Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 6 September 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2016, Man_City 3 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 3 9 +6 2.57 85.98 2.19 77.33 9.79 38.63 46.37 66.83 79.13 86.98 95.13 0.01R 0.00 Chelsea 3 9 +5 3.26 90.89 2.53 69.52 9.91 23.96 15.71 33.96 50.12 63.32 81.89 0.04R 0.00 Man_Utd 3 9 +5 3.57 93.03 3.04 68.79 9.59 22.11 13.10 30.65 46.65 60.66 80.38 0.05R 0.00 Everton 3 7 +2 2.43 85.76 1.34 57.55 9.83 5.37 1.66 5.39 11.08 18.67 37.85 1.41R 0.20 Hull 3 6 +2 2.63 85.85 2.98 48.01 10.00 -6.60 0.23 0.91 2.12 4.08 10.90 11.09R 2.47 Middlesbrough 3 5 +1 1.01 67.98 1.05 43.31 9.55 -12.61 0.04 0.21 0.63 1.39 4.44 21.54R 6.00 Tottenham 3 5 +1 -0.11 47.86 -0.46 63.61 9.82 16.80 5.58 15.51 27.12 39.50 62.81 0.32R 0.04 Arsenal 3 4 +1 -1.35 30.18 -0.88 67.68 9.70 24.83 11.55 27.58 43.29 57.06 77.67 0.09R 0.01 Leicester 3 4 +0 -0.53 43.29 -0.60 57.63 9.83 8.26 1.71 5.62 11.49 19.12 38.37 1.45R 0.17 West_Brom 3 4 +0 0.19 55.60 0.33 42.58 8.97 -13.24 0.01 0.09 0.30 0.78 2.97 22.18R 5.83 Liverpool 3 4 -1 0.03 53.98 -0.68 59.26 10.20 9.79 2.73 8.16 15.62 24.57 45.19 1.14R 0.22 West_Ham 3 3 -2 -0.62 38.73 -1.08 52.28 9.82 -0.46 0.43 1.75 4.32 8.13 19.88 4.62R 0.85 Burnley 3 3 -2 -0.09 49.25 -0.44 42.03 9.62 -15.00 0.03 0.15 0.41 0.95 3.39 26.15R 8.22 Swansea 3 3 -2 -0.73 37.92 -1.49 43.92 9.40 -12.73 0.04 0.20 0.57 1.31 4.42 19.42R 5.36 Southampton 3 2 -2 -2.78 11.95 -3.02 54.68 9.68 4.78 0.80 2.79 6.51 11.71 27.18 2.63R 0.47 Sunderland 3 1 -2 -1.79 23.60 0.28 38.64 9.15 -18.35 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.31 1.30 38.13R 13.60 Crystal_Palace 3 1 -2 -2.67 13.06 -1.40 38.70 8.96 -16.75 0.01 0.03 0.10 0.23 1.16 37.12R 12.41 Watford 3 1 -3 -1.52 29.17 -0.51 40.42 9.30 -16.39 0.00 0.05 0.19 0.50 2.05 31.18R 10.43 Bournemouth 3 1 -3 -1.86 24.27 -0.97 35.45 9.19 -26.39 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.12 0.65 52.63R 24.51 Stoke 3 1 -4 -2.00 21.19 -2.23 40.96 9.27 -16.00 0.01 0.07 0.23 0.60 2.36 28.80R 9.22Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2016, Barnsley 4 0 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Huddersfield 5 13 +4 6.32 98.73 4.43 66.38 10.47 -1.06 2.67 6.57 27.60 10.31P 3.94R 0.77 Fulham 5 11 +3 4.77 94.03 4.02 66.12 10.79 -0.15 2.87 7.10 27.95 10.93P 4.55R 0.81 Barnsley 5 9 +4 2.57 79.75 4.78 57.61 11.17 -9.65 0.69 1.90 10.08 3.36P 19.12R 5.55 Newcastle 5 9 +4 -0.17 45.90 0.38 80.86 11.14 28.82 29.57 46.76 78.23 57.34P 0.22R 0.04 QPR 5 9 +3 1.59 69.54 2.20 69.79 10.66 10.24 5.66 12.64 40.47 19.35P 1.95R 0.29 Bristol_City 5 9 +2 2.65 80.60 2.92 61.25 10.60 -4.90 1.06 2.86 15.04 5.21P 10.09R 2.24 Nott'm_Forest 5 9 +0 1.81 72.45 -0.38 