Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 18 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 May 2016, Arsenal 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        38   81  +32      20.28    98.77    19.19    81.00     0.00    32.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   71  +29      -0.23    48.14    -0.35    71.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   70  +34       3.53    64.73    11.85    70.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         38   66  +30      -8.86    15.64    -6.66    66.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   63  +18       0.83    53.24     3.01    63.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   63  +12       1.13    54.85    -4.28    65.19     1.17    13.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   62  +14       6.68    76.46     9.58    62.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   60  +13      -1.53    43.24    -1.33    60.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   51  -14       5.01    71.55    -4.73    51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          38   50   +6     -15.88     4.19   -15.12    50.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   47   +4      -8.80    17.20    -1.14    47.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   47  -10      -0.53    48.19    -2.85    47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   45  -10       1.67    58.06     3.82    45.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   43  -14      -0.15    50.20    -1.07    43.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   42  -12      -1.48    43.82     0.83    42.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   42  -20       3.02    64.12     0.58    42.61     1.03   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   39  -14      -2.44    39.95     3.29    39.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   37  -21      -2.81    38.29    -0.14    37.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Norwich          38   34  -28      -3.52    35.28    -3.71    34.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   17  -49     -11.92     5.25   -10.76    17.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         46   93  +37       9.57    82.47     7.34    93.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   89  +32       8.50    80.36     6.93    89.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   89  +30      14.48    92.40    12.94    89.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.45P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   83  +34       0.21    50.40     5.39    83.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.21P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   78  +23       0.41    51.53     1.09    78.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.41P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   74  +21       4.89    68.49    11.58    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.92P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   69   +2       3.30    62.89    -2.61    69.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   68   +5       3.67    64.06     2.42    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   65   +5      -2.24    41.55    -1.34    65.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63   +4       1.53    56.42     5.44    63.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +0       1.11    54.83     1.59    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   60   +0      -5.81    28.98    -4.59    60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   59   -8       2.63    60.96     0.87    59.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -5      -5.83    28.78    -6.74    58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   55   +0      -8.74    19.60    -1.98    55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   55   -4      -5.82    28.42    -1.77    55.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   52   -7      -5.83    28.52    -0.04    52.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   52  -17      -3.13    38.55    -4.80    52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   51  -11      -3.86    35.83     1.68    51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   51  -13      -5.39    30.54    -1.43    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -18      -0.50    48.91     2.47    49.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   40  -40      -4.51    32.41   -12.51    40.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         46   39  -30      -9.50    17.02    -8.73    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   30  -40     -15.46     4.59   -13.21    30.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            46   87  +37       0.81    52.40     2.09    87.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    46   85  +20      16.25    94.06    11.23    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   84  +22      11.90    87.47     8.51    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.98P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   81  +24       4.31    65.69     3.65    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   80  +15      11.32    86.54     6.34    80.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.05P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   74  +16       2.08    58.13     2.70    74.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.37P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   74  +13       7.74    77.04     8.10    74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   69  +18      -0.98    46.44     7.62    69.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   69  +15       0.16    50.65     6.43    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +7       2.23    58.67     1.69    69.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   66   +5      -3.46    37.11    -4.60    66.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   65   -2       4.51    67.01     1.74    65.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   +9      -6.53    27.02    -0.69    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   60  -17       7.73    77.62    -0.09    60.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   59   -6       1.93    57.91     2.67    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   59   -7      -6.63    26.69   -10.61    59.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   54  -14      -0.60    48.22    -2.50    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   53  -12      -8.07    22.21    -8.73    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   51   -4      -7.79    22.03     1.50    51.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   50  -21      -4.07    35.27    -6.66    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   46  -16     -11.21    13.38    -7.69    46.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        46   46  -23      -6.52    26.28    -8.38    46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       46   40  -42      -4.66    32.67    -9.67    40.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   34  -37      -8.87    17.84    -4.65    34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          46   99  +36      20.88    97.75    13.31    99.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   86  +43       4.64    67.19    15.98    86.00     0.00    43.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   85  +31       9.07    80.47    12.12    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   85  +26      14.43    91.25    14.87    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.94P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   81  +26       4.80    67.66     6.85    81.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.89P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   78  +31       1.95    57.37    11.73    78.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.54P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   75  +14       8.51    78.98     8.84    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.63P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   69   -1      -2.57    40.60   -13.61    69.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   68  +11       3.16    61.91     8.35    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   67   +5       3.58    63.39     4.79    67.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   66   +2       0.27    51.40    -2.05    66.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   64   +8       3.46    63.19    11.30    64.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   64   +1      -2.05    42.51    -4.01    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -2       2.12    58.28     0.18    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   62   -1       2.54    59.88     4.92    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   51  -23       1.99    58.95    -1.99    51.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   51  -29      -4.63    33.62   -17.20    51.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   48  -15     -12.09    12.25   -10.66    48.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   48  -16      -9.70    17.27    -9.27    48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   47  -33      -5.19    31.36   -16.56    47.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   46  -22      -8.32    21.32    -6.85    46.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   43  -21      -9.48    17.19    -6.11    43.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   34  -35     -14.37     6.88   -12.15    34.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
York                 46   34  -36     -14.04     7.54   -12.78    34.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.58    74.61     9.16   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.55    84.68     3.99    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    28.33P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      11.23    86.52     7.86    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.18P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.29    29.72     3.56    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.52P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.81    77.18     8.35    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    17.97P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -1.17    45.46    -6.65    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.76    67.64     0.37    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.98    42.68     3.22    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.66    73.95    -6.36    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.76    35.63     2.00    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       8.74    79.53     4.49    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.43    27.01    -3.12    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -0.84    47.40     3.63    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       2.72    60.64     5.09    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.55    52.83    -6.15    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.99    62.47     3.78    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.52    36.95     5.65    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.56    26.39   -13.01    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.48    30.30     4.72    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.39    56.24     0.63    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.50    26.44   -12.84    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -3.88    35.32    -1.20    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.95     7.81    -8.32    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.67    17.87    -8.83    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00