Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 7 September 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2016, Man_City 3 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          3    9   +6       2.54    85.97     2.15    77.54     9.71    39.07    47.35    67.90    79.99    87.61    95.26     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea           3    9   +5       3.25    90.76     2.52    69.27     9.84    23.60    14.88    33.00    48.99    62.45    81.16     0.06R    0.01  
Man_Utd           3    9   +5       3.60    93.32     3.09    68.66     9.59    21.93    12.80    29.93    46.28    59.97    79.98     0.05R    0.00  
Everton           3    7   +2       2.45    85.73     1.37    57.43     9.92     5.23     1.64     5.45    11.07    18.28    36.66     1.50R    0.24  
Hull              3    6   +2       2.62    85.72     2.97    48.16     9.97    -6.45     0.19     0.80     2.02     3.96    10.86    10.61R    2.53  
Middlesbrough     3    5   +1       1.02    68.13     1.06    43.19     9.49   -12.92     0.03     0.19     0.59     1.27     4.10    21.41R    5.88  
Tottenham         3    5   +1      -0.14    46.87    -0.50    63.93     9.71    17.30     5.76    16.14    28.06    40.43    64.15     0.22R    0.03  
Arsenal           3    4   +1      -1.33    30.62    -0.85    67.68     9.67    24.91    11.36    27.31    43.21    57.17    77.75     0.10R    0.00  
Leicester         3    4   +0      -0.56    42.73    -0.65    57.85     9.84     8.50     1.70     5.61    11.54    19.47    39.04     1.38R    0.22  
West_Brom         3    4   +0       0.20    55.82     0.34    42.33     9.05   -13.57     0.03     0.10     0.33     0.75     2.85    23.11R    6.24  
Liverpool         3    4   -1       0.07    54.63    -0.63    59.36    10.14    10.00     2.78     8.09    15.30    24.57    45.27     1.10R    0.16  
West_Ham          3    3   -2      -0.59    39.42    -1.05    52.28     9.86    -0.48     0.47     1.85     4.32     8.27    20.16     4.63R    0.83  
Burnley           3    3   -2      -0.09    49.15    -0.43    41.75     9.62   -15.45     0.04     0.11     0.37     0.85     3.02    27.06R    8.70  
Swansea           3    3   -2      -0.73    38.06    -1.48    44.09     9.34   -12.52     0.05     0.25     0.63     1.32     4.54    18.40R    4.95  
Southampton       3    2   -2      -2.81    11.40    -3.08    54.72     9.73     4.85     0.88     3.07     6.65    11.92    27.26     2.58R    0.39  
Sunderland        3    1   -2      -1.78    24.03     0.33    38.63     9.30   -18.34     0.01     0.04     0.13     0.34     1.49    38.19R   13.85  
Crystal_Palace    3    1   -2      -2.68    12.95    -1.39    38.67     8.96   -16.76     0.01     0.04     0.10     0.24     1.28    37.02R   12.47  
Watford           3    1   -3      -1.52    29.55    -0.50    40.20     9.26   -16.83     0.01     0.03     0.14     0.41     1.96    31.71R   10.75  
Bournemouth       3    1   -3      -1.86    24.02    -1.00    35.63     9.26   -26.13     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.13     0.73    51.98R   23.85  
Stoke             3    1   -4      -2.02    21.11    -2.26    41.02     9.28   -15.92     0.01     0.08     0.24     0.58     2.47    28.90R    8.90  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2016, Barnsley 4 0 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Huddersfield     5   13   +4       6.33    98.78     4.44    66.52    10.62    -0.88     2.89     7.12    28.52    10.93P    4.12R    0.78  
Fulham           5   11   +3       4.75    94.11     4.00    66.21    10.75     0.06     2.89     7.28    28.21    11.24P    4.36R    0.86  
Barnsley         5    9   +4       2.55    79.55     4.73    57.67    11.20    -9.54     0.65     1.90    10.26     3.42P   19.28R    5.59  
Newcastle        5    9   +4      -0.20    45.75     0.33    80.96    11.09    28.98    30.13    46.99    78.41    57.54P    0.18R    0.02  
QPR              5    9   +3       1.59    69.55     2.19    69.81    10.64    10.24     5.66    12.54    40.82    19.49P    1.88R    0.34  
Bristol_City     5    9   +2       2.61    80.17     2.85    61.48    10.60    -4.59     1.04     2.91    15.56     5.37P    9.88R    2.27  
Nott'm_Forest    5    9   +0       1.81    72.47    -0.38    63.14    10.57    -3.39     1.52     3.89    19.08     6.93P    7.27R    1.52  
