Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 15 August 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 August 2016, Chelsea 2 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd           1    3   +2       0.97    69.68     0.94    65.48    10.38    19.55    10.47    22.90    35.28    46.91    67.04     0.30R    0.04  
Liverpool         1    3   +1       1.92    85.59     1.53    63.93    10.92    17.05     9.01    19.66    30.59    41.47    60.93     0.69R    0.10  
Chelsea           1    3   +1       1.24    74.44     0.39    66.12    10.60    20.28    12.06    25.07    37.62    49.45    69.01     0.32R    0.04  
Hull              1    3   +1       1.92    86.28     1.44    46.05    10.73   -11.37     0.27     0.96     2.07     3.63     8.95    17.96R    5.07  
Man_City          1    3   +1       0.73    65.04    -0.56    73.77    10.54    33.98    34.28    53.51    66.79    76.63    88.62     0.04R    0.01  
Swansea           1    3   +1       1.56    80.69     0.89    48.32    10.10    -8.02     0.29     1.01     2.41     4.42    11.10    11.44R    2.50  
West_Brom         1    3   +1       1.68    82.89     1.04    44.35     9.71   -13.41     0.08     0.33     0.76     1.66     5.08    20.04R    5.16  
Everton           1    1   +0      -0.19    56.52     0.32    54.50    10.63     3.47     1.51     4.39     8.39    13.48    27.30     4.32R    0.79  
Middlesbrough     1    1   +0      -0.33    50.87     0.04    40.72    10.27   -17.07     0.06     0.25     0.56     1.11     3.29    33.09R   11.54  
Southampton       1    1   +0      -0.89    33.16    -0.78    59.37    10.41    11.36     3.51     9.42    16.86    25.25    44.25     1.41R    0.21  
Stoke             1    1   +0      -0.38    49.13    -0.04    44.41     9.98   -12.03     0.10     0.41     0.95     1.95     5.69    20.05R    5.47  
Tottenham         1    1   +0      -0.58    43.48    -0.32    64.45    10.62    19.82     9.38    20.90    32.62    43.79    63.76     0.48R    0.05  
Watford           1    1   +0       0.12    66.84     0.78    42.85    10.07   -14.97     0.10     0.30     0.71     1.50     4.35    25.39R    7.80  
Arsenal           1    0   -1      -1.70    14.41    -1.53    67.80    10.50    26.24    15.27    30.66    44.82    56.71    74.94     0.17R    0.02  
Leicester         1    0   -1      -1.67    13.72    -1.44    56.86    10.57     7.98     2.53     6.73    12.31    19.12    35.09     2.54R    0.45  
Sunderland        1    0   -1      -0.56    34.96     0.56    40.08     9.86   -19.02     0.02     0.09     0.27     0.61     2.25    34.99R   12.34  
West_Ham          1    0   -1      -1.02    25.56    -0.39    52.55    10.61     0.98     0.95     3.02     5.96    10.20    21.65     6.07R    1.22  
Burnley           1    0   -1      -1.29    19.31    -0.89    40.12    10.44   -17.99     0.06     0.23     0.56     1.09     3.18    35.67R   13.02  
Crystal_Palace    1    0   -1      -1.38    17.11    -1.04    40.15     9.70   -17.69     0.03     0.10     0.31     0.66     2.30    34.22R   11.17  
Bournemouth       1    0   -2      -0.77    30.32    -0.94    36.40     9.99   -29.13     0.01     0.06     0.16     0.37     1.22    50.81R   23.02  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2016, Cardiff 0 2 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

QPR              2    6   +5       2.76    90.69     4.23    73.26    11.35    15.83     8.51    17.76    49.78    25.62P    0.97R    0.13  
Bristol_City     2    6   +2       3.14    92.29     1.82    60.47    11.41    -8.70     0.99     2.53    13.23     4.41P   11.10R    2.48  
Huddersfield     2    6   +2       3.74    96.36     2.92    62.51    11.44    -5.18     1.44     3.49    17.01     5.97P    8.26R    1.65  
Fulham           2    6   +2       3.60    94.97     2.56    63.49    11.78    -4.66     1.95     4.64    20.23     7.43P    7.57R    1.66  
Norwich          2    4   +3       0.65    65.77     2.10    81.02    12.40    29.93    27.31    42.68    73.77    52.62P    0.38R    0.06  
Brighton         2    4   +3       0.86    72.07     2.37    77.66    11.09    23.55    15.51    29.40    65.46    40.31P    0.31R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    2    4   +2       0.72    67.73     1.22    66.24    11.37     4.89     2.59     6.47    26.72    10.97P    4.04R    0.74  
