Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 15 August 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 August 2016, Chelsea 2 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 1 3 +2 0.97 69.68 0.94 65.48 10.38 19.55 10.47 22.90 35.28 46.91 67.04 0.30R 0.04 Liverpool 1 3 +1 1.92 85.59 1.53 63.93 10.92 17.05 9.01 19.66 30.59 41.47 60.93 0.69R 0.10 Chelsea 1 3 +1 1.24 74.44 0.39 66.12 10.60 20.28 12.06 25.07 37.62 49.45 69.01 0.32R 0.04 Hull 1 3 +1 1.92 86.28 1.44 46.05 10.73 -11.37 0.27 0.96 2.07 3.63 8.95 17.96R 5.07 Man_City 1 3 +1 0.73 65.04 -0.56 73.77 10.54 33.98 34.28 53.51 66.79 76.63 88.62 0.04R 0.01 Swansea 1 3 +1 1.56 80.69 0.89 48.32 10.10 -8.02 0.29 1.01 2.41 4.42 11.10 11.44R 2.50 West_Brom 1 3 +1 1.68 82.89 1.04 44.35 9.71 -13.41 0.08 0.33 0.76 1.66 5.08 20.04R 5.16 Everton 1 1 +0 -0.19 56.52 0.32 54.50 10.63 3.47 1.51 4.39 8.39 13.48 27.30 4.32R 0.79 Middlesbrough 1 1 +0 -0.33 50.87 0.04 40.72 10.27 -17.07 0.06 0.25 0.56 1.11 3.29 33.09R 11.54 Southampton 1 1 +0 -0.89 33.16 -0.78 59.37 10.41 11.36 3.51 9.42 16.86 25.25 44.25 1.41R 0.21 Stoke 1 1 +0 -0.38 49.13 -0.04 44.41 9.98 -12.03 0.10 0.41 0.95 1.95 5.69 20.05R 5.47 Tottenham 1 1 +0 -0.58 43.48 -0.32 64.45 10.62 19.82 9.38 20.90 32.62 43.79 63.76 0.48R 0.05 Watford 1 1 +0 0.12 66.84 0.78 42.85 10.07 -14.97 0.10 0.30 0.71 1.50 4.35 25.39R 7.80 Arsenal 1 0 -1 -1.70 14.41 -1.53 67.80 10.50 26.24 15.27 30.66 44.82 56.71 74.94 0.17R 0.02 Leicester 1 0 -1 -1.67 13.72 -1.44 56.86 10.57 7.98 2.53 6.73 12.31 19.12 35.09 2.54R 0.45 Sunderland 1 0 -1 -0.56 34.96 0.56 40.08 9.86 -19.02 0.02 0.09 0.27 0.61 2.25 34.99R 12.34 West_Ham 1 0 -1 -1.02 25.56 -0.39 52.55 10.61 0.98 0.95 3.02 5.96 10.20 21.65 6.07R 1.22 Burnley 1 0 -1 -1.29 19.31 -0.89 40.12 10.44 -17.99 0.06 0.23 0.56 1.09 3.18 35.67R 13.02 Crystal_Palace 1 0 -1 -1.38 17.11 -1.04 40.15 9.70 -17.69 0.03 0.10 0.31 0.66 2.30 34.22R 11.17 Bournemouth 1 0 -2 -0.77 30.32 -0.94 36.40 9.99 -29.13 0.01 0.06 0.16 0.37 1.22 50.81R 23.02Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2016, Cardiff 0 2 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 2 6 +5 2.76 90.69 4.23 73.26 11.35 15.83 8.51 17.76 49.78 25.62P 0.97R 0.13 Bristol_City 2 6 +2 3.14 92.29 1.82 60.47 11.41 -8.70 0.99 2.53 13.23 4.41P 11.10R 2.48 Huddersfield 2 6 +2 3.74 96.36 2.92 62.51 11.44 -5.18 1.44 3.49 17.01 5.97P 8.26R 1.65 Fulham 2 6 +2 3.60 94.97 2.56 63.49 11.78 -4.66 1.95 4.64 20.23 7.43P 7.57R 1.66 Norwich 2 4 +3 0.65 65.77 2.10 81.02 12.40 29.93 27.31 42.68 73.77 52.62P 0.38R 0.06 Brighton 2 4 +3 0.86 72.07 2.37 77.66 11.09 23.55 15.51 29.40 65.46 40.31P 0.31R 0.04 Wolverhampton 2 4 +2 0.72 67.73 1.22 66.24 11.37 4.89 