Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 11 September 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 September 2016, Swansea 2 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 4 12 +7 3.84 93.00 2.53 79.70 9.41 41.51 52.11 72.72 83.79 90.61 97.07 0.00R 0.00 Chelsea 4 10 +5 2.43 82.23 1.77 68.18 9.78 22.66 10.31 25.91 41.21 55.04 77.35 0.06R 0.01 Man_Utd 4 9 +4 2.39 79.61 2.34 67.48 9.41 21.36 7.99 22.19 37.49 52.40 76.15 0.05R 0.00 Tottenham 4 8 +5 0.78 60.37 2.37 67.75 9.57 24.96 9.42 24.36 39.73 54.15 76.99 0.06R 0.00 Liverpool 4 7 +2 1.30 69.10 1.80 63.28 10.00 16.85 4.54 12.67 23.69 35.76 60.25 0.39R 0.04 Arsenal 4 7 +2 -0.07 48.88 -0.45 69.67 9.52 26.80 12.69 30.78 47.60 62.05 82.61 0.03R 0.00 Hull 4 7 +2 2.22 79.92 2.94 47.59 9.74 -7.18 0.11 0.55 1.38 2.92 9.03 11.08R 2.66 Everton 3 7 +2 2.44 86.11 1.36 57.76 10.06 5.50 1.48 5.05 10.41 17.53 36.93 1.44R 0.23 Middlesbrough 4 5 +0 -0.35 46.86 0.06 40.55 9.36 -16.67 0.02 0.08 0.22 0.55 2.20 30.56R 9.95 Watford 4 4 -1 0.29 58.30 1.91 43.66 9.28 -12.79 0.02 0.12 0.36 0.87 3.70 19.70R 5.57 Crystal_Palace 4 4 -1 -0.98 37.16 -0.29 40.89 8.96 -15.64 0.00 0.03 0.14 0.41 1.91 28.02R 8.54 West_Brom 4 4 -1 -1.16 34.93 -0.62 40.25 8.83 -16.13 0.01 0.02 0.08 0.27 1.47 30.21R 9.55 Swansea 4 4 -2 -0.79 40.83 -0.92 44.67 9.30 -11.65 0.03 0.15 0.51 1.28 4.68 16.87R 4.42 Bournemouth 4 4 -2 -0.28 48.83 -0.07 37.75 9.09 -24.81 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.20 1.00 42.49R 17.08 Burnley 4 4 -2 -0.29 48.79 -0.16 41.65 9.54 -15.64 0.02 0.08 0.33 0.75 2.76 27.10R 9.00 Leicester 4 4 -3 -1.62 29.52 -3.11 55.16 9.78 3.32 0.69 2.54 6.11 11.33 27.44 2.51R 0.44 West_Ham 4 3 -4 -2.14 20.66 -3.19 49.39 9.81 -5.22 0.13 0.81 1.96 4.10 12.31 8.29R 1.96 Southampton 4 2 -3 -3.84 7.39 -3.54 54.07 9.57 4.78 0.43 1.89 4.79 9.34 23.84 2.72R 0.51 Sunderland 3 1 -2 -1.82 23.52 0.27 38.66 9.36 -18.98 0.00 0.03 0.10 0.29 1.41 37.95R 14.49 Stoke 4 1 -8 -2.69 15.27 -5.00 38.16 9.05 -23.02 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.16 0.92 40.46R 15.54Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 September 2016, Aston_Villa 2 2 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Huddersfield 6 16 +5 8.20 99.45 5.75 69.42 10.54 2.50 4.18 10.58 37.97 15.48P 1.87R 0.28 Newcastle 6 12 +6 1.31 63.98 2.18 84.63 11.01 33.68 41.90 60.19 86.87 69.29P 0.07R 0.01 Barnsley 6 12 +5 4.48 90.57 6.13 60.29 11.11 -6.54 0.94 2.83 14.51 4.91P 12.51R 2.99 Birmingham 6 11 +3 2.65 78.73 2.81 67.11 10.32 5.33 2.48 6.87 30.66 12.28P 2.99R 0.44 Norwich 6 11 +2 1.01 61.81 -0.71 77.78 11.18 20.50 18.50 34.35 68.89 44.99P 0.40R 0.03 Fulham 6 11 +2 3.22 82.97 2.77 63.08 10.90 -3.60 1.37 4.09 20.16 7.12P 7.56R 