Birmingham       2    4   +1       1.11    74.72     0.77    63.96    11.26     0.67     1.74     4.29    20.15     7.77P    6.03R    1.14  
Sheff_Wed        2    4   +1       1.41    81.26     1.24    71.76    11.13    12.62     6.26    13.90    44.29    21.67P    1.16R    0.15  
Wigan            2    3   +2       0.02    48.44     1.68    64.21    12.18     3.38     2.68     5.92    23.19     9.93P    7.11R    1.56  
Aston_Villa      2    3   +2      -0.11    45.06     1.34    67.56    12.05     8.68     4.08     9.24    31.60    14.77P    3.87R    0.72  
Brentford        2    3   +1       0.02    48.26     0.68    68.20    11.75     8.47     4.23     9.45    33.21    15.03P    3.40R    0.55  
Barnsley         2    3   +0       1.12    70.91     1.43    51.57    11.93   -20.66     0.22     0.59     4.17     1.24P   34.49R   12.61  
Ipswich          2    3   +0      -0.07    46.29    -0.48    66.06    11.32     4.28     2.66     6.41    25.92    10.84P    4.11R    0.78  
Reading          2    3   -1       0.49    58.57    -0.62    58.37    11.13    -8.81     0.51     1.49     9.32     3.01P   14.13R    3.26  
Nott'm_Forest    2    3   -2       0.30    54.09    -1.92    60.22    11.17    -6.99     0.76     2.13    12.09     4.14P   10.74R    2.27  
Cardiff          2    1   -2      -1.60    24.64    -1.83    61.31    11.19    -1.79     0.94     2.55    14.43     5.34P    9.03R    1.94  
Derby            2    1   -2      -2.20    16.01    -2.68    72.89    11.30    16.22     7.89    16.79    48.75    26.16P    1.03R    0.11  
Rotherham        2    1   -3      -1.02    36.42    -1.80    47.73    10.94   -26.85     0.03     0.10     1.32     0.33P   46.57R   19.24  
Burton_Albion    2    0   -2      -2.22     9.97    -1.21    44.05    11.16   -27.54     0.02     0.08     0.82     0.20P   59.76R   30.51  
Newcastle        2    0   -2      -3.52     3.13    -3.26    72.21    12.30    16.89     8.95    17.72    46.70    26.64P    1.84R    0.29  
Preston          2    0   -2      -2.81     5.79    -2.17    56.69    10.84    -6.57     0.25     0.89     6.86     2.18P   16.79R    4.12  
Leeds_United     2    0   -4      -2.23     9.43    -3.17    52.06    10.93   -17.10     0.12     0.35     3.10     0.83P   30.57R    9.68  
Blackburn        2    0   -6      -2.20    10.27    -5.22    57.29    11.14   -10.56     0.36     1.12     7.88     2.59P   16.75R    4.32  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2016, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        2    6   +3       2.55    88.13     1.91    73.38    11.91    13.79    10.14    19.57    50.32    27.17P    1.91R    0.14  
Bolton            2    6   +2       2.59    88.23     0.99    74.00    12.64    13.87    12.20    22.39    52.16    29.97P    2.37R    0.21  
Millwall          2    4   +3       0.69    68.20     2.15    78.99    11.81    25.66    20.89    35.42    69.16    45.83P    0.57R    0.04  
Scunthorpe        2    4   +2       0.74    68.36     1.21    68.76    11.67     8.78     4.84    10.30    34.98    16.26P    4.05R    0.36  
Chesterfield      2    4   +2       1.14    74.86     1.80    64.35    11.70     1.77     2.30     5.50    22.59     9.12P    8.61R    0.90  
Walsall           2    4   +2       0.29    59.15     0.49    72.59    11.43    14.52     8.12    16.99    47.58    25.51P    1.66R    0.10  
Port_Vale         2    4   +2       1.24    78.11     1.90    63.50    11.33     1.05     1.71     4.25    19.78     7.51P    8.94R    1.01  
MK_Dons           2    4   +1       0.98    71.78     0.58    74.28    12.60    16.37    12.73    23.11    53.11    31.27P    1.97R    0.16  
Bradford          2    4   +1       1.12    74.90     0.80    70.25    11.00    10.34     5.05    11.39    39.14    18.82P    2.30R    0.14  
Bury              2    3   +1       0.79    64.54     1.89    55.98    11.32   -10.58     0.38     1.09     6.93     2.15P   25.64R    4.44  
Peterborough      2    3   +0       0.26    53.45     0.06    69.88    11.99    10.01     6.19    12.74    39.19    19.16P    3.90R    0.38  
Bristol_Rovers    2    3   -1       0.68    62.45    -0.34    52.75    12.00   -17.33     0.28     0.82     5.03     1.62P   37.04R    9.20  
Swindon           2    3   -1       0.30    54.37    -0.91    65.37    11.79     1.79     2.77     6.47    25.41    10.83P    7.72R    0.88  
