Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 17 September 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2016, Everton 3 1 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          5   15  +11       4.12    93.57     3.82    81.88     9.05    46.95    55.78    76.24    86.73    92.54    97.93     0.00     0.00  
Everton           5   13   +7       4.49    93.54     4.53    62.84     9.69    13.40     2.69     8.83    17.49    28.36    53.01     0.22R    0.03  
Arsenal           5   10   +5       0.76    58.95     1.29    72.87     9.24    33.16    15.91    38.30    56.25    70.02    88.05     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea           5   10   +4       0.86    60.15     0.46    65.94     9.52    20.41     4.81    14.80    27.08    40.39    66.50     0.09R    0.00  
Liverpool         5   10   +3       2.97    83.00     2.91    66.54     9.74    20.79     5.71    16.17    29.33    42.97    68.23     0.11R    0.01  
Man_Utd           4    9   +4       2.30    78.47     2.18    67.78     9.55    21.99     6.31    19.28    33.51    47.73    72.73     0.04R    0.00  
Tottenham         4    8   +5       0.84    61.19     2.45    68.14     9.65    25.91     7.50    20.86    35.74    50.40    74.55     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom         5    7   +1       0.49    57.27     1.47    43.12     8.76   -13.19     0.01     0.05     0.15     0.47     2.19    17.26R    4.06  
Leicester         5    7   +0      -0.65    42.49    -1.09    58.07     9.54     8.41     0.83     3.35     7.74    14.24    33.63     0.92R    0.11  
Hull              5    7   -1       1.61    71.90     1.24    45.33     9.47   -12.36     0.02     0.14     0.45     1.09     4.45    13.72R    3.50  
Middlesbrough     5    5   -2      -1.16    37.09    -1.04    38.81     9.18   -20.13     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.23     1.08    34.40R   11.48  
Watford           4    4   -1       0.27    58.22     1.93    43.83     9.40   -13.00     0.01     0.07     0.26     0.70     3.19    17.45R    4.69  
Crystal_Palace    4    4   -1      -1.03    36.85    -0.32    40.93     8.96   -16.07     0.01     0.02     0.10     0.32     1.48    25.04R    7.04  
Swansea           4    4   -2      -0.84    40.41    -0.96    44.42     9.34   -12.64     0.01     0.12     0.37     0.90     3.58    15.53R    4.02  
Burnley           5    4   -5      -1.07    38.59    -2.16    39.13     9.31   -21.09     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.25     1.16    33.60R   11.75  
Bournemouth       5    4   -6      -0.55    45.68    -1.71    36.20     8.79   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.41    46.05R   18.96  
West_Ham          5    3   -6      -3.51    11.46    -5.04    46.32     9.57   -10.48     0.04     0.22     0.67     1.56     5.68    11.92R    2.86  
Southampton       4    2   -3      -3.83     7.28    -3.51    54.07     9.76     4.75     0.35     1.47     3.82     7.53    20.81     2.45R    0.44  
Sunderland        4    1   -5      -2.64    15.65    -1.66    36.30     9.03   -24.29     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.10     0.52    45.15R   18.10  
Stoke             4    1   -8      -2.62    16.29    -4.79    38.44     9.16   -23.12     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.13     0.81    36.04R   12.94  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2016, Barnsley 1 2 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Huddersfield     8   19   +5       8.93    98.95     6.42    70.64    10.28     4.21     3.47     9.97    41.66    15.68P    1.18R    0.14  
Norwich          8   17   +4       3.27    79.21    -0.20    81.30    10.76    22.68    21.78    42.18    79.40    53.05P    0.08R    0.00  
Newcastle        8   15  +10       0.10    49.83     3.95    87.14    10.55    41.42    46.05    66.31    91.69    75.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley         8   15   +8       4.24    85.47     8.31    63.57    10.94     1.43     1.37     4.00    21.37     7.30P    6.44R    1.15  
Birmingham       8   15   +4       3.74    82.80     3.50    68.44    10.05     6.38     2.32     6.74    34.36    12.80P    1.60R    0.21  
Brentford        8   14   +8       1.30    62.84     5.36    73.90    10.38    20.02     7.14    17.80    56.52    28.16P    0.50R    0.04  
