Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 7 September 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2016, Man_City 3 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 3 9 +6 2.54 85.97 2.15 77.54 9.71 39.07 47.35 67.90 79.99 87.61 95.26 0.00R 0.00 Chelsea 3 9 +5 3.25 90.76 2.52 69.27 9.84 23.60 14.88 33.00 48.99 62.45 81.16 0.06R 0.01 Man_Utd 3 9 +5 3.60 93.32 3.09 68.66 9.59 21.93 12.80 29.93 46.28 59.97 79.98 0.05R 0.00 Everton 3 7 +2 2.45 85.73 1.37 57.43 9.92 5.23 1.64 5.45 11.07 18.28 36.66 1.50R 0.24 Hull 3 6 +2 2.62 85.72 2.97 48.16 9.97 -6.45 0.19 0.80 2.02 3.96 10.86 10.61R 2.53 Middlesbrough 3 5 +1 1.02 68.13 1.06 43.19 9.49 -12.92 0.03 0.19 0.59 1.27 4.10 21.41R 5.88 Tottenham 3 5 +1 -0.14 46.87 -0.50 63.93 9.71 17.30 5.76 16.14 28.06 40.43 64.15 0.22R 0.03 Arsenal 3 4 +1 -1.33 30.62 -0.85 67.68 9.67 24.91 11.36 27.31 43.21 57.17 77.75 0.10R 0.00 Leicester 3 4 +0 -0.56 42.73 -0.65 57.85 9.84 8.50 1.70 5.61 11.54 19.47 39.04 1.38R 0.22 West_Brom 3 4 +0 0.20 55.82 0.34 42.33 9.05 -13.57 0.03 0.10 0.33 0.75 2.85 23.11R 6.24 Liverpool 3 4 -1 0.07 54.63 -0.63 59.36 10.14 10.00 2.78 8.09 15.30 24.57 45.27 1.10R 0.16 West_Ham 3 3 -2 -0.59 39.42 -1.05 52.28 9.86 -0.48 0.47 1.85 4.32 8.27 20.16 4.63R 0.83 Burnley 3 3 -2 -0.09 49.15 -0.43 41.75 9.62 -15.45 0.04 0.11 0.37 0.85 3.02 27.06R 8.70 Swansea 3 3 -2 -0.73 38.06 -1.48 44.09 9.34 -12.52 0.05 0.25 0.63 1.32 4.54 18.40R 4.95 Southampton 3 2 -2 -2.81 11.40 -3.08 54.72 9.73 4.85 0.88 3.07 6.65 11.92 27.26 2.58R 0.39 Sunderland 3 1 -2 -1.78 24.03 0.33 38.63 9.30 -18.34 0.01 0.04 0.13 0.34 1.49 38.19R 13.85 Crystal_Palace 3 1 -2 -2.68 12.95 -1.39 38.67 8.96 -16.76 0.01 0.04 0.10 0.24 1.28 37.02R 12.47 Watford 3 1 -3 -1.52 29.55 -0.50 40.20 9.26 -16.83 0.01 0.03 0.14 0.41 1.96 31.71R 10.75 Bournemouth 3 1 -3 -1.86 24.02 -1.00 35.63 9.26 -26.13 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.13 0.73 51.98R 23.85 Stoke 3 1 -4 -2.02 21.11 -2.26 41.02 9.28 -15.92 0.01 0.08 0.24 0.58 2.47 28.90R 8.90Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2016, Barnsley 4 0 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Huddersfield 5 13 +4 6.33 98.78 4.44 66.52 10.62 -0.88 2.89 7.12 28.52 10.93P 4.12R 0.78 Fulham 5 11 +3 4.75 94.11 4.00 66.21 10.75 0.06 2.89 7.28 28.21 11.24P 4.36R 0.86 Barnsley 5 9 +4 2.55 79.55 4.73 57.67 11.20 -9.54 0.65 1.90 10.26 3.42P 19.28R 5.59 Newcastle 5 9 +4 -0.20 45.75 0.33 80.96 11.09 28.98 30.13 46.99 78.41 57.54P 0.18R 0.02 QPR 5 9 +3 1.59 69.55 2.19 69.81 10.64 10.24 5.66 12.54 40.82 19.49P 1.88R 0.34 Bristol_City 5 9 +2 2.61 80.17 2.85 61.48 10.60 -4.59 1.04 2.91 15.56 5.37P 9.88R 2.27 Nott'm_Forest 5 9 +0 1.81 72.47 -0.38 63.14 10.57 -3.39 1.52 3.89 19.08 6.93P 7.27R 1.52 Brighton 5 8 +4 0.15 52.91 2.30 76.63 10.37 22.79 15.35 30.19 66.71 41.46P 0.29R 0.03 Wolverhampton 5 8 +3 0.71 59.99 2.35 67.00 10.49 7.48 3.30 7.78 30.86 13.34P 3.17R 0.53 Birmingham 5 8 +2 0.91 62.65 1.65 64.47 10.33 2.62 1.79 4.65 22.52 8.54P 5.14R 0.96 Ipswich 5 8 +1 0.69 60.20 0.31 66.54 10.47 4.87 2.82 6.99 29.06 12.09P 3.75R 0.65 Norwich 5 8 +1 0.06 51.41 -0.72 76.35 11.15 19.95 16.98 30.24 64.35 40.57P 0.62R 0.11 Burton_Albion 5 7 +1 1.16 66.29 2.47 51.99 10.70 -16.53 0.17 0.48 3.64 1.01P 35.24R 13.01 Brentford 5 7 +1 -0.95 38.46 -0.59 65.46 10.76 4.30 2.63 6.46 26.46 11.03P 5.02R 0.99 Reading 5 7 -3 1.73 74.06 -0.49 59.77 10.43 -8.40 0.60 1.94 11.53 3.81P 12.62R 3.10 Aston_Villa 5 5 +0 -1.99 25.39 -0.35 62.66 10.93 2.62 1.78 4.28 19.31 8.06P 8.30R 1.91 Cardiff 5 5 -2 -2.25 23.15 -2.55 60.01 10.24 -3.39 0.61 1.88 12.11 4.11P 11.29R 2.53 Derby 5 5 -2 -2.71 19.36 -3.28 70.87 10.51 13.02 6.18 14.20 45.14 23.73P 1.51R 0.23 Sheff_Wed 5 5 -3 -1.82 27.78 -2.98 64.30 10.38 2.15 1.69 4.44 21.90 8.71P 5.50R 1.04 Wigan 5 4 +0 -3.22 14.98 -0.46 58.52 11.20 -2.69 0.83 2.25 11.75 4.54P 16.32R 4.79 Leeds_United 5 4 -4 -1.61 30.46 -2.11 53.61 10.10 -14.28 0.16 0.43 3.70 1.03P 28.46R 8.61 Rotherham 5 4 -9 -0.45 46.84 -4.93 45.37 9.93 -34.31 0.01 0.03 0.56 0.11P 61.78R 32.50 Preston 5 3 -2 -2.98 14.48 -0.96 56.93 10.06 -4.34 0.28 0.88 6.98 2.26P 17.48R 4.40 Blackburn 5 1 -8 -5.68 1.92 -7.80 51.34 10.25 -16.75 0.06 0.23 2.55 0.69P 36.53R 13.25League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 September 2016, Gillingham 1 2 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bolton 6 14 +4 4.15 88.90 1.57 75.98 11.57 14.83 15.54 27.59 60.30 35.83P 1.10R 0.07 Bradford 6 12 +4 3.16 82.74 3.12 74.91 10.37 16.13 10.74 21.55 58.21 31.59P 0.74R 0.04 Fleetwood_Town 6 11 +5 2.59 78.62 4.69 66.46 10.46 6.24 2.54 6.31 27.39 10.76P 4.90R 0.47 Millwall 6 11 +2 1.49 67.05 0.19 78.68 10.73 21.87 20.05 35.19 70.89 45.78P 0.37R 0.01 Scunthorpe 5 10 +6 1.94 73.40 4.09 73.28 11.11 16.63 10.15 19.74 52.25 28.00P 1.51R 0.10 Peterborough 6 10 +5 0.92 60.54 3.74 75.47 11.18 21.77 13.79 26.16 60.20 35.33P 1.06R 0.08 Port_Vale 6 10 +1 2.03 73.27 1.35 64.10 10.53 -0.17 1.69 4.22 20.30 7.58P 7.98R 0.95 Gillingham 6 10 -2 1.16 63.25 -2.87 67.46 10.85 1.49 3.41 7.77 30.59 12.94P 4.80R 0.52 Bury 6 8 +3 0.62 59.11 4.43 58.26 10.56 -4.72 0.53 1.41 9.19 2.89P 19.39R 3.32 Charlton 5 8 +2 0.11 51.86 0.43 69.01 11.75 9.14 5.92 12.08 37.59 18.82P 4.67R 0.54 Northampton 6 8 +1 0.45 56.83 1.96 55.88 11.13 -10.08 0.39 1.13 7.32 2.42P 27.64R 5.89 Swindon 5 8 +0 1.34 67.88 0.50 67.85 11.04 5.34 3.78 8.89 32.51 14.23P 4.64R 0.50 Chesterfield 6 7 +0 -1.28 36.49 -0.06 60.17 10.67 -3.31 0.81 2.14 12.50 4.38P 15.18R 2.23 MK_Dons 6 7 -2 -1.66 32.58 -2.64 67.51 11.47 6.51 4.02 9.20 32.57 15.50P 5.71R 0.74 Oxford_Utd 6 7 -2 -0.34 47.24 -0.73 55.53 10.89 -11.64 0.32 0.92 6.29 2.00P 28.63R 6.12 Shrewsbury 6 7 -3 -0.02 51.08 -1.11 53.90 10.44 -16.42 0.16 0.49 4.28 1.21P 33.60R 7.63 Sheff_Utd 6 7 -3 -1.42 33.97 -3.19 64.90 10.70 1.66 2.05 4.93 22.86 9.39P 7.14R 0.85 Oldham 6 6 -3 -1.04 38.25 -1.35 53.08 10.05 -13.73 0.06 0.29 3.08 0.85P 35.41R 7.89 Walsall 5 5 -1 -3.37 13.76 -3.30 66.02 10.97 6.16 2.98 6.77 27.55 12.45P 6.09R 0.67 AFC_Wimbledon 6 5 -3 -0.69 44.46 0.97 44.23 10.29 -27.81 0.01 0.04 0.58 0.11P 69.31R 32.21 Southend 6 5 -3 -2.31 24.98 -1.60 53.80 10.35 -12.25 0.10 0.42 3.94 1.13P 33.15R 7.29 Bristol_Rovers 4 4 -2 -0.51 45.47 -0.42 51.35 11.61 -18.16 0.22 0.58 3.97 1.30P 43.66R 14.02 Coventry 6 3 -5 -5.56 3.85 -5.62 58.39 10.43 -4.05 0.42 1.25 8.84 3.20P 18.42R 3.14 Rochdale 6 2 -4 -6.33 2.23 -4.15 56.24 10.63 -5.45 0.30 0.92 6.77 2.32P 24.91R 4.73League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 September 2016, Carlisle 1 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 6 13 +9 3.36 83.88 6.91 75.78 10.97 21.14 12.81 35.61 67.11 43.59P 0.23R 0.08 Morecambe 6 12 +2 4.87 91.73 3.84 63.16 11.02 -4.90 1.47 6.65 23.32 9.49P 3.93R 1.56 Plymouth 6 12 +1 2.71 78.54 -0.58 77.05 10.56 16.23 13.84 38.09 71.16 47.40P 0.10R 0.02 Portsmouth 6 11 +4 0.90 60.25 1.22 76.61 10.56 20.09 13.09 37.25 70.67 46.89P 0.13R 0.05 Mansfield 6 11 +1 2.95 81.79 1.19 64.36 10.64 -0.77 1.45 7.38 26.51 11.33P 2.54R 0.91 Doncaster 6 10 +3 -0.70 41.19 -0.68 79.75 11.42 25.74 23.06 49.70 77.93 58.76P 0.14R 0.04 Leyton_Orient 6 10 +3 0.19 51.80 0.65 71.20 10.73 12.62 5.88 20.68 51.25 28.72P 0.56R 0.17 Colchester 6 10 +2 0.36 53.90 -0.25 70.72 12.01 10.87 7.41 22.34 49.01 28.80P 1.26R 0.45 Carlisle 6 10 +2 2.00 72.05 2.31 66.98 10.92 5.14 2.82 11.63 35.50 16.91P 1.71R 0.62 Crewe 6 9 +0 0.37 54.50 -0.65 66.52 11.61 3.98 3.11 12.28 34.89 17.76P 2.34R 0.85 Blackpool 6 8 +3 -1.95 28.73 0.51 73.59 11.29 19.00 9.74 28.81 59.80 38.41P 0.37R 0.13 Notts_County 6 8 +0 -0.05 50.76 0.28 55.21 10.66 -12.62 0.24 1.44 7.71 2.56P 13.22R 5.99 Crawley_Town 6 8 -3 1.43 68.62 -0.44 52.99 10.40 -17.85 0.09 0.74 4.79 1.42P 18.43R 9.09 Grimsby 6 7 +2 -0.54 45.04 3.17 56.16 11.48 -7.36 0.50 2.55 10.67 4.20P 13.21R 6.65 Stevenage 6 7 -1 -0.99 39.75 -0.53 58.09 10.81 -7.31 0.44 2.39 12.09 4.46P 8.89R 3.94 Barnet 5 6 +1 -0.61 42.73 1.33 59.41 11.09 -3.42 0.75 3.81 15.24 6.21P 7.40R 3.28 Cheltenham 6 6 +0 -1.44 34.52 0.94 61.76 11.10 1.94 1.13 5.61 20.68 9.17P 4.86R 2.02 Exeter 6 6 -3 -1.63 31.74 -1.99 57.66 10.83 -8.08 0.39 2.38 