Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 17 September 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2016, Everton 3 1 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 5 15 +11 4.12 93.57 3.82 81.88 9.05 46.95 55.78 76.24 86.73 92.54 97.93 0.00 0.00 Everton 5 13 +7 4.49 93.54 4.53 62.84 9.69 13.40 2.69 8.83 17.49 28.36 53.01 0.22R 0.03 Arsenal 5 10 +5 0.76 58.95 1.29 72.87 9.24 33.16 15.91 38.30 56.25 70.02 88.05 0.01R 0.00 Chelsea 5 10 +4 0.86 60.15 0.46 65.94 9.52 20.41 4.81 14.80 27.08 40.39 66.50 0.09R 0.00 Liverpool 5 10 +3 2.97 83.00 2.91 66.54 9.74 20.79 5.71 16.17 29.33 42.97 68.23 0.11R 0.01 Man_Utd 4 9 +4 2.30 78.47 2.18 67.78 9.55 21.99 6.31 19.28 33.51 47.73 72.73 0.04R 0.00 Tottenham 4 8 +5 0.84 61.19 2.45 68.14 9.65 25.91 7.50 20.86 35.74 50.40 74.55 0.03R 0.00 West_Brom 5 7 +1 0.49 57.27 1.47 43.12 8.76 -13.19 0.01 0.05 0.15 0.47 2.19 17.26R 4.06 Leicester 5 7 +0 -0.65 42.49 -1.09 58.07 9.54 8.41 0.83 3.35 7.74 14.24 33.63 0.92R 0.11 Hull 5 7 -1 1.61 71.90 1.24 45.33 9.47 -12.36 0.02 0.14 0.45 1.09 4.45 13.72R 3.50 Middlesbrough 5 5 -2 -1.16 37.09 -1.04 38.81 9.18 -20.13 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.23 1.08 34.40R 11.48 Watford 4 4 -1 0.27 58.22 1.93 43.83 9.40 -13.00 0.01 0.07 0.26 0.70 3.19 17.45R 4.69 Crystal_Palace 4 4 -1 -1.03 36.85 -0.32 40.93 8.96 -16.07 0.01 0.02 0.10 0.32 1.48 25.04R 7.04 Swansea 4 4 -2 -0.84 40.41 -0.96 44.42 9.34 -12.64 0.01 0.12 0.37 0.90 3.58 15.53R 4.02 Burnley 5 4 -5 -1.07 38.59 -2.16 39.13 9.31 -21.09 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.25 1.16 33.60R 11.75 Bournemouth 5 4 -6 -0.55 45.68 -1.71 36.20 8.79 -29.43 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.41 46.05R 18.96 West_Ham 5 3 -6 -3.51 11.46 -5.04 46.32 9.57 -10.48 0.04 0.22 0.67 1.56 5.68 11.92R 2.86 Southampton 4 2 -3 -3.83 7.28 -3.51 54.07 9.76 4.75 0.35 1.47 3.82 7.53 20.81 2.45R 0.44 Sunderland 4 1 -5 -2.64 15.65 -1.66 36.30 9.03 -24.29 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.10 0.52 45.15R 18.10 Stoke 4 1 -8 -2.62 16.29 -4.79 38.44 9.16 -23.12 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.13 0.81 36.04R 12.94Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2016, Barnsley 1 2 Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Huddersfield 8 19 +5 8.93 98.95 6.42 70.64 10.28 4.21 3.47 9.97 41.66 15.68P 1.18R 0.14 Norwich 8 17 +4 3.27 79.21 -0.20 81.30 10.76 22.68 21.78 42.18 79.40 53.05P 0.08R 0.00 Newcastle 8 15 +10 0.10 49.83 3.95 87.14 10.55 41.42 46.05 66.31 91.69 75.41P 0.02R 0.00 Barnsley 8 15 +8 4.24 85.47 8.31 63.57 10.94 1.43 1.37 4.00 21.37 7.30P 6.44R 1.15 Birmingham 8 15 +4 3.74 82.80 3.50 68.44 10.05 6.38 2.32 6.74 34.36 12.80P 1.60R 0.21 