Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 22 October 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2016, Arsenal 0 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 9 20 +10 2.50 72.32 2.03 74.46 8.15 33.37 22.18 45.52 64.06 77.60 93.44 0.00R 0.00 Liverpool 9 20 +9 5.44 90.76 5.53 70.91 8.51 26.78 12.17 28.60 46.21 62.27 85.47 0.00R 0.00 Man_City 8 19 +11 2.85 77.80 2.07 78.71 8.34 41.40 44.74 66.90 80.50 88.88 97.16 0.00R 0.00 Tottenham 9 19 +9 2.79 74.60 3.19 69.97 8.27 26.01 9.50 24.74 41.43 57.94 83.40 0.00R 0.00 Chelsea 8 16 +6 1.89 67.93 1.16 67.57 8.62 22.09 6.57 17.39 31.00 46.23 74.74 0.02R 0.00 Everton 9 15 +5 0.93 58.59 2.63 57.45 8.43 8.73 0.51 1.99 5.03 10.12 29.52 0.40R 0.03 Man_Utd 8 14 +5 0.50 54.91 1.30 64.97 8.37 19.63 3.11 10.19 20.50 33.78 64.86 0.03R 0.00 Southampton 8 12 +3 -0.89 40.60 0.13 59.93 8.56 12.89 1.03 3.75 8.41 16.02 40.44 0.23R 0.01 Watford 9 12 +0 1.73 67.21 3.13 46.72 8.07 -8.97 0.02 0.06 0.23 0.67 3.41 7.37R 1.11 Bournemouth 9 12 +0 2.01 70.23 4.26 43.90 8.05 -14.09 0.01 0.02 0.08 0.22 1.69 14.13R 2.55 Crystal_Palace 9 11 +0 -0.19 49.42 1.79 43.66 7.87 -11.40 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.21 1.49 13.34R 2.36 Leicester 9 11 -4 -1.84 33.64 -4.54 54.17 8.45 0.71 0.15 0.72 2.05 4.80 16.85 1.35R 0.13 West_Brom 9 10 +0 -0.85 42.92 2.16 42.92 7.79 -10.33 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.15 1.25 15.13R 2.66 Burnley 9 10 -5 0.16 53.16 -1.09 41.76 8.16 -17.41 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.13 1.04 21.26R 4.52 West_Ham 9 10 -7 -2.28 29.12 -6.39 46.54 8.36 -13.03 0.01 0.07 0.30 0.78 3.61 8.91R 1.45 Stoke 9 9 -7 -1.11 40.51 -3.48 41.09 7.99 -19.80 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.77 23.13R 4.73 Middlesbrough 9 7 -4 -2.94 23.60 -0.55 37.80 7.96 -17.21 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.34 36.50R 9.96 Hull 9 7 -14 -1.02 41.74 -6.80 33.90 7.89 -36.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 58.75R 24.87 Swansea 9 5 -7 -4.74 10.78 -2.75 39.66 8.00 -15.24 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.42 28.10R 7.17 Sunderland 9 2 -10 -6.75 2.47 -3.78 30.76 7.78 -28.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 71.35R 38.46Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2016, Aston_Villa 1 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 14 31 +19 3.63 74.69 6.30 94.18 8.70 49.42 73.95 90.36 99.37 93.83P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 14 28 +9 4.71 82.14 2.85 81.24 8.55 22.46 10.53 39.48 87.85 54.93P 0.01R 0.00 Huddersfield 14 28 +4 9.96 97.23 5.59 70.40 8.74 1.81 1.11 6.14 44.54 12.89P 0.58R 0.01 Norwich 14 27 +7 3.03 71.01 -0.41 80.93 9.27 22.48 11.00 39.34 84.87 53.86P 0.03R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 14 24 +1 3.31 73.77 -1.24 71.57 8.64 6.79 1.39 7.54 50.70 18.37P 0.39R 0.01 Bristol_City 14 23 +6 