11.51 4.22P 9.51R 4.22 Hartlepool 6 6 -5 -0.44 46.38 -1.93 45.90 10.10 -29.34 0.01 0.12 1.05 0.25P 42.94R 26.79 Newport_County 5 5 -1 -0.63 44.15 0.82 52.20 10.54 -14.11 0.09 0.65 4.39 1.30P 20.54R 10.28 Accrington_Stanley 6 5 -3 -3.52 15.54 -3.45 62.58 10.96 0.96 1.13 5.97 22.39 9.99P 4.17R 1.73 Wycombe 6 5 -5 -2.80 20.71 -4.55 58.53 10.35 -5.95 0.33 2.24 11.72 4.52P 7.20R 2.95 Yeovil 6 4 -6 -2.62 21.08 -3.81 51.12 10.18 -16.31 0.05 0.40 3.08 0.89P 22.87R 11.83 Cambridge_Utd 6 3 -6 -4.15 9.81 -4.33 55.17 10.61 -9.68 0.16 1.29 7.53 2.73P 13.45R 6.36National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 September 2016, Aldershot 3 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Forest_Green 8 19 +10 4.10 85.79 3.80 87.48 9.88 36.01 32.44 82.67 47.42P 0.01R 0.00 Tranmere 8 19 +6 4.14 86.50 -0.01 84.26 9.93 26.11 20.35 72.50 35.29P 0.02R 0.00 Lincoln_City 8 18 +13 4.86 89.81 9.38 77.96 10.40 25.51 8.56 50.15 16.96P 0.16R 0.00 Aldershot 8 16 +5 5.08 90.55 5.07 66.91 10.03 2.74 0.83 13.18 2.82P 2.41R 0.10 Macclesfield 8 15 +5 1.89 68.61 1.65 74.60 10.00 16.56 4.16 36.30 11.62P 0.32R 0.01 Dag_&_Red 8 15 +5 0.20 50.83 -0.88 81.21 10.48 27.55 14.34 62.08 28.78P 0.09R 0.00 Eastleigh 8 14 +7 0.55 56.01 2.75 74.88 10.31 20.57 4.89 38.31 12.89P 0.38R 0.01 Barrow 8 14 +0 3.45 81.70 0.86 61.70 10.11 -8.00 0.30 5.58 1.13P 7.36R 0.42 Gateshead 8 13 +7 1.20 62.12 5.92 69.57 10.27 13.93 1.59 20.67 5.39P 1.38R 0.06 Dover_Athletic 8 13 +2 -0.24 47.16 -1.56 71.92 10.21 12.74 2.59 27.31 8.29P 0.86R 0.02 Sutton_United 8 13 +0 4.00 85.07 3.40 59.62 10.88 -8.78 0.22 4.95 1.03P 12.39R 1.02 Boreham_Wood 8 12 +4 2.55 75.93 6.07 64.54 9.74 5.27 0.34 8.27 1.87P 3.49R 0.16 Wrexham 8 12 -2 0.24 52.66 -3.21 68.57 10.00 4.85 1.07 16.63 4.41P 1.77R 0.07 York 8 11 +1 -2.36 27.50 -2.91 76.96 10.81 23.67 7.85 46.44 18.87P 0.37R 0.02 Maidstone_United 8 11 -1 2.53 75.28 3.04 57.58 11.29 -11.16 0.18 3.92 0.88P 17.75R 2.21 Torquay 8 10 -2 -0.43 46.26 -1.20 57.20 9.92 -10.49 0.06 2.19 0.39P 14.95R 1.21 Solihull_Moors 8 10 -4 1.32 64.65 0.21 50.55 10.74 -24.31 0.03 0.87 0.17P 38.60R 6.39 Bromley 8 8 -5 -1.83 33.60 -3.01 53.31 10.02 -18.06 0.01 0.97 0.19P 26.69R 3.05 Chester 8 7 -2 -2.80 23.99 0.11 56.15 10.21 -8.42 0.04 2.01 0.38P 18.25R 1.89 North_Ferriby 8 7 -10 -0.55 46.13 -3.90 41.73 10.04 -38.99 0.00 0.08 0.01P 71.84R 24.39 Braintree_Town 8 6 -4 -6.21 5.21 -5.85 59.61 9.72 -1.27 0.12 3.35 0.91P 9.11R 0.51 Woking 8 4 -9 -5.90 6.01 -6.92 55.20 10.19 -11.80 0.03 1.53 0.31P 20.95R 2.16 Southport 8 4 -16 -2.57 23.72 -8.15 43.10 9.53 -37.93 0.00 0.03 0.00 67.59R 19.36 Guiseley 8 1 -10 -6.79 1.64 -4.67 37.99 9.29 -36.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.25R 36.95