Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 25 September 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 September 2016, West_Ham 0 3 Southampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 6 18 +13 4.83 95.39 4.01 83.04 8.79 48.86 55.78 77.44 88.01 93.78 98.53 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 6 14 +7 2.67 78.86 2.16 70.10 9.17 25.91 7.63 22.53 39.68 56.08 80.40 0.01R 0.00 Arsenal 6 13 +8 1.76 68.83 3.23 75.89 8.83 39.26 20.69 47.74 66.61 79.68 93.75 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 6 13 +7 3.75 86.90 5.50 69.84 9.37 28.31 7.72 22.00 39.03 54.92 79.51 0.02R 0.00 Everton 6 13 +6 2.75 78.84 2.93 59.88 9.26 9.75 0.87 3.75 8.75 16.53 39.05 0.36R 0.05 Man_Utd 6 12 +5 1.75 68.56 1.99 67.63 9.07 22.83 4.49 15.02 29.49 44.75 72.45 0.02R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 6 10 +3 1.65 69.09 2.90 46.36 8.78 -9.65 0.01 0.07 0.29 0.85 4.23 9.04R 1.59 Chelsea 6 10 +1 0.06 50.39 -1.65 63.59 9.17 15.94 1.93 7.14 16.13 27.98 55.87 0.10R 0.01 Southampton 6 8 +1 -1.46 33.52 -0.85 59.00 9.13 11.37 0.59 2.76 7.09 13.98 35.71 0.46R 0.05 West_Brom 6 8 +1 0.04 51.77 1.33 43.08 8.53 -13.12 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.29 1.85 16.18R 3.31 Watford 5 7 +1 2.09 77.04 4.23 47.80 9.29 -7.82 0.02 0.16 0.63 1.59 6.26 8.14R 1.64 Leicester 6 7 -3 -1.54 33.04 -3.25 55.54 9.41 3.52 0.25 1.26 3.63 7.84 23.26 1.49R 0.18 Hull 6 7 -5 1.20 66.21 -0.94 42.45 9.19 -19.53 0.01 0.02 0.13 0.41 2.05 20.95R 5.58 Bournemouth 6 7 -5 1.40 69.05 -0.06 39.44 8.66 -25.85 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.14 0.80 30.91R 9.40 Middlesbrough 6 5 -3 -1.94 29.36 -1.11 37.94 8.90 -20.92 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.11 0.62 36.63R 12.13 Swansea 6 4 -5 -2.49 22.90 -2.12 42.11 8.89 -15.08 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.26 1.59 20.43R 5.20 Burnley 5 4 -5 -1.22 36.33 -2.28 38.65 9.21 -22.32 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.14 0.84 34.79R 12.06 West_Ham 6 3 -9 -4.35 8.32 -7.03 43.88 9.23 -15.61 0.00 0.05 0.22 0.61 2.85 16.50R 4.25 Stoke 6 2 -11 -3.90 10.18 -7.09 35.20 8.62 -29.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.21 49.44R 20.35 Sunderland 6 1 -7 -4.53 5.55 -1.91 33.93 8.64 -26.14 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.15 54.53R 24.21Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2016, Aston_Villa 1 1 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 9 20 +6 4.02 83.39 0.44 83.17 10.37 25.16 27.73 49.68 84.84 60.41P 0.04R 0.00 Huddersfield 9 19 +4 7.84 97.10 5.85 68.82 9.89 2.57 2.13 6.77 35.30 11.97P 1.53R 0.15 Brighton 9 17 +6 1.74 66.43 1.54 77.53 9.77 20.32 11.02 26.85 70.76 40.46P 0.11R 0.01 Reading 9 17 +0 5.70 91.81 1.61 65.39 9.79 -3.17 0.95 3.37 23.00 6.94P 