63.05 10.52 -3.46 1.42 3.75 19.05 6.79P 7.33R 1.47 Brighton 5 8 +4 0.17 53.30 2.31 76.74 10.50 22.97 15.77 30.57 66.98 41.87P 0.34R 0.05 Wolverhampton 5 8 +3 0.74 60.51 2.38 67.00 10.50 7.44 3.06 7.67 31.01 13.29P 3.26R 0.56 Birmingham 5 8 +2 0.88 62.27 1.59 64.49 10.33 2.72 1.75 4.68 22.44 8.61P 5.16R 1.02 Ipswich 5 8 +1 0.63 59.15 0.23 67.06 10.46 5.66 3.16 7.53 30.55 12.95P 3.25R 0.56 Norwich 5 8 +1 0.07 51.49 -0.71 76.39 11.27 20.05 17.01 30.43 64.31 40.80P 0.61R 0.07 Burton_Albion 5 7 +1 1.16 66.32 2.47 51.75 10.72 -16.81 0.14 0.40 3.47 0.92P 36.06R 13.65 Brentford 5 7 +1 -0.95 38.30 -0.60 65.69 10.69 4.64 2.76 6.68 26.96 11.44P 4.69R 0.93 Reading 5 7 -3 1.68 73.49 -0.56 59.74 10.53 -8.47 0.68 1.98 11.83 3.84P 12.81R 3.09 Aston_Villa 5 5 +0 -2.01 25.34 -0.38 63.00 11.05 3.09 1.79 4.49 20.63 8.65P 8.08R 1.76 Cardiff 5 5 -2 -2.25 23.40 -2.55 59.92 10.31 -3.48 0.71 1.91 11.84 4.11P 11.65R 2.75 Derby 5 5 -2 -2.69 19.45 -3.26 70.87 10.45 13.01 6.31 14.05 44.61 22.99P 1.48R 0.20 Sheff_Wed 5 5 -3 -1.82 27.76 -2.96 64.26 10.35 2.09 1.73 4.49 21.84 8.90P 5.40R 1.04 Wigan 5 4 +0 -3.17 15.33 -0.40 58.32 11.28 -3.17 0.79 2.04 11.48 4.29P 17.02R 5.01 Leeds_United 5 4 -4 -1.64 29.95 -2.16 53.66 10.18 -14.20 0.11 0.43 3.87 1.05P 27.88R 8.80 Rotherham 5 4 -9 -0.51 45.93 -5.00 45.49 9.98 -34.03 0.00 0.04 0.63 0.14P 61.25R 31.44 Preston 5 3 -2 -2.98 14.80 -0.96 56.86 10.03 -4.40 0.22 0.81 6.73 2.21P 17.54R 4.52 Blackburn 5 1 -8 -5.70 2.05 -7.81 51.27 10.20 -16.94 0.05 0.21 2.38 0.66P 36.32R 13.38League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 September 2016, Gillingham 1 2 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bolton 6 14 +4 4.08 88.55 1.50 76.22 11.47 15.14 16.01 28.01 61.20 36.30P 0.98R 0.07 Bradford 6 12 +4 3.17 83.15 3.16 75.08 10.32 16.33 10.87 22.01 58.84 32.09P 0.72R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 6 11 +5 2.60 78.68 4.71 66.63 10.52 6.41 2.64 6.54 28.11 11.26P 4.73R 0.39 Millwall 6 11 +2 1.47 66.97 0.13 79.08 10.82 22.63 21.29 36.60 72.08 47.10P 0.41R 0.02 Scunthorpe 5 10 +6 1.93 73.69 4.10 73.23 11.03 16.54 9.88 19.59 52.10 27.91P 1.55R 0.12 Peterborough 6 10 +5 0.93 60.58 3.76 75.23 11.12 21.39 13.26 25.19 59.48 34.22P 1.13R 0.09 Port_Vale 6 10 +1 2.02 72.96 1.32 64.14 10.50 -0.15 1.58 4.17 20.44 7.69P 7.71R 0.89 Gillingham 6 10 -2 1.16 63.57 -2.87 67.44 10.87 1.41 3.46 8.07 30.53 13.20P 4.96R 0.52 Bury 6 8 +3 0.67 59.68 4.49 58.03 10.59 -5.09 0.41 1.29 9.04 2.69P 20.04R 3.35 Charlton 5 8 +2 0.12 51.97 0.42 68.94 11.59 9.01 5.48 11.54 37.12 18.19P 4.53R 0.53 Northampton 6 8 +1 0.43 56.55 1.94 55.95 11.12 -9.98 0.46 1.20 7.18 2.45P 27.60R 5.96 Swindon 5 8 +0 1.37 68.36 0.56 67.52 11.10 4.86 3.72 8.50 31.67 13.66P 5.05R 0.60 