Brentford 8 14 +8 1.30 62.84 5.36 73.90 10.38 20.02 7.14 17.80 56.52 28.16P 0.50R 0.04 Brighton 8 14 +4 0.92 59.46 0.74 76.23 10.00 18.91 9.10 22.98 65.01 35.95P 0.21R 0.01 Reading 8 14 -1 4.41 87.59 1.13 63.12 10.05 -5.30 0.68 2.28 17.28 5.00P 5.56R 0.89 Fulham 8 13 +2 2.43 73.23 2.70 61.63 10.26 -4.18 0.64 2.09 15.12 4.61P 7.49R 1.28 Wolverhampton 8 12 +1 0.52 55.72 0.32 64.76 10.06 2.27 0.96 3.44 22.24 7.81P 3.77R 0.57 Ipswich 8 12 +1 0.92 60.01 0.74 67.48 10.09 6.31 1.82 5.72 31.04 11.94P 2.13R 0.33 Bristol_City 8 11 +1 1.22 63.64 3.01 59.40 10.27 -5.37 0.32 1.24 10.84 3.14P 11.22R 2.22 Nott'm_Forest 8 11 -1 0.28 53.85 -0.53 61.33 10.18 -4.03 0.53 1.85 14.33 4.31P 7.62R 1.36 Sheff_Wed 8 11 -2 -0.59 44.39 -2.93 66.20 10.10 2.96 1.43 4.47 26.63 10.09P 2.86R 0.40 Leeds_United 8 10 -2 -0.06 50.39 -0.74 56.11 9.78 -10.75 0.11 0.42 5.47 1.36P 17.25R 3.95 QPR 8 10 -4 -0.94 41.23 -3.87 61.28 10.22 -5.25 0.52 1.88 13.84 4.56P 7.98R 1.56 Burton_Albion 8 9 +0 0.32 55.13 3.22 51.22 10.07 -14.33 0.05 0.16 2.53 0.59P 33.87R 10.88 Aston_Villa 8 8 +0 -3.27 20.33 -0.67 60.77 10.46 1.45 0.51 1.85 13.88 4.98P 8.86R 1.79 Preston 8 6 -5 -3.99 14.56 -3.79 53.46 9.59 -10.84 0.04 0.19 2.90 0.76P 24.46R 6.59 Derby 8 6 -5 -5.86 6.47 -6.34 64.96 10.04 5.33 0.96 3.54 23.04 9.35P 3.60R 0.53 Rotherham 8 6 -11 -1.62 34.70 -5.32 42.32 9.53 -37.94 0.00 0.01 0.21 0.04P 70.56R 41.11 Wigan 8 5 -2 -5.47 7.91 -1.19 54.82 10.62 -5.29 0.14 0.51 5.62 1.77P 21.99R 6.68 Blackburn 8 5 -7 -5.82 6.24 -6.85 51.57 9.96 -15.32 0.03 0.19 2.43 0.69P 31.87R 9.55 Cardiff 8 5 -8 -5.30 7.89 -7.01 52.38 9.94 -14.77 0.04 0.17 2.59 0.66P 28.89R 8.77League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2016, Bradford 1 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 7 16 +11 4.07 86.71 7.37 78.54 10.49 24.76 26.13 41.67 74.40 50.36P 0.34R 0.01 Bolton 8 15 +3 2.50 73.26 0.72 72.87 10.74 11.72 11.70 22.12 53.80 30.24P 1.82R 0.14 Bury 8 14 +5 3.56 82.30 5.91 62.78 10.12 -0.54 1.69 4.19 18.96 7.00P 10.35R 1.25 Bradford 8 14 +4 1.98 70.14 2.49 73.14 9.82 14.61 10.17 20.78 55.58 30.25P 0.97R 0.07 Port_Vale 8 14 +2 3.34 80.75 2.50 66.54 9.92 2.77 2.91 7.31 29.42 11.96P 5.07R 0.47 Sheff_Utd 8 13 -1 1.28 62.91 -2.03 68.58 10.08 4.32 4.65 10.59 36.75 16.97P 3.42R 0.33 Fleetwood_Town 8 12 +4 1.07 61.53 4.03 64.56 9.92 4.90 1.97 5.31 23.88 9.52P 6.98R 0.80 Millwall 8 12 +0 -0.47 45.33 -2.12 74.14 10.28 15.61 13.26 25.32 59.21 35.24P 1.05R 0.08 Peterborough 8 11 +4 -0.98 40.63 2.50 71.79 10.46 17.59 9.88 19.23 51.20 27.89P 2.08R 0.19 Chesterfield 8 11 +2 -0.60 44.61 1.01 62.10 10.14 -0.01 1.46 3.66 17.86 6.82P 11.32R 1.53 Northampton 8 11 +1 0.99 61.08 2.41 57.15 10.55 -8.58 0.56 1.57 9.11 3.03P 25.28R 5.23 Oxford_Utd 