2.59 6.47 26.72 10.97P 4.04R 0.74 Birmingham 2 4 +1 1.11 74.72 0.77 63.96 11.26 0.67 1.74 4.29 20.15 7.77P 6.03R 1.14 Sheff_Wed 2 4 +1 1.41 81.26 1.24 71.76 11.13 12.62 6.26 13.90 44.29 21.67P 1.16R 0.15 Wigan 2 3 +2 0.02 48.44 1.68 64.21 12.18 3.38 2.68 5.92 23.19 9.93P 7.11R 1.56 Aston_Villa 2 3 +2 -0.11 45.06 1.34 67.56 12.05 8.68 4.08 9.24 31.60 14.77P 3.87R 0.72 Brentford 2 3 +1 0.02 48.26 0.68 68.20 11.75 8.47 4.23 9.45 33.21 15.03P 3.40R 0.55 Barnsley 2 3 +0 1.12 70.91 1.43 51.57 11.93 -20.66 0.22 0.59 4.17 1.24P 34.49R 12.61 Ipswich 2 3 +0 -0.07 46.29 -0.48 66.06 11.32 4.28 2.66 6.41 25.92 10.84P 4.11R 0.78 Reading 2 3 -1 0.49 58.57 -0.62 58.37 11.13 -8.81 0.51 1.49 9.32 3.01P 14.13R 3.26 Nott'm_Forest 2 3 -2 0.30 54.09 -1.92 60.22 11.17 -6.99 0.76 2.13 12.09 4.14P 10.74R 2.27 Cardiff 2 1 -2 -1.60 24.64 -1.83 61.31 11.19 -1.79 0.94 2.55 14.43 5.34P 9.03R 1.94 Derby 2 1 -2 -2.20 16.01 -2.68 72.89 11.30 16.22 7.89 16.79 48.75 26.16P 1.03R 0.11 Rotherham 2 1 -3 -1.02 36.42 -1.80 47.73 10.94 -26.85 0.03 0.10 1.32 0.33P 46.57R 19.24 Burton_Albion 2 0 -2 -2.22 9.97 -1.21 44.05 11.16 -27.54 0.02 0.08 0.82 0.20P 59.76R 30.51 Newcastle 2 0 -2 -3.52 3.13 -3.26 72.21 12.30 16.89 8.95 17.72 46.70 26.64P 1.84R 0.29 Preston 2 0 -2 -2.81 5.79 -2.17 56.69 10.84 -6.57 0.25 0.89 6.86 2.18P 16.79R 4.12 Leeds_United 2 0 -4 -2.23 9.43 -3.17 52.06 10.93 -17.10 0.12 0.35 3.10 0.83P 30.57R 9.68 Blackburn 2 0 -6 -2.20 10.27 -5.22 57.29 11.14 -10.56 0.36 1.12 7.88 2.59P 16.75R 4.32League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2016, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Gillingham 2 6 +3 2.55 88.13 1.91 73.38 11.91 13.79 10.14 19.57 50.32 27.17P 1.91R 0.14 Bolton 2 6 +2 2.59 88.23 0.99 74.00 12.64 13.87 12.20 22.39 52.16 29.97P 2.37R 0.21 Millwall 2 4 +3 0.69 68.20 2.15 78.99 11.81 25.66 20.89 35.42 69.16 45.83P 0.57R 0.04 Scunthorpe 2 4 +2 0.74 68.36 1.21 68.76 11.67 8.78 4.84 10.30 34.98 16.26P 4.05R 0.36 Chesterfield 2 4 +2 1.14 74.86 1.80 64.35 11.70 1.77 2.30 5.50 22.59 9.12P 8.61R 0.90 Walsall 2 4 +2 0.29 59.15 0.49 72.59 11.43 14.52 8.12 16.99 47.58 25.51P 1.66R 0.10 Port_Vale 2 4 +2 1.24 78.11 1.90 63.50 11.33 1.05 1.71 4.25 19.78 7.51P 8.94R 1.01 MK_Dons 2 4 +1 0.98 71.78 0.58 74.28 12.60 16.37 12.73 23.11 53.11 31.27P 1.97R 0.16 Bradford 2 4 +1 1.12 74.90 0.80 70.25 11.00 10.34 5.05 11.39 39.14 18.82P 2.30R 0.14 Bury 2 3 +1 0.79 64.54 1.89 55.98 11.32 -10.58 0.38 1.09 6.93 2.15P 25.64R 4.44 Peterborough 2 3 +0 0.26 53.45 0.06 69.88 11.99 10.01 6.19 12.74 39.19 19.16P 3.90R 0.38 Bristol_Rovers 2 3 -1 0.68 62.45 -0.34 52.75 12.00 -17.33 0.28 0.82 5.03 1.62P 37.04R 9.20 Swindon 2 3 -1 0.30 54.37 -0.91 65.37 11.79 