Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 16 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 May 2016, Arsenal 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 38 81 +32 20.22 98.54 19.11 81.00 0.00 32.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 38 71 +29 -0.26 48.33 -0.45 71.00 0.00 29.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 38 70 +34 3.25 63.53 11.41 70.00 0.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 38 66 +30 -8.96 15.59 -6.85 66.00 0.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 38 63 +18 0.94 54.13 3.22 63.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 37 63 +12 0.97 54.35 -4.50 65.19 1.17 13.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 38 62 +14 6.53 75.98 9.39 62.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 38 60 +13 -1.43 43.76 -1.26 60.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 38 51 -14 5.11 71.96 -4.54 51.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 38 50 +6 -15.79 4.29 -14.94 50.00 0.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 38 47 +4 -8.76 17.19 -1.11 47.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 38 47 -10 -0.25 49.55 -2.46 47.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 38 45 -10 1.66 58.22 3.86 45.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 38 43 -14 -0.12 50.19 -0.90 43.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 38 42 -12 -1.48 44.27 0.77 42.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 37 42 -20 2.98 64.18 0.51 42.61 1.02 -21.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 38 39 -14 -2.45 39.77 3.13 39.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 38 37 -21 -2.71 38.58 -0.02 37.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Norwich 38 34 -28 -3.33 36.06 -3.32 34.00 0.00 -28.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Aston_Villa 38 17 -49 -12.14 5.08 -11.05 17.00 0.00 -49.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 46 93 +37 9.90 83.59 7.76 93.00 0.00 37.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 46 89 +32 8.24 79.57 6.58 89.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 46 89 +30 14.72 92.83 13.33 89.00 0.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.12P 0.00 0.00 Hull 46 83 +34 0.00 49.62 5.07 83.00 0.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 34.46P 0.00 0.00 Derby 46 78 +23 0.33 50.94 0.95 78.00 0.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.34P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 46 74 +21 4.80 68.23 11.43 74.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 18.08P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 46 69 +2 3.02 61.87 -2.94 69.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 46 68 +5 3.65 64.33 2.36 68.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 46 65 +5 -1.99 42.62 -0.96 65.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 46 63 +4 1.50 56.20 5.41 63.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 46 62 +0 1.59 56.64 2.21 62.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 46 60 +0 -5.80 29.20 -4.57 60.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 46 59 -8 2.47 60.32 0.67 59.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 46 58 -5 -5.72 29.07 -6.62 58.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 46 55 +0 -8.63 19.75 -1.80 55.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 46 55 -4 -6.01 27.83 -2.06 55.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 46 52 -7 -5.74 28.91 0.20 52.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 46 52 -17 -3.22 38.34 -4.98 52.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 46 51 -11 -4.00 35.60 1.47 51.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fulham 46 51 -13 -5.49 30.02 -1.59 51.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 46 49 -18 -0.62 48.49 2.27 49.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 40 -40 -4.57 32.16 -12.62 40.00 0.00 -40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 MK_Dons 46 39 -30 -9.41 17.02 -8.59 39.00 0.00 -30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Bolton 46 30 -40 -15.35 5.00 -12.98 30.00 0.00 -40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 46 87 +37 0.64 52.00 1.87 87.00 0.00 37.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 46 85 +20 16.08 93.60 10.99 85.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 84 +22 11.94 87.52 8.58 84.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.06P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 81 +24 4.32 65.54 3.64 81.00 0.00 24.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.42P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 80 +15 11.18 85.97 6.16 80.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 20.67P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 46 74 +16 1.98 57.45 2.52 74.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 23.85P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 74 +13 7.78 77.28 8.17 74.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 46 69 +18 -0.91 46.62 7.71 69.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 69 +15 0.28 51.15 6.56 69.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 69 +7 2.47 59.37 2.05 69.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 46 66 +5 -3.55 36.76 -4.66 66.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 65 -2 4.60 67.53 1.76 65.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 63 +9 -6.46 27.19 -0.55 63.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 60 -17 7.75 77.73 -0.10 60.