Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 15 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 May 2016, Arsenal 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        38   81  +32      20.21    98.68    19.08    81.00     0.00    32.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   71  +29      -0.30    48.28    -0.54    71.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   70  +34       3.37    64.04    11.69    70.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         38   66  +30      -8.87    15.75    -6.69    66.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   63  +18       0.86    53.69     3.11    63.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   63  +12       1.06    54.39    -4.37    65.19     1.17    13.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   62  +14       6.56    76.01     9.38    62.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   60  +13      -1.41    44.02    -1.13    60.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   51  -14       5.23    72.55    -4.33    51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          38   50   +6     -15.78     4.42   -14.95    50.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   47   +4      -8.82    17.18    -1.15    47.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   47  -10      -0.19    49.89    -2.38    47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   45  -10       1.58    57.92     3.72    45.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   43  -14      -0.21    49.82    -1.10    43.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   42  -12      -1.59    43.47     0.62    42.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   42  -20       3.02    64.31     0.52    42.61     1.03   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   39  -14      -2.35    40.19     3.35    39.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   37  -21      -2.69    38.68    -0.04    37.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Norwich          38   34  -28      -3.49    35.26    -3.68    34.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   17  -49     -12.15     5.05   -11.10    17.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         46   93  +37       9.70    82.96     7.56    93.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   89  +32       8.49    80.26     6.91    89.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   89  +30      14.69    92.70    13.20    89.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.32P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   83  +34       0.02    49.77     5.12    83.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.23P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   78  +23       0.51    51.99     1.22    78.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.38P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   74  +21       4.86    68.28    11.50    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.07P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   69   +2       3.17    62.41    -2.82    69.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   68   +5       3.51    63.59     2.16    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   65   +5      -1.95    42.48    -0.87    65.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63   +4       1.37    55.79     5.15    63.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +0       1.33    55.90     1.92    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   60   +0      -5.90    29.02    -4.68    60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   59   -8       2.38    59.80     0.47    59.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -5      -5.94    28.15    -6.87    58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   55   +0      -8.58    19.85    -1.80    55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   55   -4      -6.01    27.79    -2.08    55.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   52   -7      -5.93    28.04    -0.19    52.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   52  -17      -2.89    39.80    -4.39    52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   51  -11      -4.07    34.86     1.39    51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   51  -13      -5.36    30.57    -1.37    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -18      -0.55    48.89     2.35    49.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   40  -40      -4.41    32.94   -12.32    40.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         46   39  -30      -9.43    17.01    -8.58    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   30  -40     -15.33     4.93   -12.97    30.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            46   87  +37       0.63    51.80     1.85    87.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    46   85  +20      15.90    93.61    10.79    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   84  +22      11.65    86.92     8.14    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.39P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   81  +24       4.45    66.22     3.76    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   80  +15      11.23    86.30     6.28    80.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.50P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   74  +16       2.02    57.60     2.54    74.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.54P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   74  +13       7.90    77.55     8.34    74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   69  +18      -1.04    46.22     7.58    69.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   69  +15       0.46    52.23     6.80    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +7       2.54    59.63     2.11    69.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   66   +5      -3.47    37.33    -4.63    66.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   65   -2       4.64    67.57     1.87    65.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   +9      -6.38    27.34    -0.43    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   60  -17       7.94    78.17     0.22    60.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   59   -6       1.94    58.08     2.75    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   59   -7      -6.59    26.68   -10.49    59.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   54  -14      -0.84    47.39    -2.77    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   53  -12      -8.08    22.16    -8.73    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   51   -4      -7.88    22.00     1.35    51.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   50  -21      -3.81    36.20    -6.34    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   46  -16     -11.44    13.10    -8.05    46.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        46   46  -23      -6.18    27.45    -7.91    46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       46   40  -42      -4.87    31.83    -9.99    40.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   34  -37      -9.10    17.01    -5.01    34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          46   99  +36      20.98    97.78    13.50    99.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   86  +43       4.55    66.59    15.82    86.00     0.00    43.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   85  +31       9.08    80.37    12.08    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   85  +26      14.34    91.08    14.77    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.65P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   81  +26       4.71    67.45     6.73    81.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.21P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   78  +31       2.09    57.48    11.99    78.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.92P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   75  +14       8.68    79.58     9.07    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.22P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   69   -1      -2.70    40.19   -13.80    69.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   68  +11       3.01    61.64     8.14    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   67   +5       3.60    63.60     4.88    67.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   66   +2       0.39    51.67    -1.86    66.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   64   +8       3.36    63.06    11.15    64.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   64   +1      -2.23    41.77    -4.29    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -2       1.83    57.32    -0.35    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   62   -1       2.56    59.72     5.00    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   51  -23       2.07    59.05    -1.95    51.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   51  -29      -4.30    34.78   -16.66    51.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   48  -15     -11.94    12.53   -10.45    48.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   48  -16      -9.69    17.73    -9.32    48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   47  -33      -5.32    31.11   -16.72    47.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   46  -22      -8.34    21.61    -6.85    46.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   43  -21      -9.32    17.68    -5.85    43.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   34  -35     -14.34     6.99   -12.04    34.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
York                 46   34  -36     -14.17     7.35   -13.01    34.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.64    74.64     9.29   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.63    85.09     4.17    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    28.20P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      11.20    86.43     7.84    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.16P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.23    29.83     3.57    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.57P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.60    76.57     7.98    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    18.08P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -1.24    44.83    -6.78    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.73    67.53     0.25    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.82    43.17     3.47    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.98    75.39    -5.88    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.35    37.44     2.58    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       8.71    79.37     4.48    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.47    26.75    -3.20    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -1.00    46.76     3.37    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       2.71    60.56     5.10    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.40    52.31    -6.39    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.89    62.09     3.65    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.70    36.47     5.35    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.57    26.22   -13.10    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.23    31.32     5.02    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.05    55.19     0.14    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.38    26.99   -12.55    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -3.89    35.33    -1.25    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -14.11     7.66    -8.42    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.59    18.36    -8.70    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00