3.35R 0.45 Newcastle 9 16 +10 -0.45 44.81 3.73 86.49 10.20 40.93 43.15 64.94 91.69 74.87P 0.02R 0.00 Birmingham 9 16 +4 3.48 79.88 3.62 68.42 9.68 6.92 1.93 6.31 34.32 12.68P 1.36R 0.13 Barnsley 9 15 +6 3.61 80.90 7.47 61.91 10.52 -0.89 0.86 2.53 16.90 5.09P 8.22R 1.43 Wolverhampton 9 15 +3 1.73 66.29 1.69 67.37 9.93 5.72 1.66 5.41 31.14 11.24P 2.16R 0.23 Brentford 9 14 +6 0.29 52.79 3.90 71.57 10.26 16.44 4.80 12.88 48.11 22.08P 0.90R 0.09 Bristol_City 9 14 +5 2.31 71.34 6.19 64.16 10.04 3.71 0.89 3.20 21.62 6.86P 4.44R 0.63 Sheff_Wed 9 14 -1 0.66 56.69 -2.43 67.79 9.79 3.90 1.71 5.60 31.88 12.10P 1.80R 0.21 Leeds_United 9 13 -1 1.44 64.14 0.02 58.12 9.61 -9.09 0.18 0.75 7.61 2.01P 12.91R 2.38 Fulham 9 13 -2 1.53 64.91 -0.53 57.38 9.90 -13.06 0.16 0.75 7.34 1.93P 15.75R 3.25 Ipswich 9 12 +0 -0.24 48.40 0.00 65.38 9.80 4.29 0.94 3.55 24.18 8.42P 3.34R 0.46 Nott'm_Forest 9 11 -2 -0.68 44.49 -0.91 59.96 9.99 -5.02 0.33 1.26 11.44 3.42P 10.04R 1.77 QPR 9 11 -4 -1.41 37.93 -4.03 60.71 9.97 -5.55 0.41 1.45 12.69 3.93P 8.87R 1.57 Aston_Villa 9 9 +0 -3.53 20.07 -0.52 61.00 10.10 2.34 0.43 1.63 13.89 4.85P 8.41R 1.42 Burton_Albion 9 9 -2 -0.14 50.55 2.73 49.99 9.89 -16.16 0.02 0.11 1.73 0.36P 39.64R 12.70 Preston 9 9 -4 -2.68 26.08 -3.25 54.96 9.47 -9.96 0.06 0.28 4.02 1.10P 20.36R 4.37 Blackburn 9 8 -6 -4.01 16.54 -5.63 54.56 9.77 -12.32 0.07 0.34 4.12 1.18P 22.30R 5.00 Cardiff 9 8 -7 -3.94 17.11 -6.39 54.71 9.68 -12.77 0.08 0.32 4.05 1.11P 21.96R 5.01 Derby 9 6 -6 -7.39 3.40 -7.59 62.18 9.81 2.31 0.44 1.77 15.82 5.86P 6.30R 1.03 Rotherham 9 6 -12 -2.70 25.65 -5.88 40.60 9.16 -39.46 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 77.76R 49.55 Wigan 9 5 -3 -6.42 5.52 -1.65 52.81 10.21 -7.16 0.06 0.26 3.47 1.10P 28.44R 8.13League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 9 18 +11 2.62 72.90 6.39 75.98 10.05 21.96 20.71 34.41 67.83 43.29P 0.50R 0.02 Bury 9 17 +6 4.94 88.38 6.57 64.30 9.94 0.27 2.65 5.99 23.37 9.23P 7.79R 0.92 Bolton 9 16 +3 2.09 68.62 0.61 72.01 10.49 10.99 11.53 21.29 51.19 29.07P 1.97R 0.15 Bradford 9 15 +4 1.84 67.70 2.76 72.77 9.67 14.59 10.90 21.52 55.30 30.95P 1.07R 0.07 Northampton 9 14 +5 1.63 65.55 4.90 61.23 10.39 -0.69 1.71 3.96 16.90 6.73P 14.09R 2.07 Port_Vale 9 14 +1 2.16 70.25 1.76 64.56 9.79 0.78 2.28 5.50 23.69 9.37P 7.15R 0.71 Sheff_Utd 9 14 -1 1.16 61.35 -1.66 68.67 10.01 4.97 5.56 11.89 38.21 18.25P 3.39R 0.29 Gillingham 9 14 -2 0.90 58.62 -3.05 66.69 10.18 0.54 4.09 8.99 31.19 14.08P 5.68R 0.60 Bristol_Rovers 9 13 +0 2.26 71.26 2.43 57.46 10.25 -9.90 0.59 1.64 8.99 3.08P 24.41R 4.98 Peterborough 9 12 +4 -1.52 36.46 2.29 70.60 10.24 16.24 8.93 17.78 47.40 25.67P 2.47R 0.24 Fleetwood_Town 9 12 +1 0.18 52.60 1.72 61.14 9.88 -1.32 1.12 3.02 15.01 5.51P 13.16R 1.91 MK_Dons 9 12 +1 -1.46 37.16 -0.68 70.54 10.47 12.82 9.21 17.90 46.87 26.29P 2.74R 0.27 Oxford_Utd 9 12 +0 0.55 56.34 1.19 59.17 10.12 -4.85 0.83 2.20 11.57 4.24P 18.65R 3.28 Millwall 9 12 -1 -2.14 30.79 -3.59 70.99 10.11 11.68 9.16 17.98 48.19 26.41P 2.19R 0.19 Chesterfield 9 11 +1 -1.66 35.43 0.52 60.42 10.02 -1.42 1.16 2.84 14.19 5.30P 14.94R 2.14 Charlton 9 11 +1 -2.38 28.91 -0.63 65.41 10.46 6.49 3.55 8.17 28.63 13.74P 7.10R 0.92 Swindon 9 11 -2 -1.53 36.39 -2.11 62.07 10.00 -1.79 1.57 3.90 17.88 7.13P 11.74R 1.54 Walsall 9 10 -2 -3.61 19.36 -3.89 64.95 9.82 4.41 2.66 6.34 25.63 11.52P 6.57R 0.68 Rochdale 9 9 -2 -3.44 21.04 -2.07 61.25 10.02 -0.05 1.30 3.23 15.71 6.24P 13.17R 1.90 AFC_Wimbledon 9 9 -3 -0.04 51.49 2.22 46.10 9.59 -24.64 0.02 0.06 0.69 0.16P 67.12R 29.25 Shrewsbury 9 8 -5 -2.29 29.81 -1.88 50.45 9.58 -18.50 0.08 0.19 1.86 0.45P 49.92R 14.34 Oldham 9 8 -5 -2.55 26.80 -2.71 50.20 9.20 -16.34 0.04 0.12 1.46 0.39P 50.14R 14.18 Southend 9 8 -9 -1.78 34.30 -4.97 50.86 9.59 -21.26 0.05 0.20 1.94 0.52P 48.29R 14.46 Coventry 9 5 -6 -7.36 2.92 -6.12 56.13 9.70 -4.99 0.29 0.88 6.28 2.36P 25.76R 4.88League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2016, Carlisle 1 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 9 19 +4 3.94 82.52 0.01 79.24 10.00 18.04 16.16 45.20 79.32 54.73P 0.04R 0.01 Portsmouth 9 17 +9 1.26 61.15 3.88 80.76 10.00 28.59 21.28 52.94 84.14 62.43P 0.02R 0.01 Luton 9 16 +8 1.78 65.97 5.21 72.84 10.33 17.21 6.40 23.94 58.18 32.38P 0.30R 0.06 Doncaster 9 16 +7 -0.43 45.16 0.71 82.53 10.60 31.36 28.95 59.46 86.27 68.19P 0.02R 0.01 Crewe 9 16 +4 2.21 69.36 1.81 72.35 10.88 12.38 6.28 23.27 55.28 31.42P 0.54R 0.19 Carlisle 9 15 +3 2.83 75.00 3.29 68.80 10.39 7.38 2.92 13.35 42.04 19.54P 1.02R 0.35 Morecambe 9 15 -2 4.65 86.46 1.54 60.24 10.36 -12.38 0.47 3.01 15.10 4.92P 6.56R 2.83 Colchester 9 14 +2 -0.02 50.05 -0.56 70.79 11.29 11.10 5.78 20.25 49.90 27.74P 1.00R 0.32 Notts_County 9 14 +1 2.16 69.50 1.88 59.16 10.14 -8.78 0.35 2.38 12.93 4.29P 7.51R 3.18 Accrington_Stanley 9 14 +1 0.92 58.77 -0.10 70.44 10.28 9.54 3.83 16.82 48.46 24.55P 0.68R 0.24 Crawley_Town 9 14 -1 3.69 81.71 2.26 57.63 9.84 -11.83 0.16 1.42 9.29 2.69P 8.86R 3.91 Grimsby 9 13 +2 1.80 66.70 3.86 59.28 10.58 -5.25 0.49 2.91 14.17 5.05P 7.99R 3.65 Mansfield 9 12 -1 -0.34 47.58 -1.13 58.49 9.82 -6.77 0.22 1.79 10.83 3.62P 7.03R 2.93 Leyton_Orient 9 11 +0 -3.20 22.96 -2.73 64.80 10.16 4.56 1.34 7.05 27.90 12.56P 2.15R 0.80 Hartlepool 9 11 -4 1.23 63.36 0.14 49.55 9.71 -23.89 0.02 0.18 1.95 0.49P 31.02R 17.50 Blackpool 9 10 +2 -4.31 15.95 -0.90 70.19 10.61 16.08 4.27 17.64 48.50 27.19P 0.82R 0.29 Barnet 8 10 -2 0.34 54.69 0.03 58.96 10.41 -7.18 0.35 2.51 12.87 4.55P 8.09R 3.67 Stevenage 9 10 -3 -1.88 33.45 -2.22 55.18 10.04 -12.22 0.12 0.94 6.57 1.99P 14.26R 6.91 