Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 21 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 May 2016, Man_Utd 3 1 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        38   81  +32      20.11    98.74    18.88    81.00     0.00    32.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   71  +29      -0.31    47.72    -0.60    71.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   70  +34       3.37    64.03    11.73    70.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         38   66  +30      -8.87    15.53    -6.74    66.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   66  +14       1.59    56.49    -4.02    66.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   63  +18       0.96    53.94     3.26    63.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   62  +14       6.48    76.02     9.29    62.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   60  +13      -1.57    43.10    -1.40    60.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   51  -14       5.36    72.83    -4.16    51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          38   50   +6     -15.85     4.33   -15.05    50.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   47   +4      -8.80    17.44    -1.10    47.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   47  -10      -0.47    48.53    -2.79    47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   45  -10       1.62    57.91     3.75    45.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   43  -14      -0.07    50.35    -0.88    43.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   42  -12      -1.42    44.33     0.89    42.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      38   42  -22       2.67    62.95     0.43    42.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   39  -14      -2.50    39.66     3.12    39.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   37  -21      -2.68    38.85     0.00    37.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Norwich          38   34  -28      -3.53    34.97    -3.72    34.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   17  -49     -12.02     5.17   -10.89    17.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         46   93  +37       9.71    83.14     7.54    93.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   89  +32       8.35    79.87     6.73    89.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   89  +30      14.32    92.10    12.72    89.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.75P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   83  +34       0.07    49.92     5.23    83.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.42P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   78  +23       0.33    51.18     0.94    78.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.23P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   74  +21       4.91    68.35    11.62    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.60P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   69   +2       3.33    63.09    -2.55    69.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   68   +5       3.89    65.14     2.74    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   65   +5      -2.20    41.94    -1.34    65.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63   +4       1.34    55.81     5.14    63.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +0       1.39    56.00     1.94    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   60   +0      -5.64    29.82    -4.41    60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   59   -8       2.51    60.50     0.69    59.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -5      -5.85    28.45    -6.73    58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   55   +0      -8.65    19.61    -1.86    55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   55   -4      -6.03    28.07    -2.05    55.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   52   -7      -5.77    28.78     0.07    52.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   52  -17      -3.09    38.64    -4.75    52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   51  -11      -3.91    35.49     1.67    51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   51  -13      -5.15    30.88    -1.09    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -18      -0.69    47.92     2.12    49.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   40  -40      -4.61    31.97   -12.65    40.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         46   39  -30      -9.59    16.83    -8.88    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   30  -40     -15.29     4.87   -12.83    30.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            46   87  +37       0.79    52.64     2.16    87.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    46   85  +20      16.09    93.77    11.03    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   84  +22      11.70    86.76     8.25    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.35P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   81  +24       4.54    66.41     3.92    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   80  +15      11.32    86.48     6.31    80.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.90P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   74  +16       2.23    58.59     2.91    74.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.34P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   74  +13       7.61    76.51     7.92    74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   69  +18      -0.75    47.32     8.00    69.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   69  +15       0.20    50.78     6.44    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +7       2.23    58.53     1.67    69.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   66   +5      -3.51    37.03    -4.70    66.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   65   -2       4.60    67.45     1.82    65.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   +9      -6.64    26.54    -0.86    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   60  -17       7.90    78.18     0.15    60.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   59   -6       1.94    58.16     2.66    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   59   -7      -6.78    26.30   -10.80    59.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   54  -14      -0.80    47.46    -2.73    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   53  -12      -7.87    22.90    -8.41    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   51   -4      -7.88    21.83     1.37    51.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   50  -21      -4.07    35.38    -6.73    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   46  -16     -11.34    13.12    -7.89    46.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        46   46  -23      -5.83    28.40    -7.44    46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       46   40  -42      -4.85    31.86    -9.94    40.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   34  -37      -9.16    16.91    -5.09    34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          46   99  +36      20.94    97.79    13.37    99.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   86  +43       4.63    66.95    15.95    86.00     0.00    43.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   85  +31       9.14    80.37    12.21    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   85  +26      14.34    91.03    14.68    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.20P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   81  +26       4.76    67.39     6.74    81.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.59P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   78  +31       1.93    57.24    11.73    78.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.61P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   75  +14       8.44    78.96     8.72    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   69   -1      -2.61    40.44   -13.68    69.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   68  +11       3.29    62.45     8.62    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   67   +5       3.55    63.38     4.85    67.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   66   +2       0.46    52.17    -1.77    66.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   64   +8       3.24    62.71    10.95    64.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   64   +1      -2.25    41.54    -4.34    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -2       1.76    56.84    -0.45    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   62   -1       2.47    59.84     4.86    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   51  -23       2.28    59.76    -1.54    51.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   51  -29      -4.41    34.33   -16.79    51.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   48  -15     -11.97    12.32   -10.51    48.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   48  -16      -9.62    17.82    -9.21    48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   47  -33      -5.17    31.68   -16.56    47.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   46  -22      -8.12    21.89    -6.49    46.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   43  -21      -9.52    17.22    -6.13    43.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   34  -35     -14.40     7.13   -12.16    34.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
York                 46   34  -36     -14.23     7.13   -13.08    34.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.36    74.09     8.83   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.52    84.65     4.02    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    27.93P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      11.25    86.45     7.88    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.27P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.26    29.99     3.61    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.67P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.76    77.08     8.28    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    18.13P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -1.03    45.73    -6.45    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.61    66.91     0.10    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.81    42.86     3.47    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.77    74.40    -6.25    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.48    36.87     2.40    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       8.84    79.99     4.65    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.46    26.88    -3.22    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -1.09    46.21     3.21    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       3.03    61.74     5.58    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.44    52.26    -6.39    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.84    62.16     3.61    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.54    36.97     5.63    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.63    26.00   -13.12    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.56    29.91     4.54    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.19    55.81     0.29    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.43    26.86   -12.60    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -3.89    35.29    -1.30    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.77     8.12    -8.03    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.64    18.21    -8.76    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00