Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 13 September 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 September 2016, Sunderland 0 3 Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 4 12 +7 3.78 92.75 2.42 79.72 9.45 41.50 51.68 72.02 83.24 90.09 96.80 0.00R 0.00 Chelsea 4 10 +5 2.37 81.47 1.69 68.53 9.70 23.22 10.48 26.21 41.94 55.99 77.71 0.04R 0.01 Everton 4 10 +5 3.49 91.03 3.49 60.43 9.81 10.19 2.42 7.67 14.94 24.08 46.60 0.53R 0.06 Man_Utd 4 9 +4 2.44 80.16 2.38 67.33 9.55 21.15 7.73 21.50 36.19 50.53 74.54 0.06R 0.00 Tottenham 4 8 +5 0.78 60.35 2.38 67.88 9.62 25.16 9.40 23.86 39.41 53.69 76.57 0.08R 0.01 Liverpool 4 7 +2 1.26 68.33 1.71 63.26 10.00 16.72 4.44 12.58 22.80 34.62 59.02 0.39R 0.04 Arsenal 4 7 +2 -0.08 48.75 -0.45 69.60 9.56 26.68 12.53 30.33 46.63 60.97 81.75 0.05R 0.01 Hull 4 7 +2 2.17 79.56 2.88 47.86 9.77 -6.76 0.10 0.53 1.40 3.01 9.14 10.26R 2.40 Middlesbrough 4 5 +0 -0.41 45.91 -0.02 40.50 9.36 -16.63 0.01 0.06 0.19 0.54 2.08 29.76R 9.66 Watford 4 4 -1 0.28 57.98 1.90 43.63 9.29 -12.85 0.01 0.10 0.31 0.85 3.51 19.38R 5.57 Crystal_Palace 4 4 -1 -0.99 37.35 -0.28 41.08 8.94 -15.45 0.01 0.05 0.16 0.45 1.95 26.42R 7.62 West_Brom 4 4 -1 -1.12 35.64 -0.56 40.21 8.84 -16.18 0.01 0.03 0.10 0.29 1.47 29.41R 8.89 Swansea 4 4 -2 -0.73 41.91 -0.83 44.56 9.26 -11.84 0.03 0.15 0.49 1.12 4.35 16.36R 4.24 Bournemouth 4 4 -2 -0.30 48.63 -0.12 37.82 9.10 -24.61 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.24 0.94 41.55R 16.00 Burnley 4 4 -2 -0.26 49.30 -0.12 42.12 9.56 -14.93 0.02 0.11 0.32 0.74 3.03 24.75R 7.53 Leicester 4 4 -3 -1.61 29.70 -3.09 54.90 9.77 3.00 0.59 2.47 5.62 10.50 25.85 2.52R 0.44 West_Ham 4 3 -4 -2.08 21.36 -3.11 49.11 9.71 -5.76 0.14 0.61 1.75 3.59 11.12 8.09R 1.80 Southampton 4 2 -3 -3.87 7.41 -3.58 53.71 9.66 4.24 0.39 1.68 4.32 8.40 22.10 3.05R 0.51 Sunderland 4 1 -5 -2.65 15.55 -1.82 36.15 9.07 -23.94 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.13 0.59 48.11R 20.72 Stoke 4 1 -8 -2.63 15.66 -4.88 38.19 8.96 -22.89 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.17 0.88 39.18R 14.48Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2016, Brighton 1 0 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Huddersfield 7 16 +4 7.45 98.08 5.76 68.54 10.45 2.49 1.99 7.63 35.33 12.97P 2.12R 0.32 Newcastle 7 15 +12 1.77 67.24 6.30 91.38 10.71 48.35 62.04 79.50 95.89 85.54P 0.01R 0.00 Barnsley 7 15 +9 5.76 93.67 9.56 66.34 11.31 4.64 2.08 6.88 30.61 11.52P 4.55R 0.89 Norwich 7 14 +3 1.95 69.86 -0.76 79.11 11.07 20.78 14.91 35.20 73.05 46.94P 0.24R 0.03 Birmingham 7 12 +3 2.30 73.57 2.77 66.37 10.09 4.77 1.25 4.98 28.33 10.22P 2.67R 0.45 Fulham 7 12 +2 2.66 76.18 2.50 61.70 10.61 -5.07 0.65 2.54 16.55 5.29P 8.43R 