Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 22 October 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2016, Arsenal 0 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal           9   20  +10       2.50    72.32     2.03    74.46     8.15    33.37    22.18    45.52    64.06    77.60    93.44     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool         9   20   +9       5.44    90.76     5.53    70.91     8.51    26.78    12.17    28.60    46.21    62.27    85.47     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City          8   19  +11       2.85    77.80     2.07    78.71     8.34    41.40    44.74    66.90    80.50    88.88    97.16     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham         9   19   +9       2.79    74.60     3.19    69.97     8.27    26.01     9.50    24.74    41.43    57.94    83.40     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea           8   16   +6       1.89    67.93     1.16    67.57     8.62    22.09     6.57    17.39    31.00    46.23    74.74     0.02R    0.00  
Everton           9   15   +5       0.93    58.59     2.63    57.45     8.43     8.73     0.51     1.99     5.03    10.12    29.52     0.40R    0.03  
Man_Utd           8   14   +5       0.50    54.91     1.30    64.97     8.37    19.63     3.11    10.19    20.50    33.78    64.86     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton       8   12   +3      -0.89    40.60     0.13    59.93     8.56    12.89     1.03     3.75     8.41    16.02    40.44     0.23R    0.01  
Watford           9   12   +0       1.73    67.21     3.13    46.72     8.07    -8.97     0.02     0.06     0.23     0.67     3.41     7.37R    1.11  
Bournemouth       9   12   +0       2.01    70.23     4.26    43.90     8.05   -14.09     0.01     0.02     0.08     0.22     1.69    14.13R    2.55  
Crystal_Palace    9   11   +0      -0.19    49.42     1.79    43.66     7.87   -11.40     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.21     1.49    13.34R    2.36  
Leicester         9   11   -4      -1.84    33.64    -4.54    54.17     8.45     0.71     0.15     0.72     2.05     4.80    16.85     1.35R    0.13  
West_Brom         9   10   +0      -0.85    42.92     2.16    42.92     7.79   -10.33     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.15     1.25    15.13R    2.66  
Burnley           9   10   -5       0.16    53.16    -1.09    41.76     8.16   -17.41     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.13     1.04    21.26R    4.52  
West_Ham          9   10   -7      -2.28    29.12    -6.39    46.54     8.36   -13.03     0.01     0.07     0.30     0.78     3.61     8.91R    1.45  
Stoke             9    9   -7      -1.11    40.51    -3.48    41.09     7.99   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.77    23.13R    4.73  
Middlesbrough     9    7   -4      -2.94    23.60    -0.55    37.80     7.96   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.34    36.50R    9.96  
Hull              9    7  -14      -1.02    41.74    -6.80    33.90     7.89   -36.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    58.75R   24.87  
Swansea           9    5   -7      -4.74    10.78    -2.75    39.66     8.00   -15.24     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.06     0.42    28.10R    7.17  
Sunderland        9    2  -10      -6.75     2.47    -3.78    30.76     7.78   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.35R   38.46  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2016, Aston_Villa 1 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       14   31  +19       3.63    74.69     6.30    94.18     8.70    49.42    73.95    90.36    99.37    93.83P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        14   28   +9       4.71    82.14     2.85    81.24     8.55    22.46    10.53    39.48    87.85    54.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield    14   28   +4       9.96    97.23     5.59    70.40     8.74     1.81     1.11     6.14    44.54    12.89P    0.58R    0.01  
Norwich         14   27   +7       3.03    71.01    -0.41    80.93     9.27    22.48    11.00    39.34    84.87    53.86P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       14   24   +1       3.31    73.77    -1.24    71.57     8.64     6.79     1.39     7.54    50.70    18.37P    0.39R    0.01  
Bristol_City    14   23   +6       4.13    78.42     6.66    65.93     8.77     4.51     0.32     2.58    27.63     7.49P    1.94R    0.10  
