Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 13 September 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 September 2016, Sunderland 0 3 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          4   12   +7       3.78    92.75     2.42    79.72     9.45    41.50    51.68    72.02    83.24    90.09    96.80     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea           4   10   +5       2.37    81.47     1.69    68.53     9.70    23.22    10.48    26.21    41.94    55.99    77.71     0.04R    0.01  
Everton           4   10   +5       3.49    91.03     3.49    60.43     9.81    10.19     2.42     7.67    14.94    24.08    46.60     0.53R    0.06  
Man_Utd           4    9   +4       2.44    80.16     2.38    67.33     9.55    21.15     7.73    21.50    36.19    50.53    74.54     0.06R    0.00  
Tottenham         4    8   +5       0.78    60.35     2.38    67.88     9.62    25.16     9.40    23.86    39.41    53.69    76.57     0.08R    0.01  
Liverpool         4    7   +2       1.26    68.33     1.71    63.26    10.00    16.72     4.44    12.58    22.80    34.62    59.02     0.39R    0.04  
Arsenal           4    7   +2      -0.08    48.75    -0.45    69.60     9.56    26.68    12.53    30.33    46.63    60.97    81.75     0.05R    0.01  
Hull              4    7   +2       2.17    79.56     2.88    47.86     9.77    -6.76     0.10     0.53     1.40     3.01     9.14    10.26R    2.40  
Middlesbrough     4    5   +0      -0.41    45.91    -0.02    40.50     9.36   -16.63     0.01     0.06     0.19     0.54     2.08    29.76R    9.66  
Watford           4    4   -1       0.28    57.98     1.90    43.63     9.29   -12.85     0.01     0.10     0.31     0.85     3.51    19.38R    5.57  
Crystal_Palace    4    4   -1      -0.99    37.35    -0.28    41.08     8.94   -15.45     0.01     0.05     0.16     0.45     1.95    26.42R    7.62  
West_Brom         4    4   -1      -1.12    35.64    -0.56    40.21     8.84   -16.18     0.01     0.03     0.10     0.29     1.47    29.41R    8.89  
Swansea           4    4   -2      -0.73    41.91    -0.83    44.56     9.26   -11.84     0.03     0.15     0.49     1.12     4.35    16.36R    4.24  
Bournemouth       4    4   -2      -0.30    48.63    -0.12    37.82     9.10   -24.61     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.24     0.94    41.55R   16.00  
Burnley           4    4   -2      -0.26    49.30    -0.12    42.12     9.56   -14.93     0.02     0.11     0.32     0.74     3.03    24.75R    7.53  
Leicester         4    4   -3      -1.61    29.70    -3.09    54.90     9.77     3.00     0.59     2.47     5.62    10.50    25.85     2.52R    0.44  
West_Ham          4    3   -4      -2.08    21.36    -3.11    49.11     9.71    -5.76     0.14     0.61     1.75     3.59    11.12     8.09R    1.80  
Southampton       4    2   -3      -3.87     7.41    -3.58    53.71     9.66     4.24     0.39     1.68     4.32     8.40    22.10     3.05R    0.51  
Sunderland        4    1   -5      -2.65    15.55    -1.82    36.15     9.07   -23.94     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.13     0.59    48.11R   20.72  
Stoke             4    1   -8      -2.63    15.66    -4.88    38.19     8.96   -22.89     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.17     0.88    39.18R   14.48  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2016, Brighton 1 0 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Huddersfield     7   16   +4       7.45    98.08     5.76    68.54    10.45     2.49     1.99     7.63    35.33    12.97P    2.12R    0.32  
Newcastle        7   15  +12       1.77    67.24     6.30    91.38    10.71    48.35    62.04    79.50    95.89    85.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         7   15   +9       5.76    93.67     9.56    66.34    11.31     4.64     2.08     6.88    30.61    11.52P    4.55R    0.89  
Norwich          7   14   +3       1.95    69.86    -0.76    79.11    11.07    20.78    14.91    35.20    73.05    46.94P    0.24R    0.03  
Birmingham       7   12   +3       2.30    73.57     2.77    66.37    10.09     4.77     1.25     4.98    28.33    10.22P    2.67R    0.45  
Fulham           7   12   +2       2.66    76.18     2.50    61.70    10.61    -5.07     0.65     2.54    16.55     5.29P    8.43R    1.87  