Brighton         5    8   +4       0.15    52.91     2.30    76.63    10.37    22.79    15.35    30.19    66.71    41.46P    0.29R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    5    8   +3       0.71    59.99     2.35    67.00    10.49     7.48     3.30     7.78    30.86    13.34P    3.17R    0.53  
Birmingham       5    8   +2       0.91    62.65     1.65    64.47    10.33     2.62     1.79     4.65    22.52     8.54P    5.14R    0.96  
Ipswich          5    8   +1       0.69    60.20     0.31    66.54    10.47     4.87     2.82     6.99    29.06    12.09P    3.75R    0.65  
Norwich          5    8   +1       0.06    51.41    -0.72    76.35    11.15    19.95    16.98    30.24    64.35    40.57P    0.62R    0.11  
Burton_Albion    5    7   +1       1.16    66.29     2.47    51.99    10.70   -16.53     0.17     0.48     3.64     1.01P   35.24R   13.01  
Brentford        5    7   +1      -0.95    38.46    -0.59    65.46    10.76     4.30     2.63     6.46    26.46    11.03P    5.02R    0.99  
Reading          5    7   -3       1.73    74.06    -0.49    59.77    10.43    -8.40     0.60     1.94    11.53     3.81P   12.62R    3.10  
Aston_Villa      5    5   +0      -1.99    25.39    -0.35    62.66    10.93     2.62     1.78     4.28    19.31     8.06P    8.30R    1.91  
Cardiff          5    5   -2      -2.25    23.15    -2.55    60.01    10.24    -3.39     0.61     1.88    12.11     4.11P   11.29R    2.53  
Derby            5    5   -2      -2.71    19.36    -3.28    70.87    10.51    13.02     6.18    14.20    45.14    23.73P    1.51R    0.23  
Sheff_Wed        5    5   -3      -1.82    27.78    -2.98    64.30    10.38     2.15     1.69     4.44    21.90     8.71P    5.50R    1.04  
Wigan            5    4   +0      -3.22    14.98    -0.46    58.52    11.20    -2.69     0.83     2.25    11.75     4.54P   16.32R    4.79  
Leeds_United     5    4   -4      -1.61    30.46    -2.11    53.61    10.10   -14.28     0.16     0.43     3.70     1.03P   28.46R    8.61  
Rotherham        5    4   -9      -0.45    46.84    -4.93    45.37     9.93   -34.31     0.01     0.03     0.56     0.11P   61.78R   32.50  
Preston          5    3   -2      -2.98    14.48    -0.96    56.93    10.06    -4.34     0.28     0.88     6.98     2.26P   17.48R    4.40  
Blackburn        5    1   -8      -5.68     1.92    -7.80    51.34    10.25   -16.75     0.06     0.23     2.55     0.69P   36.53R   13.25  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 September 2016, Gillingham 1 2 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bolton            6   14   +4       4.15    88.90     1.57    75.98    11.57    14.83    15.54    27.59    60.30    35.83P    1.10R    0.07  
Bradford          6   12   +4       3.16    82.74     3.12    74.91    10.37    16.13    10.74    21.55    58.21    31.59P    0.74R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town    6   11   +5       2.59    78.62     4.69    66.46    10.46     6.24     2.54     6.31    27.39    10.76P    4.90R    0.47  
Millwall          6   11   +2       1.49    67.05     0.19    78.68    10.73    21.87    20.05    35.19    70.89    45.78P    0.37R    0.01  
Scunthorpe        5   10   +6       1.94    73.40     4.09    73.28    11.11    16.63    10.15    19.74    52.25    28.00P    1.51R    0.10  
Peterborough      6   10   +5       0.92    60.54     3.74    75.47    11.18    21.77    13.79    26.16    60.20    35.33P    1.06R    0.08  
Port_Vale         6   10   +1       2.03    73.27     1.35    64.10    10.53    -0.17     1.69     4.22    20.30     7.58P    7.98R    0.95  
Gillingham        6   10   -2       1.16    63.25    -2.87    67.46    10.85     1.49     3.41     7.77    30.59    12.94P    4.80R    0.52  
Bury              6    8   +3       0.62    59.11     4.43    58.26    10.56    -4.72     0.53     1.41     9.19     2.89P   19.39R    3.32  
Charlton          5    8   +2       0.11    51.86     0.43    69.01    11.75     9.14     5.92    12.08    37.59    18.82P    4.67R    0.54  
Northampton       6    8   +1       0.45    56.83     1.96    55.88    11.13   -10.08     0.39     1.13     7.32     2.42P   27.64R    5.89  
Swindon           5    8   +0       1.34    67.88     0.50    67.85    11.04     5.34     3.78     8.89    32.51    14.23P    4.64R    0.50  
