Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 11 September 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 September 2016, Swansea 2 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          4   12   +7       3.84    93.00     2.53    79.70     9.41    41.51    52.11    72.72    83.79    90.61    97.07     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea           4   10   +5       2.43    82.23     1.77    68.18     9.78    22.66    10.31    25.91    41.21    55.04    77.35     0.06R    0.01  
Man_Utd           4    9   +4       2.39    79.61     2.34    67.48     9.41    21.36     7.99    22.19    37.49    52.40    76.15     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham         4    8   +5       0.78    60.37     2.37    67.75     9.57    24.96     9.42    24.36    39.73    54.15    76.99     0.06R    0.00  
Liverpool         4    7   +2       1.30    69.10     1.80    63.28    10.00    16.85     4.54    12.67    23.69    35.76    60.25     0.39R    0.04  
Arsenal           4    7   +2      -0.07    48.88    -0.45    69.67     9.52    26.80    12.69    30.78    47.60    62.05    82.61     0.03R    0.00  
Hull              4    7   +2       2.22    79.92     2.94    47.59     9.74    -7.18     0.11     0.55     1.38     2.92     9.03    11.08R    2.66  
Everton           3    7   +2       2.44    86.11     1.36    57.76    10.06     5.50     1.48     5.05    10.41    17.53    36.93     1.44R    0.23  
Middlesbrough     4    5   +0      -0.35    46.86     0.06    40.55     9.36   -16.67     0.02     0.08     0.22     0.55     2.20    30.56R    9.95  
Watford           4    4   -1       0.29    58.30     1.91    43.66     9.28   -12.79     0.02     0.12     0.36     0.87     3.70    19.70R    5.57  
Crystal_Palace    4    4   -1      -0.98    37.16    -0.29    40.89     8.96   -15.64     0.00     0.03     0.14     0.41     1.91    28.02R    8.54  
West_Brom         4    4   -1      -1.16    34.93    -0.62    40.25     8.83   -16.13     0.01     0.02     0.08     0.27     1.47    30.21R    9.55  
Swansea           4    4   -2      -0.79    40.83    -0.92    44.67     9.30   -11.65     0.03     0.15     0.51     1.28     4.68    16.87R    4.42  
Bournemouth       4    4   -2      -0.28    48.83    -0.07    37.75     9.09   -24.81     0.01     0.02     0.06     0.20     1.00    42.49R   17.08  
Burnley           4    4   -2      -0.29    48.79    -0.16    41.65     9.54   -15.64     0.02     0.08     0.33     0.75     2.76    27.10R    9.00  
Leicester         4    4   -3      -1.62    29.52    -3.11    55.16     9.78     3.32     0.69     2.54     6.11    11.33    27.44     2.51R    0.44  
West_Ham          4    3   -4      -2.14    20.66    -3.19    49.39     9.81    -5.22     0.13     0.81     1.96     4.10    12.31     8.29R    1.96  
Southampton       4    2   -3      -3.84     7.39    -3.54    54.07     9.57     4.78     0.43     1.89     4.79     9.34    23.84     2.72R    0.51  
Sunderland        3    1   -2      -1.82    23.52     0.27    38.66     9.36   -18.98     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.29     1.41    37.95R   14.49  
Stoke             4    1   -8      -2.69    15.27    -5.00    38.16     9.05   -23.02     0.01     0.02     0.05     0.16     0.92    40.46R   15.54  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 September 2016, Aston_Villa 2 2 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Huddersfield     6   16   +5       8.20    99.45     5.75    69.42    10.54     2.50     4.18    10.58    37.97    15.48P    1.87R    0.28  
Newcastle        6   12   +6       1.31    63.98     2.18    84.63    11.01    33.68    41.90    60.19    86.87    69.29P    0.07R    0.01  
Barnsley         6   12   +5       4.48    90.57     6.13    60.29    11.11    -6.54     0.94     2.83    14.51     4.91P   12.51R    2.99  
Birmingham       6   11   +3       2.65    78.73     2.81    67.11    10.32     5.33     2.48     6.87    30.66    12.28P    2.99R    0.44  
Norwich          6   11   +2       1.01    61.81    -0.71    77.78    11.18    20.50    18.50    34.35    68.89    44.99P    0.40R    0.03  
Fulham           6   11   +2       3.22    82.97     2.77    63.08    10.90    -3.60     1.37     4.09    20.16     7.12P    7.56R    1.55  