1.87 Brighton 7 11 +3 -0.36 46.25 0.31 74.34 10.23 17.55 5.62 18.45 58.73 31.23P 0.45R 0.04 Ipswich 7 11 +1 1.42 65.97 0.96 68.15 10.27 6.66 1.78 6.95 34.55 13.62P 2.06R 0.29 Sheff_Wed 7 11 -1 0.42 54.95 -2.44 67.39 10.26 3.61 1.59 6.02 31.71 12.24P 2.62R 0.39 Reading 7 11 -2 2.70 78.63 0.04 60.75 10.22 -7.47 0.33 1.61 13.20 3.85P 9.45R 1.97 Brentford 6 10 +3 0.99 61.40 1.83 69.76 10.92 10.33 3.27 10.52 41.46 18.25P 1.99R 0.31 Bristol_City 7 10 +1 1.59 67.73 3.02 60.09 10.51 -5.04 0.32 1.64 13.13 3.85P 10.73R 2.38 Nott'm_Forest 6 10 +0 1.85 71.64 0.17 63.52 10.67 -2.30 0.84 3.46 20.82 6.90P 6.16R 1.23 QPR 7 10 -3 0.23 53.02 -3.17 63.40 10.33 -3.22 0.71 2.98 19.82 6.73P 5.74R 1.02 Burton_Albion 7 9 +1 1.31 65.59 3.73 52.50 10.37 -13.62 0.06 0.32 3.60 0.86P 30.34R 10.03 Wolverhampton 7 9 -1 -1.39 35.66 -2.18 60.41 10.32 -4.08 0.37 1.66 13.00 4.21P 9.85R 2.09 Leeds_United 7 7 -4 -1.65 33.33 -2.62 52.37 9.92 -16.15 0.04 0.19 2.81 0.68P 30.17R 9.01 Aston_Villa 6 6 +0 -2.69 21.24 -0.78 61.19 11.14 0.90 0.66 2.76 16.82 6.51P 10.04R 2.28 Preston 7 6 +0 -3.59 15.97 -0.17 57.30 9.94 -2.24 0.16 0.74 7.60 2.38P 14.45R 3.46 Derby 7 5 -5 -5.34 6.75 -6.16 65.74 10.23 5.98 1.04 4.41 26.78 11.22P 3.55R 0.61 Cardiff 7 5 -6 -3.95 13.57 -5.06 55.83 10.19 -9.76 0.10 0.52 5.99 1.76P 19.30R 5.22 Rotherham 6 5 -9 -0.76 43.25 -4.87 43.89 9.92 -35.60 0.00 0.03 0.51 0.09P 64.92R 35.71 Wigan 7 4 -2 -4.93 8.17 -0.91 56.14 10.98 -4.08 0.19 0.91 8.05 2.68P 20.08R 5.95 Blackburn 7 2 -9 -6.76 2.10 -7.81 49.71 10.07 -17.43 0.01 0.10 1.67 0.45P 40.09R 14.46League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2016, Bristol_Rovers 1 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bolton 7 15 +4 3.44 81.75 1.08 74.68 11.13 13.43 13.24 24.31 57.22 32.47P 1.18R 0.08 Scunthorpe 6 13 +10 2.58 77.80 6.54 76.65 10.80 23.44 17.50 30.33 65.43 39.65P 0.61R 0.01 Bradford 7 13 +4 2.93 79.29 3.34 74.93 10.12 16.66 11.41 22.94 59.32 32.58P 0.61R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 7 12 +5 2.14 72.01 4.58 66.12 10.21 6.12 2.36 5.97 26.60 10.45P 4.89R 0.45 Millwall 7 12 +2 0.67 56.92 -0.47 77.52 10.45 20.85 18.18 32.37 68.22 42.81P 0.43R 0.02 Peterborough 7 11 +5 0.13 51.52 3.08 73.91 10.75 19.97 11.25 22.28 55.87 31.38P 1.29R 0.07 Bury 7 11 +4 1.85 70.26 4.82 59.36 10.32 -4.68 0.61 1.71 10.75 3.39P 16.29R 2.32 Northampton 7 11 +3 1.72 68.62 3.41 59.53 10.89 -4.95 0.91 2.31 12.19 4.40P 17.25R 2.61 Port_Vale 7 11 +1 2.00 71.87 1.96 64.84 10.29 1.58 1.76 4.68 22.88 8.70P 6.61R 0.61 Gillingham 7 11 -2 0.68 57.79 -3.00 66.83 10.73 1.06 3.27 7.54 29.28 12.46P 5.41R 0.50 Oxford_Utd 7 10 +0 0.88 60.04 0.68 58.78 10.56 -7.17 0.62 1.69 10.05 3.43P 18.45R 2.86 Sheff_Utd 7 10 -2 -0.12 49.00 -2.68 66.88 10.42 3.16 2.97 7.06 