Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 15 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 May 2016, Arsenal 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 38 81 +32 20.21 98.68 19.08 81.00 0.00 32.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 38 71 +29 -0.30 48.28 -0.54 71.00 0.00 29.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 38 70 +34 3.37 64.04 11.69 70.00 0.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 38 66 +30 -8.87 15.75 -6.69 66.00 0.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 38 63 +18 0.86 53.69 3.11 63.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 37 63 +12 1.06 54.39 -4.37 65.19 1.17 13.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 38 62 +14 6.56 76.01 9.38 62.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 38 60 +13 -1.41 44.02 -1.13 60.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 38 51 -14 5.23 72.55 -4.33 51.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 38 50 +6 -15.78 4.42 -14.95 50.00 0.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 38 47 +4 -8.82 17.18 -1.15 47.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 38 47 -10 -0.19 49.89 -2.38 47.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 38 45 -10 1.58 57.92 3.72 45.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 38 43 -14 -0.21 49.82 -1.10 43.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 38 42 -12 -1.59 43.47 0.62 42.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 37 42 -20 3.02 64.31 0.52 42.61 1.03 -21.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 38 39 -14 -2.35 40.19 3.35 39.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 38 37 -21 -2.69 38.68 -0.04 37.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Norwich 38 34 -28 -3.49 35.26 -3.68 34.00 0.00 -28.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Aston_Villa 38 17 -49 -12.15 5.05 -11.10 17.00 0.00 -49.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 46 93 +37 9.70 82.96 7.56 93.00 0.00 37.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 46 89 +32 8.49 80.26 6.91 89.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 46 89 +30 14.69 92.70 13.20 89.00 0.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.32P 0.00 0.00 Hull 46 83 +34 0.02 49.77 5.12 83.00 0.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 34.23P 0.00 0.00 Derby 46 78 +23 0.51 51.99 1.22 78.00 0.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.38P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 46 74 +21 4.86 68.28 11.50 74.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 18.07P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 46 69 +2 3.17 62.41 -2.82 69.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 46 68 +5 3.51 63.59 2.16 68.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 46 65 +5 -1.95 42.48 -0.87 65.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 46 63 +4 1.37 55.79 5.15 63.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 46 62 +0 1.33 55.90 1.92 62.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 46 60 +0 -5.90 29.02 -4.68 60.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 46 59 -8 2.38 59.80 0.47 59.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 46 58 -5 -5.94 28.15 -6.87 58.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 46 55 +0 -8.58 19.85 -1.80 55.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 46 55 -4 -6.01 27.79 -2.08 55.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 46 52 -7 -5.93 28.04 -0.19 52.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 46 52 -17 -2.89 39.80 -4.39 52.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 46 51 -11 -4.07 34.86 1.39 51.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fulham 46 51 -13 -5.36 30.57 -1.37 51.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 46 49 -18 -0.55 48.89 2.35 49.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 40 -40 -4.41 32.94 -12.32 40.00 0.00 -40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 MK_Dons 46 39 -30 -9.43 17.01 -8.58 39.00 0.00 -30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Bolton 46 30 -40 -15.33 4.93 -12.97 30.00 0.00 -40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 46 87 +37 0.63 51.80 1.85 87.00 0.00 37.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 46 85 +20 15.90 93.61 10.79 85.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 84 +22 11.65 86.92 8.14 84.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.39P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 81 +24 4.45 66.22 3.76 81.00 0.00 24.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.56P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 80 +15 11.23 86.30 6.28 80.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 20.50P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 46 74 +16 2.02 57.60 2.54 74.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 23.54P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 74 +13 7.90 77.55 8.34 74.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 46 69 +18 -1.04 46.22 7.58 69.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 69 +15 0.46 52.23 6.80 69.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 69 +7 2.54 59.63 2.11 69.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 46 66 +5 -3.47 37.33 -4.63 66.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 65 -2 4.64 67.57 1.87 65.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 63 +9 -6.38 27.34 -0.43 63.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 60 -17 7.94 78.17 0.22 60.