QPR              6   10   +3       0.68    57.88     1.43    67.97    10.58     7.94     3.62     9.03    34.61    15.29P    2.41R    0.38  
Brentford        6   10   +3       0.95    61.07     1.80    69.94    10.68    10.85     5.02    12.28    41.73    19.52P    1.87R    0.30  
Bristol_City     6   10   +2       2.39    76.49     3.11    61.00    10.53    -4.47     0.74     2.40    14.64     4.74P    9.79R    2.15  
Nott'm_Forest    6   10   +0       1.83    71.64     0.14    63.73    10.65    -1.91     1.52     4.33    21.21     7.87P    6.33R    1.19  
Reading          6   10   -2       3.09    83.22     0.06    61.10    10.47    -7.69     0.78     2.46    14.19     4.68P    9.73R    2.22  
Wolverhampton    6    9   +3      -0.21    47.65     1.53    65.45    10.43     5.65     2.09     5.69    25.79    10.51P    4.02R    0.67  
Brighton         6    8   +2      -1.52    32.28    -0.08    72.86    10.42    17.00     7.48    18.06    52.84    28.61P    0.70R    0.10  
Burton_Albion    6    8   +1       1.34    67.43     3.22    52.73    10.63   -14.16     0.12     0.40     4.00     1.04P   31.33R   10.53  
Ipswich          6    8   +0      -0.41    46.20    -0.33    65.33    10.42     3.99     1.93     5.34    25.21    10.15P    4.24R    0.79  
Sheff_Wed        6    8   -2      -0.68    42.58    -2.65    65.87    10.33     3.01     2.04     5.71    26.83    11.08P    3.60R    0.61  
Aston_Villa      6    6   +0      -2.71    20.65    -0.85    61.52    11.00     1.43     1.18     3.36    17.12     6.88P    9.55R    2.20  
Cardiff          6    5   -3      -2.98    18.77    -2.57    58.91    10.35    -4.05     0.47     1.48    10.49     3.54P   12.88R    3.20  
Derby            6    5   -4      -4.03    11.60    -5.23    67.65    10.46     7.92     2.93     8.08    33.20    15.79P    2.76R    0.46  
Rotherham        6    5   -9      -0.85    42.08    -5.06    44.63     9.89   -34.45     0.01     0.03     0.45     0.10P   63.23R   33.60  
Wigan            6    4   -1      -4.03    11.47    -0.68    57.47    11.11    -3.23     0.53     1.61    10.08     3.66P   17.58R    5.04  
Leeds_United     6    4   -5      -3.07    17.66    -3.29    50.90    10.09   -16.81     0.04     0.18     2.21     0.56P   36.58R   12.96  
Preston          6    3   -3      -4.70     6.54    -2.46    53.71     9.93    -7.90     0.10     0.39     3.63     1.12P   25.44R    7.56  
Blackburn        6    2   -8      -5.53     3.72    -7.01    51.95    10.11   -14.99     0.05     0.28     2.73     0.80P   32.58R   10.72  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bolton            7   15   +4       3.43    81.68     1.05    74.82    11.12    13.69    13.53    24.65    57.59    33.09P    1.15R    0.07  
Scunthorpe        6   13  +10       2.57    77.61     6.53    76.51    10.93    23.26    17.21    30.30    64.74    39.42P    0.69R    0.03  
Bradford          7   13   +4       2.94    79.71     3.34    74.99    10.12    16.76    11.56    22.98    59.55    32.85P    0.58R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town    7   12   +5       2.18    72.69     4.64    66.18    10.17     6.21     2.56     6.16    26.63    10.57P    4.62R    0.40  
Millwall          7   12   +2       0.75    57.78    -0.37    77.34    10.49    20.56    17.66    31.89    67.88    42.39P    0.47R    0.03  
Peterborough      7   11   +5       0.12    51.65     3.07    73.83    10.84    19.87    11.44    21.95    55.68    31.11P    1.32R    0.11  
Bury              7   11   +4       1.75    69.31     4.66    59.78    10.30    -3.99     0.71     1.84    11.38     3.69P   15.26R    2.04  
Northampton       7   11   +3       1.68    68.61     3.36    59.81    10.82    -4.57     0.95     2.40    12.43     4.39P   16.67R    2.38  
Port_Vale         7   11   +1       2.01    72.05     2.00    64.88    10.35     1.64     1.99     4.94    22.91     8.74P    6.69R    0.65  
Gillingham        7   11   -2       0.72    58.20    -2.94    66.58    10.69     0.66     3.05     7.18    28.52    11.96P    5.60R    0.54  
Oxford_Utd        7   10   +0       0.88    59.98     0.68    58.75    10.62    -7.20     0.65     1.67     9.94     3.42P   18.90R    2.95  
Sheff_Utd         7   10   -2      -0.15    48.88    -2.69    66.81    10.38     3.02     2.83     6.91    28.78    12.25P    4.84R    0.40  
Charlton          6    9   +2      -0.14    48.26     0.58    68.95    11.26     9.58     5.74    12.05    37.56    18.57P    3.99R    0.40  