1.55 QPR 6 10 +3 0.68 57.88 1.43 67.97 10.58 7.94 3.62 9.03 34.61 15.29P 2.41R 0.38 Brentford 6 10 +3 0.95 61.07 1.80 69.94 10.68 10.85 5.02 12.28 41.73 19.52P 1.87R 0.30 Bristol_City 6 10 +2 2.39 76.49 3.11 61.00 10.53 -4.47 0.74 2.40 14.64 4.74P 9.79R 2.15 Nott'm_Forest 6 10 +0 1.83 71.64 0.14 63.73 10.65 -1.91 1.52 4.33 21.21 7.87P 6.33R 1.19 Reading 6 10 -2 3.09 83.22 0.06 61.10 10.47 -7.69 0.78 2.46 14.19 4.68P 9.73R 2.22 Wolverhampton 6 9 +3 -0.21 47.65 1.53 65.45 10.43 5.65 2.09 5.69 25.79 10.51P 4.02R 0.67 Brighton 6 8 +2 -1.52 32.28 -0.08 72.86 10.42 17.00 7.48 18.06 52.84 28.61P 0.70R 0.10 Burton_Albion 6 8 +1 1.34 67.43 3.22 52.73 10.63 -14.16 0.12 0.40 4.00 1.04P 31.33R 10.53 Ipswich 6 8 +0 -0.41 46.20 -0.33 65.33 10.42 3.99 1.93 5.34 25.21 10.15P 4.24R 0.79 Sheff_Wed 6 8 -2 -0.68 42.58 -2.65 65.87 10.33 3.01 2.04 5.71 26.83 11.08P 3.60R 0.61 Aston_Villa 6 6 +0 -2.71 20.65 -0.85 61.52 11.00 1.43 1.18 3.36 17.12 6.88P 9.55R 2.20 Cardiff 6 5 -3 -2.98 18.77 -2.57 58.91 10.35 -4.05 0.47 1.48 10.49 3.54P 12.88R 3.20 Derby 6 5 -4 -4.03 11.60 -5.23 67.65 10.46 7.92 2.93 8.08 33.20 15.79P 2.76R 0.46 Rotherham 6 5 -9 -0.85 42.08 -5.06 44.63 9.89 -34.45 0.01 0.03 0.45 0.10P 63.23R 33.60 Wigan 6 4 -1 -4.03 11.47 -0.68 57.47 11.11 -3.23 0.53 1.61 10.08 3.66P 17.58R 5.04 Leeds_United 6 4 -5 -3.07 17.66 -3.29 50.90 10.09 -16.81 0.04 0.18 2.21 0.56P 36.58R 12.96 Preston 6 3 -3 -4.70 6.54 -2.46 53.71 9.93 -7.90 0.10 0.39 3.63 1.12P 25.44R 7.56 Blackburn 6 2 -8 -5.53 3.72 -7.01 51.95 10.11 -14.99 0.05 0.28 2.73 0.80P 32.58R 10.72League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bolton 7 15 +4 3.43 81.68 1.05 74.82 11.12 13.69 13.53 24.65 57.59 33.09P 1.15R 0.07 Scunthorpe 6 13 +10 2.57 77.61 6.53 76.51 10.93 23.26 17.21 30.30 64.74 39.42P 0.69R 0.03 Bradford 7 13 +4 2.94 79.71 3.34 74.99 10.12 16.76 11.56 22.98 59.55 32.85P 0.58R 0.04 Fleetwood_Town 7 12 +5 2.18 72.69 4.64 66.18 10.17 6.21 2.56 6.16 26.63 10.57P 4.62R 0.40 Millwall 7 12 +2 0.75 57.78 -0.37 77.34 10.49 20.56 17.66 31.89 67.88 42.39P 0.47R 0.03 Peterborough 7 11 +5 0.12 51.65 3.07 73.83 10.84 19.87 11.44 21.95 55.68 31.11P 1.32R 0.11 Bury 7 11 +4 1.75 69.31 4.66 59.78 10.30 -3.99 0.71 1.84 11.38 3.69P 15.26R 2.04 Northampton 7 11 +3 1.68 68.61 3.36 59.81 10.82 -4.57 0.95 2.40 12.43 4.39P 16.67R 2.38 Port_Vale 7 11 +1 2.01 72.05 2.00 64.88 10.35 1.64 1.99 4.94 22.91 8.74P 6.69R 0.65 Gillingham 7 11 -2 0.72 58.20 -2.94 66.58 10.69 0.66 3.05 7.18 28.52 11.96P 5.60R 0.54 Oxford_Utd 7 10 +0 0.88 59.98 0.68 58.75 10.62 -7.20 0.65 1.67 9.94 3.42P 18.90R 2.95 Sheff_Utd 7 10 -2 -0.15 48.88 -2.69 66.81 10.38 3.02 2.83 6.91 28.78 12.25P 4.84R 0.40 Charlton 6 9 +2 -0.14 48.26 0.58 68.95 11.26 9.58 