Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 August 2016 at 18:21:33 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2016, Arsenal 3 4 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd           1    3   +2       0.96    69.49     0.93    65.07    10.37    18.98     9.57    21.72    33.93    45.73    65.85     0.32R    0.04  
Liverpool         1    3   +1       1.91    85.47     1.53    63.87    10.96    16.99     8.98    19.80    30.93    41.56    60.83     0.67R    0.09  
Hull              1    3   +1       1.92    86.16     1.43    46.09    10.66   -11.33     0.26     0.94     1.97     3.64     8.76    17.99R    4.91  
Man_City          1    3   +1       0.74    65.20    -0.54    73.98    10.44    34.33    35.74    55.29    68.30    77.57    89.12     0.04R    0.00  
Swansea           1    3   +1       1.55    80.50     0.88    48.50    10.18    -7.76     0.33     1.17     2.50     4.64    11.53    11.16R    2.44  
West_Brom         1    3   +1       1.67    82.83     1.03    44.38     9.73   -13.36     0.09     0.34     0.88     1.76     5.26    19.91R    5.09  
Everton           1    1   +0      -0.18    56.67     0.33    54.53    10.57     3.49     1.44     4.25     8.40    13.73    27.51     4.30R    0.74  
Middlesbrough     1    1   +0      -0.32    51.09     0.04    40.91    10.36   -16.83     0.08     0.25     0.58     1.23     3.57    32.57R   11.48  
Southampton       1    1   +0      -0.87    33.55    -0.76    59.41    10.60    11.44     3.95    10.03    17.56    26.25    44.79     1.52R    0.21  
Stoke             1    1   +0      -0.39    48.91    -0.04    44.01    10.01   -12.64     0.15     0.41     1.03     1.89     5.39    21.51R    5.92  
Tottenham         1    1   +0      -0.58    43.33    -0.33    64.47    10.57    19.81     9.49    20.76    32.54    43.85    63.82     0.50R    0.05  
Watford           1    1   +0       0.12    66.45     0.76    42.86     9.99   -14.90     0.08     0.30     0.70     1.38     4.16    25.42R    7.69  
Chelsea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    64.82    10.87    19.77    10.45    22.26    34.06    45.15    64.50     0.49R    0.07  
West_Ham          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    54.10    11.05     2.13     1.64     4.62     8.92    14.15    26.86     5.10R    1.04  
Arsenal           1    0   -1      -1.70    14.53    -1.53    67.68    10.62    26.14    15.30    31.02    44.60    56.23    74.47     0.24R    0.02  
Leicester         1    0   -1      -1.66    13.84    -1.43    56.48    10.61     7.38     2.32     6.30    11.64    18.16    34.07     2.86R    0.51  
Sunderland        1    0   -1      -0.57    34.80     0.54    40.26     9.99   -18.77     0.02     0.13     0.38     0.85     2.65    34.43R   11.95  
Burnley           1    0   -1      -1.28    19.50    -0.88    40.22    10.57   -17.93     0.08     0.25     0.61     1.22     3.36    35.60R   12.98  
Crystal_Palace    1    0   -1      -1.38    17.17    -1.03    40.12     9.74   -17.75     0.03     0.11     0.31     0.68     2.29    34.58R   11.50  
Bournemouth       1    0   -2      -0.76    30.51    -0.93    36.39     9.95   -29.19     0.01     0.05     0.15     0.34     1.21    50.79R   23.27  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2016, Cardiff 0 2 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

QPR              2    6   +5       2.77    90.89     4.23    73.19    11.47    15.76     8.68    17.94    49.54    25.77P    1.01R    0.14  
Bristol_City     2    6   +2       3.11    92.14     1.78    61.22    11.57    -7.42     1.17     3.00    14.91     5.02P   10.23R    2.11  
Huddersfield     2    6   +2       3.76    96.44     2.94    62.35    11.41    -5.45     1.23     3.45    16.88     5.78P    8.48R    1.73  
Fulham           2    6   +2       3.59    95.04     2.52    63.65    11.74    -4.21     1.82     4.65    20.41     7.48P    7.23R    1.48  
Norwich          2    4   +3       0.66    65.85     2.10    81.19    12.40    30.19    27.89    42.98    73.89    52.70P    0.30R    0.04  
Brighton         2    4   +3       0.85    71.89     2.37    77.65    11.13    23.50    15.57    29.24    65.62    40.36P    0.31R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    2    4   +2       0.73    67.83     1.23    66.09    11.35     4.72     2.68     6.39    26.18    10.76P    4.12R    0.65  
