 20 -1 2.22 67.07 0.72 59.09 8.38 -7.44 0.04 0.38 7.85 1.78P 8.94R 0.71 Brentford 14 19 +5 -1.84 36.57 2.63 67.73 8.94 12.29 0.63 4.06 36.06 12.41P 1.43R 0.07 Barnsley 14 19 +3 1.92 64.65 6.37 58.85 9.27 -4.11 0.07 0.64 9.91 2.48P 11.94R 1.23 QPR 14 19 -3 -0.32 48.05 -3.26 62.06 8.61 -3.98 0.10 0.90 14.34 3.89P 5.08R 0.38 Fulham 14 18 -2 0.45 54.39 0.77 57.92 8.72 -8.80 0.03 0.31 6.98 1.64P 12.60R 1.36 Burton_Albion 14 17 +0 1.25 60.87 4.60 53.98 8.60 -9.44 0.01 0.08 3.01 0.66P 23.77R 3.28 Aston_Villa 14 17 +0 -2.43 32.77 -0.77 61.07 8.85 0.84 0.08 0.81 13.13 3.92P 6.83R 0.51 Ipswich 14 17 -2 -1.74 37.28 -1.60 62.15 8.54 0.55 0.07 0.76 14.79 4.17P 4.57R 0.39 Wolverhampton 14 16 -1 -3.03 28.37 -0.81 60.00 8.71 -0.45 0.05 0.56 10.64 2.94P 8.10R 0.65 Nott'm_Forest 14 15 -3 -3.56 25.55 -1.93 55.93 8.72 -7.79 0.01 0.17 4.70 1.10P 17.66R 2.00 Cardiff 14 15 -9 -3.06 28.48 -7.38 54.01 8.52 -15.77 0.01 0.07 2.63 0.65P 24.59R 2.98 Derby 14 14 -4 -6.84 9.46 -6.56 62.96 8.62 3.74 0.11 1.07 17.38 5.87P 4.11R 0.32 Blackburn 14 12 -8 -6.09 11.67 -6.70 51.14 8.43 -14.59 0.01 0.03 1.26 0.32P 35.40R 5.47 Wigan 14 11 -3 -7.01 8.69 -1.44 52.68 8.89 -5.58 0.01 0.08 2.50 0.72P 28.57R 4.62 Rotherham 14 6 -19 -6.44 8.21 -7.40 35.74 8.03 -42.40 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 93.18R 75.23League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 October 2016, Bury 0 2 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 15 31 +17 5.33 82.61 9.30 81.96 8.78 29.77 38.11 58.00 89.06 66.48P 0.02R 0.00 Bolton 15 28 +7 4.62 79.16 2.89 77.42 8.98 17.29 18.54 36.04 75.30 46.71P 0.17R 0.00 Bradford 15 26 +7 2.52 67.68 2.73 73.92 8.44 15.05 9.04 21.13 63.14 32.76P 0.31R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 14 25 +7 3.27 72.80 3.19 76.53 8.99 18.43 15.91 32.32 72.72 43.18P 0.20R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 14 23 +3 5.56 84.82 5.77 65.09 9.26 0.06 1.81 4.88 25.18 8.80P 6.32R 0.51 AFC_Wimbledon 15 23 +3 5.76 85.31 7.97 59.69 8.74 -5.58 0.31 1.14 10.08 2.61P 15.32R 1.61 Port_Vale 15 22 -2 2.75 69.31 -0.03 63.24 8.66 -3.80 0.74 2.47 17.66 5.25P 7.63R 0.65 Northampton 15 21 +3 1.37 60.10 4.70 60.99 9.13 -1.22 0.68 2.10 13.76 4.60P 12.81R 1.55 Rochdale 15 21 +0 -0.18 49.25 -0.86 65.78 8.79 3.32 1.69 4.86 26.94 10.01P 4.38R 0.32 Peterborough 15 20 +6 -3.63 26.32 1.37 67.50 8.87 13.45 3.02 7.93 35.37 15.21P 2.81R 0.16 Bury 15 20 +0 1.54 61.80 3.45 57.41 8.57 -8.05 0.16 0.56 6.18 1.62P 21.76R 2.63 Walsall 14 20 -1 -1.21 41.40 -3.98 67.60 8.94 4.64 2.70 7.24 34.62 14.27P 2.94R 0.18 Fleetwood_Town 14 19 +2 0.90 57.47 3.45 63.52 8.81 3.08 0.96 2.99 19.67 6.78P 7.12R 0.61 Oxford_Utd 15 19 -1 0.25 52.77 1.46 58.97 8.89 -4.59 0.34 1.04 9.04 2.78P 17.48R 2.33 Southend 15 19 -7 1.82 64.16 -1.85 57.00 8.55 -13.67 0.10 0.41 5.01 1.19P 24.22R 