4.13 78.42 6.66 65.93 8.77 4.51 0.32 2.58 27.63 7.49P 1.94R 0.10 Birmingham 14 23 +3 2.88 70.82 1.49 65.90 8.65 1.81 0.33 2.43 26.61 7.57P 1.91R 0.07 Reading 14 22 -3 4.88 82.87 0.08 62.59 8.56 -7.50 0.09 0.94 15.00 3.57P 4.77R 0.27 Preston 14 20 +1 1.37 61.02 1.51 63.50 8.61 1.07 0.18 1.23 18.63 5.10P 3.59R 0.24 Leeds_United 14 20 -1 2.09 66.42 0.57 59.35 8.41 -7.12 0.03 0.40 8.17 1.81P 8.71R 0.72 Brentford 14 19 +5 -1.73 37.33 2.74 67.55 8.98 12.12 0.56 4.14 35.45 12.53P 1.51R 0.08 Barnsley 14 19 +3 1.99 65.31 6.50 58.60 9.16 -4.41 0.06 0.59 9.15 2.24P 12.37R 1.25 QPR 14 19 -3 -0.36 47.92 -3.30 62.07 8.59 -4.01 0.08 0.88 14.24 3.88P 5.15R 0.39 Fulham 14 18 -2 0.52 54.83 0.86 57.86 8.76 -8.89 0.04 0.35 7.02 1.59P 12.91R 1.46 Burton_Albion 14 17 +0 1.13 59.88 4.46 54.31 8.61 -8.92 0.01 0.09 3.21 0.61P 22.63R 3.12 Aston_Villa 14 17 +0 -2.50 32.22 -0.88 61.25 8.94 1.06 0.09 0.91 13.88 4.28P 6.62R 0.51 Ipswich 14 17 -2 -1.59 38.51 -1.41 61.97 8.59 0.26 0.07 0.76 14.47 4.03P 5.14R 0.44 Wolverhampton 14 16 -1 -3.07 28.24 -0.85 60.12 8.73 -0.33 0.04 0.49 10.98 2.97P 7.92R 0.62 Nott'm_Forest 14 15 -3 -3.58 25.57 -1.96 55.97 8.70 -7.69 0.02 0.15 4.71 1.13P 17.76R 1.93 Cardiff 14 15 -9 -3.10 28.12 -7.45 54.22 8.48 -15.58 0.01 0.08 2.62 0.55P 23.68R 2.94 Derby 14 14 -4 -6.95 9.08 -6.67 63.00 8.48 3.85 0.08 1.02 17.32 5.85P 3.76R 0.29 Blackburn 14 12 -8 -6.11 11.74 -6.73 51.11 8.54 -14.73 0.00 0.04 1.31 0.30P 35.89R 5.53 Wigan 14 11 -3 -6.90 9.22 -1.32 52.40 8.88 -5.98 0.00 0.08 2.26 0.64P 29.72R 5.03 Rotherham 14 6 -19 -6.40 8.44 -7.38 35.69 8.09 -42.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.00R 75.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2016, Bradford 3 3 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 15 31 +17 5.25 82.42 9.18 82.01 8.72 29.90 40.10 59.88 89.55 68.13P 0.02R 0.00 Bradford 15 26 +7 2.45 67.29 2.64 73.94 8.52 15.10 9.70 22.24 63.37 33.58P 0.33R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 14 25 +7 3.30 73.03 3.24 76.39 8.99 18.27 16.53 33.13 72.68 43.91P 0.29R 0.00 Bolton 14 25 +5 3.56 74.42 1.70 75.11 9.28 14.30 14.07 28.09 66.67 38.19P 0.50R 0.03 Bristol_Rovers 14 23 +3 5.50 84.61 5.66 65.28 9.28 0.34 2.04 5.55 26.25 9.60P 5.97R 0.54 AFC_Wimbledon 15 23 +3 5.75 85.33 8.00 59.68 8.60 -5.61 0.31 1.10 10.01 2.66P 15.37R 1.50 Port_Vale 15 22 -2 2.77 69.44 0.01 63.21 8.58 -3.89 0.76 2.60 17.60 5.60P 7.74R 0.67 Northampton 15 21 +3 1.43 60.51 4.81 60.98 9.08 -1.33 0.69 2.11 14.36 4.62P 12.92R 1.37 Rochdale 15 21 +0 -0.02 50.35 -0.64 65.56 8.82 3.00 1.77 5.14 26.74 10.10P 4.85R 0.41 Peterborough 15 20 +6 -3.64 26.12 1.35 67.44 8.97 13.41 3.26 8.43 35.90 15.88P 3.06R 0.19 Bury 14 20 +2 2.30 67.15 4.58 59.62 8.91 -4.78 0.45 1.42 10.63 3.15P 16.18R 1.81 Walsall 14 20 -1 -1.20 41.34 -3.98 67.59 8.92 4.61 2.84 7.73 34.53 14.67P 3.00R 0.21 Fleetwood_Town 14 19 +2 0.78 56.58 3.32 63.63 8.81 3.28 0.94 