Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 14 August 2016 at 18:21:33 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2016, Arsenal 3 4 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 1 3 +2 0.96 69.49 0.93 65.07 10.37 18.98 9.57 21.72 33.93 45.73 65.85 0.32R 0.04 Liverpool 1 3 +1 1.91 85.47 1.53 63.87 10.96 16.99 8.98 19.80 30.93 41.56 60.83 0.67R 0.09 Hull 1 3 +1 1.92 86.16 1.43 46.09 10.66 -11.33 0.26 0.94 1.97 3.64 8.76 17.99R 4.91 Man_City 1 3 +1 0.74 65.20 -0.54 73.98 10.44 34.33 35.74 55.29 68.30 77.57 89.12 0.04R 0.00 Swansea 1 3 +1 1.55 80.50 0.88 48.50 10.18 -7.76 0.33 1.17 2.50 4.64 11.53 11.16R 2.44 West_Brom 1 3 +1 1.67 82.83 1.03 44.38 9.73 -13.36 0.09 0.34 0.88 1.76 5.26 19.91R 5.09 Everton 1 1 +0 -0.18 56.67 0.33 54.53 10.57 3.49 1.44 4.25 8.40 13.73 27.51 4.30R 0.74 Middlesbrough 1 1 +0 -0.32 51.09 0.04 40.91 10.36 -16.83 0.08 0.25 0.58 1.23 3.57 32.57R 11.48 Southampton 1 1 +0 -0.87 33.55 -0.76 59.41 10.60 11.44 3.95 10.03 17.56 26.25 44.79 1.52R 0.21 Stoke 1 1 +0 -0.39 48.91 -0.04 44.01 10.01 -12.64 0.15 0.41 1.03 1.89 5.39 21.51R 5.92 Tottenham 1 1 +0 -0.58 43.33 -0.33 64.47 10.57 19.81 9.49 20.76 32.54 43.85 63.82 0.50R 0.05 Watford 1 1 +0 0.12 66.45 0.76 42.86 9.99 -14.90 0.08 0.30 0.70 1.38 4.16 25.42R 7.69 Chelsea 0 0 +0 0.00 50.00 0.00 64.82 10.87 19.77 10.45 22.26 34.06 45.15 64.50 0.49R 0.07 West_Ham 0 0 +0 0.00 50.00 0.00 54.10 11.05 2.13 1.64 4.62 8.92 14.15 26.86 5.10R 1.04 Arsenal 1 0 -1 -1.70 14.53 -1.53 67.68 10.62 26.14 15.30 31.02 44.60 56.23 74.47 0.24R 0.02 Leicester 1 0 -1 -1.66 13.84 -1.43 56.48 10.61 7.38 2.32 6.30 11.64 18.16 34.07 2.86R 0.51 Sunderland 1 0 -1 -0.57 34.80 0.54 40.26 9.99 -18.77 0.02 0.13 0.38 0.85 2.65 34.43R 11.95 Burnley 1 0 -1 -1.28 19.50 -0.88 40.22 10.57 -17.93 0.08 0.25 0.61 1.22 3.36 35.60R 12.98 Crystal_Palace 1 0 -1 -1.38 17.17 -1.03 40.12 9.74 -17.75 0.03 0.11 0.31 0.68 2.29 34.58R 11.50 Bournemouth 1 0 -2 -0.76 30.51 -0.93 36.39 9.95 -29.19 0.01 0.05 0.15 0.34 1.21 50.79R 23.27Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2016, Cardiff 0 2 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 2 6 +5 2.77 90.89 4.23 73.19 11.47 15.76 8.68 17.94 49.54 25.77P 1.01R 0.14 Bristol_City 2 6 +2 3.11 92.14 1.78 61.22 11.57 -7.42 1.17 3.00 14.91 5.02P 10.23R 2.11 Huddersfield 2 6 +2 3.76 96.44 2.94 62.35 11.41 -5.45 1.23 3.45 16.88 5.78P 8.48R 1.73 Fulham 2 6 +2 3.59 95.04 2.52 63.65 11.74 -4.21 1.82 4.65 20.41 7.48P 7.23R 1.48 Norwich 2 4 +3 0.66 65.85 2.10 81.19 12.40 30.19 27.89 42.98 73.89 52.70P 0.30R 0.04 Brighton 2 4 +3 0.85 71.89 2.37 77.65 11.13 23.50 15.57 29.24 65.62 40.36P 0.31R 0.03 Wolverhampton 2 4 +2 0.73 67.83 1.23 66.09 11.35 