1.79 2.77 6.47 25.41 10.83P 7.72R 0.88 Fleetwood_Town 2 2 +0 -0.68 37.81 0.06 59.11 11.17 -4.21 0.75 1.88 10.92 3.78P 16.79R 2.24 Northampton 2 2 +0 -0.37 43.84 0.57 53.63 12.23 -13.96 0.47 1.18 6.33 2.26P 34.25R 8.31 Rochdale 2 1 -1 -1.64 25.03 -0.83 64.41 11.85 3.33 2.38 5.60 23.14 9.66P 8.87R 1.08 Oxford_Utd 2 1 -1 -1.68 23.98 -0.92 54.60 12.12 -11.16 0.43 1.18 6.97 2.40P 30.79R 6.90 Sheff_Utd 2 1 -1 -1.80 21.52 -1.09 66.62 11.41 7.18 2.91 7.09 28.39 12.57P 5.41R 0.54 Coventry 2 1 -1 -2.08 16.68 -1.51 66.05 11.39 6.44 2.76 6.59 26.84 11.91P 5.98R 0.56 Shrewsbury 2 1 -1 -1.09 35.14 -0.02 53.83 11.33 -12.65 0.24 0.75 4.87 1.52P 32.35R 6.58 Charlton 2 1 -2 -2.18 16.04 -2.66 62.23 12.41 -0.52 2.13 4.78 19.27 8.46P 13.19R 2.02 Oldham 2 1 -3 -0.89 38.33 -1.75 52.95 10.92 -14.41 0.16 0.45 3.68 1.05P 34.59R 6.83 AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 -3 -1.58 16.90 -1.10 41.28 11.33 -33.90 0.02 0.04 0.51 0.12P 74.17R 38.76 Southend 2 0 -4 -2.24 10.27 -3.27 52.34 11.20 -16.18 0.15 0.42 3.71 1.07P 36.91R 8.22League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2016, Barnet 2 0 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 2 4 +3 1.18 76.06 2.87 68.81 11.71 9.96 6.02 19.38 45.07 25.71P 1.76R 0.70 Barnet 2 4 +2 1.44 79.60 2.29 62.36 11.79 -1.02 2.13 8.45 24.86 11.73P 5.71R 2.54 Colchester 2 4 +2 0.57 63.90 0.95 72.89 13.43 15.34 14.40 33.01 57.32 39.46P 1.65R 0.67 Yeovil 2 4 +2 1.33 78.63 2.05 60.42 11.06 -2.35 1.03 5.10 18.64 7.92P 6.59R 2.81 Mansfield 2 4 +1 1.14 74.46 0.80 62.00 11.49 -1.93 1.80 7.50 23.40 10.94P 5.54R 2.30 Hartlepool 2 4 +1 1.86 85.64 1.95 52.69 11.03 -15.88 0.19 1.26 6.24 2.02P 21.74R 11.62 Carlisle 2 4 +1 1.61 82.41 1.51 65.89 11.92 3.34 3.93 13.80 35.33 18.60P 3.38R 1.44 Crawley_Town 2 4 +1 1.99 88.10 2.08 55.98 11.30 -11.09 0.52 2.64 10.64 4.17P 14.22R 7.07 Crewe 2 4 +1 1.20 75.37 0.90 69.22 12.74 8.61 8.06 22.28 46.13 28.52P 2.42R 0.95 Blackpool 2 3 +1 -0.56 36.39 -0.22 73.51 12.24 16.18 13.24 32.71 60.11 41.01P 0.75R 0.29 Grimsby 2 3 +1 0.46 57.47 1.23 54.37 12.26 -12.10 0.57 2.89 10.47 4.45P 19.67R 10.75 Newport_County 2 3 +0 0.76 64.17 0.71 53.54 10.99 -13.78 0.22 1.44 6.80 2.37P 19.16R 9.82 Wycombe 2 3 +0 -0.16 44.63 -0.61 64.39 11.02 2.66 2.31 9.56 29.25 14.39P 3.02R 1.18 Accrington_Stanley 2 3 -1 0.31 54.55 -0.92 68.88 11.91 7.45 6.13 19.65 44.85 26.03P 1.83R 0.71 Morecambe 2 3 -1 0.72 62.98 -0.27 54.36 11.76 -16.37 0.43 2.26 9.23 3.47P 19.21R 10.25 Cheltenham 2 2 +0 -0.60 39.65 0.15 61.29 12.22 -0.75 2.05 7.93 23.15 11.53P 7.61R 3.64 Portsmouth 2 2 +0 -1.06 29.68 -0.49 72.35 11.52 15.04 9.72 28.42 57.07 36.96P 0.79R 0.29 Doncaster 2 1 -1 -2.44 12.66 -2.04 75.11 12.41 19.87 16.35 