3.24 20.44 7.09P 7.14R 0.63 Oxford_Utd 15 19 -1 0.30 52.88 1.54 58.94 8.82 -4.65 0.31 1.06 9.19 2.78P 17.90R 2.34 Southend 15 19 -7 1.69 63.15 -2.06 57.22 8.53 -13.32 0.10 0.50 5.58 1.37P 23.93R 3.48 Millwall 14 18 -3 -3.20 28.21 -5.86 68.32 9.15 6.84 3.63 9.61 38.43 17.67P 3.01R 0.26 Charlton 14 17 +3 -3.95 23.75 0.38 63.79 9.29 7.44 1.43 4.36 22.94 9.48P 7.71R 0.75 Gillingham 15 17 -6 -3.96 24.75 -6.33 58.55 8.85 -7.96 0.29 0.93 8.52 2.69P 19.05R 2.42 MK_Dons 15 16 -4 -5.35 17.64 -5.11 59.22 9.05 -3.08 0.37 1.24 10.31 3.63P 17.40R 2.29 Swindon 15 16 -4 -4.87 19.78 -4.43 56.13 8.60 -7.65 0.11 0.44 4.87 1.46P 26.62R 3.81 Coventry 14 15 -4 -5.07 16.75 -5.40 58.94 8.77 -3.64 0.28 1.07 9.13 3.12P 17.31R 2.06 Oldham 15 15 -8 -1.96 36.44 -3.33 49.87 8.09 -17.97 0.00 0.04 0.76 0.19P 55.53R 13.65 Chesterfield 14 12 -5 -6.30 11.80 -3.66 50.81 8.72 -13.09 0.02 0.11 1.47 0.40P 49.71R 12.29 Shrewsbury 15 10 -13 -5.87 13.21 -5.61 42.41 8.31 -29.52 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 84.44R 49.27League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2016, Blackpool 4 2 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 14 32 +12 7.67 92.66 4.51 87.67 8.95 29.44 46.39 82.27 97.40 86.74P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 14 28 +10 7.24 90.86 7.71 78.09 9.02 19.27 10.45 44.21 82.77 52.81P 0.02R 0.00 Doncaster 14 26 +8 1.21 58.02 -0.60 83.53 9.25 29.07 28.22 68.81 93.22 76.57P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 14 23 +9 1.20 58.49 5.16 71.95 9.10 16.59 3.45 21.30 61.40 31.31P 0.17R 0.06 Portsmouth 14 21 +6 -1.54 38.76 0.97 74.98 8.95 20.99 5.88 31.54 74.12 44.42P 0.07R 0.01 Notts_County 14 21 +1 2.82 70.24 2.68 60.69 8.97 -6.18 0.20 2.44 16.45 4.91P 4.42R 1.56 Accrington_Stanley 14 20 +1 -0.54 46.43 -1.01 68.05 9.01 7.16 1.34 10.28 43.80 18.51P 0.63R 0.21 Grimsby 14 20 +0 2.19 66.26 1.95 57.49 8.93 -9.60 0.09 1.14 9.42 2.71P 8.34R 3.18 Crawley_Town 14 20 -1 3.46 75.20 2.93 58.25 8.59 -8.99 0.07 1.03 9.84 2.55P 6.54R 2.47 Morecambe 14 20 -6 4.15 78.38 -0.07 57.48 8.91 -17.29 0.05 0.85 8.93 2.04P 9.47R 3.83 Mansfield 14 19 +1 0.00 50.73 1.06 60.90 8.72 -1.38 0.17 2.27 16.75 5.39P 3.47R 1.15 Crewe 14 19 -1 -0.75 45.31 -1.82 63.55 9.35 -0.05 0.53 4.80 26.37 9.91P 2.61R 0.87 Yeovil 14 19 -5 2.21 67.21 -1.77 57.71 8.65 -11.89 0.04 0.89 8.92 2.32P 7.58R 2.89 Blackpool 14 17 +4 -5.22 17.26 -0.46 70.01 9.18 17.46 2.18 15.91 54.15 28.15P 0.46R 0.16 Colchester 14 17 -1 -3.40 27.72 -2.69 62.81 9.48 1.67 0.42 4.45 24.63 9.43P 3.17R 1.12 Cheltenham 14 16 -1 -2.61 32.18 -0.25 59.26 9.18 -1.62 0.11 1.76 14.07 4.78P 6.15R 2.34 Hartlepool 14 16 -4 0.39 54.10 1.73 50.08 8.69 -19.70 0.01 0.10 1.82 0.33P 30.03R 14.99 Cambridge_Utd 14 16 -5 -2.00 36.09 -3.23 58.25 8.82 -7.23 0.07 1.01 10.36 2.95P 7.03R 2.61 Leyton_Orient 14 15 -2 -5.62 14.95 -4.13 60.55 8.90 0.50 0.15 2.19 16.55 5.93P 4.03R 1.48 Barnet 13 