Yeovil 9 10 -4 -0.91 42.42 -1.99 54.45 9.68 -12.73 0.06 0.61 5.08 1.43P 14.80R 7.07 Exeter 9 9 -5 -1.73 34.58 -2.44 56.79 10.05 -9.78 0.16 1.19 8.30 2.65P 10.99R 5.07 Wycombe 9 8 -7 -3.22 21.95 -5.55 57.08 9.72 -8.66 0.12 1.11 8.12 2.64P 9.72R 4.39 Cheltenham 9 7 -3 -4.32 15.32 -1.51 55.55 10.58 -6.39 0.17 1.28 8.21 2.97P 14.18R 7.04 Newport_County 8 6 -4 -2.79 23.96 -0.60 48.55 10.03 -18.43 0.02 0.19 1.85 0.47P 34.48R 20.57 Cambridge_Utd 9 6 -7 -5.00 11.15 -4.89 53.45 9.97 -11.94 0.07 0.55 4.74 1.49P 17.93R 9.02National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2016, Aldershot 3 0 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Dag_&_Red 12 27 +14 3.21 74.16 2.53 89.53 9.38 39.13 42.53 89.37 58.00P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 12 26 +11 4.40 81.99 3.09 86.66 9.06 32.52 27.33 84.12 44.51P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 12 24 +6 7.20 92.95 5.68 70.38 9.22 5.33 1.26 21.15 4.41P 0.58R 0.00 Tranmere 12 23 +6 1.98 65.61 -0.78 80.03 8.91 21.31 8.93 60.50 23.79P 0.02R 0.00 Lincoln_City 12 22 +11 3.25 75.29 7.42 74.30 9.47 19.58 3.31 37.18 10.33P 0.23R 0.00 Eastleigh 12 22 +9 2.09 66.98 3.42 76.46 9.38 20.78 4.95 45.94 14.78P 0.10R 0.00 Aldershot 12 22 +8 4.88 84.41 6.90 68.53 9.08 7.92 0.75 16.16 3.51P 0.87R 0.01 Dover_Athletic 12 22 +4 3.39 75.83 0.78 77.63 9.24 18.05 5.68 50.41 15.80P 0.05R 0.00 Macclesfield 11 21 +6 2.96 73.55 1.52 75.07 9.22 15.22 3.54 39.17 11.86P 0.11R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 12 18 +6 2.48 70.58 7.04 65.45 8.81 8.00 0.24 8.94 1.93P 1.71R 0.04 Maidstone_United 12 18 +0 3.42 76.10 2.88 57.95 9.79 -11.38 0.08 2.78 0.46P 13.10R 0.71 Gateshead 12 17 +6 -0.90 43.01 3.88 64.74 9.25 7.49 0.28 9.26 1.98P 2.52R 0.08 Sutton_United 12 16 -2 2.97 74.27 3.22 57.74 9.72 -9.26 0.05 2.56 0.51P 13.22R 0.85 Wrexham 11 16 -3 -0.18 48.84 -4.63 66.55 9.23 1.15 0.40 11.55 2.80P 1.73R 0.04 Chester 12 15 +1 -0.65 45.46 2.31 60.49 9.21 -1.26 0.06 3.83 0.74P 6.69R 0.28 Torquay 12 13 -5 -1.98 34.85 -2.78 53.88 8.92 -14.44 0.00 0.60 0.09P 21.58R 1.55 Solihull_Moors 12 13 -7 0.80 58.18 0.09 49.17 9.46 -24.10 0.00 0.28 0.04P 42.13R 5.60 York 12 12 -4 -6.31 10.12 -6.86 66.56 9.62 8.23 0.57 13.01 3.90P 2.21R 0.07 Woking 12 11 -7 -4.74 17.07 -5.61 57.60 9.31 -7.91 0.02 1.95 0.34P 12.18R 0.71 Bromley 12 11 -7 -2.84 28.61 -2.70 52.60 9.04 -15.74 0.00 0.46 0.07P 26.31R 2.16 North_Ferriby 12 10 -14 -0.89 44.16 -4.83 39.55 8.72 -39.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.19R 27.23 Braintree_Town 12 9 -8 -7.89 4.69 -8.82 54.95 8.80 -8.29 0.01 0.76 0.16P 17.11R 0.98 Southport 12 9 -18 -1.76 36.12 -8.44 43.84 8.57 -36.66 0.00 0.01 0.00 66.15R 13.38 Guiseley 12 3 -13 -8.58 1.65 -5.31 35.56 8.41 -35.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.21R 46.32