38.47 65.19 46.81P 0.61R 0.25 Stevenage 2 1 -1 -1.64 24.84 -0.87 56.91 11.47 -7.18 0.62 3.25 12.79 5.37P 12.52R 6.09 Leyton_Orient 2 1 -1 -2.17 15.71 -1.65 66.25 11.63 6.57 3.83 14.18 36.54 20.08P 2.84R 1.19 Cambridge_Utd 2 1 -2 -1.58 25.72 -1.70 60.48 11.51 -2.81 1.21 5.85 19.83 9.04P 7.40R 3.33 Notts_County 2 1 -2 -1.51 26.70 -1.70 52.01 11.39 -16.53 0.22 1.33 5.98 2.16P 24.27R 13.44 Exeter 2 0 -3 -2.58 7.31 -2.74 55.80 11.69 -10.08 0.59 2.88 11.13 4.64P 15.25R 7.86 Plymouth 2 0 -4 -2.92 5.36 -4.28 67.42 11.49 6.84 4.44 15.76 39.98 22.63P 2.05R 0.80National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2016, Aldershot 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Tranmere 3 9 +5 3.37 91.87 2.75 85.12 11.00 30.77 28.07 77.78 43.29P 0.04R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 3 7 +4 3.90 95.73 5.35 65.31 10.96 4.13 1.10 14.78 3.50P 5.07R 0.39 Solihull_Moors 3 7 +3 2.91 88.88 3.05 56.98 12.91 -11.21 0.67 7.17 1.79P 23.27R 4.25 Lincoln_City 3 6 +5 0.73 59.12 3.13 67.13 11.78 7.87 2.35 21.31 6.06P 4.69R 0.38 Gateshead 3 6 +5 1.74 75.04 4.76 67.83 11.49 9.46 2.37 22.38 6.25P 3.58R 0.23 Macclesfield 3 6 +3 1.82 76.78 2.82 74.62 11.23 17.67 6.48 42.79 15.03P 0.83R 0.04 Dag_&_Red 3 6 +2 0.18 49.11 -0.66 81.45 12.26 27.94 20.48 65.43 34.18P 0.36R 0.01 Aldershot 3 6 +2 1.83 76.21 1.89 60.36 10.97 -4.61 0.40 7.34 1.51P 11.71R 1.25 York 3 5 +1 -0.31 44.29 -0.75 80.44 12.29 26.64 17.87 62.54 31.64P 0.48R 0.03 Maidstone_United 3 4 +1 0.83 67.10 2.43 54.32 12.62 -12.25 0.29 4.49 1.07P 29.28R 6.16 Sutton_United 3 4 +0 0.89 69.06 1.73 52.86 12.68 -16.13 0.28 3.71 0.87P 33.93R 7.96 Eastleigh 3 4 +0 -0.19 49.97 -0.21 70.71 11.71 11.93 3.96 30.54 10.04P 2.33R 0.16 Forest_Green 3 4 +0 -1.33 29.51 -1.86 75.40 11.29 18.93 7.43 45.58 18.12P 0.80R 0.03 Dover_Athletic 3 4 -1 -1.06 34.10 -2.49 69.34 11.57 8.86 3.09 26.35 8.46P 3.00R 0.24 Wrexham 3 4 -1 -0.62 41.72 -1.76 68.93 11.30 8.35 2.53 24.75 7.59P 2.83R 0.17 Barrow 3 4 -1 0.59 63.70 0.11 57.93 11.30 -9.05 0.28 5.39 1.13P 17.31R 2.28 Torquay 3 4 -1 -0.07 51.37 -0.96 57.78 11.12 -8.93 0.26 4.92 1.01P 17.37R 2.24 Chester 3 3 -2 -0.68 38.53 -1.24 56.78 11.53 -10.99 0.23 4.66 0.98P 20.86R 3.27 Southport 3 3 -5 -0.09 48.93 -3.29 50.31 10.76 -22.73 0.03 0.98 0.15P 40.01R 8.29 Braintree_Town 3 2 -2 -2.66 13.50 -2.83 65.33 10.88 5.10 1.02 14.89 4.30P 4.68R 0.27 Woking 3 1 -3 -3.50 8.50 -3.55 60.98 11.76 -1.87 0.73 9.76 2.56P 11.82R 1.41 North_Ferriby 3 1 -7 -1.27 33.91 -3.88 40.52 11.86 -38.94 0.01 0.30 0.05P 72.66R 36.24 Guiseley 3 0 -4 -2.66 8.15 -1.72 44.99 10.62 -25.62 0.01 0.31 0.04P 59.39R 18.10 Bromley 3 0 -4 -3.34 5.11 -2.82 52.07 11.25 -15.30 0.07 1.83 0.39P 33.70R 6.60