Birmingham       2    4   +1       1.11    74.80     0.77    63.80    11.13     0.46     1.57     4.05    19.73     7.40P    5.86R    1.01  
Sheff_Wed        2    4   +1       1.40    81.07     1.24    71.76    11.13    12.58     6.06    13.79    44.09    21.65P    1.20R    0.15  
Wigan            2    3   +2       0.03    48.55     1.69    64.58    12.28     4.02     2.80     6.35    24.12    10.60P    6.84R    1.41  
Aston_Villa      2    3   +2      -0.10    45.24     1.36    67.14    12.15     8.03     3.95     8.69    30.62    14.23P    4.30R    0.83  
Brentford        2    3   +1       0.01    48.29     0.68    68.19    11.84     8.34     4.36     9.70    33.32    15.01P    3.37R    0.60  
Barnsley         2    3   +0       1.12    70.93     1.41    51.38    12.08   -20.86     0.23     0.66     4.19     1.25P   35.19R   13.43  
Ipswich          2    3   +0      -0.07    46.47    -0.49    66.14    11.33     4.40     2.62     6.38    26.08    10.97P    4.10R    0.71  
Reading          2    3   -1       0.49    58.45    -0.62    58.11    11.17    -9.20     0.48     1.45     9.13     2.84P   14.75R    3.48  
Nott'm_Forest    2    3   -2       0.30    54.17    -1.90    60.16    11.29    -7.08     0.78     2.22    12.49     4.28P   11.16R    2.37  
Cardiff          2    1   -2      -1.59    24.73    -1.82    61.50    11.17    -1.56     0.86     2.71    14.72     5.30P    8.70R    1.70  
Derby            2    1   -2      -2.21    15.94    -2.67    72.39    11.47    15.46     7.57    16.19    47.31    25.50P    1.28R    0.17  
Rotherham        2    1   -3      -1.03    35.89    -1.82    47.70    10.93   -26.88     0.05     0.14     1.35     0.32P   46.66R   19.14  
Burton_Albion    2    0   -2      -2.22    10.16    -1.20    44.17    11.15   -27.34     0.02     0.09     0.79     0.24P   59.04R   30.41  
Newcastle        2    0   -2      -3.52     3.09    -3.24    72.27    12.25    16.98     8.93    17.70    47.08    27.03P    1.86R    0.28  
Preston          2    0   -2      -2.81     5.79    -2.16    56.53    10.76    -6.78     0.21     0.81     6.53     2.07P   16.85R    4.14  
Leeds_United     2    0   -4      -2.24     9.54    -3.19    52.13    11.02   -16.98     0.13     0.37     3.18     0.91P   30.16R    9.62  
Blackburn        2    0   -6      -2.21    10.38    -5.22    57.22    11.20   -10.68     0.35     1.04     7.84     2.52P   16.97R    4.38  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2016, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        2    6   +3       2.54    87.95     1.87    73.52    11.80    14.00    10.12    19.69    50.74    27.39P    1.81R    0.13  
Bolton            2    6   +2       2.58    88.21     1.00    73.69    12.64    13.28    11.70    21.60    50.82    28.94P    2.45R    0.21  
Millwall          2    4   +3       0.71    68.67     2.20    78.98    11.57    25.60    20.57    35.02    69.53    45.63P    0.46R    0.03  
Scunthorpe        2    4   +2       0.77    68.99     1.23    68.65    11.65     8.58     4.72    10.56    34.54    16.20P    4.12R    0.42  
Chesterfield      2    4   +2       1.09    74.12     1.74    64.71    11.66     2.45     2.40     5.79    23.33     9.61P    8.05R    0.90  
Walsall           2    4   +2       0.29    59.17     0.50    72.55    11.48    14.48     8.13    16.73    47.73    25.33P    1.90R    0.08  
Port_Vale         2    4   +2       1.24    78.03     1.89    63.84    11.42     1.51     1.85     4.59    20.70     8.14P    8.82R    0.96  
MK_Dons           2    4   +1       0.97    71.27     0.55    74.34    12.73    16.50    12.89    23.26    53.33    31.74P    2.26R    0.22  
Bradford          2    4   +1       1.11    74.82     0.79    70.45    11.05    10.62     5.38    11.67    39.58    19.03P    2.34R    0.17  
Bury              2    3   +1       0.79    64.44     1.91    55.72    11.34   -11.00     0.40     1.07     6.73     2.13P   26.01R    4.79  
Peterborough      2    3   +0       0.26    53.38     0.06    69.93    12.03    10.11     6.41    13.06    38.99    19.21P    3.83R    0.35  
Bristol_Rovers    2    3   -1       0.66    61.88    -0.34    52.99    11.89   -16.89     0.31     0.85     5.12     1.60P   35.74R    8.44  
Swindon           2    3   -1       0.32    54.81    -0.87    65.41    11.73     1.88     2.78     6.33    25.01    10.48P    7.60R    0.87  