29.30 12.61P 4.70R 0.38 Charlton 6 9 +2 -0.18 47.78 0.50 69.08 11.51 9.73 6.12 12.75 38.32 19.49P 4.30R 0.44 Chesterfield 7 8 +0 -1.59 34.51 -0.01 59.72 10.41 -3.31 0.66 1.98 11.49 4.00P 15.42R 2.14 MK_Dons 7 8 -2 -1.78 32.74 -2.26 67.93 11.13 7.75 4.33 9.66 34.15 16.53P 4.95R 0.54 Swindon 6 8 -2 0.34 55.48 -0.89 65.01 10.78 1.08 2.37 5.71 24.27 9.80P 7.21R 0.80 Oldham 7 7 -3 -1.53 33.86 -1.55 52.65 9.81 -13.81 0.09 0.25 2.62 0.65P 36.60R 7.53 Shrewsbury 7 7 -4 -0.92 41.18 -1.30 52.41 10.17 -17.80 0.11 0.32 2.94 0.81P 38.86R 8.58 Bristol_Rovers 6 6 -2 -1.20 37.38 -0.33 50.72 10.82 -18.28 0.12 0.34 2.78 0.86P 45.68R 13.15 Walsall 7 6 -3 -4.94 8.37 -5.09 62.56 10.31 1.57 1.22 3.18 17.16 7.01P 9.45R 1.06 AFC_Wimbledon 7 5 -4 -1.71 33.47 0.66 42.58 9.96 -30.15 0.01 0.02 0.32 0.07P 74.76R 37.96 Southend 7 5 -7 -2.74 22.17 -4.00 51.14 10.13 -18.44 0.05 0.20 2.22 0.57P 43.37R 11.05 Coventry 7 4 -5 -5.52 5.12 -5.00 59.11 10.25 -2.42 0.53 1.49 10.07 3.63P 16.16R 2.30 Rochdale 7 3 -4 -6.63 2.69 -4.05 55.99 10.48 -5.39 0.29 0.90 6.56 2.25P 25.51R 4.50League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2016, Carlisle 2 2 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 7 15 +2 3.75 84.44 -0.41 78.37 10.56 16.76 13.56 40.52 74.39 49.66P 0.07R 0.02 Portsmouth 7 14 +6 1.86 69.03 2.18 79.30 10.56 23.79 16.25 44.97 77.65 54.66P 0.07R 0.02 Luton 7 13 +8 1.71 67.55 5.43 72.54 10.74 17.15 5.98 22.64 55.55 30.89P 0.34R 0.11 Doncaster 7 13 +7 -0.03 48.77 1.70 84.23 11.09 34.58 33.80 63.51 87.75 71.38P 0.02R 0.01 Colchester 7 13 +3 1.76 67.38 0.41 73.81 11.84 14.29 9.08 27.99 58.36 35.53P 0.60R 0.20 Crewe 7 12 +2 1.53 65.56 0.65 69.70 11.44 8.28 4.10 16.69 44.45 23.54P 1.09R 0.37 Morecambe 7 12 -2 4.39 88.25 1.47 59.66 10.74 -12.90 0.39 2.86 13.92 4.68P 6.70R 2.93 Leyton_Orient 7 11 +3 -0.25 47.24 0.52 70.85 10.68 12.60 4.44 18.20 48.59 26.24P 0.51R 0.19 Carlisle 7 11 +2 1.69 68.14 2.46 67.06 10.73 5.64 2.10 10.19 34.66 15.40P 1.49R 0.54 Mansfield 7 11 +0 1.57 67.57 0.19 61.91 10.37 -3.57 0.61 3.82 18.32 6.79P 3.76R 1.48 Grimsby 7 10 +3 1.19 63.08 4.40 59.47 11.28 -3.81 0.69 3.48 15.25 5.77P 7.46R 3.39 Stevenage 7 10 +0 0.27 53.44 -0.09 59.93 10.64 -6.20 0.48 2.90 14.61 5.09P 5.78R 2.45 Barnet 6 9 +2 1.01 62.10 2.32 62.26 10.95 -0.79 0.89 5.04 20.79 8.37P 4.23R 1.75 Hartlepool 7 9 -4 1.33 65.50 -0.73 48.46 10.02 -27.40 0.02 0.18 1.76 0.41P 31.82R 17.86 Blackpool 7 8 +2 -3.29 19.11 -0.46 71.09 11.05 16.39 4.88 19.48 50.27 29.15P 0.67R 0.21 Accrington_Stanley 7 8 -1 -2.28 27.98 -2.04 65.30 10.76 4.57 1.46 7.99 29.15 13.18P 2.08R 0.77 Notts_County 7 8 -2 -1.00 40.84 -1.01 52.54 10.51 -17.02 0.07 0.63 4.53 1.34P 19.06R 9.58 Crawley_Town 7 8 -4 0.44 57.03 -0.74 51.61 10.17 -19.14 0.04 0.40 3.37 0.89P 