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 59 -6 2.17 58.66 3.09 59.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swindon 46 59 -7 -6.74 26.23 -10.72 59.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 54 -14 -0.59 48.55 -2.45 54.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 46 53 -12 -8.03 22.40 -8.65 53.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 51 -4 -8.07 21.39 1.15 51.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 50 -21 -4.05 35.41 -6.73 50.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 46 46 -16 -11.17 13.57 -7.64 46.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Blackpool 46 46 -23 -6.15 27.38 -7.92 46.00 0.00 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Colchester 46 40 -42 -4.80 32.12 -9.91 40.00 0.00 -42.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Crewe 46 34 -37 -9.02 17.16 -4.93 34.00 0.00 -37.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 46 99 +36 21.07 97.95 13.67 99.00 0.00 36.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 86 +43 4.53 66.55 15.79 86.00 0.00 43.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 85 +31 9.16 80.13 12.24 85.00 0.00 31.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 46 85 +26 14.46 91.16 14.88 85.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.34P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 46 81 +26 4.73 67.26 6.74 81.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 28.86P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 46 78 +31 1.98 57.36 11.80 78.00 0.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.40P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 75 +14 8.52 79.15 8.85 75.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.41P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 46 69 -1 -2.38 41.22 -13.31 69.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 68 +11 3.19 62.09 8.48 68.00 0.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 46 67 +5 3.29 62.20 4.41 67.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Luton 46 66 +2 0.29 51.32 -2.02 66.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 46 64 +8 3.45 63.36 11.25 64.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 46 64 +1 -2.13 42.24 -4.16 64.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exeter 46 64 -2 1.90 57.20 -0.23 64.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 46 62 -1 2.52 59.81 4.86 62.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 46 51 -23 2.13 59.12 -1.79 51.00 0.00 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 46 51 -29 -4.55 33.56 -17.09 51.00 0.00 -29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 46 48 -15 -11.84 12.64 -10.28 48.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 46 48 -16 -9.93 17.16 -9.59 48.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 46 47 -33 -5.35 30.99 -16.84 47.00 0.00 -33.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 46 46 -22 -8.24 21.64 -6.76 46.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 46 43 -21 -9.38 17.43 -5.91 43.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 34 -35 -14.51 6.92 -12.26 34.00 0.00 -35.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 York 46 34 -36 -14.00 7.49 -12.76 34.00 0.00 -36.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 46 101 +57 6.41 73.98 8.96 101.00 0.00 57.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 89 +27 10.71 85.18 4.25 89.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 100.00 27.83P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 81 +18 11.10 86.14 7.72 81.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 100.00 16.88P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 80 +37 -5.13 30.25 3.68 80.00 0.00 37.00 0.00 100.00 36.67P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 46 80 +22 7.67 76.98 8.06 80.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 100.00 18.62P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 46 78 +17 -1.12 45.36 -6.61 78.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 46 75 +11 4.36 66.25 -0.22 75.00 0.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 69 +15 -1.78 43.14 3.49 69.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 67 -11 6.90 75.17 -5.99 67.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 66 +12 -3.46 37.15 2.43 66.00 0.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 46 65 -7 9.08 80.57 5.02 65.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 61 +3 -6.45 27.01 -3.19 61.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 46 61 +1 -0.94 46.67 3.50 61.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 46 60 -5 2.78 60.98 5.24 60.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 56 -18 0.44 52.40 -6.30 56.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 46 55 -13 2.70 61.31 3.27 55.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 54 -4 -3.66 36.59 5.49 54.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 46 51 -22 -6.47 26.59 -12.93 51.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 46 50 -5 -5.67 29.31 4.39 50.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Guiseley 46 49 -23 1.25 56.02 0.45 49.00 0.00 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 46 48 -27 -6.32 26.98 -12.57 48.00 0.00 -27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 46 44 -25 -3.97 34.91 -1.29 44.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Kidderminster 46 40 -22 -13.76 8.12 -8.00 40.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Welling 46 35 -38 -8.72 17.72 -8.84 35.00 0.00 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00