3.70 Millwall 14 18 -3 -3.10 28.80 -5.73 68.25 9.13 6.72 3.35 8.83 37.93 16.75P 2.90R 0.19 Charlton 14 17 +3 -4.12 22.69 0.14 64.17 9.30 8.03 1.52 4.44 23.92 9.84P 6.93R 0.72 Gillingham 15 17 -6 -3.88 25.12 -6.27 58.41 8.85 -8.16 0.27 0.87 8.09 2.53P 19.20R 2.44 MK_Dons 15 16 -4 -5.42 17.64 -5.23 59.37 9.18 -2.82 0.35 1.30 10.59 3.75P 16.94R 2.35 Swindon 15 16 -4 -4.88 19.59 -4.44 56.14 8.65 -7.66 0.10 0.41 4.90 1.43P 26.10R 3.88 Coventry 14 15 -4 -5.03 17.23 -5.35 58.73 8.79 -3.93 0.26 0.92 8.40 2.82P 17.53R 2.11 Oldham 15 15 -8 -1.98 36.42 -3.35 49.97 8.15 -17.84 0.00 0.03 0.77 0.17P 54.19R 12.91 Chesterfield 14 12 -5 -6.37 12.05 -3.77 50.86 8.77 -12.97 0.02 0.09 1.57 0.40P 48.92R 12.15 Shrewsbury 15 10 -13 -5.85 13.36 -5.56 42.37 8.31 -29.55 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 83.81R 49.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 October 2016, Newport_County 2 2 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 14 32 +12 7.66 92.83 4.49 87.69 8.91 29.49 46.41 82.52 97.62 86.82P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 14 28 +10 7.14 90.64 7.52 78.34 9.09 19.64 11.23 45.23 83.36 54.03P 0.02R 0.00 Doncaster 14 26 +8 1.38 59.35 -0.41 83.30 9.45 28.68 27.23 67.51 92.49 75.46P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 14 23 +9 1.13 58.53 5.10 72.05 9.05 16.75 3.46 21.51 62.25 31.68P 0.16R 0.02 Portsmouth 14 21 +6 -1.44 39.45 1.13 74.83 8.89 20.73 5.72 31.01 73.73 43.87P 0.06R 0.01 Notts_County 14 21 +1 2.83 70.41 2.69 60.72 8.97 -6.10 0.24 2.37 16.50 4.87P 4.32R 1.59 Accrington_Stanley 14 20 +1 -0.55 46.45 -1.00 68.13 8.99 7.30 1.32 10.40 44.04 18.66P 0.64R 0.18 Grimsby 14 20 +0 2.27 66.81 2.12 57.24 8.99 -9.91 0.10 1.13 9.22 2.67P 8.76R 3.38 Crawley_Town 14 20 -1 3.48 75.21 2.93 58.26 8.58 -9.05 0.08 1.01 9.76 2.39P 6.47R 2.40 Morecambe 14 20 -6 4.07 78.04 -0.16 57.66 9.00 -16.99 0.09 1.02 9.48 2.33P 9.11R 3.70 Mansfield 14 19 +1 0.01 50.72 1.08 60.96 8.76 -1.34 0.18 2.33 16.70 5.32P 3.49R 1.10 Crewe 14 19 -1 -0.78 44.90 -1.87 63.50 9.47 -0.18 0.60 5.08 26.57 10.01P 2.70R 0.97 Yeovil 14 19 -5 2.13 66.74 -1.92 57.82 8.61 -11.72 0.08 0.90 8.92 2.35P 7.51R 2.79 Blackpool 14 17 +4 -5.26 16.91 -0.51 69.94 9.23 17.44 2.21 15.68 54.08 27.91P 0.43R 0.11 Colchester 14 17 -1 -3.50 26.57 -2.80 62.99 9.47 1.89 0.55 4.67 25.40 9.94P 3.02R 1.04 Cheltenham 14 16 -1 -2.55 32.52 -0.18 59.18 9.14 -1.74 0.15 1.75 13.54 4.44P 6.03R 2.16 Hartlepool 14 16 -4 0.40 54.23 1.72 50.11 8.65 -19.75 0.01 0.11 1.89 0.39P 29.77R 14.96 Barnet 14 16 -4 -1.24 41.72 -0.84 56.55 8.94 -9.46 0.05 0.76 7.78 2.23P 10.30R 4.26 Cambridge_Utd 14 16 -5 -2.04 35.78 -3.32 58.41 8.83 -6.98 0.06 1.13 10.83 3.23P 6.63R 2.48 Leyton_Orient 14 15 -2 -5.60 14.75 -4.11 60.58 8.88 0.57 0.16 2.12 16.41 5.82P 3.86R 1.41 Wycombe 14 15 -5 -3.54 25.41 -4.38 57.79 8.67 -5.97 0.05 0.90 9.25 2.78P 7.21R 2.71 Stevenage 13 14 -3 -2.86 29.51 -1.52 55.08 9.09 -9.55 0.04 0.60 6.39 1.77P 13.52R 5.92 Exeter 14 13 -6 -4.47 20.24 -3.42 52.98 8.79 -12.01 0.01 0.26 3.52 0.96P 18.53R 8.71 Newport_County 13 8 -8 -5.96 10.58 -2.33 43.86 8.66 -21.73 0.00 0.01 0.29 0.07P 57.44R 40.11National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 October 2016, Bromley 0 2 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Forest_Green 17 39 +22 6.17 86.27 7.32 92.15 7.73 42.59 50.23 95.24 64.63P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 17 35 +15 3.11 69.71 2.13 87.98 8.00 35.72 26.32 87.32 46.44P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 17 33 +17 5.52 83.07 10.54 79.53 8.20 27.54 5.49 54.59 15.73P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 17 33 +11 2.74 68.31 0.68 81.78 7.81 24.17 7.24 64.88 24.14P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 17 31 +9 6.83 87.89 7.94 72.69 8.11 12.04 0.82 21.78 4.32P 0.04R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 17 31 +6 4.17 76.04 0.65 79.37 8.11 20.03 4.52 52.34 14.46P 0.01R 0.00 Eastleigh 17 30 +14 1.12 57.66 4.98 77.72 8.12 25.90 3.25 45.66 13.38P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 17 30 +8 2.33 65.46 1.53 74.33 7.90 15.11 1.11 28.06 7.20P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 17 29 +6 5.96 85.14 6.18 68.86 7.93 6.36 0.23 10.21 1.84P 0.21R 0.00 Gateshead 17 28 +11 1.90 62.94 6.81 70.54 8.07 15.32 0.43 15.90 3.43P 0.10R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 17 27 +7 4.59 79.71 7.79 68.39 7.84 10.06 0.16 9.45 1.72P 0.17R 0.00 Chester 17 26 +8 1.90 63.19 6.69 67.87 8.07 11.00 0.14 9.48 1.79P 0.32R 0.00 Sutton_United 17 24 +0 3.32 71.95 4.26 60.03 8.37 -5.61 0.02 1.60 0.24P 3.75R 0.08 Wrexham 17 23 -7 -0.50 47.18 -7.51 63.43 7.90 -5.84 0.03 2.70 0.55P 1.25R 0.01 Solihull_Moors 17 19 -7 0.51 54.95 1.01 51.33 8.27 -19.80 0.00 0.14 0.01P 23.87R 1.75 Maidstone_United 17 19 -10 1.10 58.70 -0.91 48.50 8.15 -28.03 0.00 0.05 0.00P 36.87R 3.71 Bromley 17 18 -8 -2.07 37.09 -2.80 53.62 7.78 -15.32 0.00 0.13 0.01P 14.30R 0.75 Torquay 17 18 -8 -2.16 36.11 -3.46 53.59 7.75 -14.38 0.00 0.09 0.01P 14.09R 0.71 York 17 14 -12 -9.77 4.82 -12.69 54.86 8.27 -10.41 0.00 0.28 0.07P 11.90R 0.64 Woking 17 13 -12 -8.58 7.20 -8.77 50.79 8.00 -16.49 0.00 0.06 0.01P 24.25R 1.84 Braintree_Town 17 13 -16 -8.31 6.94 -13.13 50.75 7.77 -18.54 0.00 0.03 0.00P 24.36R 1.70 Southport 17 13 -22 -3.26 28.22 -10.20 41.10 7.38 -40.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.85R 16.84 Guiseley 17 10 -11 -8.10 6.59 -2.51 39.12 7.52 -28.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.57R 22.63 North_Ferriby 17 10 -21 -3.98 22.05 -6.51 35.03 7.44 -42.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.08R 49.32