Fleetwood_Town    2    2   +0      -0.70    37.33     0.04    58.94    11.11    -4.45     0.62     1.75    10.46     3.59P   16.88R    2.42  
Northampton       2    2   +0      -0.37    43.80     0.58    53.13    12.33   -14.84     0.42     1.05     6.00     2.07P   35.73R    8.98  
Rochdale          2    1   -1      -1.63    25.18    -0.82    64.27    11.71     3.13     2.14     5.27    22.46     9.36P    8.94R    1.07  
Oxford_Utd        2    1   -1      -1.65    24.67    -0.89    54.43    12.14   -11.39     0.46     1.20     6.81     2.43P   31.56R    7.10  
Sheff_Utd         2    1   -1      -1.79    21.72    -1.09    66.72    11.49     7.31     3.14     7.31    28.81    12.82P    5.58R    0.52  
Coventry          2    1   -1      -2.09    16.58    -1.53    66.39    11.40     6.85     3.00     6.92    27.46    12.19P    5.63R    0.55  
Shrewsbury        2    1   -1      -1.07    35.28    -0.00    53.78    11.22   -12.70     0.23     0.63     4.76     1.39P   31.86R    6.31  
Charlton          2    1   -2      -2.17    16.16    -2.66    62.12    12.50    -0.71     2.02     4.75    19.21     8.51P   13.60R    2.12  
Oldham            2    1   -3      -0.90    38.29    -1.78    53.04    10.92   -14.26     0.14     0.43     3.75     1.06P   33.73R    6.76  
AFC_Wimbledon     2    0   -3      -1.58    16.98    -1.13    41.24    11.45   -33.95     0.02     0.06     0.61     0.18P   74.15R   38.50  
Southend          2    0   -4      -2.23    10.25    -3.26    52.34    11.13   -16.12     0.13     0.44     3.50     0.97P   36.94R    8.09  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2016, Barnet 2 0 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                 2    4   +3       1.19    76.15     2.88    68.63    11.59     9.72     5.80    18.95    44.33    25.09P    1.71R    0.67  
Barnet                2    4   +2       1.43    79.36     2.27    62.61    11.70    -0.66     2.25     8.69    25.49    12.23P    5.46R    2.36  
Colchester            2    4   +2       0.59    64.18     0.98    72.52    13.05    14.66    13.01    31.68    56.80    38.29P    1.57R    0.67  
Yeovil                2    4   +2       1.31    78.16     2.03    60.52    11.10    -2.16     1.19     5.36    19.15     8.25P    6.51R    2.71  
Mansfield             2    4   +1       1.15    74.63     0.81    62.13    11.57    -1.78     1.96     7.84    23.97    11.22P    5.60R    2.61  
Hartlepool            2    4   +1       1.85    85.47     1.93    52.92    11.03   -15.51     0.24     1.34     6.45     2.23P   21.08R   11.18  
Carlisle              2    4   +1       1.62    82.71     1.54    65.67    11.79     3.08     3.83    13.42    34.54    18.11P    3.27R    1.36  
Crawley_Town          2    4   +1       1.97    87.83     2.07    55.89    11.24   -11.22     0.53     2.58    10.25     3.98P   14.49R    7.27  
Crewe                 2    4   +1       1.22    75.64     0.92    68.73    12.79     7.87     7.57    21.45    44.83    27.26P    2.52R    1.08  
Blackpool             2    3   +1      -0.55    36.62    -0.20    73.50    12.14    16.25    13.05    33.26    60.50    41.53P    0.76R    0.29  
Grimsby               2    3   +1       0.46    57.36     1.22    54.51    12.11   -11.81     0.61     2.78    10.31     4.30P   19.27R   10.43  
Newport_County        2    3   +0       0.76    64.09     0.70    53.67    11.14   -13.44     0.30     1.66     7.26     2.63P   19.21R   10.06  
Wycombe               2    3   +0      -0.14    44.96    -0.59    64.37    11.09     2.61     2.45     9.97    29.50    14.83P    3.13R    1.24  
Accrington_Stanley    2    3   -1       0.30    54.09    -0.94    68.92    11.93     7.56     6.31    20.22    45.25    26.42P    2.00R    0.75  
Morecambe             2    3   -1       0.72    62.98    -0.27    54.59    11.72   -16.00     0.48     2.33     9.68     3.59P   18.96R    9.98  
Cheltenham            2    2   +0      -0.63    39.38     0.12    61.56    12.25    -0.35     2.15     8.29    23.93    12.09P    7.47R    3.51  
Portsmouth            2    2   +0      -1.08    28.98    -0.52    72.42    11.58    15.24    10.17    29.00    57.30    37.51P    0.76R    0.26  
Doncaster             2    1   -1      -2.42    12.91    -2.03    75.07    12.51    19.82    16.93    38.44    65.09    47.13P    0.71R    0.30  
Stevenage             2    1   -1      -1.67    24.29    -0.91    57.12    11.46    -6.95     0.69     3.29    13.05     5.35P   12.34R    6.06  