Fleetwood_Town    2    2   +0      -0.68    37.81     0.06    59.11    11.17    -4.21     0.75     1.88    10.92     3.78P   16.79R    2.24  
Northampton       2    2   +0      -0.37    43.84     0.57    53.63    12.23   -13.96     0.47     1.18     6.33     2.26P   34.25R    8.31  
Rochdale          2    1   -1      -1.64    25.03    -0.83    64.41    11.85     3.33     2.38     5.60    23.14     9.66P    8.87R    1.08  
Oxford_Utd        2    1   -1      -1.68    23.98    -0.92    54.60    12.12   -11.16     0.43     1.18     6.97     2.40P   30.79R    6.90  
Sheff_Utd         2    1   -1      -1.80    21.52    -1.09    66.62    11.41     7.18     2.91     7.09    28.39    12.57P    5.41R    0.54  
Coventry          2    1   -1      -2.08    16.68    -1.51    66.05    11.39     6.44     2.76     6.59    26.84    11.91P    5.98R    0.56  
Shrewsbury        2    1   -1      -1.09    35.14    -0.02    53.83    11.33   -12.65     0.24     0.75     4.87     1.52P   32.35R    6.58  
Charlton          2    1   -2      -2.18    16.04    -2.66    62.23    12.41    -0.52     2.13     4.78    19.27     8.46P   13.19R    2.02  
Oldham            2    1   -3      -0.89    38.33    -1.75    52.95    10.92   -14.41     0.16     0.45     3.68     1.05P   34.59R    6.83  
AFC_Wimbledon     2    0   -3      -1.58    16.90    -1.10    41.28    11.33   -33.90     0.02     0.04     0.51     0.12P   74.17R   38.76  
Southend          2    0   -4      -2.24    10.27    -3.27    52.34    11.20   -16.18     0.15     0.42     3.71     1.07P   36.91R    8.22  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2016, Barnet 2 0 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                 2    4   +3       1.18    76.06     2.87    68.81    11.71     9.96     6.02    19.38    45.07    25.71P    1.76R    0.70  
Barnet                2    4   +2       1.44    79.60     2.29    62.36    11.79    -1.02     2.13     8.45    24.86    11.73P    5.71R    2.54  
Colchester            2    4   +2       0.57    63.90     0.95    72.89    13.43    15.34    14.40    33.01    57.32    39.46P    1.65R    0.67  
Yeovil                2    4   +2       1.33    78.63     2.05    60.42    11.06    -2.35     1.03     5.10    18.64     7.92P    6.59R    2.81  
Mansfield             2    4   +1       1.14    74.46     0.80    62.00    11.49    -1.93     1.80     7.50    23.40    10.94P    5.54R    2.30  
Hartlepool            2    4   +1       1.86    85.64     1.95    52.69    11.03   -15.88     0.19     1.26     6.24     2.02P   21.74R   11.62  
Carlisle              2    4   +1       1.61    82.41     1.51    65.89    11.92     3.34     3.93    13.80    35.33    18.60P    3.38R    1.44  
Crawley_Town          2    4   +1       1.99    88.10     2.08    55.98    11.30   -11.09     0.52     2.64    10.64     4.17P   14.22R    7.07  
Crewe                 2    4   +1       1.20    75.37     0.90    69.22    12.74     8.61     8.06    22.28    46.13    28.52P    2.42R    0.95  
Blackpool             2    3   +1      -0.56    36.39    -0.22    73.51    12.24    16.18    13.24    32.71    60.11    41.01P    0.75R    0.29  
Grimsby               2    3   +1       0.46    57.47     1.23    54.37    12.26   -12.10     0.57     2.89    10.47     4.45P   19.67R   10.75  
Newport_County        2    3   +0       0.76    64.17     0.71    53.54    10.99   -13.78     0.22     1.44     6.80     2.37P   19.16R    9.82  
Wycombe               2    3   +0      -0.16    44.63    -0.61    64.39    11.02     2.66     2.31     9.56    29.25    14.39P    3.02R    1.18  
Accrington_Stanley    2    3   -1       0.31    54.55    -0.92    68.88    11.91     7.45     6.13    19.65    44.85    26.03P    1.83R    0.71  
Morecambe             2    3   -1       0.72    62.98    -0.27    54.36    11.76   -16.37     0.43     2.26     9.23     3.47P   19.21R   10.25  
Cheltenham            2    2   +0      -0.60    39.65     0.15    61.29    12.22    -0.75     2.05     7.93    23.15    11.53P    7.61R    3.64  
Portsmouth            2    2   +0      -1.06    29.68    -0.49    72.35    11.52    15.04     9.72    28.42    57.07    36.96P    0.79R    0.29  
Doncaster             2    1   -1      -2.44    12.66    -2.04    75.11    12.41    19.87    16.35    38.47    65.19    46.81P    0.61R    0.25  