Chesterfield 6 7 +0 -1.30 36.44 -0.05 60.13 10.74 -3.29 0.77 2.19 12.47 4.46P 15.38R 2.34 MK_Dons 6 7 -2 -1.64 32.59 -2.63 67.37 11.36 6.32 3.89 8.61 31.50 14.95P 5.58R 0.63 Oxford_Utd 6 7 -2 -0.40 46.81 -0.81 55.72 10.90 -11.33 0.30 0.90 6.44 2.10P 27.79R 6.07 Shrewsbury 6 7 -3 0.01 51.45 -1.05 53.60 10.44 -16.91 0.18 0.53 3.90 1.14P 34.63R 7.97 Sheff_Utd 6 7 -3 -1.40 34.31 -3.15 64.83 10.65 1.59 1.82 4.77 22.71 9.25P 7.09R 0.85 Oldham 6 6 -3 -1.04 38.36 -1.33 53.07 10.08 -13.82 0.11 0.30 3.10 0.79P 35.38R 7.81 Walsall 5 5 -1 -3.39 13.58 -3.34 66.25 10.92 6.53 2.80 6.71 27.77 12.29P 5.73R 0.67 AFC_Wimbledon 6 5 -3 -0.71 44.11 0.93 44.47 10.33 -27.34 0.00 0.03 0.62 0.13P 68.31R 31.51 Southend 6 5 -3 -2.32 25.00 -1.64 53.95 10.34 -12.04 0.15 0.50 4.12 1.24P 32.46R 7.13 Bristol_Rovers 4 4 -2 -0.45 46.38 -0.35 50.96 11.57 -18.78 0.16 0.46 3.66 1.12P 44.86R 14.77 Coventry 6 3 -5 -5.59 3.75 -5.65 58.46 10.44 -3.91 0.46 1.34 9.05 3.35P 18.17R 2.92 Rochdale 6 2 -4 -6.34 2.31 -4.18 56.17 10.69 -5.52 0.29 0.93 6.86 2.42P 25.18R 4.77League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 September 2016, Carlisle 1 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 6 13 +9 3.37 84.06 6.90 75.70 10.98 21.06 12.65 35.29 67.11 43.21P 0.16R 0.06 Morecambe 6 12 +2 4.91 91.96 3.89 63.05 10.85 -5.12 1.41 6.30 22.90 9.11P 3.70R 1.46 Plymouth 6 12 +1 2.73 78.86 -0.57 76.77 10.51 15.84 13.26 37.44 70.35 46.63P 0.11R 0.04 Portsmouth 6 11 +4 0.90 60.41 1.23 76.58 10.55 20.04 13.74 37.85 70.51 47.42P 0.10R 0.03 Mansfield 6 11 +1 2.97 81.88 1.22 64.25 10.61 -0.99 1.52 7.19 25.79 10.94P 2.62R 1.00 Doncaster 6 10 +3 -0.66 41.59 -0.64 79.55 11.43 25.49 23.06 49.63 77.31 58.52P 0.11R 0.04 Leyton_Orient 6 10 +3 0.22 52.24 0.67 71.07 10.85 12.51 5.83 20.90 50.70 28.46P 0.60R 0.21 Colchester 6 10 +2 0.36 54.05 -0.25 70.93 11.99 11.22 7.64 22.83 50.09 29.80P 1.15R 0.41 Carlisle 6 10 +2 1.98 72.17 2.29 67.23 10.86 5.55 2.88 12.02 36.59 17.33P 1.60R 0.57 Crewe 6 9 +0 0.40 55.05 -0.63 66.44 11.60 3.81 3.32 12.35 34.67 17.55P 2.50R 0.92 Blackpool 6 8 +3 -1.92 29.01 0.55 73.32 11.21 18.56 9.28 28.20 59.20 38.14P 0.42R 0.15 Notts_County 6 8 +0 -0.07 50.48 0.25 55.33 10.78 -12.49 0.24 1.64 8.14 2.87P 13.64R 6.28 Crawley_Town 6 8 -3 1.41 68.51 -0.48 53.14 10.43 -17.58 0.10 0.87 5.02 1.59P 18.55R 9.12 Grimsby 6 7 +2 -0.55 44.90 3.17 56.28 11.43 -7.17 0.49 2.61 10.92 4.37P 13.06R 6.37 Stevenage 6 7 -1 -1.03 39.09 -0.61 58.20 10.73 -7.06 0.41 2.57 12.31 4.57P 8.36R 3.76 Barnet 5 6 +1 -0.64 42.61 1.29 59.71 11.13 -3.00 0.76 3.87 16.04 6.47P 7.34R 3.28 Cheltenham 6 6 +0 -1.45 34.26 0.94 61.58 11.16 1.75 1.04 5.37 20.48 8.93P 5.19R 2.31 Exeter 6 6 -3 -1.61 31.87 -1.96 57.60 10.74 -8.13 0.38 2.25 11.15 4.13P 