Chesterfield      7    8   +0      -1.59    34.53    -0.01    59.76    10.42    -3.31     0.77     2.03    11.64     4.09P   15.64R    2.07  
MK_Dons           7    8   -2      -1.78    32.67    -2.25    67.85    10.99     7.65     4.10     9.33    33.38    15.90P    4.77R    0.42  
Swindon           6    8   -2       0.33    55.27    -0.92    65.09    10.79     1.13     2.47     6.03    24.27    10.16P    7.24R    0.80  
Oldham            7    7   -3      -1.46    34.65    -1.45    52.38     9.76   -14.17     0.07     0.22     2.44     0.66P   37.83R    7.88  
Shrewsbury        7    7   -4      -0.87    41.92    -1.26    52.28    10.17   -18.03     0.10     0.31     2.92     0.77P   39.68R    9.12  
Bristol_Rovers    5    5   -2      -0.84    41.20    -0.32    50.61    11.12   -19.17     0.12     0.38     3.03     0.92P   46.26R   14.12  
Walsall           6    5   -3      -4.54     8.85    -5.02    63.11    10.68     1.80     1.57     4.12    19.36     8.23P    9.54R    1.04  
AFC_Wimbledon     7    5   -4      -1.72    33.28     0.60    42.73    10.11   -29.88     0.01     0.02     0.33     0.08P   74.69R   37.34  
Southend          7    5   -7      -2.76    22.10    -4.05    51.28    10.08   -18.24     0.05     0.22     2.30     0.65P   43.10R   10.46  
Coventry          7    4   -5      -5.62     4.96    -5.13    59.42    10.19    -2.03     0.55     1.54    10.34     3.86P   15.36R    2.22  
Rochdale          7    3   -4      -6.65     2.61    -4.10    56.08    10.40    -5.22     0.30     0.88     6.39     2.23P   25.11R    4.52  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2016, Carlisle 2 2 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth              7   15   +2       3.77    84.70    -0.39    78.36    10.40    16.70    13.51    40.48    74.67    49.71P    0.05R    0.01  
Portsmouth            7   14   +6       1.86    68.71     2.19    79.05    10.46    23.43    15.55    43.99    77.13    53.56P    0.04R    0.01  
Luton                 7   13   +8       1.66    66.92     5.39    72.59    10.75    17.22     6.06    22.94    55.71    31.05P    0.35R    0.11  
Doncaster             7   13   +7      -0.09    48.01     1.61    84.50    11.07    34.97    34.73    64.74    88.21    72.54P    0.02R    0.00  
Colchester            7   13   +3       1.78    67.71     0.44    73.79    11.74    14.23     8.96    27.72    58.09    35.20P    0.47R    0.14  
Crewe                 7   12   +2       1.52    65.48     0.64    69.66    11.39     8.21     4.06    16.51    43.96    23.27P    0.99R    0.36  
Morecambe             7   12   -2       4.37    87.90     1.44    59.86    10.84   -12.62     0.47     2.92    14.63     4.87P    6.72R    3.00  
Leyton_Orient         7   11   +3      -0.30    47.09     0.43    71.10    10.58    13.00     4.57    18.51    49.83    26.63P    0.48R    0.15  
Carlisle              7   11   +2       1.71    68.55     2.51    66.93    10.72     5.43     2.01     9.95    34.31    15.33P    1.52R    0.55  
Mansfield             7   11   +0       1.62    68.11     0.25    61.74    10.39    -3.75     0.61     3.83    17.93     6.66P    3.77R    1.49  
Grimsby               7   10   +3       1.19    63.11     4.41    59.60    11.20    -3.64     0.60     3.45    15.50     5.86P    7.50R    3.37  
Stevenage             7   10   +0       0.30    53.64    -0.03    59.79    10.60    -6.40     0.44     2.87    14.23     5.01P    6.11R    2.62  
Barnet                6    9   +2       1.02    62.19     2.35    62.11    10.89    -0.94     0.93     4.91    20.14     8.10P    4.15R    1.72  
Hartlepool            7    9   -4       1.37    65.61    -0.68    48.27    10.04   -27.69     0.01     0.15     1.64     0.34P   32.75R   18.56  
Blackpool             7    8   +2      -3.27    19.40    -0.45    71.11    10.89    16.41     4.72    19.48    50.59    29.18P    0.60R    0.20  
Accrington_Stanley    7    8   -1      -2.26    27.98    -2.00    65.20    10.78     4.47     1.41     7.95    29.07    13.20P    2.22R    0.87  
Notts_County          7    8   -2      -1.09    39.80    -1.17    52.83    10.41   -16.51     0.07     0.63     4.55     1.33P   17.97R    8.82  
Crawley_Town          7    8   -4       0.44    56.86    -0.73    51.55    10.09   -19.26     0.05     0.34     3.19     0.82P   21.22R   10.90  