5.74 12.05 37.56 18.57P 3.99R 0.40 Chesterfield 7 8 +0 -1.59 34.53 -0.01 59.76 10.42 -3.31 0.77 2.03 11.64 4.09P 15.64R 2.07 MK_Dons 7 8 -2 -1.78 32.67 -2.25 67.85 10.99 7.65 4.10 9.33 33.38 15.90P 4.77R 0.42 Swindon 6 8 -2 0.33 55.27 -0.92 65.09 10.79 1.13 2.47 6.03 24.27 10.16P 7.24R 0.80 Oldham 7 7 -3 -1.46 34.65 -1.45 52.38 9.76 -14.17 0.07 0.22 2.44 0.66P 37.83R 7.88 Shrewsbury 7 7 -4 -0.87 41.92 -1.26 52.28 10.17 -18.03 0.10 0.31 2.92 0.77P 39.68R 9.12 Bristol_Rovers 5 5 -2 -0.84 41.20 -0.32 50.61 11.12 -19.17 0.12 0.38 3.03 0.92P 46.26R 14.12 Walsall 6 5 -3 -4.54 8.85 -5.02 63.11 10.68 1.80 1.57 4.12 19.36 8.23P 9.54R 1.04 AFC_Wimbledon 7 5 -4 -1.72 33.28 0.60 42.73 10.11 -29.88 0.01 0.02 0.33 0.08P 74.69R 37.34 Southend 7 5 -7 -2.76 22.10 -4.05 51.28 10.08 -18.24 0.05 0.22 2.30 0.65P 43.10R 10.46 Coventry 7 4 -5 -5.62 4.96 -5.13 59.42 10.19 -2.03 0.55 1.54 10.34 3.86P 15.36R 2.22 Rochdale 7 3 -4 -6.65 2.61 -4.10 56.08 10.40 -5.22 0.30 0.88 6.39 2.23P 25.11R 4.52League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2016, Carlisle 2 2 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 7 15 +2 3.77 84.70 -0.39 78.36 10.40 16.70 13.51 40.48 74.67 49.71P 0.05R 0.01 Portsmouth 7 14 +6 1.86 68.71 2.19 79.05 10.46 23.43 15.55 43.99 77.13 53.56P 0.04R 0.01 Luton 7 13 +8 1.66 66.92 5.39 72.59 10.75 17.22 6.06 22.94 55.71 31.05P 0.35R 0.11 Doncaster 7 13 +7 -0.09 48.01 1.61 84.50 11.07 34.97 34.73 64.74 88.21 72.54P 0.02R 0.00 Colchester 7 13 +3 1.78 67.71 0.44 73.79 11.74 14.23 8.96 27.72 58.09 35.20P 0.47R 0.14 Crewe 7 12 +2 1.52 65.48 0.64 69.66 11.39 8.21 4.06 16.51 43.96 23.27P 0.99R 0.36 Morecambe 7 12 -2 4.37 87.90 1.44 59.86 10.84 -12.62 0.47 2.92 14.63 4.87P 6.72R 3.00 Leyton_Orient 7 11 +3 -0.30 47.09 0.43 71.10 10.58 13.00 4.57 18.51 49.83 26.63P 0.48R 0.15 Carlisle 7 11 +2 1.71 68.55 2.51 66.93 10.72 5.43 2.01 9.95 34.31 15.33P 1.52R 0.55 Mansfield 7 11 +0 1.62 68.11 0.25 61.74 10.39 -3.75 0.61 3.83 17.93 6.66P 3.77R 1.49 Grimsby 7 10 +3 1.19 63.11 4.41 59.60 11.20 -3.64 0.60 3.45 15.50 5.86P 7.50R 3.37 Stevenage 7 10 +0 0.30 53.64 -0.03 59.79 10.60 -6.40 0.44 2.87 14.23 5.01P 6.11R 2.62 Barnet 6 9 +2 1.02 62.19 2.35 62.11 10.89 -0.94 0.93 4.91 20.14 8.10P 4.15R 1.72 Hartlepool 7 9 -4 1.37 65.61 -0.68 48.27 10.04 -27.69 0.01 0.15 1.64 0.34P 32.75R 18.56 Blackpool 7 8 +2 -3.27 19.40 -0.45 71.11 10.89 16.41 4.72 19.48 50.59 29.18P 0.60R 0.20 Accrington_Stanley 7 8 -1 -2.26 27.98 -2.00 65.20 10.78 4.47 1.41 7.95 29.07 13.20P 2.22R 0.87 Notts_County 7 8 -2 -1.09 39.80 -1.17 52.83 10.41 -16.51 0.07 0.63 4.55 1.33P 17.97R 8.82 Crawley_Town 7 8 -4 0.44 56.86 -0.73 51.55 10.09 -19.26 0.05 0.34 3.19 0.82P 21.22R 10.90 Cheltenham 7 7 +0 -1.92 30.97 