Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 15 October 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 October 2016, Arsenal 3 2 Swansea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 8 19 +11 2.83 77.36 1.92 78.56 8.41 41.49 38.12 61.43 76.92 86.98 96.97 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 8 19 +10 3.46 80.85 2.77 76.86 8.33 37.36 28.56 52.73 70.27 82.69 95.66 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 8 18 +9 3.43 80.79 3.49 71.71 8.43 28.55 11.16 27.51 45.49 62.61 86.84 0.00R 0.00 Liverpool 7 16 +8 5.02 91.98 5.82 71.45 9.05 29.18 12.43 28.01 45.27 61.28 84.73 0.01R 0.00 Chelsea 8 16 +6 1.86 67.41 1.14 67.69 8.59 22.49 5.19 14.74 27.69 43.33 74.19 0.01R 0.00 Everton 8 15 +6 2.25 71.42 3.53 59.79 8.64 11.19 0.82 2.95 7.21 14.18 38.04 0.25R 0.02 Man_Utd 7 13 +5 0.58 55.55 0.77 65.30 8.70 19.78 3.07 9.80 19.70 32.72 64.47 0.04R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 8 11 +2 0.51 56.15 2.79 45.12 8.20 -9.30 0.01 0.03 0.11 0.37 2.59 10.29R 1.77 Bournemouth 8 11 +0 2.01 71.05 3.83 43.55 8.32 -16.08 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.27 1.78 15.60R 3.28 West_Brom 8 10 +1 -0.17 49.47 2.05 43.59 8.03 -10.88 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.18 1.54 13.68R 2.63 Southampton 7 9 +1 -1.86 29.90 -0.89 58.43 8.79 11.09 0.53 2.32 5.68 11.46 32.70 0.47R 0.04 Watford 7 8 -1 0.36 55.98 2.21 44.43 8.61 -12.41 0.01 0.04 0.13 0.34 2.30 13.58R 2.95 Leicester 8 8 -6 -2.71 24.58 -5.33 52.53 8.67 -1.34 0.08 0.37 1.16 2.83 12.53 2.41R 0.32 Burnley 7 7 -4 -0.83 42.20 -1.15 40.40 8.64 -18.07 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.10 0.92 26.94R 7.65 West_Ham 8 7 -8 -3.38 19.08 -6.55 45.08 8.64 -14.35 0.01 0.04 0.14 0.47 2.76 12.46R 2.66 Hull 8 7 -12 0.03 52.94 -5.17 36.48 8.21 -32.41 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.22 45.38R 16.51 Middlesbrough 7 6 -3 -1.97 30.18 -0.65 38.84 8.61 -18.45 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.08 0.68 32.69R 10.08 Stoke 8 6 -9 -2.41 26.60 -4.87 38.48 8.19 -23.89 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.36 34.04R 10.17 Swansea 8 4 -7 -4.17 12.25 -2.29 40.28 8.38 -15.35 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.67 26.07R 7.04 Sunderland 8 2 -9 -5.87 3.81 -3.39 31.70 8.10 -28.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 66.09R 34.88Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 October 2016, Aston_Villa 1 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 12 26 +8 5.01 84.70 0.80 85.05 9.80 27.25 27.13 56.26 90.52 66.60P 0.01R 0.00 Newcastle 12 25 +14 2.42 67.81 4.43 90.39 9.24 43.51 54.89 78.61 97.54 85.56P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 11 25 +6 10.45 98.96 6.75 72.28 9.50 4.88 2.91 9.91 50.68 17.26P 0.45R 0.02 Brighton 12 22 +7 2.26 68.01 1.97 77.96 9.09 20.54 7.95 24.30 75.59 