Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 5 October 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2016, Burnley 0 1 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 7 18 +11 3.61 85.06 2.56 80.10 8.59 43.43 43.86 66.89 81.26 89.77 97.55 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 7 17 +9 4.22 88.38 4.13 72.62 8.71 29.18 12.42 30.71 49.96 66.86 88.50 0.00R 0.00 Arsenal 7 16 +9 2.74 76.71 3.38 76.38 8.56 37.89 24.85 49.55 68.37 81.27 94.88 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 7 16 +8 4.99 91.52 5.85 71.42 9.02 29.09 11.06 27.11 44.93 62.25 85.42 0.00R 0.00 Everton 7 14 +6 2.07 70.97 2.50 58.88 8.98 8.91 0.73 2.76 6.61 13.13 35.63 0.37R 0.03 Man_Utd 7 13 +5 0.68 56.61 0.93 65.46 8.87 19.87 3.23 10.18 20.66 34.39 65.77 0.05R 0.01 Chelsea 7 13 +3 1.10 61.26 -0.49 65.22 8.91 17.91 3.10 9.70 19.63 33.10 64.21 0.05R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 7 11 +3 1.70 68.81 3.54 46.94 8.53 -7.73 0.02 0.11 0.34 0.90 4.26 7.66R 1.25 West_Brom 7 9 +1 -0.22 48.60 1.44 42.74 8.25 -12.58 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.21 1.59 16.32R 3.49 Southampton 7 9 +1 -1.81 30.62 -0.83 58.19 8.80 10.69 0.54 2.03 5.38 11.18 32.79 0.44R 0.05 Watford 7 8 -1 0.31 55.48 2.13 44.17 8.68 -12.68 0.00 0.03 0.12 0.39 2.44 14.17R 3.41 Leicester 7 8 -3 -1.87 31.09 -3.23 54.79 8.95 2.97 0.17 0.83 2.41 5.69 20.22 1.48R 0.23 Bournemouth 7 8 -5 1.24 66.13 0.13 39.77 8.35 -24.26 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.08 0.68 29.37R 8.73 Burnley 7 7 -4 -0.66 44.15 -0.93 40.96 8.69 -17.13 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.14 1.10 24.42R 7.16 Hull 7 7 -7 0.42 57.11 -2.09 40.58 8.76 -21.84 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.14 1.10 26.96R 8.08 Middlesbrough 7 6 -3 -2.03 29.78 -0.71 38.52 8.60 -18.78 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.62 33.55R 10.87 Swansea 7 4 -6 -3.39 16.38 -2.45 40.78 8.55 -15.64 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.12 0.94 24.30R 6.79 West_Ham 7 4 -9 -5.09 7.06 -7.65 42.67 8.88 -16.58 0.00 0.03 0.09 0.29 1.93 19.10R 5.24 Stoke 7 3 -11 -3.61 13.40 -6.11 36.08 8.38 -27.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.22 45.45R 17.96 Sunderland 7 2 -7 -4.90 6.14 -2.09 33.60 8.38 -25.58 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.13 56.30R 26.70Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2016, Birmingham 1 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Huddersfield 11 25 +6 10.49 99.02 6.81 72.48 9.43 5.09 3.15 9.86 49.39 16.80P 0.36R 0.03 Norwich 11 23 +6 4.37 82.33 0.59 84.33 9.91 26.80 26.80 51.74 88.23 63.08P 0.02R 0.00 Newcastle 11 22 +12 1.64 62.72 3.85 88.71 9.55 41.25 47.79 71.52 95.38 80.09P 0.00R 0.00 Brighton 11 21 +7 2.93 74.07 2.41 79.49 9.22 22.11 11.60 29.52 78.81 45.05P 0.02R 