Brighton         7   11   +3      -0.36    46.25     0.31    74.34    10.23    17.55     5.62    18.45    58.73    31.23P    0.45R    0.04  
Ipswich          7   11   +1       1.42    65.97     0.96    68.15    10.27     6.66     1.78     6.95    34.55    13.62P    2.06R    0.29  
Sheff_Wed        7   11   -1       0.42    54.95    -2.44    67.39    10.26     3.61     1.59     6.02    31.71    12.24P    2.62R    0.39  
Reading          7   11   -2       2.70    78.63     0.04    60.75    10.22    -7.47     0.33     1.61    13.20     3.85P    9.45R    1.97  
Brentford        6   10   +3       0.99    61.40     1.83    69.76    10.92    10.33     3.27    10.52    41.46    18.25P    1.99R    0.31  
Bristol_City     7   10   +1       1.59    67.73     3.02    60.09    10.51    -5.04     0.32     1.64    13.13     3.85P   10.73R    2.38  
Nott'm_Forest    6   10   +0       1.85    71.64     0.17    63.52    10.67    -2.30     0.84     3.46    20.82     6.90P    6.16R    1.23  
QPR              7   10   -3       0.23    53.02    -3.17    63.40    10.33    -3.22     0.71     2.98    19.82     6.73P    5.74R    1.02  
Burton_Albion    7    9   +1       1.31    65.59     3.73    52.50    10.37   -13.62     0.06     0.32     3.60     0.86P   30.34R   10.03  
Wolverhampton    7    9   -1      -1.39    35.66    -2.18    60.41    10.32    -4.08     0.37     1.66    13.00     4.21P    9.85R    2.09  
Leeds_United     7    7   -4      -1.65    33.33    -2.62    52.37     9.92   -16.15     0.04     0.19     2.81     0.68P   30.17R    9.01  
Aston_Villa      6    6   +0      -2.69    21.24    -0.78    61.19    11.14     0.90     0.66     2.76    16.82     6.51P   10.04R    2.28  
Preston          7    6   +0      -3.59    15.97    -0.17    57.30     9.94    -2.24     0.16     0.74     7.60     2.38P   14.45R    3.46  
Derby            7    5   -5      -5.34     6.75    -6.16    65.74    10.23     5.98     1.04     4.41    26.78    11.22P    3.55R    0.61  
Cardiff          7    5   -6      -3.95    13.57    -5.06    55.83    10.19    -9.76     0.10     0.52     5.99     1.76P   19.30R    5.22  
Rotherham        6    5   -9      -0.76    43.25    -4.87    43.89     9.92   -35.60     0.00     0.03     0.51     0.09P   64.92R   35.71  
Wigan            7    4   -2      -4.93     8.17    -0.91    56.14    10.98    -4.08     0.19     0.91     8.05     2.68P   20.08R    5.95  
Blackburn        7    2   -9      -6.76     2.10    -7.81    49.71    10.07   -17.43     0.01     0.10     1.67     0.45P   40.09R   14.46  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2016, Bristol_Rovers 1 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bolton            7   15   +4       3.44    81.75     1.08    74.68    11.13    13.43    13.24    24.31    57.22    32.47P    1.18R    0.08  
Scunthorpe        6   13  +10       2.58    77.80     6.54    76.65    10.80    23.44    17.50    30.33    65.43    39.65P    0.61R    0.01  
Bradford          7   13   +4       2.93    79.29     3.34    74.93    10.12    16.66    11.41    22.94    59.32    32.58P    0.61R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town    7   12   +5       2.14    72.01     4.58    66.12    10.21     6.12     2.36     5.97    26.60    10.45P    4.89R    0.45  
Millwall          7   12   +2       0.67    56.92    -0.47    77.52    10.45    20.85    18.18    32.37    68.22    42.81P    0.43R    0.02  
Peterborough      7   11   +5       0.13    51.52     3.08    73.91    10.75    19.97    11.25    22.28    55.87    31.38P    1.29R    0.07  
Bury              7   11   +4       1.85    70.26     4.82    59.36    10.32    -4.68     0.61     1.71    10.75     3.39P   16.29R    2.32  
Northampton       7   11   +3       1.72    68.62     3.41    59.53    10.89    -4.95     0.91     2.31    12.19     4.40P   17.25R    2.61  
Port_Vale         7   11   +1       2.00    71.87     1.96    64.84    10.29     1.58     1.76     4.68    22.88     8.70P    6.61R    0.61  
Gillingham        7   11   -2       0.68    57.79    -3.00    66.83    10.73     1.06     3.27     7.54    29.28    12.46P    5.41R    0.50  
Oxford_Utd        7   10   +0       0.88    60.04     0.68    58.78    10.56    -7.17     0.62     1.69    10.05     3.43P   18.45R    2.86  
Sheff_Utd         7   10   -2      -0.12    49.00    -2.68    66.88    10.42     3.16     2.97     7.06    29.30    12.61P    4.70R    0.38  