Stevenage             2    1   -1      -1.64    24.84    -0.87    56.91    11.47    -7.18     0.62     3.25    12.79     5.37P   12.52R    6.09  
Leyton_Orient         2    1   -1      -2.17    15.71    -1.65    66.25    11.63     6.57     3.83    14.18    36.54    20.08P    2.84R    1.19  
Cambridge_Utd         2    1   -2      -1.58    25.72    -1.70    60.48    11.51    -2.81     1.21     5.85    19.83     9.04P    7.40R    3.33  
Notts_County          2    1   -2      -1.51    26.70    -1.70    52.01    11.39   -16.53     0.22     1.33     5.98     2.16P   24.27R   13.44  
Exeter                2    0   -3      -2.58     7.31    -2.74    55.80    11.69   -10.08     0.59     2.88    11.13     4.64P   15.25R    7.86  
Plymouth              2    0   -4      -2.92     5.36    -4.28    67.42    11.49     6.84     4.44    15.76    39.98    22.63P    2.05R    0.80  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2016, Aldershot 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Tranmere            3    9   +5       3.37    91.87     2.75    85.12    11.00    30.77    28.07    77.78    43.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood        3    7   +4       3.90    95.73     5.35    65.31    10.96     4.13     1.10    14.78     3.50P    5.07R    0.39  
Solihull_Moors      3    7   +3       2.91    88.88     3.05    56.98    12.91   -11.21     0.67     7.17     1.79P   23.27R    4.25  
Lincoln_City        3    6   +5       0.73    59.12     3.13    67.13    11.78     7.87     2.35    21.31     6.06P    4.69R    0.38  
Gateshead           3    6   +5       1.74    75.04     4.76    67.83    11.49     9.46     2.37    22.38     6.25P    3.58R    0.23  
Macclesfield        3    6   +3       1.82    76.78     2.82    74.62    11.23    17.67     6.48    42.79    15.03P    0.83R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red           3    6   +2       0.18    49.11    -0.66    81.45    12.26    27.94    20.48    65.43    34.18P    0.36R    0.01  
Aldershot           3    6   +2       1.83    76.21     1.89    60.36    10.97    -4.61     0.40     7.34     1.51P   11.71R    1.25  
York                3    5   +1      -0.31    44.29    -0.75    80.44    12.29    26.64    17.87    62.54    31.64P    0.48R    0.03  
Maidstone_United    3    4   +1       0.83    67.10     2.43    54.32    12.62   -12.25     0.29     4.49     1.07P   29.28R    6.16  
Sutton_United       3    4   +0       0.89    69.06     1.73    52.86    12.68   -16.13     0.28     3.71     0.87P   33.93R    7.96  
Eastleigh           3    4   +0      -0.19    49.97    -0.21    70.71    11.71    11.93     3.96    30.54    10.04P    2.33R    0.16  
Forest_Green        3    4   +0      -1.33    29.51    -1.86    75.40    11.29    18.93     7.43    45.58    18.12P    0.80R    0.03  
Dover_Athletic      3    4   -1      -1.06    34.10    -2.49    69.34    11.57     8.86     3.09    26.35     8.46P    3.00R    0.24  
Wrexham             3    4   -1      -0.62    41.72    -1.76    68.93    11.30     8.35     2.53    24.75     7.59P    2.83R    0.17  
Barrow              3    4   -1       0.59    63.70     0.11    57.93    11.30    -9.05     0.28     5.39     1.13P   17.31R    2.28  
Torquay             3    4   -1      -0.07    51.37    -0.96    57.78    11.12    -8.93     0.26     4.92     1.01P   17.37R    2.24  
Chester             3    3   -2      -0.68    38.53    -1.24    56.78    11.53   -10.99     0.23     4.66     0.98P   20.86R    3.27  
Southport           3    3   -5      -0.09    48.93    -3.29    50.31    10.76   -22.73     0.03     0.98     0.15P   40.01R    8.29  
Braintree_Town      3    2   -2      -2.66    13.50    -2.83    65.33    10.88     5.10     1.02    14.89     4.30P    4.68R    0.27  
Woking              3    1   -3      -3.50     8.50    -3.55    60.98    11.76    -1.87     0.73     9.76     2.56P   11.82R    1.41  
North_Ferriby       3    1   -7      -1.27    33.91    -3.88    40.52    11.86   -38.94     0.01     0.30     0.05P   72.66R   36.24  
Guiseley            3    0   -4      -2.66     8.15    -1.72    44.99    10.62   -25.62     0.01     0.31     0.04P   59.39R   18.10  
Bromley             3    0   -4      -3.34     5.11    -2.82    52.07    11.25   -15.30     0.07     1.83     0.39P   33.70R    6.60