0.00 Bristol_City 11 20 +7 4.87 84.89 7.16 67.48 9.55 5.95 1.27 4.27 31.00 9.54P 1.60R 0.14 Birmingham 11 20 +5 4.05 80.91 3.65 68.86 9.28 6.70 1.57 5.22 35.32 11.71P 0.87R 0.07 Brentford 11 18 +9 0.33 52.75 5.07 72.62 9.69 19.08 4.08 12.22 52.65 22.98P 0.43R 0.03 Reading 11 18 -3 4.86 85.83 0.00 62.77 9.37 -7.59 0.28 1.31 15.05 3.73P 5.08R 0.59 Sheff_Wed 11 17 -1 1.08 59.60 -2.25 68.15 9.33 4.01 1.27 4.41 32.29 11.23P 1.26R 0.12 Barnsley 11 16 +5 2.20 68.51 6.98 59.51 9.99 -3.04 0.24 1.06 10.90 2.84P 10.52R 1.79 Leeds_United 11 16 -1 1.74 65.32 0.09 58.26 9.06 -9.09 0.10 0.43 6.72 1.62P 10.62R 1.54 Wolverhampton 11 15 +1 -0.51 46.16 0.42 63.85 9.37 2.46 0.41 1.84 18.66 5.69P 3.48R 0.40 QPR 11 15 -3 -0.26 48.57 -3.23 62.56 9.42 -3.66 0.34 1.40 15.55 4.43P 4.89R 0.65 Fulham 11 14 -3 0.23 52.95 -0.86 55.38 9.32 -14.23 0.05 0.26 4.10 0.90P 18.70R 3.97 Burton_Albion 11 13 +0 0.71 57.66 4.01 52.56 9.27 -11.96 0.01 0.08 2.35 0.47P 27.40R 6.48 Ipswich 11 13 -1 -2.05 33.29 -1.18 62.45 9.18 1.69 0.25 1.14 14.62 4.43P 4.59R 0.61 Preston 11 13 -2 -1.56 37.24 -1.52 57.81 9.08 -5.89 0.05 0.37 5.99 1.51P 11.50R 1.93 Nott'm_Forest 11 12 -3 -2.23 32.23 -1.60 57.56 9.46 -6.89 0.08 0.39 6.71 1.64P 13.22R 2.15 Aston_Villa 11 10 -2 -4.60 15.88 -1.65 58.13 9.52 -1.29 0.10 0.49 7.65 2.29P 11.58R 2.00 Derby 11 10 -4 -6.53 7.80 -6.17 64.40 9.37 5.62 0.50 2.06 20.84 7.81P 3.10R 0.43 Wigan 11 9 -2 -5.18 13.14 -0.64 55.78 9.71 -3.40 0.05 0.29 5.22 1.53P 17.24R 3.63 Blackburn 11 8 -8 -6.04 8.77 -6.68 51.17 9.18 -15.07 0.01 0.05 1.52 0.35P 32.42R 7.81 Cardiff 11 8 -11 -5.83 9.77 -9.16 49.72 9.14 -20.00 0.01 0.04 1.03 0.27P 39.20R 10.65 Rotherham 11 6 -14 -4.35 15.77 -6.10 39.29 8.70 -38.66 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 81.89R 54.96League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 11 24 +15 5.18 86.17 9.32 82.10 9.73 30.26 41.72 59.38 87.11 67.07P 0.05R 0.00 Bradford 11 21 +6 4.30 82.55 3.64 76.08 9.29 16.54 16.35 32.42 70.46 43.01P 0.29R 0.02 Bury 11 20 +7 5.37 87.35 7.86 66.10 9.60 3.79 2.76 7.46 30.34 12.03P 5.22R 0.47 Sheff_Utd 11 18 +0 1.82 65.17 -1.57 70.25 9.65 6.41 6.16 14.53 46.03 22.46P 2.15R 0.17 Northampton 11 17 +6 1.46 62.40 5.37 62.58 10.08 1.88 1.79 4.73 20.84 8.09P 11.14R 1.70 Port_Vale 11 17 +1 2.36 69.86 1.65 64.66 9.51 0.49 1.83 5.17 24.92 9.39P 7.01R 0.88 Bristol_Rovers 11 16 +0 3.06 74.88 3.26 59.51 10.02 -7.03 0.77 2.25 13.02 4.32P 18.86R 3.70 Bolton 11 16 +0 -0.10 49.35 -1.56 66.58 10.09 3.96 3.75 8.99 32.42 15.07P 5.45R 0.69 MK_Dons 11 15 +1 -1.60 37.54 -1.27 68.95 10.13 9.91 5.89 13.53 42.33 21.72P 3.51R 0.37 Oxford_Utd 11 15 +1 1.00 59.09 2.41 60.55 9.65 -2.19 0.86 2.49 14.42 5.13P 14.65R 2.37 Rochdale 11 15 +0 -0.40 47.19 -0.43 65.63 9.67 3.74 2.62 6.92 28.77 12.07P 5.93R 0.77 Gillingham 11 15 -4 -0.50 46.49 -4.44 64.06 9.83 -2.89 