40.50P 0.05R 0.00 Bristol_City 12 20 +6 3.81 78.11 6.67 65.99 9.27 4.71 0.61 2.93 26.94 7.74P 2.16R 0.18 Birmingham 12 20 +3 3.07 73.82 2.21 66.98 9.00 3.86 0.75 3.23 29.35 8.92P 1.53R 0.11 Reading 12 19 -3 4.66 83.61 0.25 62.80 9.14 -6.89 0.25 1.34 15.53 3.87P 4.78R 0.54 Brentford 12 18 +7 -0.44 46.37 4.17 71.65 9.47 17.84 2.68 9.67 51.18 20.87P 0.50R 0.03 Fulham 12 17 -1 1.53 62.82 0.75 58.94 9.21 -9.30 0.11 0.61 8.67 2.04P 10.40R 1.56 Sheff_Wed 11 17 -1 1.05 59.47 -2.26 68.15 9.39 4.00 1.08 4.54 34.55 11.74P 1.42R 0.12 Barnsley 12 16 +3 1.12 59.80 5.54 56.11 9.59 -8.64 0.07 0.40 5.88 1.44P 17.77R 3.44 Wolverhampton 12 16 +1 -0.76 44.40 0.58 63.67 9.26 2.68 0.34 1.69 19.31 5.65P 3.91R 0.42 Leeds_United 12 16 -2 0.81 57.48 -0.34 57.55 8.94 -9.12 0.04 0.30 6.10 1.37P 12.52R 1.96 QPR 12 16 -3 -0.81 44.02 -3.50 61.66 9.20 -4.50 0.19 1.03 13.93 3.92P 5.96R 0.80 Nott'm_Forest 12 15 -1 -1.08 41.94 -0.28 60.10 9.25 -3.61 0.14 0.70 10.89 2.80P 8.28R 1.04 Burton_Albion 12 14 +0 0.66 57.14 4.41 52.93 9.08 -10.72 0.01 0.11 2.55 0.55P 26.53R 5.85 Ipswich 12 14 -1 -2.32 32.00 -1.11 61.79 8.99 1.27 0.15 0.91 13.78 4.05P 5.06R 0.59 Preston 12 14 -2 -1.61 37.33 -1.12 58.36 8.95 -4.78 0.08 0.38 7.30 1.84P 10.57R 1.52 Derby 12 13 -3 -5.45 12.92 -5.94 65.69 9.06 6.13 0.51 2.45 25.80 9.52P 2.00R 0.19 Aston_Villa 12 11 -2 -5.06 14.91 -1.76 57.05 9.33 -2.28 0.06 0.35 6.51 1.90P 14.28R 2.41 Cardiff 12 11 -10 -4.44 17.99 -8.50 51.99 9.01 -18.20 0.01 0.06 1.85 0.40P 31.04R 6.80 Wigan 12 10 -2 -5.69 12.12 -0.91 54.67 9.39 -4.26 0.02 0.18 4.18 1.12P 20.83R 4.36 Blackburn 12 9 -8 -6.38 8.53 -6.67 50.69 8.98 -15.18 0.00 0.03 1.37 0.34P 35.04R 8.34 Rotherham 12 6 -16 -4.77 14.18 -6.18 38.63 8.53 -39.18 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 84.90R 59.73League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 October 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 13 28 +16 5.57 85.91 8.98 82.12 9.12 29.40 40.63 59.36 88.11 67.17P 0.04R 0.00 Bradford 13 24 +7 3.97 78.75 3.77 75.45 8.81 16.28 13.63 28.44 68.21 39.52P 0.24R 0.01 Bolton 13 22 +3 2.27 67.10 0.17 71.51 9.39 9.49 7.40 16.70 50.65 25.55P 1.35R 0.10 Rochdale 13 21 +5 1.45 61.34 2.45 70.02 9.13 10.59 5.50 12.95 44.63 20.58P 1.66R 0.11 Sheff_Utd 12 21 +4 2.65 70.72 1.25 73.46 9.32 12.77 10.33 22.44 59.08 31.85P 0.76R 0.05 Bury 13 20 +3 3.80 77.52 5.81 62.50 9.06 -1.41 0.94 2.84 16.90 5.40P 9.29R 1.14 Port_Vale 13 20 -2 3.67 77.12 0.20 64.45 8.99 -3.14 1.28 3.86 21.89 7.43P 6.57R 0.72 Bristol_Rovers 12 19 +1 4.42 81.51 3.87 61.66 9.64 -5.23 0.94 2.90 15.99 5.39P 12.97R 2.08 Northampton 13 18 +4 0.61 55.30 4.82 60.37 9.51 -0.82 0.74 2.17 13.54 4.51P 14.50R 2.44 Oxford_Utd 13 18 +0 1.41 61.52 1.62 60.02 9.28 -4.55 0.59 1.77 11.57 3.83P 15.51R 2.59 Peterborough 13 17 +4 -2.60 31.28 1.37 68.31 9.27 13.16 4.04 10.17 38.93 17.96P 2.83R 0.31 AFC_Wimbledon 13 17 +1 2.44 69.39 5.94 53.78 9.03 -12.09 0.10 0.34 3.42 0.88P 36.44R 8.76 Fleetwood_Town 12 16 +2 0.21 52.23 2.82 62.31 9.24 1.61 0.98 2.87 16.94 5.97P 9.83R 1.36 Walsall 12 16 -3 -2.18 32.79 -5.54 65.09 9.35 0.72 1.87 5.29 25.45 10.27P 6.12R 0.68 Charlton 12 15 +3 -3.49 24.18 -0.04 64.73 9.72 7.72 2.33 5.94 26.03 11.73P 6.78R 0.89 MK_Dons 13 15 -1 -3.89 23.26 -2.57 64.90 9.58 5.95 2.03 5.47 25.95 11.08P 6.67R 0.81 Millwall 12 15 -2 -3.15 26.67 -4.40 69.76 9.49 10.58 5.72 13.21 44.29 21.91P 2.36R 0.27 Gillingham 13 15 -6 -3.07 28.02 -6.13 59.27 9.25 -8.15 0.44 1.47 10.10 3.45P 17.53R 2.97 Southend 13 15 -10 0.36 54.26 -4.99 52.74 8.71 -21.26 0.04 0.16 2.09 0.51P 42.03R 11.29 Swindon 13 13 -5 -4.85 17.37 -4.97 55.70 8.96 -9.01 0.14 0.48 4.90 1.49P 27.96R 5.68 Chesterfield 12 12 -1 -4.50 18.37 -1.10 55.44 9.12 -6.32 0.17 0.58 5.20 1.57P 28.92R 6.07 Oldham 13 12 -8 -2.44 31.67 -3.50 49.59 8.52 -18.10 0.01 0.04 0.82 0.18P 55.09R 17.80 Shrewsbury 13 10 -8 -4.44 18.74 -2.82 47.41 8.80 -20.70 0.02 0.04 0.59 0.14P 64.17R 27.19 Coventry 12 9 -7 -7.38 5.64 -7.01 55.08 9.22 -7.48 0.15 0.53 4.71 1.61P 30.37R 6.68League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 October 2016, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 13 29 +10 6.77 90.91 3.61 85.74 9.05 26.90 34.80 74.62 95.77 80.72P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 13 26 +10 2.30 66.22 1.01 85.57 9.42 31.90 36.53 74.53 95.10 81.06P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 13 25 +9 5.87 87.18 7.06 76.26 9.35 18.02 7.83 34.87 76.28 44.45P 0.06R 0.01 Luton 13 22 +9 1.77 63.20 5.45 73.04 9.32 17.68 4.55 23.92 65.41 34.38P 0.17R 0.04 Portsmouth 13 21 +7 0.10 50.69 2.31 77.75 9.17 24.09 10.33 42.33 81.86 54.41P 0.02R 0.00 Grimsby 13 20 +1 3.31 73.88 2.64 59.55 9.27 -7.59 0.23 2.02 14.02 4.23P 5.90R 2.33 Accrington_Stanley 13 19 +1 -0.06 50.17 -0.83 68.74 9.22 7.63 1.69 11.44 46.21 20.13P 0.56R 0.18 Crewe 13 19 +0 0.55 54.91 -0.93 66.50 9.56 3.28 1.18 8.52 37.15 15.35P 1.24R 0.43 Crawley_Town 13 19 -1 3.66 76.83 2.74 58.39 8.87 -9.50 0.08 1.13 10.44 2.74P 6.90R 2.75 Morecambe 13 19 -6 4.18 79.51 -0.74 56.91 9.08 -18.95 0.05 0.84 8.24 1.97P 10.74R 4.69 Mansfield 13 18 +1 0.08 51.24 0.65 60.85 8.89 -1.95 0.19 2.21 16.36 5.22P 3.70R 1.36 Notts_County 13 18 +0 1.09 58.94 1.45 57.74 9.14 -9.33 0.08 1.25 10.28 2.95P 8.44R 3.64 Colchester 13 16 -1 -2.64 31.23 -2.06 64.13 9.75 3.22 0.76 5.84 29.20 11.67P 2.68R 1.03 Hartlepool 13 16 -2 1.22 60.72 2.85 52.20 8.84 -16.37 0.02 0.26 3.14 0.73P 21.89R 10.90 Yeovil 13 16 -6 0.56 55.60 -2.80 54.92 8.81 -14.63 0.03 0.46 5.38 1.41P 13.68R 6.00 Wycombe 13 15 -3 -2.46 31.93 -2.73 60.70 8.95 -1.79 0.16 2.02 15.99 5.30P 4.11R 1.54 Blackpool 13 14 +2 -6.31 11.52 -1.67 66.82 9.36 13.21 1.08 8.73 40.18 18.56P 1.08R 0.40 Stevenage 12 14 -2 -1.78 36.67 -0.98 56.73 9.29 -8.11 0.07 0.94 9.00 2.56P 