Brighton         8   14   +4       0.92    59.46     0.74    76.23    10.00    18.91     9.10    22.98    65.01    35.95P    0.21R    0.01  
Reading          8   14   -1       4.41    87.59     1.13    63.12    10.05    -5.30     0.68     2.28    17.28     5.00P    5.56R    0.89  
Fulham           8   13   +2       2.43    73.23     2.70    61.63    10.26    -4.18     0.64     2.09    15.12     4.61P    7.49R    1.28  
Wolverhampton    8   12   +1       0.52    55.72     0.32    64.76    10.06     2.27     0.96     3.44    22.24     7.81P    3.77R    0.57  
Ipswich          8   12   +1       0.92    60.01     0.74    67.48    10.09     6.31     1.82     5.72    31.04    11.94P    2.13R    0.33  
Bristol_City     8   11   +1       1.22    63.64     3.01    59.40    10.27    -5.37     0.32     1.24    10.84     3.14P   11.22R    2.22  
Nott'm_Forest    8   11   -1       0.28    53.85    -0.53    61.33    10.18    -4.03     0.53     1.85    14.33     4.31P    7.62R    1.36  
Sheff_Wed        8   11   -2      -0.59    44.39    -2.93    66.20    10.10     2.96     1.43     4.47    26.63    10.09P    2.86R    0.40  
Leeds_United     8   10   -2      -0.06    50.39    -0.74    56.11     9.78   -10.75     0.11     0.42     5.47     1.36P   17.25R    3.95  
QPR              8   10   -4      -0.94    41.23    -3.87    61.28    10.22    -5.25     0.52     1.88    13.84     4.56P    7.98R    1.56  
Burton_Albion    8    9   +0       0.32    55.13     3.22    51.22    10.07   -14.33     0.05     0.16     2.53     0.59P   33.87R   10.88  
Aston_Villa      8    8   +0      -3.27    20.33    -0.67    60.77    10.46     1.45     0.51     1.85    13.88     4.98P    8.86R    1.79  
Preston          8    6   -5      -3.99    14.56    -3.79    53.46     9.59   -10.84     0.04     0.19     2.90     0.76P   24.46R    6.59  
Derby            8    6   -5      -5.86     6.47    -6.34    64.96    10.04     5.33     0.96     3.54    23.04     9.35P    3.60R    0.53  
Rotherham        8    6  -11      -1.62    34.70    -5.32    42.32     9.53   -37.94     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P   70.56R   41.11  
Wigan            8    5   -2      -5.47     7.91    -1.19    54.82    10.62    -5.29     0.14     0.51     5.62     1.77P   21.99R    6.68  
Blackburn        8    5   -7      -5.82     6.24    -6.85    51.57     9.96   -15.32     0.03     0.19     2.43     0.69P   31.87R    9.55  
Cardiff          8    5   -8      -5.30     7.89    -7.01    52.38     9.94   -14.77     0.04     0.17     2.59     0.66P   28.89R    8.77  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2016, Bradford 1 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Scunthorpe        7   16  +11       4.07    86.71     7.37    78.54    10.49    24.76    26.13    41.67    74.40    50.36P    0.34R    0.01  
Bolton            8   15   +3       2.50    73.26     0.72    72.87    10.74    11.72    11.70    22.12    53.80    30.24P    1.82R    0.14  
Bury              8   14   +5       3.56    82.30     5.91    62.78    10.12    -0.54     1.69     4.19    18.96     7.00P   10.35R    1.25  
Bradford          8   14   +4       1.98    70.14     2.49    73.14     9.82    14.61    10.17    20.78    55.58    30.25P    0.97R    0.07  
Port_Vale         8   14   +2       3.34    80.75     2.50    66.54     9.92     2.77     2.91     7.31    29.42    11.96P    5.07R    0.47  
Sheff_Utd         8   13   -1       1.28    62.91    -2.03    68.58    10.08     4.32     4.65    10.59    36.75    16.97P    3.42R    0.33  
Fleetwood_Town    8   12   +4       1.07    61.53     4.03    64.56     9.92     4.90     1.97     5.31    23.88     9.52P    6.98R    0.80  
Millwall          8   12   +0      -0.47    45.33    -2.12    74.14    10.28    15.61    13.26    25.32    59.21    35.24P    1.05R    0.08  
Peterborough      8   11   +4      -0.98    40.63     2.50    71.79    10.46    17.59     9.88    19.23    51.20    27.89P    2.08R    0.19  
Chesterfield      8   11   +2      -0.60    44.61     1.01    62.10    10.14    -0.01     1.46     3.66    17.86     6.82P   11.32R    1.53  
Northampton       8   11   +1       0.99    61.08     2.41    57.15    10.55    -8.58     0.56     1.57     9.11     3.03P   25.28R    5.23  
Oxford_Utd        8   11   +0       0.89    59.94     1.15    59.40    10.31    -5.13     0.83     2.20    11.97     4.25P   18.21R    3.26  