4.72 2.68 6.39 26.18 10.76P 4.12R 0.65 Birmingham 2 4 +1 1.11 74.80 0.77 63.80 11.13 0.46 1.57 4.05 19.73 7.40P 5.86R 1.01 Sheff_Wed 2 4 +1 1.40 81.07 1.24 71.76 11.13 12.58 6.06 13.79 44.09 21.65P 1.20R 0.15 Wigan 2 3 +2 0.03 48.55 1.69 64.58 12.28 4.02 2.80 6.35 24.12 10.60P 6.84R 1.41 Aston_Villa 2 3 +2 -0.10 45.24 1.36 67.14 12.15 8.03 3.95 8.69 30.62 14.23P 4.30R 0.83 Brentford 2 3 +1 0.01 48.29 0.68 68.19 11.84 8.34 4.36 9.70 33.32 15.01P 3.37R 0.60 Barnsley 2 3 +0 1.12 70.93 1.41 51.38 12.08 -20.86 0.23 0.66 4.19 1.25P 35.19R 13.43 Ipswich 2 3 +0 -0.07 46.47 -0.49 66.14 11.33 4.40 2.62 6.38 26.08 10.97P 4.10R 0.71 Reading 2 3 -1 0.49 58.45 -0.62 58.11 11.17 -9.20 0.48 1.45 9.13 2.84P 14.75R 3.48 Nott'm_Forest 2 3 -2 0.30 54.17 -1.90 60.16 11.29 -7.08 0.78 2.22 12.49 4.28P 11.16R 2.37 Cardiff 2 1 -2 -1.59 24.73 -1.82 61.50 11.17 -1.56 0.86 2.71 14.72 5.30P 8.70R 1.70 Derby 2 1 -2 -2.21 15.94 -2.67 72.39 11.47 15.46 7.57 16.19 47.31 25.50P 1.28R 0.17 Rotherham 2 1 -3 -1.03 35.89 -1.82 47.70 10.93 -26.88 0.05 0.14 1.35 0.32P 46.66R 19.14 Burton_Albion 2 0 -2 -2.22 10.16 -1.20 44.17 11.15 -27.34 0.02 0.09 0.79 0.24P 59.04R 30.41 Newcastle 2 0 -2 -3.52 3.09 -3.24 72.27 12.25 16.98 8.93 17.70 47.08 27.03P 1.86R 0.28 Preston 2 0 -2 -2.81 5.79 -2.16 56.53 10.76 -6.78 0.21 0.81 6.53 2.07P 16.85R 4.14 Leeds_United 2 0 -4 -2.24 9.54 -3.19 52.13 11.02 -16.98 0.13 0.37 3.18 0.91P 30.16R 9.62 Blackburn 2 0 -6 -2.21 10.38 -5.22 57.22 11.20 -10.68 0.35 1.04 7.84 2.52P 16.97R 4.38League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2016, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Gillingham 2 6 +3 2.54 87.95 1.87 73.52 11.80 14.00 10.12 19.69 50.74 27.39P 1.81R 0.13 Bolton 2 6 +2 2.58 88.21 1.00 73.69 12.64 13.28 11.70 21.60 50.82 28.94P 2.45R 0.21 Millwall 2 4 +3 0.71 68.67 2.20 78.98 11.57 25.60 20.57 35.02 69.53 45.63P 0.46R 0.03 Scunthorpe 2 4 +2 0.77 68.99 1.23 68.65 11.65 8.58 4.72 10.56 34.54 16.20P 4.12R 0.42 Chesterfield 2 4 +2 1.09 74.12 1.74 64.71 11.66 2.45 2.40 5.79 23.33 9.61P 8.05R 0.90 Walsall 2 4 +2 0.29 59.17 0.50 72.55 11.48 14.48 8.13 16.73 47.73 25.33P 1.90R 0.08 Port_Vale 2 4 +2 1.24 78.03 1.89 63.84 11.42 1.51 1.85 4.59 20.70 8.14P 8.82R 0.96 MK_Dons 2 4 +1 0.97 71.27 0.55 74.34 12.73 16.50 12.89 23.26 53.33 31.74P 2.26R 0.22 Bradford 2 4 +1 1.11 74.82 0.79 70.45 11.05 10.62 5.38 11.67 39.58 19.03P 2.34R 0.17 Bury 2 3 +1 0.79 64.44 1.91 55.72 11.34 -11.00 0.40 1.07 6.73 2.13P 26.01R 4.79 Peterborough 2 3 +0 0.26 53.38 0.06 69.93 12.03 10.11 6.41 13.06 38.99 19.21P 3.83R 0.35 Bristol_Rovers 2 3 -1 0.66 61.88 -0.34 52.99 11.89 -16.89 0.31 0.85 5.12 1.60P 35.74R 8.44 Swindon 2 3 -1 0.32 54.81 -0.87 65.41 11.73 