Birmingham      14   23   +3       2.88    70.82     1.49    65.90     8.65     1.81     0.33     2.43    26.61     7.57P    1.91R    0.07  
Reading         14   22   -3       4.88    82.87     0.08    62.59     8.56    -7.50     0.09     0.94    15.00     3.57P    4.77R    0.27  
Preston         14   20   +1       1.37    61.02     1.51    63.50     8.61     1.07     0.18     1.23    18.63     5.10P    3.59R    0.24  
Leeds_United    14   20   -1       2.09    66.42     0.57    59.35     8.41    -7.12     0.03     0.40     8.17     1.81P    8.71R    0.72  
Brentford       14   19   +5      -1.73    37.33     2.74    67.55     8.98    12.12     0.56     4.14    35.45    12.53P    1.51R    0.08  
Barnsley        14   19   +3       1.99    65.31     6.50    58.60     9.16    -4.41     0.06     0.59     9.15     2.24P   12.37R    1.25  
QPR             14   19   -3      -0.36    47.92    -3.30    62.07     8.59    -4.01     0.08     0.88    14.24     3.88P    5.15R    0.39  
Fulham          14   18   -2       0.52    54.83     0.86    57.86     8.76    -8.89     0.04     0.35     7.02     1.59P   12.91R    1.46  
Burton_Albion   14   17   +0       1.13    59.88     4.46    54.31     8.61    -8.92     0.01     0.09     3.21     0.61P   22.63R    3.12  
Aston_Villa     14   17   +0      -2.50    32.22    -0.88    61.25     8.94     1.06     0.09     0.91    13.88     4.28P    6.62R    0.51  
Ipswich         14   17   -2      -1.59    38.51    -1.41    61.97     8.59     0.26     0.07     0.76    14.47     4.03P    5.14R    0.44  
Wolverhampton   14   16   -1      -3.07    28.24    -0.85    60.12     8.73    -0.33     0.04     0.49    10.98     2.97P    7.92R    0.62  
Nott'm_Forest   14   15   -3      -3.58    25.57    -1.96    55.97     8.70    -7.69     0.02     0.15     4.71     1.13P   17.76R    1.93  
Cardiff         14   15   -9      -3.10    28.12    -7.45    54.22     8.48   -15.58     0.01     0.08     2.62     0.55P   23.68R    2.94  
Derby           14   14   -4      -6.95     9.08    -6.67    63.00     8.48     3.85     0.08     1.02    17.32     5.85P    3.76R    0.29  
Blackburn       14   12   -8      -6.11    11.74    -6.73    51.11     8.54   -14.73     0.00     0.04     1.31     0.30P   35.89R    5.53  
Wigan           14   11   -3      -6.90     9.22    -1.32    52.40     8.88    -5.98     0.00     0.08     2.26     0.64P   29.72R    5.03  
Rotherham       14    6  -19      -6.40     8.44    -7.38    35.69     8.09   -42.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.00R   75.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2016, Bradford 3 3 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Scunthorpe       15   31  +17       5.25    82.42     9.18    82.01     8.72    29.90    40.10    59.88    89.55    68.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Bradford         15   26   +7       2.45    67.29     2.64    73.94     8.52    15.10     9.70    22.24    63.37    33.58P    0.33R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        14   25   +7       3.30    73.03     3.24    76.39     8.99    18.27    16.53    33.13    72.68    43.91P    0.29R    0.00  
Bolton           14   25   +5       3.56    74.42     1.70    75.11     9.28    14.30    14.07    28.09    66.67    38.19P    0.50R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers   14   23   +3       5.50    84.61     5.66    65.28     9.28     0.34     2.04     5.55    26.25     9.60P    5.97R    0.54  
AFC_Wimbledon    15   23   +3       5.75    85.33     8.00    59.68     8.60    -5.61     0.31     1.10    10.01     2.66P   15.37R    1.50  
Port_Vale        15   22   -2       2.77    69.44     0.01    63.21     8.58    -3.89     0.76     2.60    17.60     5.60P    7.74R    0.67  
Northampton      15   21   +3       1.43    60.51     4.81    60.98     9.08    -1.33     0.69     2.11    14.36     4.62P   12.92R    1.37  
Rochdale         15   21   +0      -0.02    50.35    -0.64    65.56     8.82     3.00     1.77     5.14    26.74    10.10P    4.85R    0.41  
Peterborough     15   20   +6      -3.64    26.12     1.35    67.44     8.97    13.41     3.26     8.43    35.90    15.88P    3.06R    0.19  
Bury             14   20   +2       2.30    67.15     4.58    59.62     8.91    -4.78     0.45     1.42    10.63     3.15P   16.18R    1.81  
Walsall          14   20   -1      -1.20    41.34    -3.98    67.59     8.92     4.61     2.84     7.73    34.53    14.67P    3.00R    0.21  
