Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 17 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 May 2016, Arsenal 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        38   81  +32      20.37    98.56    19.27    81.00     0.00    32.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   71  +29      -0.32    48.26    -0.57    71.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   70  +34       3.46    64.64    11.85    70.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         38   66  +30      -8.82    15.94    -6.61    66.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   63  +18       0.88    53.61     3.14    63.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   63  +12       1.00    54.07    -4.43    65.19     1.17    13.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   62  +14       6.52    75.96     9.30    62.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   60  +13      -1.51    43.53    -1.33    60.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   51  -14       5.21    72.48    -4.41    51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          38   50   +6     -15.90     4.07   -15.16    50.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   47   +4      -9.00    16.49    -1.40    47.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   47  -10      -0.18    49.74    -2.33    47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   45  -10       1.64    57.93     3.79    45.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   43  -14      -0.08    50.50    -0.95    43.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   42  -12      -1.37    44.67     1.01    42.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   42  -20       3.00    64.33     0.52    42.60     1.02   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   39  -14      -2.56    39.64     3.03    39.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   37  -21      -2.71    38.55    -0.05    37.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Norwich          38   34  -28      -3.47    35.60    -3.62    34.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   17  -49     -12.13     5.05   -11.05    17.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         46   93  +37       9.80    83.25     7.59    93.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   89  +32       8.18    79.28     6.45    89.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   89  +30      14.53    92.32    13.04    89.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.95P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   83  +34       0.01    49.76     5.11    83.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.13P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   78  +23       0.33    51.44     0.93    78.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.46P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   74  +21       5.17    69.40    11.96    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.46P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   69   +2       3.25    62.51    -2.64    69.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   68   +5       3.67    64.34     2.38    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   65   +5      -2.04    42.45    -0.99    65.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63   +4       1.32    55.77     5.15    63.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +0       1.19    55.25     1.70    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   60   +0      -5.72    29.55    -4.49    60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   59   -8       2.30    59.72     0.47    59.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -5      -5.93    28.29    -6.87    58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   55   +0      -8.74    19.34    -2.02    55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   55   -4      -6.09    27.63    -2.19    55.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   52   -7      -5.64    29.31     0.26    52.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   52  -17      -3.05    39.22    -4.71    52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   51  -11      -3.86    35.80     1.69    51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   51  -13      -5.22    30.90    -1.13    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -18      -0.63    48.30     2.23    49.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   40  -40      -4.47    32.67   -12.47    40.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         46   39  -30      -9.37    17.10    -8.49    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   30  -40     -15.30     4.97   -12.96    30.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            46   87  +37       0.64    52.14     1.82    87.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    46   85  +20      16.13    93.83    11.14    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   84  +22      11.71    87.14     8.25    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.08P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   81  +24       4.51    66.59     3.94    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   80  +15      11.31    86.34     6.28    80.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.17P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   74  +16       2.04    57.67     2.65    74.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.33P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   74  +13       7.76    77.20     8.16    74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   69  +18      -0.83    46.98     7.87    69.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   69  +15       0.35    51.47     6.64    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +7       2.33    58.93     1.76    69.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   66   +5      -3.58    36.81    -4.76    66.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   65   -2       4.51    67.05     1.63    65.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   +9      -6.45    27.11    -0.56    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   60  -17       7.73    77.44    -0.04    60.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   59   -6       2.19    58.91     3.05    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   59   -7      -6.67    26.69   -10.67    59.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   54  -14      -0.65    48.03    -2.53    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   53  -12      -7.95    22.32    -8.57    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   51   -4      -8.26    21.27     0.85    51.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   50  -21      -4.08    35.40    -6.68    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   46  -16     -11.26    13.57    -7.85    46.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        46   46  -23      -6.21    27.25    -8.02    46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       46   40  -42      -4.70    32.67    -9.61    40.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   34  -37      -8.97    17.45    -4.74    34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          46   99  +36      21.15    97.88    13.73    99.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   86  +43       4.62    67.06    15.92    86.00     0.00    43.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   85  +31       9.14    80.02    12.25    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   85  +26      14.29    90.99    14.64    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.54P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   81  +26       4.66    67.00     6.61    81.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.78P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   78  +31       1.95    57.33    11.83    78.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.25P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   75  +14       8.50    79.09     8.79    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.43P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   69   -1      -2.42    41.39   -13.41    69.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   68  +11       3.35    62.60     8.65    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   67   +5       3.70    63.85     4.99    67.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   66   +2       0.33    51.66    -1.97    66.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   64   +8       3.34    62.99    11.08    64.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   64   +1      -2.27    41.53    -4.31    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -2       1.70    56.63    -0.51    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   62   -1       2.68    60.38     5.15    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   51  -23       2.33    60.11    -1.51    51.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   51  -29      -4.41    34.49   -16.80    51.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   48  -15     -12.08    12.14   -10.65    48.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   48  -16      -9.85    17.08    -9.54    48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   47  -33      -5.19    31.47   -16.66    47.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   46  -22      -8.17    21.94    -6.57    46.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   43  -21      -9.33    17.87    -5.90    43.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   34  -35     -14.84     6.43   -12.83    34.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
York                 46   34  -36     -14.16     7.45   -12.96    34.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.61    74.77     9.32   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.63    85.17     4.10    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    27.92P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      10.92    85.84     7.49    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.05P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.24    29.79     3.52    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    37.10P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.75    77.02     8.18    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    17.94P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -0.90    46.42    -6.26    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.45    66.72    -0.12    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.66    43.35     3.69    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.69    74.42    -6.32    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.50    36.78     2.35    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       8.96    80.14     4.77    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.53    26.89    -3.36    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -1.00    46.79     3.37    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       3.11    62.36     5.69    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.54    52.79    -6.24    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.74    61.33     3.39    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.72    36.43     5.33    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.59    26.14   -13.06    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.63    29.52     4.52    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.29    55.94     0.52    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.38    26.70   -12.56    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -4.07    34.35    -1.48    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.83     8.01    -8.05    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.66    17.96    -8.79    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00