1.88 2.78 6.33 25.01 10.48P 7.60R 0.87 Fleetwood_Town 2 2 +0 -0.70 37.33 0.04 58.94 11.11 -4.45 0.62 1.75 10.46 3.59P 16.88R 2.42 Northampton 2 2 +0 -0.37 43.80 0.58 53.13 12.33 -14.84 0.42 1.05 6.00 2.07P 35.73R 8.98 Rochdale 2 1 -1 -1.63 25.18 -0.82 64.27 11.71 3.13 2.14 5.27 22.46 9.36P 8.94R 1.07 Oxford_Utd 2 1 -1 -1.65 24.67 -0.89 54.43 12.14 -11.39 0.46 1.20 6.81 2.43P 31.56R 7.10 Sheff_Utd 2 1 -1 -1.79 21.72 -1.09 66.72 11.49 7.31 3.14 7.31 28.81 12.82P 5.58R 0.52 Coventry 2 1 -1 -2.09 16.58 -1.53 66.39 11.40 6.85 3.00 6.92 27.46 12.19P 5.63R 0.55 Shrewsbury 2 1 -1 -1.07 35.28 -0.00 53.78 11.22 -12.70 0.23 0.63 4.76 1.39P 31.86R 6.31 Charlton 2 1 -2 -2.17 16.16 -2.66 62.12 12.50 -0.71 2.02 4.75 19.21 8.51P 13.60R 2.12 Oldham 2 1 -3 -0.90 38.29 -1.78 53.04 10.92 -14.26 0.14 0.43 3.75 1.06P 33.73R 6.76 AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 -3 -1.58 16.98 -1.13 41.24 11.45 -33.95 0.02 0.06 0.61 0.18P 74.15R 38.50 Southend 2 0 -4 -2.23 10.25 -3.26 52.34 11.13 -16.12 0.13 0.44 3.50 0.97P 36.94R 8.09League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2016, Barnet 2 0 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 2 4 +3 1.19 76.15 2.88 68.63 11.59 9.72 5.80 18.95 44.33 25.09P 1.71R 0.67 Barnet 2 4 +2 1.43 79.36 2.27 62.61 11.70 -0.66 2.25 8.69 25.49 12.23P 5.46R 2.36 Colchester 2 4 +2 0.59 64.18 0.98 72.52 13.05 14.66 13.01 31.68 56.80 38.29P 1.57R 0.67 Yeovil 2 4 +2 1.31 78.16 2.03 60.52 11.10 -2.16 1.19 5.36 19.15 8.25P 6.51R 2.71 Mansfield 2 4 +1 1.15 74.63 0.81 62.13 11.57 -1.78 1.96 7.84 23.97 11.22P 5.60R 2.61 Hartlepool 2 4 +1 1.85 85.47 1.93 52.92 11.03 -15.51 0.24 1.34 6.45 2.23P 21.08R 11.18 Carlisle 2 4 +1 1.62 82.71 1.54 65.67 11.79 3.08 3.83 13.42 34.54 18.11P 3.27R 1.36 Crawley_Town 2 4 +1 1.97 87.83 2.07 55.89 11.24 -11.22 0.53 2.58 10.25 3.98P 14.49R 7.27 Crewe 2 4 +1 1.22 75.64 0.92 68.73 12.79 7.87 7.57 21.45 44.83 27.26P 2.52R 1.08 Blackpool 2 3 +1 -0.55 36.62 -0.20 73.50 12.14 16.25 13.05 33.26 60.50 41.53P 0.76R 0.29 Grimsby 2 3 +1 0.46 57.36 1.22 54.51 12.11 -11.81 0.61 2.78 10.31 4.30P 19.27R 10.43 Newport_County 2 3 +0 0.76 64.09 0.70 53.67 11.14 -13.44 0.30 1.66 7.26 2.63P 19.21R 10.06 Wycombe 2 3 +0 -0.14 44.96 -0.59 64.37 11.09 2.61 2.45 9.97 29.50 14.83P 3.13R 1.24 Accrington_Stanley 2 3 -1 0.30 54.09 -0.94 68.92 11.93 7.56 6.31 20.22 45.25 26.42P 2.00R 0.75 Morecambe 2 3 -1 0.72 62.98 -0.27 54.59 11.72 -16.00 0.48 2.33 9.68 3.59P 18.96R 9.98 Cheltenham 2 2 +0 -0.63 39.38 0.12 61.56 12.25 -0.35 2.15 8.29 23.93 12.09P 7.47R 3.51 Portsmouth 2 2 +0 -1.08 28.98 -0.52 72.42 11.58 15.24 10.17 29.00 57.30 37.51P 0.76R 0.26 Doncaster 2 1 -1 -2.42 12.91 -2.03 75.07 12.51 19.82 16.93 