Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 16 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 May 2016, Arsenal 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        38   81  +32      20.22    98.54    19.11    81.00     0.00    32.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   71  +29      -0.26    48.33    -0.45    71.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   70  +34       3.25    63.53    11.41    70.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         38   66  +30      -8.96    15.59    -6.85    66.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   63  +18       0.94    54.13     3.22    63.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   63  +12       0.97    54.35    -4.50    65.19     1.17    13.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   62  +14       6.53    75.98     9.39    62.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   60  +13      -1.43    43.76    -1.26    60.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   51  -14       5.11    71.96    -4.54    51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          38   50   +6     -15.79     4.29   -14.94    50.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   47   +4      -8.76    17.19    -1.11    47.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   47  -10      -0.25    49.55    -2.46    47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   45  -10       1.66    58.22     3.86    45.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   43  -14      -0.12    50.19    -0.90    43.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   42  -12      -1.48    44.27     0.77    42.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   42  -20       2.98    64.18     0.51    42.61     1.02   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   39  -14      -2.45    39.77     3.13    39.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   37  -21      -2.71    38.58    -0.02    37.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Norwich          38   34  -28      -3.33    36.06    -3.32    34.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   17  -49     -12.14     5.08   -11.05    17.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         46   93  +37       9.90    83.59     7.76    93.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   89  +32       8.24    79.57     6.58    89.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   89  +30      14.72    92.83    13.33    89.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.12P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   83  +34       0.00    49.62     5.07    83.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.46P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   78  +23       0.33    50.94     0.95    78.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   74  +21       4.80    68.23    11.43    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   69   +2       3.02    61.87    -2.94    69.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   68   +5       3.65    64.33     2.36    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   65   +5      -1.99    42.62    -0.96    65.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63   +4       1.50    56.20     5.41    63.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +0       1.59    56.64     2.21    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   60   +0      -5.80    29.20    -4.57    60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   59   -8       2.47    60.32     0.67    59.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -5      -5.72    29.07    -6.62    58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   55   +0      -8.63    19.75    -1.80    55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   55   -4      -6.01    27.83    -2.06    55.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   52   -7      -5.74    28.91     0.20    52.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   52  -17      -3.22    38.34    -4.98    52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   51  -11      -4.00    35.60     1.47    51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   51  -13      -5.49    30.02    -1.59    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -18      -0.62    48.49     2.27    49.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   40  -40      -4.57    32.16   -12.62    40.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         46   39  -30      -9.41    17.02    -8.59    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   30  -40     -15.35     5.00   -12.98    30.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            46   87  +37       0.64    52.00     1.87    87.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    46   85  +20      16.08    93.60    10.99    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   84  +22      11.94    87.52     8.58    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.06P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   81  +24       4.32    65.54     3.64    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   80  +15      11.18    85.97     6.16    80.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.67P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   74  +16       1.98    57.45     2.52    74.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.85P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   74  +13       7.78    77.28     8.17    74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   69  +18      -0.91    46.62     7.71    69.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   69  +15       0.28    51.15     6.56    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +7       2.47    59.37     2.05    69.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   66   +5      -3.55    36.76    -4.66    66.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   65   -2       4.60    67.53     1.76    65.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   +9      -6.46    27.19    -0.55    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   60  -17       7.75    77.73    -0.10    60.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   59   -6       2.17    58.66     3.09    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   59   -7      -6.74    26.23   -10.72    59.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   54  -14      -0.59    48.55    -2.45    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   53  -12      -8.03    22.40    -8.65    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   51   -4      -8.07    21.39     1.15    51.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   50  -21      -4.05    35.41    -6.73    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   46  -16     -11.17    13.57    -7.64    46.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        46   46  -23      -6.15    27.38    -7.92    46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       46   40  -42      -4.80    32.12    -9.91    40.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   34  -37      -9.02    17.16    -4.93    34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          46   99  +36      21.07    97.95    13.67    99.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   86  +43       4.53    66.55    15.79    86.00     0.00    43.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   85  +31       9.16    80.13    12.24    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   85  +26      14.46    91.16    14.88    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.34P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   81  +26       4.73    67.26     6.74    81.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.86P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   78  +31       1.98    57.36    11.80    78.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.40P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   75  +14       8.52    79.15     8.85    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   69   -1      -2.38    41.22   -13.31    69.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   68  +11       3.19    62.09     8.48    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   67   +5       3.29    62.20     4.41    67.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   66   +2       0.29    51.32    -2.02    66.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   64   +8       3.45    63.36    11.25    64.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   64   +1      -2.13    42.24    -4.16    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -2       1.90    57.20    -0.23    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   62   -1       2.52    59.81     4.86    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   51  -23       2.13    59.12    -1.79    51.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   51  -29      -4.55    33.56   -17.09    51.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   48  -15     -11.84    12.64   -10.28    48.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   48  -16      -9.93    17.16    -9.59    48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   47  -33      -5.35    30.99   -16.84    47.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   46  -22      -8.24    21.64    -6.76    46.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   43  -21      -9.38    17.43    -5.91    43.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   34  -35     -14.51     6.92   -12.26    34.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
York                 46   34  -36     -14.00     7.49   -12.76    34.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.41    73.98     8.96   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.71    85.18     4.25    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    27.83P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      11.10    86.14     7.72    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    16.88P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.13    30.25     3.68    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.67P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.67    76.98     8.06    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    18.62P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -1.12    45.36    -6.61    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.36    66.25    -0.22    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.78    43.14     3.49    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.90    75.17    -5.99    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.46    37.15     2.43    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       9.08    80.57     5.02    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.45    27.01    -3.19    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -0.94    46.67     3.50    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       2.78    60.98     5.24    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.44    52.40    -6.30    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.70    61.31     3.27    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.66    36.59     5.49    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.47    26.59   -12.93    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.67    29.31     4.39    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.25    56.02     0.45    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.32    26.98   -12.57    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -3.97    34.91    -1.29    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.76     8.12    -8.00    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.72    17.72    -8.84    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00