0.87 62.00 11.02 2.55 0.85 4.95 20.46 8.83P 4.33R 1.80 Newport_County 6 6 -1 -0.83 41.33 1.10 51.77 10.40 -15.01 0.05 0.46 3.76 1.08P 20.60R 10.66 Exeter 7 6 -5 -2.44 25.44 -3.06 55.38 10.54 -11.60 0.16 1.19 7.15 2.42P 12.52R 5.80 Wycombe 7 5 -7 -3.58 16.18 -5.65 56.67 10.21 -9.09 0.13 1.12 8.07 2.71P 9.61R 4.30 Yeovil 7 4 -7 -4.19 11.14 -4.98 48.44 9.91 -19.56 0.01 0.14 1.54 0.41P 30.65R 16.94 Cambridge_Utd 7 3 -7 -5.02 6.87 -4.50 54.11 10.53 -10.56 0.06 0.80 5.65 1.85P 15.36R 7.63National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2016, Aldershot 0 0 Chester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 9 21 +14 6.70 95.04 10.73 81.61 10.25 29.79 14.62 62.63 25.06P 0.05R 0.00 Forest_Green 9 19 +9 2.82 74.66 2.96 86.33 9.65 35.51 27.24 79.31 43.02P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 9 19 +5 2.72 74.44 -0.94 81.16 9.68 22.26 11.92 60.29 25.42P 0.03R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 9 18 +8 0.82 56.38 0.42 84.89 10.33 34.28 24.12 73.47 39.75P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 9 18 +6 3.19 77.76 2.25 76.52 9.71 17.85 5.23 41.63 13.70P 0.10R 0.00 Aldershot 9 17 +5 4.30 85.27 4.46 65.96 9.81 2.06 0.58 10.51 2.32P 2.20R 0.07 Gateshead 9 16 +10 2.62 73.30 8.57 73.52 10.07 20.57 3.43 31.81 8.94P 0.41R 0.02 Dover_Athletic 9 16 +3 1.29 61.77 -0.75 74.06 10.12 14.51 3.87 32.59 10.15P 0.41R 0.01 Eastleigh 9 15 +7 -0.70 42.56 1.37 72.46 10.17 17.05 2.81 28.16 8.84P 0.55R 0.00 Barrow 9 15 +0 2.90 75.89 0.55 61.19 9.88 -8.14 0.21 4.54 0.87P 6.81R 0.26 Wrexham 9 15 -1 1.33 62.60 -2.97 69.49 9.77 4.75 1.19 17.24 4.56P 1.00R 0.01 Maidstone_United 9 14 +1 3.68 80.79 4.12 60.11 10.97 -7.37 0.29 5.22 1.16P 10.65R 0.75 Boreham_Wood 9 13 +4 2.31 72.64 6.28 64.77 9.50 6.14 0.27 7.80 1.71P 2.51R 0.08 Torquay 9 13 +0 0.94 59.46 0.40 60.42 9.68 -5.73 0.13 3.53 0.68P 7.24R 0.34 Sutton_United 9 13 -1 3.33 79.68 3.32 58.54 10.66 -9.00 0.12 3.39 0.68P 12.85R 1.03 York 9 11 -1 -3.45 20.74 -4.38 73.64 10.51 17.94 3.86 32.80 12.09P 0.62R 0.02 Solihull_Moors 9 10 -7 0.91 60.46 -1.01 46.97 10.37 -32.16 0.01 0.30 0.05P 50.09R 9.89 Chester 9 8 -2 -2.84 25.42 0.62 56.85 9.99 -6.25 0.05 1.97 0.42P 14.40R 1.19 Bromley 9 8 -6 -3.02 24.47 -3.77 51.49 9.71 -19.49 0.01 0.41 0.07P 30.44R 3.28 North_Ferriby 9 7 -12 -1.38 37.88 -5.10 38.40 9.55 -44.08 0.00 0.02 0.00P 80.59R 32.66 Braintree_Town 9 6 -7 -7.25 3.76 -8.38 56.02 9.56 -7.67 0.02 1.22 0.27P 15.14R 0.92 Woking 9 5 -9 -6.34 6.18 -7.06 54.67 9.99 -11.90 0.02 1.11 0.26P 19.85R 1.75 Southport 9 5 -16 -2.20 29.11 -6.99 44.65 9.47 -34.11 0.00 0.05 0.01P 59.24R 12.32 Guiseley 9 2 -10 -7.15 2.22 -4.71 37.05 9.07 -36.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.81R 35.39