1.82 5.26 23.53 9.44P 8.83R 1.16 Peterborough 11 14 +4 -2.57 30.01 1.79 69.08 9.91 14.72 5.64 13.55 43.64 21.80P 3.10R 0.33 Fleetwood_Town 11 13 +0 -1.06 41.81 1.35 59.70 9.54 -1.88 0.61 1.94 12.60 4.30P 16.44R 2.70 AFC_Wimbledon 11 13 -1 1.39 63.36 4.34 50.35 9.47 -17.60 0.04 0.19 2.08 0.49P 51.44R 17.37 Walsall 11 13 -4 -3.25 24.83 -5.70 63.71 9.53 0.13 1.51 4.42 22.33 9.18P 8.38R 1.03 Chesterfield 11 12 +0 -3.32 24.90 -0.34 57.66 9.61 -4.08 0.40 1.36 9.23 3.19P 22.20R 4.21 Charlton 11 12 +0 -4.25 18.69 -1.75 61.28 9.99 2.11 1.22 3.47 17.37 7.21P 13.46R 2.06 Millwall 11 12 -4 -4.33 18.37 -5.72 66.89 9.78 6.47 3.32 8.79 34.29 16.04P 4.80R 0.59 Swindon 11 12 -4 -3.15 25.84 -3.93 58.38 9.62 -6.75 0.50 1.61 10.14 3.48P 20.45R 3.82 Southend 11 12 -8 -0.58 46.27 -4.04 52.80 9.24 -18.93 0.06 0.26 2.88 0.70P 41.32R 11.77 Shrewsbury 11 10 -5 -2.85 27.48 -1.62 49.82 9.19 -17.75 0.03 0.12 1.62 0.43P 53.37R 17.69 Coventry 11 9 -4 -6.74 6.82 -5.05 57.59 9.52 -2.78 0.35 1.15 8.89 3.23P 21.91R 4.02 Oldham 11 9 -7 -3.42 22.60 -3.57 48.28 8.87 -18.53 0.01 0.04 0.73 0.18P 60.03R 22.11League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2016, Barnet 0 0 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 11 25 +9 6.07 90.97 3.39 84.60 9.49 26.14 34.87 71.12 93.15 77.79P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 11 20 +8 0.12 50.38 0.67 83.84 9.92 32.43 33.83 69.01 91.31 76.41P 0.01R 0.01 Carlisle 11 19 +5 3.95 79.84 5.16 72.34 9.71 12.97 4.69 23.06 59.24 31.23P 0.33R 0.08 Luton 11 18 +8 0.87 57.49 4.96 71.40 9.72 16.15 4.30 21.24 55.89 30.29P 0.33R 0.09 Crawley_Town 11 18 +0 5.06 86.42 3.33 60.56 9.35 -8.01 0.28 2.58 15.04 4.73P 4.82R 1.90 Portsmouth 11 17 +6 -0.97 41.86 1.64 75.98 9.49 22.51 9.70 36.83 74.22 48.01P 0.07R 0.02 Notts_County 10 17 +3 3.56 78.52 3.46 62.22 9.91 -4.25 0.70 4.81 21.33 7.87P 4.07R 1.67 Crewe 11 17 +0 1.19 60.11 -1.10 66.52 10.27 2.04 1.93 10.72 36.09 16.61P 1.83R 0.65 Grimsby 11 16 +0 2.11 67.52 1.96 56.83 9.82 -11.40 0.20 1.60 9.41 3.05P 11.55R 5.25 Morecambe 10 16 -2 4.32 83.21 1.61 60.08 9.99 -11.99 0.40 2.99 15.59 5.09P 6.73R 2.97 Colchester 11 15 +0 -1.21 40.52 -1.63 66.91 10.35 5.64 2.17 11.69 38.08 18.19P 1.91R 0.73 Accrington_Stanley 11 15 +0 -0.84 43.52 -1.14 67.53 9.64 6.76 1.78 10.97 39.51 18.20P 1.10R 0.38 Hartlepool 11 15 -1 2.34 70.08 2.88 53.49 9.26 -16.21 0.05 0.51 4.40 1.17P 17.67R 8.29 Mansfield 11 14 -1 -0.64 45.15 -0.53 58.89 9.33 -4.93 0.16 1.82 11.84 3.91P 6.44R 2.54 Wycombe 11 14 -2 -1.07 41.51 -2.15 62.79 9.36 -0.30 0.56 3.98 21.56 8.14P 2.79R 1.00 Blackpool 11 13 +3 -4.35 18.32 -0.34 69.77 9.87 16.07 3.28 16.94 49.98 27.36P 0.64R 0.21 Leyton_Orient 11 12 -2 -4.43 17.66 -3.97 61.86 9.61 0.87 0.48 4.03 20.01 7.97P 3.67R 1.44 Barnet 10 12 -2 -0.64 45.31 -0.40 57.91 9.80 -7.53 0.23 1.81 11.05 3.68P 9.45R 4.17 