Fleetwood_Town   14   19   +2       0.78    56.58     3.32    63.63     8.81     3.28     0.94     3.24    20.44     7.09P    7.14R    0.63  
Oxford_Utd       15   19   -1       0.30    52.88     1.54    58.94     8.82    -4.65     0.31     1.06     9.19     2.78P   17.90R    2.34  
Southend         15   19   -7       1.69    63.15    -2.06    57.22     8.53   -13.32     0.10     0.50     5.58     1.37P   23.93R    3.48  
Millwall         14   18   -3      -3.20    28.21    -5.86    68.32     9.15     6.84     3.63     9.61    38.43    17.67P    3.01R    0.26  
Charlton         14   17   +3      -3.95    23.75     0.38    63.79     9.29     7.44     1.43     4.36    22.94     9.48P    7.71R    0.75  
Gillingham       15   17   -6      -3.96    24.75    -6.33    58.55     8.85    -7.96     0.29     0.93     8.52     2.69P   19.05R    2.42  
MK_Dons          15   16   -4      -5.35    17.64    -5.11    59.22     9.05    -3.08     0.37     1.24    10.31     3.63P   17.40R    2.29  
Swindon          15   16   -4      -4.87    19.78    -4.43    56.13     8.60    -7.65     0.11     0.44     4.87     1.46P   26.62R    3.81  
Coventry         14   15   -4      -5.07    16.75    -5.40    58.94     8.77    -3.64     0.28     1.07     9.13     3.12P   17.31R    2.06  
Oldham           15   15   -8      -1.96    36.44    -3.33    49.87     8.09   -17.97     0.00     0.04     0.76     0.19P   55.53R   13.65  
Chesterfield     14   12   -5      -6.30    11.80    -3.66    50.81     8.72   -13.09     0.02     0.11     1.47     0.40P   49.71R   12.29  
Shrewsbury       15   10  -13      -5.87    13.21    -5.61    42.41     8.31   -29.52     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   84.44R   49.27  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2016, Blackpool 4 2 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             14   32  +12       7.67    92.66     4.51    87.67     8.95    29.44    46.39    82.27    97.40    86.74P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             14   28  +10       7.24    90.86     7.71    78.09     9.02    19.27    10.45    44.21    82.77    52.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   26   +8       1.21    58.02    -0.60    83.53     9.25    29.07    28.22    68.81    93.22    76.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                14   23   +9       1.20    58.49     5.16    71.95     9.10    16.59     3.45    21.30    61.40    31.31P    0.17R    0.06  
Portsmouth           14   21   +6      -1.54    38.76     0.97    74.98     8.95    20.99     5.88    31.54    74.12    44.42P    0.07R    0.01  
Notts_County         14   21   +1       2.82    70.24     2.68    60.69     8.97    -6.18     0.20     2.44    16.45     4.91P    4.42R    1.56  
Accrington_Stanley   14   20   +1      -0.54    46.43    -1.01    68.05     9.01     7.16     1.34    10.28    43.80    18.51P    0.63R    0.21  
Grimsby              14   20   +0       2.19    66.26     1.95    57.49     8.93    -9.60     0.09     1.14     9.42     2.71P    8.34R    3.18  
Crawley_Town         14   20   -1       3.46    75.20     2.93    58.25     8.59    -8.99     0.07     1.03     9.84     2.55P    6.54R    2.47  
Morecambe            14   20   -6       4.15    78.38    -0.07    57.48     8.91   -17.29     0.05     0.85     8.93     2.04P    9.47R    3.83  
Mansfield            14   19   +1       0.00    50.73     1.06    60.90     8.72    -1.38     0.17     2.27    16.75     5.39P    3.47R    1.15  
Crewe                14   19   -1      -0.75    45.31    -1.82    63.55     9.35    -0.05     0.53     4.80    26.37     9.91P    2.61R    0.87  
Yeovil               14   19   -5       2.21    67.21    -1.77    57.71     8.65   -11.89     0.04     0.89     8.92     2.32P    7.58R    2.89  
Blackpool            14   17   +4      -5.22    17.26    -0.46    70.01     9.18    17.46     2.18    15.91    54.15    28.15P    0.46R    0.16  
Colchester           14   17   -1      -3.40    27.72    -2.69    62.81     9.48     1.67     0.42     4.45    24.63     9.43P    3.17R    1.12  
Cheltenham           14   16   -1      -2.61    32.18    -0.25    59.26     9.18    -1.62     0.11     1.76    14.07     4.78P    6.15R    2.34  
Hartlepool           14   16   -4       0.39    54.10     1.73    50.08     8.69   -19.70     0.01     0.10     1.82     0.33P   30.03R   14.99  
Cambridge_Utd        14   16   -5      -2.00    36.09    -3.23    58.25     8.82    -7.23     0.07     1.01    10.36     2.95P    7.03R    2.61  