15 -4 -0.83 44.58 -0.82 57.12 9.20 -9.09 0.06 0.99 9.50 2.59P 10.24R 4.19 Wycombe 14 15 -5 -3.50 25.46 -4.29 57.77 8.65 -6.00 0.07 0.83 9.03 2.75P 7.38R 2.80 Stevenage 13 14 -3 -2.88 29.32 -1.57 55.31 9.03 -9.21 0.03 0.70 6.48 1.90P 12.84R 5.48 Exeter 14 13 -6 -4.57 19.73 -3.56 53.01 8.78 -11.89 0.02 0.25 3.61 0.93P 18.49R 8.66 Newport_County 12 7 -8 -5.65 10.70 -2.42 44.01 8.92 -22.01 0.00 0.01 0.41 0.08P 56.85R 39.93National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2016, Boreham_Wood 1 0 North_Ferriby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Forest_Green 16 36 +21 5.13 82.47 7.07 90.84 8.00 42.21 48.01 93.63 62.96P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 16 32 +14 2.21 64.66 2.04 87.06 8.30 35.79 26.87 85.20 46.27P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 16 30 +15 4.61 79.49 9.60 77.78 8.36 25.27 4.68 48.10 13.75P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 16 30 +10 1.93 63.19 0.88 81.37 8.05 25.05 8.63 64.64 25.28P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 16 30 +9 7.08 89.69 7.75 72.59 8.29 11.32 1.08 23.44 4.86P 0.05R 0.00 Macclesfield 16 29 +8 3.00 70.44 1.93 75.46 8.19 16.19 2.38 35.59 9.83P 0.02R 0.00 Aldershot 16 29 +7 6.66 88.27 6.17 69.61 8.14 6.33 0.44 13.79 2.57P 0.15R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 16 28 +4 3.06 70.39 -0.49 76.94 8.46 16.73 3.57 42.70 11.77P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 16 27 +11 2.37 66.24 6.92 71.37 8.28 16.04 0.89 20.63 4.79P 0.07R 0.00 Eastleigh 16 27 +11 0.67 54.90 3.84 75.61 8.38 22.13 2.64 38.05 10.99P 0.03R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 16 27 +9 5.22 83.14 8.84 69.87 8.04 12.14 0.41 14.54 2.99P 0.13R 0.00 Chester 16 25 +8 1.94 63.71 6.29 67.82 8.22 10.33 0.26 10.61 2.18P 0.34R 0.00 Sutton_United 16 23 +0 3.93 76.19 4.49 61.33 8.73 -4.08 0.05 2.91 0.57P 3.45R 0.05 Wrexham 16 22 -7 0.04 50.75 -7.27 64.22 8.08 -5.20 0.07 4.04 0.82P 1.12R 0.02 Solihull_Moors 16 19 -6 1.35 60.61 1.21 52.35 8.49 -19.51 0.00 0.23 0.04P 21.17R 1.26 Torquay 16 18 -5 -1.86 37.66 -2.07 55.24 7.99 -10.98 0.00 0.31 0.06P 10.62R 0.36 Bromley 16 18 -6 -1.32 41.84 -1.72 55.79 8.07 -12.12 0.00 0.38 0.05P 9.71R 0.36 Maidstone_United 16 18 -10 1.30 60.41 -1.30 48.01 8.27 -29.31 0.00 0.04 0.01P 39.69R 3.73 York 16 14 -10 -8.70 6.57 -11.18 57.48 8.57 -6.57 0.00 0.92 0.19P 7.72R 0.36 Woking 16 13 -11 -7.29 10.08 -7.92 53.16 8.21 -13.74 0.00 0.21 0.04P 16.72R 0.87 Braintree_Town 16 10 -17 -10.07 2.89 -14.41 48.36 7.96 -20.72 0.00 0.03 0.00P 35.38R 2.95 North_Ferriby 16 10 -20 -3.45 25.32 -6.63 35.14 7.64 -43.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.56R 44.00 Southport 16 10 -24 -4.62 18.75 -11.59 38.45 7.53 -44.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.43R 25.27 Guiseley 16 9 -11 -7.77 6.50 -2.47 39.08 7.71 -29.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.64R 20.77