Cambridge_Utd 11 12 -5 -2.25 32.16 -3.69 58.19 9.54 -7.64 0.17 1.59 11.00 3.70P 8.17R 3.42 Stevenage 10 11 -3 -2.19 31.98 -2.20 55.42 9.71 -10.98 0.09 0.99 7.10 2.21P 14.01R 6.60 Yeovil 11 10 -8 -2.36 30.51 -4.11 51.08 9.15 -17.77 0.02 0.21 2.35 0.57P 25.38R 13.22 Cheltenham 11 9 -3 -5.21 13.35 -1.86 54.94 9.92 -5.86 0.07 0.98 7.16 2.51P 14.98R 7.30 Exeter 11 9 -8 -3.97 19.43 -4.73 52.41 9.42 -15.06 0.02 0.37 3.42 1.00P 21.64R 11.04 Newport_County 9 6 -5 -3.85 16.94 -1.20 46.91 9.54 -19.65 0.01 0.11 1.24 0.31P 42.40R 27.01National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 October 2016, Aldershot 0 4 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Forest_Green 14 30 +15 4.16 78.70 4.76 87.92 8.54 36.54 37.07 88.55 53.16P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 14 28 +15 5.57 86.11 9.85 79.20 8.93 26.35 9.10 57.98 19.48P 0.02R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 14 28 +13 1.41 59.57 1.70 86.15 8.80 35.34 29.30 83.68 47.48P 0.00R 0.00 Macclesfield 14 28 +10 4.37 79.66 3.37 78.00 8.63 19.35 6.47 51.46 17.42P 0.02R 0.00 Eastleigh 14 26 +12 2.20 66.41 4.45 77.95 8.81 24.08 6.87 52.35 18.19P 0.03R 0.00 Barrow 14 26 +6 6.82 90.17 6.27 70.48 8.81 6.82 1.14 20.29 4.29P 0.47R 0.00 Aldershot 14 25 +5 5.99 87.34 5.12 67.86 8.64 3.39 0.49 13.02 2.56P 0.81R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 14 25 +1 3.65 75.47 -2.13 75.37 8.88 11.24 3.55 38.88 10.77P 0.11R 0.00 Tranmere 14 24 +5 0.32 52.00 -1.69 77.05 8.46 18.49 4.77 47.25 16.69P 0.03R 0.00 Chester 14 21 +7 0.98 57.71 5.77 66.16 8.82 8.58 0.38 10.50 2.38P 1.57R 0.02 Gateshead 14 21 +7 0.27 52.32 4.72 66.61 8.79 9.62 0.41 11.47 2.56P 1.34R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 14 21 +6 2.69 70.67 6.87 65.68 8.46 7.87 0.19 8.62 1.73P 1.40R 0.02 Solihull_Moors 14 19 -1 2.15 66.33 3.13 57.04 9.19 -11.06 0.02 1.67 0.31P 13.86R 0.73 Sutton_United 14 19 -3 3.64 76.55 2.91 58.52 9.22 -9.36 0.04 2.24 0.37P 10.91R 0.50 Wrexham 14 19 -6 -0.42 47.37 -6.44 64.36 8.48 -3.56 0.13 5.89 1.33P 2.32R 0.03 Maidstone_United 14 18 -5 2.28 67.69 0.75 52.43 9.05 -21.42 0.01 0.54 0.11P 29.23R 2.28 Torquay 14 17 -4 -0.42 47.65 -1.45 56.64 8.50 -10.83 0.02 1.02 0.16P 12.99R 0.49 Bromley 14 17 -5 -0.07 50.33 -1.44 57.06 8.63 -11.83 0.01 1.15 0.18P 12.71R 0.49 Woking 14 12 -8 -6.10 12.85 -5.94 56.28 8.82 -8.30 0.02 1.06 0.22P 14.82R 0.76 York 14 12 -10 -8.01 6.87 -11.20 58.73 9.07 -5.82 0.04 2.26 0.58P 9.90R 0.52 North_Ferriby 14 10 -16 -2.52 31.04 -5.38 37.52 8.12 -39.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.28R 36.99 Braintree_Town 14 9 -12 -9.47 2.74 -11.17 50.97 8.39 -14.24 0.00 0.11 0.02P 31.92R 2.43 Southport 14 9 -23 -3.29 25.17 -11.15 39.67 8.02 -44.36 0.00 0.00 0.00P 83.64R 27.16 Guiseley 14 6 -9 -8.61 3.38 -1.69 38.98 8.20 -26.92 0.00 0.00 0.00P 83.62R 27.56