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 59 -6 1.94 58.08 2.75 59.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swindon 46 59 -7 -6.59 26.68 -10.49 59.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 54 -14 -0.84 47.39 -2.77 54.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 46 53 -12 -8.08 22.16 -8.73 53.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 51 -4 -7.88 22.00 1.35 51.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 50 -21 -3.81 36.20 -6.34 50.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 46 46 -16 -11.44 13.10 -8.05 46.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Blackpool 46 46 -23 -6.18 27.45 -7.91 46.00 0.00 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Colchester 46 40 -42 -4.87 31.83 -9.99 40.00 0.00 -42.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Crewe 46 34 -37 -9.10 17.01 -5.01 34.00 0.00 -37.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 46 99 +36 20.98 97.78 13.50 99.00 0.00 36.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 86 +43 4.55 66.59 15.82 86.00 0.00 43.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 85 +31 9.08 80.37 12.08 85.00 0.00 31.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 46 85 +26 14.34 91.08 14.77 85.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.65P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 46 81 +26 4.71 67.45 6.73 81.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 29.21P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 46 78 +31 2.09 57.48 11.99 78.00 0.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.92P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 75 +14 8.68 79.58 9.07 75.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.22P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 46 69 -1 -2.70 40.19 -13.80 69.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 68 +11 3.01 61.64 8.14 68.00 0.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 46 67 +5 3.60 63.60 4.88 67.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Luton 46 66 +2 0.39 51.67 -1.86 66.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 46 64 +8 3.36 63.06 11.15 64.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 46 64 +1 -2.23 41.77 -4.29 64.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exeter 46 64 -2 1.83 57.32 -0.35 64.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 46 62 -1 2.56 59.72 5.00 62.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 46 51 -23 2.07 59.05 -1.95 51.00 0.00 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 46 51 -29 -4.30 34.78 -16.66 51.00 0.00 -29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 46 48 -15 -11.94 12.53 -10.45 48.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 46 48 -16 -9.69 17.73 -9.32 48.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 46 47 -33 -5.32 31.11 -16.72 47.00 0.00 -33.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 46 46 -22 -8.34 21.61 -6.85 46.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 46 43 -21 -9.32 17.68 -5.85 43.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 34 -35 -14.34 6.99 -12.04 34.00 0.00 -35.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 York 46 34 -36 -14.17 7.35 -13.01 34.00 0.00 -36.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 46 101 +57 6.64 74.64 9.29 101.00 0.00 57.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 89 +27 10.63 85.09 4.17 89.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 100.00 28.20P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 81 +18 11.20 86.43 7.84 81.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 100.00 17.16P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 80 +37 -5.23 29.83 3.57 80.00 0.00 37.00 0.00 100.00 36.57P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 46 80 +22 7.60 76.57 7.98 80.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 100.00 18.08P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 46 78 +17 -1.24 44.83 -6.78 78.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 46 75 +11 4.73 67.53 0.25 75.00 0.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 69 +15 -1.82 43.17 3.47 69.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 67 -11 6.98 75.39 -5.88 67.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 66 +12 -3.35 37.44 2.58 66.00 0.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 46 65 -7 8.71 79.37 4.48 65.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 61 +3 -6.47 26.75 -3.20 61.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 46 61 +1 -1.00 46.76 3.37 61.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 46 60 -5 2.71 60.56 5.10 60.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 56 -18 0.40 52.31 -6.39 56.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 46 55 -13 2.89 62.09 3.65 55.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 54 -4 -3.70 36.47 5.35 54.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 46 51 -22 -6.57 26.22 -13.10 51.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 46 50 -5 -5.23 31.32 5.02 50.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Guiseley 46 49 -23 1.05 55.19 0.14 49.00 0.00 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 46 48 -27 -6.38 26.99 -12.55 48.00 0.00 -27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 46 44 -25 -3.89 35.33 -1.25 44.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Kidderminster 46 40 -22 -14.11 7.66 -8.42 40.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Welling 46 35 -38 -8.59 18.36 -8.70 35.00 0.00 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00