9.48R 4.12 Hartlepool 6 6 -5 -0.43 46.36 -1.94 45.96 10.17 -29.29 0.02 0.13 1.13 0.26P 42.91R 26.97 Newport_County 5 5 -1 -0.65 43.78 0.83 52.41 10.51 -13.86 0.11 0.63 4.65 1.38P 19.82R 9.96 Accrington_Stanley 6 5 -3 -3.53 15.47 -3.47 62.71 10.94 1.14 1.31 6.26 22.96 10.47P 4.05R 1.65 Wycombe 6 5 -5 -2.83 20.27 -4.58 58.41 10.37 -6.07 0.35 2.20 11.72 4.38P 7.44R 2.96 Yeovil 6 4 -6 -2.63 21.11 -3.77 50.90 10.13 -16.64 0.04 0.36 2.99 0.86P 23.69R 12.00 Cambridge_Utd 6 3 -6 -4.18 9.69 -4.34 55.27 10.54 -9.56 0.17 1.24 7.28 2.62P 13.39R 6.35National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 September 2016, Aldershot 3 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Forest_Green 8 19 +10 4.16 86.07 3.88 87.31 9.81 35.67 31.69 82.57 46.87P 0.01R 0.00 Tranmere 8 19 +6 4.18 86.60 0.06 84.13 9.92 25.93 20.05 72.23 35.27P 0.02R 0.00 Lincoln_City 8 18 +13 4.78 89.47 9.27 78.26 10.29 25.96 8.87 51.06 17.72P 0.15R 0.00 Aldershot 8 16 +5 5.09 90.60 5.08 66.84 10.06 2.64 0.90 13.20 3.03P 2.33R 0.05 Macclesfield 8 15 +5 1.86 68.13 1.60 74.80 10.00 16.84 4.21 37.02 11.89P 0.26R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 8 15 +5 0.21 51.18 -0.90 81.34 10.43 27.85 14.71 62.03 28.79P 0.07R 0.00 Eastleigh 8 14 +7 0.48 55.03 2.66 74.97 10.24 20.71 4.85 38.59 12.65P 0.36R 0.00 Barrow 8 14 +0 3.50 81.94 0.94 61.59 10.05 -8.23 0.29 5.41 1.07P 7.38R 0.45 Gateshead 8 13 +7 1.35 63.58 6.17 69.23 10.18 13.30 1.52 19.50 4.91P 1.45R 0.04 Dover_Athletic 8 13 +2 -0.20 47.77 -1.48 72.04 10.32 12.96 2.83 27.66 8.47P 0.89R 0.02 Sutton_United 8 13 +0 4.05 85.39 3.44 59.56 11.00 -8.89 0.25 4.90 0.95P 12.94R 1.19 Boreham_Wood 8 12 +4 2.48 75.41 5.98 64.70 9.80 5.54 0.35 8.83 1.83P 3.55R 0.11 Wrexham 8 12 -2 0.23 52.61 -3.21 68.78 10.02 5.20 1.22 16.92 4.62P 1.71R 0.04 York 8 11 +1 -2.38 27.17 -2.97 76.90 10.83 23.51 7.87 46.13 19.07P 0.34R 0.01 Maidstone_United 8 11 -1 2.57 75.49 3.05 57.50 11.15 -11.24 0.14 3.66 0.74P 17.73R 2.07 Torquay 8 10 -2 -0.49 45.78 -1.26 57.30 9.87 -10.38 0.05 2.07 0.40P 14.89R 1.15 Solihull_Moors 8 10 -4 1.33 64.98 0.24 50.34 10.59 -24.50 0.03 0.72 0.17P 39.07R 6.47 Bromley 8 8 -5 -1.88 33.12 -3.12 53.33 9.97 -17.99 0.02 0.99 0.19P 26.59R 2.94 Chester 8 7 -2 -2.87 23.60 0.01 56.35 10.17 -8.11 0.05 1.94 0.34P 17.57R 1.71 North_Ferriby 8 7 -10 -0.51 46.46 -3.87 41.64 10.08 -39.06 0.00 0.08 0.01P 71.97R 24.64 Braintree_Town 8 6 -4 -6.18 5.32 -5.81 59.43 9.65 -1.53 0.06 3.03 0.72P 9.43R 0.53 Woking 8 4 -9 -5.93 5.84 -6.94 55.09 10.16 -11.99 0.03 1.42 0.29P 21.09R 2.25 Southport 8 4 -16 -2.58 23.56 -8.21 43.29 9.55 -37.56 0.00 0.03 0.00P 66.78R 18.59 Guiseley 8 1 -10 -6.77 1.68 -4.61 37.77 9.38 -36.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.43R 37.72