Gillingham        8   11   -3      -0.32    47.33    -3.43    65.23    10.43    -0.15     2.67     6.55    26.46    11.24P    7.49R    0.97  
Charlton          7    9   +1      -2.02    28.98    -1.19    64.97    11.08     4.55     3.54     7.77    27.37    12.86P    8.86R    1.28  
Walsall           8    9   -2      -3.48    18.76    -4.32    64.29    10.09     2.85     2.12     5.24    23.67    10.29P    7.61R    0.89  
MK_Dons           8    9   -2      -2.58    26.47    -2.92    65.95    10.65     5.36     3.40     7.99    29.54    14.02P    6.80R    0.93  
AFC_Wimbledon     8    8   -3       0.24    55.04     2.10    47.14     9.91   -23.88     0.02     0.07     1.06     0.26P   62.57R   25.80  
Swindon           7    8   -3      -1.30    37.04    -2.34    62.43    10.39    -1.77     1.62     4.13    18.66     7.50P   11.66R    1.85  
Oldham            8    8   -3      -1.49    35.23    -1.08    52.73     9.45   -12.70     0.07     0.27     2.72     0.72P   38.58R    9.29  
Southend          8    8   -5      -1.20    39.03    -2.19    54.19     9.96   -14.10     0.15     0.48     4.24     1.21P   34.46R    8.44  
Bristol_Rovers    7    7   -2      -1.00    40.53     0.45    51.88    10.76   -15.60     0.15     0.52     3.97     1.21P   43.77R   14.26  
Shrewsbury        8    7   -5      -2.02    30.98    -2.02    50.78     9.84   -18.75     0.06     0.23     2.14     0.62P   47.79R   14.66  
Rochdale          8    6   -3      -5.22     8.82    -3.39    57.75    10.18    -4.02     0.55     1.53     9.44     3.43P   21.99R    4.19  
Coventry          8    5   -5      -6.33     4.24    -5.62    57.69    10.01    -3.80     0.43     1.27     8.57     3.10P   21.52R    4.08  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth              8   18   +4       4.83    89.09     0.81    80.68    10.11    19.60    18.27    50.91    82.82    59.87P    0.02R    0.01  
Doncaster             8   16   +9       0.71    55.91     2.39    86.10    10.72    36.75    40.96    71.68    91.70    78.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                 8   15   +4       2.65    74.00     1.89    72.52    11.03    12.12     5.86    23.81    55.71    31.74P    0.47R    0.16  
Morecambe             8   15   -1       5.99    93.12     2.40    62.34    10.54    -9.92     0.68     4.60    20.30     7.14P    4.22R    1.65  
Portsmouth            8   14   +5       0.63    55.99     1.44    77.12    10.25    21.46    11.04    37.52    73.62    48.37P    0.08R    0.03  
Colchester            8   14   +3       1.30    62.16     0.28    72.81    11.54    13.14     7.42    25.69    56.88    33.36P    0.63R    0.25  
Luton                 8   13   +6       0.36    53.44     3.52    69.23    10.49    12.17     3.09    14.96    44.55    22.13P    0.76R    0.25  
Carlisle              8   12   +2       1.55    65.81     2.80    67.20    10.56     6.44     2.00    10.67    36.44    16.48P    1.41R    0.56  
Mansfield             8   12   +0       1.10    61.73    -0.04    60.94    10.04    -4.09     0.41     3.08    16.29     5.92P    4.25R    1.59  
Leyton_Orient         8   11   +2      -1.88    32.01    -0.82    67.70    10.38     8.94     2.29    11.57    38.76    18.73P    1.11R    0.39  
Accrington_Stanley    8   11   +0      -0.60    44.73    -0.99    67.78    10.41     6.91     2.06    11.34    38.82    18.19P    1.14R    0.43  
Notts_County          8   11   -1       0.75    58.39     0.14    55.57    10.37   -13.71     0.13     1.29     7.80     2.44P   12.78R    6.01  
Crawley_Town          8   11   -2       2.06    71.52     1.11    55.01     9.93   -14.13     0.08     0.84     6.08     1.75P   13.36R    6.30  
Barnet                7   10   +2       0.68    57.96     2.40    62.09    10.54    -0.13     0.69     4.58    20.76     7.91P    4.15R    1.74  
Grimsby               8   10   +1       0.28    53.82     3.10    56.28    10.73    -8.51     0.23     1.70     9.52     3.31P   12.27R    5.90  
Stevenage             8   10   -1      -0.80    42.74    -0.67    57.93    10.35    -7.95     0.25     1.93    11.20     3.83P    8.53R    3.82  
Hartlepool            8   10   -4       1.12    62.74    -0.61    48.44     9.63   -26.13     0.03     0.18     1.46     0.38P   33.18R   18.99  
Blackpool             8    9   +2      -3.80    17.22    -0.71    70.12    10.74    15.43     3.80    17.73    48.33    27.04P    0.75R    0.30  