Chesterfield      6    7   +0      -1.28    36.49    -0.06    60.17    10.67    -3.31     0.81     2.14    12.50     4.38P   15.18R    2.23  
MK_Dons           6    7   -2      -1.66    32.58    -2.64    67.51    11.47     6.51     4.02     9.20    32.57    15.50P    5.71R    0.74  
Oxford_Utd        6    7   -2      -0.34    47.24    -0.73    55.53    10.89   -11.64     0.32     0.92     6.29     2.00P   28.63R    6.12  
Shrewsbury        6    7   -3      -0.02    51.08    -1.11    53.90    10.44   -16.42     0.16     0.49     4.28     1.21P   33.60R    7.63  
Sheff_Utd         6    7   -3      -1.42    33.97    -3.19    64.90    10.70     1.66     2.05     4.93    22.86     9.39P    7.14R    0.85  
Oldham            6    6   -3      -1.04    38.25    -1.35    53.08    10.05   -13.73     0.06     0.29     3.08     0.85P   35.41R    7.89  
Walsall           5    5   -1      -3.37    13.76    -3.30    66.02    10.97     6.16     2.98     6.77    27.55    12.45P    6.09R    0.67  
AFC_Wimbledon     6    5   -3      -0.69    44.46     0.97    44.23    10.29   -27.81     0.01     0.04     0.58     0.11P   69.31R   32.21  
Southend          6    5   -3      -2.31    24.98    -1.60    53.80    10.35   -12.25     0.10     0.42     3.94     1.13P   33.15R    7.29  
Bristol_Rovers    4    4   -2      -0.51    45.47    -0.42    51.35    11.61   -18.16     0.22     0.58     3.97     1.30P   43.66R   14.02  
Coventry          6    3   -5      -5.56     3.85    -5.62    58.39    10.43    -4.05     0.42     1.25     8.84     3.20P   18.42R    3.14  
Rochdale          6    2   -4      -6.33     2.23    -4.15    56.24    10.63    -5.45     0.30     0.92     6.77     2.32P   24.91R    4.73  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 September 2016, Carlisle 1 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                 6   13   +9       3.36    83.88     6.91    75.78    10.97    21.14    12.81    35.61    67.11    43.59P    0.23R    0.08  
Morecambe             6   12   +2       4.87    91.73     3.84    63.16    11.02    -4.90     1.47     6.65    23.32     9.49P    3.93R    1.56  
Plymouth              6   12   +1       2.71    78.54    -0.58    77.05    10.56    16.23    13.84    38.09    71.16    47.40P    0.10R    0.02  
Portsmouth            6   11   +4       0.90    60.25     1.22    76.61    10.56    20.09    13.09    37.25    70.67    46.89P    0.13R    0.05  
Mansfield             6   11   +1       2.95    81.79     1.19    64.36    10.64    -0.77     1.45     7.38    26.51    11.33P    2.54R    0.91  
Doncaster             6   10   +3      -0.70    41.19    -0.68    79.75    11.42    25.74    23.06    49.70    77.93    58.76P    0.14R    0.04  
Leyton_Orient         6   10   +3       0.19    51.80     0.65    71.20    10.73    12.62     5.88    20.68    51.25    28.72P    0.56R    0.17  
Colchester            6   10   +2       0.36    53.90    -0.25    70.72    12.01    10.87     7.41    22.34    49.01    28.80P    1.26R    0.45  
Carlisle              6   10   +2       2.00    72.05     2.31    66.98    10.92     5.14     2.82    11.63    35.50    16.91P    1.71R    0.62  
Crewe                 6    9   +0       0.37    54.50    -0.65    66.52    11.61     3.98     3.11    12.28    34.89    17.76P    2.34R    0.85  
Blackpool             6    8   +3      -1.95    28.73     0.51    73.59    11.29    19.00     9.74    28.81    59.80    38.41P    0.37R    0.13  
Notts_County          6    8   +0      -0.05    50.76     0.28    55.21    10.66   -12.62     0.24     1.44     7.71     2.56P   13.22R    5.99  
Crawley_Town          6    8   -3       1.43    68.62    -0.44    52.99    10.40   -17.85     0.09     0.74     4.79     1.42P   18.43R    9.09  
Grimsby               6    7   +2      -0.54    45.04     3.17    56.16    11.48    -7.36     0.50     2.55    10.67     4.20P   13.21R    6.65  
Stevenage             6    7   -1      -0.99    39.75    -0.53    58.09    10.81    -7.31     0.44     2.39    12.09     4.46P    8.89R    3.94  
Barnet                5    6   +1      -0.61    42.73     1.33    59.41    11.09    -3.42     0.75     3.81    15.24     6.21P    7.40R    3.28  
Cheltenham            6    6   +0      -1.44    34.52     0.94    61.76    11.10     1.94     1.13     5.61    20.68     9.17P    4.86R    2.02  
Exeter                6    6   -3      -1.63    31.74    -1.99    57.66    10.83    -8.08     0.39     2.38    11.51     4.22P    9.51R    4.22  