8 11 +0 0.89 59.94 1.15 59.40 10.31 -5.13 0.83 2.20 11.97 4.25P 18.21R 3.26 Gillingham 8 11 -3 -0.32 47.33 -3.43 65.23 10.43 -0.15 2.67 6.55 26.46 11.24P 7.49R 0.97 Charlton 7 9 +1 -2.02 28.98 -1.19 64.97 11.08 4.55 3.54 7.77 27.37 12.86P 8.86R 1.28 Walsall 8 9 -2 -3.48 18.76 -4.32 64.29 10.09 2.85 2.12 5.24 23.67 10.29P 7.61R 0.89 MK_Dons 8 9 -2 -2.58 26.47 -2.92 65.95 10.65 5.36 3.40 7.99 29.54 14.02P 6.80R 0.93 AFC_Wimbledon 8 8 -3 0.24 55.04 2.10 47.14 9.91 -23.88 0.02 0.07 1.06 0.26P 62.57R 25.80 Swindon 7 8 -3 -1.30 37.04 -2.34 62.43 10.39 -1.77 1.62 4.13 18.66 7.50P 11.66R 1.85 Oldham 8 8 -3 -1.49 35.23 -1.08 52.73 9.45 -12.70 0.07 0.27 2.72 0.72P 38.58R 9.29 Southend 8 8 -5 -1.20 39.03 -2.19 54.19 9.96 -14.10 0.15 0.48 4.24 1.21P 34.46R 8.44 Bristol_Rovers 7 7 -2 -1.00 40.53 0.45 51.88 10.76 -15.60 0.15 0.52 3.97 1.21P 43.77R 14.26 Shrewsbury 8 7 -5 -2.02 30.98 -2.02 50.78 9.84 -18.75 0.06 0.23 2.14 0.62P 47.79R 14.66 Rochdale 8 6 -3 -5.22 8.82 -3.39 57.75 10.18 -4.02 0.55 1.53 9.44 3.43P 21.99R 4.19 Coventry 8 5 -5 -6.33 4.24 -5.62 57.69 10.01 -3.80 0.43 1.27 8.57 3.10P 21.52R 4.08League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 8 18 +4 4.83 89.09 0.81 80.68 10.11 19.60 18.27 50.91 82.82 59.87P 0.02R 0.01 Doncaster 8 16 +9 0.71 55.91 2.39 86.10 10.72 36.75 40.96 71.68 91.70 78.25P 0.01R 0.00 Crewe 8 15 +4 2.65 74.00 1.89 72.52 11.03 12.12 5.86 23.81 55.71 31.74P 0.47R 0.16 Morecambe 8 15 -1 5.99 93.12 2.40 62.34 10.54 -9.92 0.68 4.60 20.30 7.14P 4.22R 1.65 Portsmouth 8 14 +5 0.63 55.99 1.44 77.12 10.25 21.46 11.04 37.52 73.62 48.37P 0.08R 0.03 Colchester 8 14 +3 1.30 62.16 0.28 72.81 11.54 13.14 7.42 25.69 56.88 33.36P 0.63R 0.25 Luton 8 13 +6 0.36 53.44 3.52 69.23 10.49 12.17 3.09 14.96 44.55 22.13P 0.76R 0.25 Carlisle 8 12 +2 1.55 65.81 2.80 67.20 10.56 6.44 2.00 10.67 36.44 16.48P 1.41R 0.56 Mansfield 8 12 +0 1.10 61.73 -0.04 60.94 10.04 -4.09 0.41 3.08 16.29 5.92P 4.25R 1.59 Leyton_Orient 8 11 +2 -1.88 32.01 -0.82 67.70 10.38 8.94 2.29 11.57 38.76 18.73P 1.11R 0.39 Accrington_Stanley 8 11 +0 -0.60 44.73 -0.99 67.78 10.41 6.91 2.06 11.34 38.82 18.19P 1.14R 0.43 Notts_County 8 11 -1 0.75 58.39 0.14 55.57 10.37 -13.71 0.13 1.29 7.80 2.44P 12.78R 6.01 Crawley_Town 8 11 -2 2.06 71.52 1.11 55.01 9.93 -14.13 0.08 0.84 6.08 1.75P 13.36R 6.30 Barnet 7 10 +2 0.68 57.96 2.40 62.09 10.54 -0.13 0.69 4.58 20.76 7.91P 4.15R 1.74 Grimsby 8 10 +1 0.28 53.82 3.10 56.28 10.73 -8.51 0.23 1.70 9.52 3.31P 12.27R 5.90 Stevenage 8 10 -1 -0.80 42.74 -0.67 57.93 10.35 -7.95 0.25 1.93 11.20 3.83P 8.53R 3.82 Hartlepool 8 10 -4 1.12 62.74 -0.61 48.44 9.63 -26.13 0.03 0.18 1.46 0.38P 33.18R 18.99 Blackpool 8 9 +2 -3.80 17.22 -0.71 70.12 10.74 15.43 3.80 17.73 48.33 