21.12R 10.80 Cheltenham 7 7 +0 -1.87 31.59 0.94 61.55 11.11 1.92 0.74 4.65 19.61 8.22P 5.09R 2.20 Newport_County 6 6 -1 -0.86 40.96 1.06 51.73 10.38 -14.99 0.04 0.45 3.63 0.98P 20.89R 10.76 Exeter 7 6 -5 -2.45 25.46 -3.04 55.45 10.57 -11.55 0.14 1.13 7.27 2.33P 12.65R 5.83 Wycombe 7 5 -7 -3.60 15.82 -5.68 56.91 10.22 -8.80 0.14 1.25 8.33 2.93P 9.12R 4.10 Yeovil 7 4 -7 -4.21 11.21 -5.02 48.51 9.95 -19.55 0.01 0.14 1.64 0.41P 30.36R 16.85 Cambridge_Utd 7 3 -7 -5.04 6.99 -4.52 54.33 10.64 -10.25 0.08 0.89 6.16 2.14P 15.01R 7.57National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2016, Boreham_Wood 1 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 10 22 +14 5.62 90.70 9.62 79.42 9.85 26.37 10.72 57.22 20.51P 0.05R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 10 21 +10 1.75 64.18 1.34 86.42 9.94 35.57 31.79 80.92 47.31P 0.01R 0.00 Forest_Green 10 20 +9 2.07 67.46 2.44 84.37 9.54 32.46 23.13 75.87 38.70P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 10 20 +5 2.44 71.06 -0.72 81.23 9.46 22.58 13.31 63.84 27.58P 0.02R 0.00 Macclesfield 9 18 +6 3.18 77.33 2.21 76.50 9.81 17.74 6.33 44.74 15.28P 0.15R 0.00 Aldershot 10 18 +5 4.31 84.03 4.91 65.96 9.64 2.72 0.63 11.22 2.51P 2.38R 0.07 Barrow 10 18 +3 4.12 82.37 2.90 64.44 9.69 -2.30 0.44 8.83 1.79P 3.62R 0.11 Gateshead 10 16 +9 0.75 56.78 6.76 69.41 9.89 15.12 1.70 20.57 5.44P 1.18R 0.03 Eastleigh 10 16 +7 -0.63 43.74 2.22 73.07 9.88 18.58 3.42 32.48 10.45P 0.45R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 10 16 +1 0.51 54.62 -1.66 72.83 9.90 12.67 2.94 30.49 9.15P 0.57R 0.02 Wrexham 9 15 -1 1.35 62.83 -2.93 69.50 9.84 4.77 1.42 19.32 5.14P 1.15R 0.02 Boreham_Wood 10 14 +4 1.78 66.95 5.96 63.65 9.39 5.22 0.28 6.99 1.47P 3.68R 0.11 Maidstone_United 10 14 -1 2.65 73.06 2.63 56.27 10.52 -13.09 0.13 2.61 0.57P 18.95R 1.78 Sutton_United 10 13 -2 2.20 70.22 2.62 55.92 10.29 -11.90 0.07 2.07 0.41P 19.12R 1.74 Torquay 10 13 -2 0.23 53.09 -0.51 58.47 9.47 -8.46 0.06 2.48 0.41P 11.17R 0.61 York 10 12 -1 -4.02 18.66 -4.62 72.73 10.19 16.78 3.44 31.79 11.57P 0.62R 0.02 Chester 10 11 +0 -2.12 32.11 1.13 58.22 9.75 -4.37 0.07 2.72 0.49P 11.94R 0.72 Bromley 10 11 -4 -1.55 37.54 -2.11 55.00 9.60 -13.73 0.03 1.16 0.21P 19.98R 1.58 Solihull_Moors 10 11 -7 1.11 62.19 -0.26 48.81 10.18 -26.74 0.01 0.43 0.07P 45.12R 6.87 North_Ferriby 10 10 -11 0.62 57.96 -3.79 42.49 9.45 -37.67 0.00 0.06 0.01P 70.49R 18.92 Braintree_Town 10 9 -6 -5.76 9.57 -7.62 58.19 9.35 -5.86 0.04 2.22 0.52P 10.96R 0.54 Woking 10 8 -7 -5.34 11.78 -6.09 56.71 9.84 -9.01 0.04 1.94 0.39P 15.52R 1.08 Southport 10 5 -19 -3.06 22.60 -9.12 41.40 9.06 -40.19 0.00 0.02 0.00P 74.44R 22.20 Guiseley 10 2 -12 -7.59 1.81 -5.30 36.15 8.82 -37.28 0.00 0.01 0.00P 88.44R 43.58