Hartlepool            6    6   -5      -0.44    46.38    -1.93    45.90    10.10   -29.34     0.01     0.12     1.05     0.25P   42.94R   26.79  
Newport_County        5    5   -1      -0.63    44.15     0.82    52.20    10.54   -14.11     0.09     0.65     4.39     1.30P   20.54R   10.28  
Accrington_Stanley    6    5   -3      -3.52    15.54    -3.45    62.58    10.96     0.96     1.13     5.97    22.39     9.99P    4.17R    1.73  
Wycombe               6    5   -5      -2.80    20.71    -4.55    58.53    10.35    -5.95     0.33     2.24    11.72     4.52P    7.20R    2.95  
Yeovil                6    4   -6      -2.62    21.08    -3.81    51.12    10.18   -16.31     0.05     0.40     3.08     0.89P   22.87R   11.83  
Cambridge_Utd         6    3   -6      -4.15     9.81    -4.33    55.17    10.61    -9.68     0.16     1.29     7.53     2.73P   13.45R    6.36  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 September 2016, Aldershot 3 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Forest_Green        8   19  +10       4.10    85.79     3.80    87.48     9.88    36.01    32.44    82.67    47.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            8   19   +6       4.14    86.50    -0.01    84.26     9.93    26.11    20.35    72.50    35.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City        8   18  +13       4.86    89.81     9.38    77.96    10.40    25.51     8.56    50.15    16.96P    0.16R    0.00  
Aldershot           8   16   +5       5.08    90.55     5.07    66.91    10.03     2.74     0.83    13.18     2.82P    2.41R    0.10  
Macclesfield        8   15   +5       1.89    68.61     1.65    74.60    10.00    16.56     4.16    36.30    11.62P    0.32R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red           8   15   +5       0.20    50.83    -0.88    81.21    10.48    27.55    14.34    62.08    28.78P    0.09R    0.00  
Eastleigh           8   14   +7       0.55    56.01     2.75    74.88    10.31    20.57     4.89    38.31    12.89P    0.38R    0.01  
Barrow              8   14   +0       3.45    81.70     0.86    61.70    10.11    -8.00     0.30     5.58     1.13P    7.36R    0.42  
Gateshead           8   13   +7       1.20    62.12     5.92    69.57    10.27    13.93     1.59    20.67     5.39P    1.38R    0.06  
Dover_Athletic      8   13   +2      -0.24    47.16    -1.56    71.92    10.21    12.74     2.59    27.31     8.29P    0.86R    0.02  
Sutton_United       8   13   +0       4.00    85.07     3.40    59.62    10.88    -8.78     0.22     4.95     1.03P   12.39R    1.02  
Boreham_Wood        8   12   +4       2.55    75.93     6.07    64.54     9.74     5.27     0.34     8.27     1.87P    3.49R    0.16  
Wrexham             8   12   -2       0.24    52.66    -3.21    68.57    10.00     4.85     1.07    16.63     4.41P    1.77R    0.07  
York                8   11   +1      -2.36    27.50    -2.91    76.96    10.81    23.67     7.85    46.44    18.87P    0.37R    0.02  
Maidstone_United    8   11   -1       2.53    75.28     3.04    57.58    11.29   -11.16     0.18     3.92     0.88P   17.75R    2.21  
Torquay             8   10   -2      -0.43    46.26    -1.20    57.20     9.92   -10.49     0.06     2.19     0.39P   14.95R    1.21  
Solihull_Moors      8   10   -4       1.32    64.65     0.21    50.55    10.74   -24.31     0.03     0.87     0.17P   38.60R    6.39  
Bromley             8    8   -5      -1.83    33.60    -3.01    53.31    10.02   -18.06     0.01     0.97     0.19P   26.69R    3.05  
Chester             8    7   -2      -2.80    23.99     0.11    56.15    10.21    -8.42     0.04     2.01     0.38P   18.25R    1.89  
North_Ferriby       8    7  -10      -0.55    46.13    -3.90    41.73    10.04   -38.99     0.00     0.08     0.01P   71.84R   24.39  
Braintree_Town      8    6   -4      -6.21     5.21    -5.85    59.61     9.72    -1.27     0.12     3.35     0.91P    9.11R    0.51  
Woking              8    4   -9      -5.90     6.01    -6.92    55.20    10.19   -11.80     0.03     1.53     0.31P   20.95R    2.16  
Southport           8    4  -16      -2.57    23.72    -8.15    43.10     9.53   -37.93     0.00     0.03     0.00    67.59R   19.36  
Guiseley            8    1  -10      -6.79     1.64    -4.67    37.99     9.29   -36.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.25R   36.95