27.04P 0.75R 0.30 Wycombe 8 8 -6 -2.20 29.29 -5.06 58.50 9.91 -7.62 0.19 1.67 10.77 3.72P 6.92R 2.89 Cheltenham 8 7 -1 -3.27 20.45 -0.08 58.86 10.81 -1.11 0.39 2.73 14.00 5.35P 8.05R 3.69 Yeovil 8 7 -6 -2.27 28.11 -3.67 51.47 9.67 -16.19 0.02 0.27 2.77 0.79P 21.41R 10.80 Newport_County 7 6 -3 -1.47 34.98 0.25 50.43 10.12 -16.44 0.03 0.32 2.75 0.76P 26.07R 14.29 Exeter 8 6 -7 -3.30 19.79 -4.31 53.64 10.22 -14.12 0.06 0.57 5.14 1.49P 16.93R 8.63 Cambridge_Utd 8 3 -8 -6.43 3.63 -5.58 51.76 10.10 -12.90 0.03 0.38 3.53 1.05P 21.47R 11.34National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2016, Boreham_Wood 2 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Dag_&_Red 11 24 +12 2.27 68.25 1.64 87.57 9.58 36.40 38.72 85.73 54.04P 0.00R 0.00 Forest_Green 11 23 +10 3.06 74.42 2.51 84.82 9.25 31.25 25.40 79.63 41.30P 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 11 22 +13 4.08 81.66 8.45 76.27 9.68 22.48 6.62 47.18 15.27P 0.16R 0.00 Barrow 11 21 +4 5.94 89.91 4.24 67.57 9.54 1.33 1.00 15.63 3.32P 1.73R 0.03 Tranmere 11 20 +4 1.10 59.07 -1.65 78.43 9.24 19.39 8.65 55.37 21.98P 0.04R 0.00 Eastleigh 11 19 +8 1.05 58.98 3.26 75.67 9.61 21.00 5.67 44.63 15.26P 0.15R 0.00 Aldershot 11 19 +5 3.88 80.31 4.81 65.20 9.29 2.29 0.52 10.27 2.18P 2.55R 0.07 Dover_Athletic 11 19 +2 2.27 68.67 -0.44 75.42 9.69 15.13 5.10 42.81 13.50P 0.23R 0.00 Macclesfield 10 18 +5 1.93 66.69 1.41 73.60 9.48 14.45 3.71 34.99 11.13P 0.26R 0.00 Gateshead 11 17 +9 -0.09 49.38 5.99 67.71 9.55 13.08 1.10 17.30 4.56P 1.50R 0.03 Boreham_Wood 11 17 +6 2.88 74.69 7.14 65.80 9.13 7.97 0.48 11.13 2.58P 2.10R 0.04 Sutton_United 11 16 -1 3.74 79.42 3.26 58.79 10.00 -8.72 0.08 3.72 0.63P 12.37R 0.87 Maidstone_United 11 15 -1 2.01 67.29 2.10 54.73 9.99 -14.56 0.05 1.70 0.34P 22.68R 1.96 Wrexham 10 15 -3 0.39 53.94 -4.29 67.45 9.55 1.88 0.88 15.18 3.84P 1.79R 0.04 Chester 11 14 +1 -0.70 44.81 1.74 60.37 9.49 -2.23 0.13 4.45 0.87P 8.10R 0.40 Torquay 11 13 -4 -0.47 46.94 -1.64 56.43 9.20 -11.38 0.04 1.55 0.28P 15.61R 0.91 York 11 12 -2 -5.34 13.00 -5.47 69.42 9.99 12.53 1.71 22.28 7.53P 1.38R 0.05 Solihull_Moors 11 12 -7 1.15 61.87 0.16 49.78 9.84 -23.70 0.01 0.48 0.08P 41.34R 5.62 Woking 11 11 -5 -4.14 19.43 -4.88 59.01 9.60 -5.74 0.08 3.42 0.72P 10.77R 0.59 Bromley 11 11 -5 -2.19 32.92 -1.89 54.18 9.30 -13.32 0.02 0.95 0.17P 22.77R 1.77 North_Ferriby 11 10 -13 0.25 54.39 -4.17 41.82 9.17 -37.59 0.00 0.03 0.00P 74.03R 21.47 Braintree_Town 11 9 -7 -6.79 6.84 -8.18 56.46 9.13 -7.17 0.03 1.58 0.41P 14.97R 0.77 Southport 11 6 -19 -3.27 22.17 -9.09 41.22 8.77 -39.44 0.00 0.01 0.00P 76.67R 23.36 Guiseley 11 3 -12 -7.66 2.63 -4.99 36.58 8.62 -35.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.78R 42.04