Charlton          6    9   +2      -0.18    47.78     0.50    69.08    11.51     9.73     6.12    12.75    38.32    19.49P    4.30R    0.44  
Chesterfield      7    8   +0      -1.59    34.51    -0.01    59.72    10.41    -3.31     0.66     1.98    11.49     4.00P   15.42R    2.14  
MK_Dons           7    8   -2      -1.78    32.74    -2.26    67.93    11.13     7.75     4.33     9.66    34.15    16.53P    4.95R    0.54  
Swindon           6    8   -2       0.34    55.48    -0.89    65.01    10.78     1.08     2.37     5.71    24.27     9.80P    7.21R    0.80  
Oldham            7    7   -3      -1.53    33.86    -1.55    52.65     9.81   -13.81     0.09     0.25     2.62     0.65P   36.60R    7.53  
Shrewsbury        7    7   -4      -0.92    41.18    -1.30    52.41    10.17   -17.80     0.11     0.32     2.94     0.81P   38.86R    8.58  
Bristol_Rovers    6    6   -2      -1.20    37.38    -0.33    50.72    10.82   -18.28     0.12     0.34     2.78     0.86P   45.68R   13.15  
Walsall           7    6   -3      -4.94     8.37    -5.09    62.56    10.31     1.57     1.22     3.18    17.16     7.01P    9.45R    1.06  
AFC_Wimbledon     7    5   -4      -1.71    33.47     0.66    42.58     9.96   -30.15     0.01     0.02     0.32     0.07P   74.76R   37.96  
Southend          7    5   -7      -2.74    22.17    -4.00    51.14    10.13   -18.44     0.05     0.20     2.22     0.57P   43.37R   11.05  
Coventry          7    4   -5      -5.52     5.12    -5.00    59.11    10.25    -2.42     0.53     1.49    10.07     3.63P   16.16R    2.30  
Rochdale          7    3   -4      -6.63     2.69    -4.05    55.99    10.48    -5.39     0.29     0.90     6.56     2.25P   25.51R    4.50  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2016, Carlisle 2 2 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth              7   15   +2       3.75    84.44    -0.41    78.37    10.56    16.76    13.56    40.52    74.39    49.66P    0.07R    0.02  
Portsmouth            7   14   +6       1.86    69.03     2.18    79.30    10.56    23.79    16.25    44.97    77.65    54.66P    0.07R    0.02  
Luton                 7   13   +8       1.71    67.55     5.43    72.54    10.74    17.15     5.98    22.64    55.55    30.89P    0.34R    0.11  
Doncaster             7   13   +7      -0.03    48.77     1.70    84.23    11.09    34.58    33.80    63.51    87.75    71.38P    0.02R    0.01  
Colchester            7   13   +3       1.76    67.38     0.41    73.81    11.84    14.29     9.08    27.99    58.36    35.53P    0.60R    0.20  
Crewe                 7   12   +2       1.53    65.56     0.65    69.70    11.44     8.28     4.10    16.69    44.45    23.54P    1.09R    0.37  
Morecambe             7   12   -2       4.39    88.25     1.47    59.66    10.74   -12.90     0.39     2.86    13.92     4.68P    6.70R    2.93  
Leyton_Orient         7   11   +3      -0.25    47.24     0.52    70.85    10.68    12.60     4.44    18.20    48.59    26.24P    0.51R    0.19  
Carlisle              7   11   +2       1.69    68.14     2.46    67.06    10.73     5.64     2.10    10.19    34.66    15.40P    1.49R    0.54  
Mansfield             7   11   +0       1.57    67.57     0.19    61.91    10.37    -3.57     0.61     3.82    18.32     6.79P    3.76R    1.48  
Grimsby               7   10   +3       1.19    63.08     4.40    59.47    11.28    -3.81     0.69     3.48    15.25     5.77P    7.46R    3.39  
Stevenage             7   10   +0       0.27    53.44    -0.09    59.93    10.64    -6.20     0.48     2.90    14.61     5.09P    5.78R    2.45  
Barnet                6    9   +2       1.01    62.10     2.32    62.26    10.95    -0.79     0.89     5.04    20.79     8.37P    4.23R    1.75  
Hartlepool            7    9   -4       1.33    65.50    -0.73    48.46    10.02   -27.40     0.02     0.18     1.76     0.41P   31.82R   17.86  
Blackpool             7    8   +2      -3.29    19.11    -0.46    71.09    11.05    16.39     4.88    19.48    50.27    29.15P    0.67R    0.21  
Accrington_Stanley    7    8   -1      -2.28    27.98    -2.04    65.30    10.76     4.57     1.46     7.99    29.15    13.18P    2.08R    0.77  
Notts_County          7    8   -2      -1.00    40.84    -1.01    52.54    10.51   -17.02     0.07     0.63     4.53     1.34P   19.06R    9.58  
Crawley_Town          7    8   -4       0.44    57.03    -0.74    51.61    10.17   -19.14     0.04     0.40     3.37     0.89P   21.12R   10.80  