Leyton_Orient         2    1   -1      -2.15    15.88    -1.62    66.07    11.72     6.41     4.07    14.08    36.09    19.97P    2.95R    1.18  
Cambridge_Utd         2    1   -2      -1.58    25.85    -1.69    60.26    11.55    -3.18     1.25     5.89    19.54     9.06P    8.00R    3.61  
Notts_County          2    1   -2      -1.50    27.09    -1.68    51.71    11.40   -17.02     0.24     1.29     5.95     2.18P   25.31R   14.06  
Exeter                2    0   -3      -2.57     7.24    -2.75    56.13    11.66    -9.55     0.57     2.98    11.91     4.88P   14.69R    7.48  
Plymouth              2    0   -4      -2.91     5.44    -4.27    67.12    11.43     6.39     4.35    15.20    38.84    21.87P    2.23R    0.89  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2016, Aldershot 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                      -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team                  Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Tranmere                3    9   +5       3.36    91.66     2.74    84.97    11.07    30.56    27.83    76.96    42.64P    0.04R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood            3    7   +4       3.89    95.59     5.33    65.43    10.88     4.29     1.06    14.85     3.44P    4.80R    0.31  
Solihull_Moors          3    7   +3       2.88    88.84     2.99    57.32    12.86   -10.67     0.69     7.32     1.86P   21.92R    4.09  
Lincoln_City            3    6   +5       0.74    59.15     3.15    67.16    11.79     7.87     2.31    21.46     6.03P    4.51R    0.33  
Gateshead               3    6   +5       1.76    75.38     4.77    67.80    11.47     9.41     2.28    22.45     6.25P    3.63R    0.28  
Macclesfield            3    6   +3       1.81    76.52     2.80    75.04    11.21    18.26     6.96    44.29    16.10P    0.73R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red               3    6   +2       0.15    48.76    -0.70    81.75    12.11    28.37    21.17    66.50    35.04P    0.27R    0.01  
Aldershot               3    6   +2       1.81    75.62     1.89    60.22    10.99    -4.76     0.38     7.10     1.49P   11.75R    1.28  
York                    3    5   +1      -0.29    44.75    -0.72    80.12    12.17    26.06    17.15    61.95    31.12P    0.45R    0.03  
Maidstone_United        3    4   +1       0.85    67.41     2.44    54.19    12.72   -12.48     0.33     4.62     1.09P   29.97R    6.38  
Sutton_United           3    4   +0       0.90    69.10     1.73    52.63    12.73   -16.54     0.20     3.56     0.75P   34.92R    8.45  
Eastleigh               3    4   +0      -0.21    49.64    -0.24    70.64    11.65    11.87     3.84    30.30     9.92P    2.32R    0.16  
Forest_Green            3    4   +0      -1.32    29.54    -1.84    75.41    11.25    18.92     7.65    45.60    18.07P    0.73R    0.04  
Dover_Athletic          3    4   -1      -1.03    34.43    -2.45    69.23    11.56     8.63     2.98    25.57     8.24P    3.03R    0.19  
Wrexham                 3    4   -1      -0.63    41.46    -1.78    68.87    11.27     8.20     2.50    24.08     7.28P    2.87R    0.17  
Barrow                  3    4   -1       0.60    63.90     0.12    57.84    11.35    -9.20     0.29     5.30     1.10P   17.83R    2.36  
Torquay                 3    4   -1      -0.07    51.40    -0.95    57.85    11.07    -8.83     0.21     4.94     1.00P   16.96R    2.13  
Chester                 3    3   -2      -0.71    37.95    -1.26    56.75    11.44   -11.03     0.21     4.57     0.92P   20.62R    3.17  
Southport               3    3   -5      -0.07    49.01    -3.27    50.17    10.73   -22.91     0.02     0.96     0.16P   40.81R    8.18  
Braintree_Town          3    2   -2      -2.66    13.25    -2.83    65.52    10.95     5.41     1.17    15.67     4.54P    4.72R    0.29  
Woking                  3    1   -3      -3.48     8.77    -3.54    61.10    11.68    -1.62     0.69     9.53     2.49P   11.82R    1.36  
North_Ferriby_United    3    1   -7      -1.28    33.92    -3.89    40.48    12.02   -39.12     0.01     0.29     0.05P   72.44R   36.66  
Guiseley                3    0   -4      -2.65     8.37    -1.70    44.99    10.65   -25.70     0.01     0.26     0.04P   59.37R   17.79  
Bromley                 3    0   -4      -3.33     5.17    -2.81    52.21    11.24   -14.99     0.07     1.87     0.39P   33.47R    6.31