Leyton_Orient        14   15   -2      -5.62    14.95    -4.13    60.55     8.90     0.50     0.15     2.19    16.55     5.93P    4.03R    1.48  
Barnet               13   15   -4      -0.83    44.58    -0.82    57.12     9.20    -9.09     0.06     0.99     9.50     2.59P   10.24R    4.19  
Wycombe              14   15   -5      -3.50    25.46    -4.29    57.77     8.65    -6.00     0.07     0.83     9.03     2.75P    7.38R    2.80  
Stevenage            13   14   -3      -2.88    29.32    -1.57    55.31     9.03    -9.21     0.03     0.70     6.48     1.90P   12.84R    5.48  
Exeter               14   13   -6      -4.57    19.73    -3.56    53.01     8.78   -11.89     0.02     0.25     3.61     0.93P   18.49R    8.66  
Newport_County       12    7   -8      -5.65    10.70    -2.42    44.01     8.92   -22.01     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.08P   56.85R   39.93  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2016, Boreham_Wood 1 0 North_Ferriby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Forest_Green       16   36  +21       5.13    82.47     7.07    90.84     8.00    42.21    48.01    93.63    62.96P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          16   32  +14       2.21    64.66     2.04    87.06     8.30    35.79    26.87    85.20    46.27P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       16   30  +15       4.61    79.49     9.60    77.78     8.36    25.27     4.68    48.10    13.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere           16   30  +10       1.93    63.19     0.88    81.37     8.05    25.05     8.63    64.64    25.28P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             16   30   +9       7.08    89.69     7.75    72.59     8.29    11.32     1.08    23.44     4.86P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield       16   29   +8       3.00    70.44     1.93    75.46     8.19    16.19     2.38    35.59     9.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Aldershot          16   29   +7       6.66    88.27     6.17    69.61     8.14     6.33     0.44    13.79     2.57P    0.15R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     16   28   +4       3.06    70.39    -0.49    76.94     8.46    16.73     3.57    42.70    11.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          16   27  +11       2.37    66.24     6.92    71.37     8.28    16.04     0.89    20.63     4.79P    0.07R    0.00  
Eastleigh          16   27  +11       0.67    54.90     3.84    75.61     8.38    22.13     2.64    38.05    10.99P    0.03R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       16   27   +9       5.22    83.14     8.84    69.87     8.04    12.14     0.41    14.54     2.99P    0.13R    0.00  
Chester            16   25   +8       1.94    63.71     6.29    67.82     8.22    10.33     0.26    10.61     2.18P    0.34R    0.00  
Sutton_United      16   23   +0       3.93    76.19     4.49    61.33     8.73    -4.08     0.05     2.91     0.57P    3.45R    0.05  
Wrexham            16   22   -7       0.04    50.75    -7.27    64.22     8.08    -5.20     0.07     4.04     0.82P    1.12R    0.02  
Solihull_Moors     16   19   -6       1.35    60.61     1.21    52.35     8.49   -19.51     0.00     0.23     0.04P   21.17R    1.26  
Torquay            16   18   -5      -1.86    37.66    -2.07    55.24     7.99   -10.98     0.00     0.31     0.06P   10.62R    0.36  
Bromley            16   18   -6      -1.32    41.84    -1.72    55.79     8.07   -12.12     0.00     0.38     0.05P    9.71R    0.36  
Maidstone_United   16   18  -10       1.30    60.41    -1.30    48.01     8.27   -29.31     0.00     0.04     0.01P   39.69R    3.73  
York               16   14  -10      -8.70     6.57   -11.18    57.48     8.57    -6.57     0.00     0.92     0.19P    7.72R    0.36  
Woking             16   13  -11      -7.29    10.08    -7.92    53.16     8.21   -13.74     0.00     0.21     0.04P   16.72R    0.87  
Braintree_Town     16   10  -17     -10.07     2.89   -14.41    48.36     7.96   -20.72     0.00     0.03     0.00P   35.38R    2.95  
North_Ferriby      16   10  -20      -3.45    25.32    -6.63    35.14     7.64   -43.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.56R   44.00  
Southport          16   10  -24      -4.62    18.75   -11.59    38.45     7.53   -44.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.43R   25.27  
Guiseley           16    9  -11      -7.77     6.50    -2.47    39.08     7.71   -29.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.64R   20.77