Cheltenham            7    7   +0      -1.87    31.59     0.94    61.55    11.11     1.92     0.74     4.65    19.61     8.22P    5.09R    2.20  
Newport_County        6    6   -1      -0.86    40.96     1.06    51.73    10.38   -14.99     0.04     0.45     3.63     0.98P   20.89R   10.76  
Exeter                7    6   -5      -2.45    25.46    -3.04    55.45    10.57   -11.55     0.14     1.13     7.27     2.33P   12.65R    5.83  
Wycombe               7    5   -7      -3.60    15.82    -5.68    56.91    10.22    -8.80     0.14     1.25     8.33     2.93P    9.12R    4.10  
Yeovil                7    4   -7      -4.21    11.21    -5.02    48.51     9.95   -19.55     0.01     0.14     1.64     0.41P   30.36R   16.85  
Cambridge_Utd         7    3   -7      -5.04     6.99    -4.52    54.33    10.64   -10.25     0.08     0.89     6.16     2.14P   15.01R    7.57  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2016, Boreham_Wood 1 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       10   22  +14       5.62    90.70     9.62    79.42     9.85    26.37    10.72    57.22    20.51P    0.05R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          10   21  +10       1.75    64.18     1.34    86.42     9.94    35.57    31.79    80.92    47.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       10   20   +9       2.07    67.46     2.44    84.37     9.54    32.46    23.13    75.87    38.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere           10   20   +5       2.44    71.06    -0.72    81.23     9.46    22.58    13.31    63.84    27.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield        9   18   +6       3.18    77.33     2.21    76.50     9.81    17.74     6.33    44.74    15.28P    0.15R    0.00  
Aldershot          10   18   +5       4.31    84.03     4.91    65.96     9.64     2.72     0.63    11.22     2.51P    2.38R    0.07  
Barrow             10   18   +3       4.12    82.37     2.90    64.44     9.69    -2.30     0.44     8.83     1.79P    3.62R    0.11  
Gateshead          10   16   +9       0.75    56.78     6.76    69.41     9.89    15.12     1.70    20.57     5.44P    1.18R    0.03  
Eastleigh          10   16   +7      -0.63    43.74     2.22    73.07     9.88    18.58     3.42    32.48    10.45P    0.45R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     10   16   +1       0.51    54.62    -1.66    72.83     9.90    12.67     2.94    30.49     9.15P    0.57R    0.02  
Wrexham             9   15   -1       1.35    62.83    -2.93    69.50     9.84     4.77     1.42    19.32     5.14P    1.15R    0.02  
Boreham_Wood       10   14   +4       1.78    66.95     5.96    63.65     9.39     5.22     0.28     6.99     1.47P    3.68R    0.11  
Maidstone_United   10   14   -1       2.65    73.06     2.63    56.27    10.52   -13.09     0.13     2.61     0.57P   18.95R    1.78  
Sutton_United      10   13   -2       2.20    70.22     2.62    55.92    10.29   -11.90     0.07     2.07     0.41P   19.12R    1.74  
Torquay            10   13   -2       0.23    53.09    -0.51    58.47     9.47    -8.46     0.06     2.48     0.41P   11.17R    0.61  
York               10   12   -1      -4.02    18.66    -4.62    72.73    10.19    16.78     3.44    31.79    11.57P    0.62R    0.02  
Chester            10   11   +0      -2.12    32.11     1.13    58.22     9.75    -4.37     0.07     2.72     0.49P   11.94R    0.72  
Bromley            10   11   -4      -1.55    37.54    -2.11    55.00     9.60   -13.73     0.03     1.16     0.21P   19.98R    1.58  
Solihull_Moors     10   11   -7       1.11    62.19    -0.26    48.81    10.18   -26.74     0.01     0.43     0.07P   45.12R    6.87  
North_Ferriby      10   10  -11       0.62    57.96    -3.79    42.49     9.45   -37.67     0.00     0.06     0.01P   70.49R   18.92  
Braintree_Town     10    9   -6      -5.76     9.57    -7.62    58.19     9.35    -5.86     0.04     2.22     0.52P   10.96R    0.54  
Woking             10    8   -7      -5.34    11.78    -6.09    56.71     9.84    -9.01     0.04     1.94     0.39P   15.52R    1.08  
Southport          10    5  -19      -3.06    22.60    -9.12    41.40     9.06   -40.19     0.00     0.02     0.00P   74.44R   22.20  
Guiseley           10    2  -12      -7.59     1.81    -5.30    36.15     8.82   -37.28     0.00     0.01     0.00P   88.44R   43.58