10.51R 4.72 Cheltenham 13 13 -2 -3.90 22.97 -0.78 56.80 9.41 -3.84 0.10 1.09 9.54 3.06P 10.46R 4.60 Exeter 13 13 -5 -3.38 25.81 -2.82 55.20 9.07 -9.65 0.04 0.59 6.13 1.75P 13.34R 6.19 Cambridge_Utd 13 13 -6 -3.54 24.63 -4.12 55.98 9.04 -9.17 0.03 0.64 7.17 2.09P 11.60R 5.04 Leyton_Orient 13 12 -4 -6.73 9.44 -5.36 58.24 9.11 -2.40 0.10 1.32 11.24 3.86P 7.01R 2.93 Barnet 12 12 -6 -2.26 33.13 -2.48 53.81 9.37 -13.66 0.03 0.39 5.11 1.23P 18.08R 9.11 Newport_County 11 7 -6 -4.96 13.13 -1.48 45.85 9.16 -18.99 0.00 0.04 0.78 0.19P 47.83R 32.10National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 October 2016, Aldershot 2 0 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Forest_Green 15 33 +18 4.76 81.33 6.17 89.67 8.21 40.04 41.84 92.53 58.25P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 15 31 +14 2.87 69.62 2.40 88.27 8.47 37.03 34.27 89.08 53.14P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 15 29 +15 5.21 83.43 9.84 78.50 8.67 25.78 6.22 53.98 16.53P 0.02R 0.00 Barrow 15 29 +9 7.27 90.97 7.45 72.59 8.57 10.70 1.46 26.17 5.72P 0.15R 0.00 Macclesfield 15 28 +8 2.94 70.30 1.27 75.45 8.42 15.62 2.84 38.41 10.99P 0.05R 0.00 Aldershot 15 28 +7 6.94 90.02 6.10 69.56 8.36 5.60 0.59 15.86 2.98P 0.32R 0.00 Tranmere 15 27 +7 1.19 58.69 -0.82 79.02 8.22 20.98 5.83 55.80 20.29P 0.01R 0.00 Eastleigh 15 26 +11 0.79 55.83 3.35 76.06 8.61 22.27 3.50 42.82 13.02P 0.04R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 15 25 -1 2.91 69.98 -3.17 73.59 8.70 8.61 1.78 30.29 7.39P 0.16R 0.00 Gateshead 15 24 +9 1.34 59.69 5.87 69.04 8.58 12.81 0.64 16.00 3.58P 0.47R 0.00 Chester 15 24 +8 2.19 65.78 6.09 67.48 8.58 9.24 0.41 12.11 2.59P 0.75R 0.02 Boreham_Wood 15 24 +8 4.37 79.90 8.91 68.86 8.26 11.97 0.44 14.28 3.00P 0.35R 0.00 Sutton_United 15 22 +0 4.20 78.01 4.34 61.96 8.93 -3.75 0.09 4.09 0.79P 4.24R 0.06 Solihull_Moors 15 19 -3 1.58 62.12 2.32 55.33 8.82 -13.57 0.01 0.87 0.15P 16.00R 0.79 Wrexham 15 19 -8 -1.06 42.98 -7.48 62.90 8.29 -5.75 0.06 3.63 0.76P 2.81R 0.06 Bromley 15 18 -5 -0.34 48.81 -1.34 56.69 8.30 -11.73 0.01 0.79 0.14P 11.05R 0.39 Maidstone_United 15 18 -8 2.04 65.55 -0.24 50.35 8.83 -25.78 0.00 0.23 0.02P 34.90R 2.98 Torquay 15 17 -5 -1.34 41.08 -1.77 55.60 8.21 -11.15 0.00 0.54 0.11P 13.32R 0.49 York 15 13 -10 -8.33 6.51 -11.17 58.78 8.86 -5.04 0.03 2.01 0.44P 8.09R 0.36 Woking 15 12 -11 -6.72 11.21 -7.59 53.89 8.55 -13.13 0.01 0.40 0.06P 19.23R 1.10 Braintree_Town 15 10 -12 -9.94 2.72 -11.32 50.56 8.17 -14.30 0.00 0.10 0.04P 30.27R 1.92 North_Ferriby 15 10 -19 -2.74 29.92 -6.35 35.64 7.77 -44.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.71R 44.08 Guiseley 15 9 -8 -7.47 6.97 -1.38 40.04 7.88 -26.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.75R 19.40 Southport 15 9 -24 -4.29 19.48 -11.47 38.41 7.74 -45.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.29R 28.35