Wycombe               8    8   -6      -2.20    29.29    -5.06    58.50     9.91    -7.62     0.19     1.67    10.77     3.72P    6.92R    2.89  
Cheltenham            8    7   -1      -3.27    20.45    -0.08    58.86    10.81    -1.11     0.39     2.73    14.00     5.35P    8.05R    3.69  
Yeovil                8    7   -6      -2.27    28.11    -3.67    51.47     9.67   -16.19     0.02     0.27     2.77     0.79P   21.41R   10.80  
Newport_County        7    6   -3      -1.47    34.98     0.25    50.43    10.12   -16.44     0.03     0.32     2.75     0.76P   26.07R   14.29  
Exeter                8    6   -7      -3.30    19.79    -4.31    53.64    10.22   -14.12     0.06     0.57     5.14     1.49P   16.93R    8.63  
Cambridge_Utd         8    3   -8      -6.43     3.63    -5.58    51.76    10.10   -12.90     0.03     0.38     3.53     1.05P   21.47R   11.34  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2016, Boreham_Wood 2 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Dag_&_Red          11   24  +12       2.27    68.25     1.64    87.57     9.58    36.40    38.72    85.73    54.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       11   23  +10       3.06    74.42     2.51    84.82     9.25    31.25    25.40    79.63    41.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       11   22  +13       4.08    81.66     8.45    76.27     9.68    22.48     6.62    47.18    15.27P    0.16R    0.00  
Barrow             11   21   +4       5.94    89.91     4.24    67.57     9.54     1.33     1.00    15.63     3.32P    1.73R    0.03  
Tranmere           11   20   +4       1.10    59.07    -1.65    78.43     9.24    19.39     8.65    55.37    21.98P    0.04R    0.00  
Eastleigh          11   19   +8       1.05    58.98     3.26    75.67     9.61    21.00     5.67    44.63    15.26P    0.15R    0.00  
Aldershot          11   19   +5       3.88    80.31     4.81    65.20     9.29     2.29     0.52    10.27     2.18P    2.55R    0.07  
Dover_Athletic     11   19   +2       2.27    68.67    -0.44    75.42     9.69    15.13     5.10    42.81    13.50P    0.23R    0.00  
Macclesfield       10   18   +5       1.93    66.69     1.41    73.60     9.48    14.45     3.71    34.99    11.13P    0.26R    0.00  
Gateshead          11   17   +9      -0.09    49.38     5.99    67.71     9.55    13.08     1.10    17.30     4.56P    1.50R    0.03  
Boreham_Wood       11   17   +6       2.88    74.69     7.14    65.80     9.13     7.97     0.48    11.13     2.58P    2.10R    0.04  
Sutton_United      11   16   -1       3.74    79.42     3.26    58.79    10.00    -8.72     0.08     3.72     0.63P   12.37R    0.87  
Maidstone_United   11   15   -1       2.01    67.29     2.10    54.73     9.99   -14.56     0.05     1.70     0.34P   22.68R    1.96  
Wrexham            10   15   -3       0.39    53.94    -4.29    67.45     9.55     1.88     0.88    15.18     3.84P    1.79R    0.04  
Chester            11   14   +1      -0.70    44.81     1.74    60.37     9.49    -2.23     0.13     4.45     0.87P    8.10R    0.40  
Torquay            11   13   -4      -0.47    46.94    -1.64    56.43     9.20   -11.38     0.04     1.55     0.28P   15.61R    0.91  
York               11   12   -2      -5.34    13.00    -5.47    69.42     9.99    12.53     1.71    22.28     7.53P    1.38R    0.05  
Solihull_Moors     11   12   -7       1.15    61.87     0.16    49.78     9.84   -23.70     0.01     0.48     0.08P   41.34R    5.62  
Woking             11   11   -5      -4.14    19.43    -4.88    59.01     9.60    -5.74     0.08     3.42     0.72P   10.77R    0.59  
Bromley            11   11   -5      -2.19    32.92    -1.89    54.18     9.30   -13.32     0.02     0.95     0.17P   22.77R    1.77  
North_Ferriby      11   10  -13       0.25    54.39    -4.17    41.82     9.17   -37.59     0.00     0.03     0.00P   74.03R   21.47  
Braintree_Town     11    9   -7      -6.79     6.84    -8.18    56.46     9.13    -7.17     0.03     1.58     0.41P   14.97R    0.77  
Southport          11    6  -19      -3.27    22.17    -9.09    41.22     8.77   -39.44     0.00     0.01     0.00P   76.67R   23.36  
Guiseley           11    3  -12      -7.66     2.63    -4.99    36.58     8.62   -35.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.78R   42.04