38.44 65.09 47.13P 0.71R 0.30 Stevenage 2 1 -1 -1.67 24.29 -0.91 57.12 11.46 -6.95 0.69 3.29 13.05 5.35P 12.34R 6.06 Leyton_Orient 2 1 -1 -2.15 15.88 -1.62 66.07 11.72 6.41 4.07 14.08 36.09 19.97P 2.95R 1.18 Cambridge_Utd 2 1 -2 -1.58 25.85 -1.69 60.26 11.55 -3.18 1.25 5.89 19.54 9.06P 8.00R 3.61 Notts_County 2 1 -2 -1.50 27.09 -1.68 51.71 11.40 -17.02 0.24 1.29 5.95 2.18P 25.31R 14.06 Exeter 2 0 -3 -2.57 7.24 -2.75 56.13 11.66 -9.55 0.57 2.98 11.91 4.88P 14.69R 7.48 Plymouth 2 0 -4 -2.91 5.44 -4.27 67.12 11.43 6.39 4.35 15.20 38.84 21.87P 2.23R 0.89National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2016, Aldershot 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Tranmere 3 9 +5 3.36 91.66 2.74 84.97 11.07 30.56 27.83 76.96 42.64P 0.04R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 3 7 +4 3.89 95.59 5.33 65.43 10.88 4.29 1.06 14.85 3.44P 4.80R 0.31 Solihull_Moors 3 7 +3 2.88 88.84 2.99 57.32 12.86 -10.67 0.69 7.32 1.86P 21.92R 4.09 Lincoln_City 3 6 +5 0.74 59.15 3.15 67.16 11.79 7.87 2.31 21.46 6.03P 4.51R 0.33 Gateshead 3 6 +5 1.76 75.38 4.77 67.80 11.47 9.41 2.28 22.45 6.25P 3.63R 0.28 Macclesfield 3 6 +3 1.81 76.52 2.80 75.04 11.21 18.26 6.96 44.29 16.10P 0.73R 0.04 Dag_&_Red 3 6 +2 0.15 48.76 -0.70 81.75 12.11 28.37 21.17 66.50 35.04P 0.27R 0.01 Aldershot 3 6 +2 1.81 75.62 1.89 60.22 10.99 -4.76 0.38 7.10 1.49P 11.75R 1.28 York 3 5 +1 -0.29 44.75 -0.72 80.12 12.17 26.06 17.15 61.95 31.12P 0.45R 0.03 Maidstone_United 3 4 +1 0.85 67.41 2.44 54.19 12.72 -12.48 0.33 4.62 1.09P 29.97R 6.38 Sutton_United 3 4 +0 0.90 69.10 1.73 52.63 12.73 -16.54 0.20 3.56 0.75P 34.92R 8.45 Eastleigh 3 4 +0 -0.21 49.64 -0.24 70.64 11.65 11.87 3.84 30.30 9.92P 2.32R 0.16 Forest_Green 3 4 +0 -1.32 29.54 -1.84 75.41 11.25 18.92 7.65 45.60 18.07P 0.73R 0.04 Dover_Athletic 3 4 -1 -1.03 34.43 -2.45 69.23 11.56 8.63 2.98 25.57 8.24P 3.03R 0.19 Wrexham 3 4 -1 -0.63 41.46 -1.78 68.87 11.27 8.20 2.50 24.08 7.28P 2.87R 0.17 Barrow 3 4 -1 0.60 63.90 0.12 57.84 11.35 -9.20 0.29 5.30 1.10P 17.83R 2.36 Torquay 3 4 -1 -0.07 51.40 -0.95 57.85 11.07 -8.83 0.21 4.94 1.00P 16.96R 2.13 Chester 3 3 -2 -0.71 37.95 -1.26 56.75 11.44 -11.03 0.21 4.57 0.92P 20.62R 3.17 Southport 3 3 -5 -0.07 49.01 -3.27 50.17 10.73 -22.91 0.02 0.96 0.16P 40.81R 8.18 Braintree_Town 3 2 -2 -2.66 13.25 -2.83 65.52 10.95 5.41 1.17 15.67 4.54P 4.72R 0.29 Woking 3 1 -3 -3.48 8.77 -3.54 61.10 11.68 -1.62 0.69 9.53 2.49P 11.82R 1.36 North_Ferriby_United 3 1 -7 -1.28 33.92 -3.89 40.48 12.02 -39.12 0.01 0.29 0.05P 72.44R 36.66 Guiseley 3 0 -4 -2.65 8.37 -1.70 44.99 10.65 -25.70 0.01 0.26 0.04P 59.37R 17.79 Bromley 3 0 -4 -3.33 5.17 -2.81 52.21 11.24 -14.99 0.07 1.87 0.39P 33.47R 6.31