Cheltenham            7    7   +0      -1.92    30.97     0.87    62.00    11.02     2.55     0.85     4.95    20.46     8.83P    4.33R    1.80  
Newport_County        6    6   -1      -0.83    41.33     1.10    51.77    10.40   -15.01     0.05     0.46     3.76     1.08P   20.60R   10.66  
Exeter                7    6   -5      -2.44    25.44    -3.06    55.38    10.54   -11.60     0.16     1.19     7.15     2.42P   12.52R    5.80  
Wycombe               7    5   -7      -3.58    16.18    -5.65    56.67    10.21    -9.09     0.13     1.12     8.07     2.71P    9.61R    4.30  
Yeovil                7    4   -7      -4.19    11.14    -4.98    48.44     9.91   -19.56     0.01     0.14     1.54     0.41P   30.65R   16.94  
Cambridge_Utd         7    3   -7      -5.02     6.87    -4.50    54.11    10.53   -10.56     0.06     0.80     5.65     1.85P   15.36R    7.63  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2016, Aldershot 0 0 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City        9   21  +14       6.70    95.04    10.73    81.61    10.25    29.79    14.62    62.63    25.06P    0.05R    0.00  
Forest_Green        9   19   +9       2.82    74.66     2.96    86.33     9.65    35.51    27.24    79.31    43.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere            9   19   +5       2.72    74.44    -0.94    81.16     9.68    22.26    11.92    60.29    25.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red           9   18   +8       0.82    56.38     0.42    84.89    10.33    34.28    24.12    73.47    39.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield        9   18   +6       3.19    77.76     2.25    76.52     9.71    17.85     5.23    41.63    13.70P    0.10R    0.00  
Aldershot           9   17   +5       4.30    85.27     4.46    65.96     9.81     2.06     0.58    10.51     2.32P    2.20R    0.07  
Gateshead           9   16  +10       2.62    73.30     8.57    73.52    10.07    20.57     3.43    31.81     8.94P    0.41R    0.02  
Dover_Athletic      9   16   +3       1.29    61.77    -0.75    74.06    10.12    14.51     3.87    32.59    10.15P    0.41R    0.01  
Eastleigh           9   15   +7      -0.70    42.56     1.37    72.46    10.17    17.05     2.81    28.16     8.84P    0.55R    0.00  
Barrow              9   15   +0       2.90    75.89     0.55    61.19     9.88    -8.14     0.21     4.54     0.87P    6.81R    0.26  
Wrexham             9   15   -1       1.33    62.60    -2.97    69.49     9.77     4.75     1.19    17.24     4.56P    1.00R    0.01  
Maidstone_United    9   14   +1       3.68    80.79     4.12    60.11    10.97    -7.37     0.29     5.22     1.16P   10.65R    0.75  
Boreham_Wood        9   13   +4       2.31    72.64     6.28    64.77     9.50     6.14     0.27     7.80     1.71P    2.51R    0.08  
Torquay             9   13   +0       0.94    59.46     0.40    60.42     9.68    -5.73     0.13     3.53     0.68P    7.24R    0.34  
Sutton_United       9   13   -1       3.33    79.68     3.32    58.54    10.66    -9.00     0.12     3.39     0.68P   12.85R    1.03  
York                9   11   -1      -3.45    20.74    -4.38    73.64    10.51    17.94     3.86    32.80    12.09P    0.62R    0.02  
Solihull_Moors      9   10   -7       0.91    60.46    -1.01    46.97    10.37   -32.16     0.01     0.30     0.05P   50.09R    9.89  
Chester             9    8   -2      -2.84    25.42     0.62    56.85     9.99    -6.25     0.05     1.97     0.42P   14.40R    1.19  
Bromley             9    8   -6      -3.02    24.47    -3.77    51.49     9.71   -19.49     0.01     0.41     0.07P   30.44R    3.28  
North_Ferriby       9    7  -12      -1.38    37.88    -5.10    38.40     9.55   -44.08     0.00     0.02     0.00P   80.59R   32.66  
Braintree_Town      9    6   -7      -7.25     3.76    -8.38    56.02     9.56    -7.67     0.02     1.22     0.27P   15.14R    0.92  
Woking              9    5   -9      -6.34     6.18    -7.06    54.67     9.99   -11.90     0.02     1.11     0.26P   19.85R    1.75  
Southport           9    5  -16      -2.20    29.11    -6.99    44.65     9.47   -34.11     0.00     0.05     0.01P   59.24R   12.32  
Guiseley            9    2  -10      -7.15     2.22    -4.71    37.05     9.07   -36.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.81R   35.39