Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 13 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 May 2016, Liverpool 1 1 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        37   80  +32      20.45    98.90    18.88    81.06     1.25    31.52   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   70  +38       3.54    65.16    13.90    72.02     1.25    38.99     0.00    85.44   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   68  +25       0.13    50.18    -1.03    70.50     0.98    26.90     0.00    14.56    96.05   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         37   65  +30      -8.21    17.15    -6.33    66.92     1.27    30.83     0.00     0.00     3.95    86.17   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   63  +12       0.92    53.82    -4.51    65.18     1.18    13.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.83    94.93     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   62  +15       7.47    79.07     9.72    63.46     1.31    15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.26     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   60  +15       0.62    52.55     2.18    61.93     1.24    15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.34     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   59  +13      -1.15    44.99    -1.35    60.68     1.30    13.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.47     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   49   +6     -15.25     4.60   -14.70    50.69     1.31     6.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   48  -15       3.78    67.19    -5.15    49.27     1.29   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   46  -10      -0.13    50.27    -2.80    46.85     1.18   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   44   +1      -9.02    16.24    -1.92    46.00     1.25     1.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   44  -10       2.15    60.41     3.87    45.59     1.31    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   42   -9      -1.41    44.29     1.62    42.81     1.12    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   42  -14       0.41    52.69    -0.77    43.06     1.24   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   42  -20       3.05    64.08     0.60    42.62     1.03   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       37   38  -14      -2.23    40.59     2.88    39.14     1.26   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   34  -25      -3.07    36.89    -2.19    34.77     1.13   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Norwich          37   34  -25      -3.50    35.08    -3.02    34.78     1.14   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      37   17  -45     -12.13     5.05    -9.89    17.36     0.81   -46.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         46   93  +37       9.88    83.42     7.77    93.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   89  +32       8.44    79.92     6.83    89.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   89  +30      14.62    92.65    13.15    89.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.59P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   83  +34       0.32    50.84     5.59    83.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.85P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   78  +23       0.17    50.56     0.72    78.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.77P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   74  +21       5.00    68.98    11.68    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.78P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   69   +2       2.94    61.36    -3.05    69.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   68   +5       3.70    64.19     2.39    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   65   +5      -2.14    41.96    -1.19    65.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63   +4       1.32    55.46     5.12    63.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +0       1.23    55.20     1.71    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   60   +0      -6.01    28.75    -4.89    60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   59   -8       2.54    60.70     0.73    59.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -5      -5.76    29.32    -6.66    58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   55   +0      -8.79    19.51    -2.06    55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   55   -4      -5.81    28.75    -1.78    55.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   52   -7      -5.63    29.18     0.32    52.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   52  -17      -2.89    39.35    -4.45    52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   51  -11      -3.71    36.12     2.07    51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   51  -13      -5.10    31.50    -0.93    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -18      -0.89    47.42     1.86    49.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   40  -40      -4.43    32.66   -12.43    40.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         46   39  -30      -9.85    16.04    -9.22    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   30  -40     -15.55     4.58   -13.30    30.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            46   87  +37       0.68    51.92     1.87    87.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    46   85  +20      16.03    93.86    10.93    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   84  +22      11.59    86.76     8.12    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.46P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   81  +24       4.56    66.53     3.99    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   80  +15      11.19    85.97     6.14    80.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.97P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   74  +16       2.31    58.84     3.01    74.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.41P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   74  +13       7.57    76.76     7.83    74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   69  +18      -0.76    47.16     7.94    69.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   69  +15       0.29    51.24     6.58    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +7       2.34    59.20     1.84    69.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   66   +5      -3.35    37.44    -4.51    66.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   65   -2       4.62    67.78     1.85    65.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   +9      -6.82    26.32    -1.08    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   60  -17       7.84    77.81     0.12    60.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   59   -6       1.77    57.31     2.38    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   59   -7      -6.74    26.16   -10.70    59.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   54  -14      -0.70    47.88    -2.57    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   53  -12      -7.92    22.54    -8.47    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   51   -4      -7.68    22.69     1.65    51.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   50  -21      -3.95    36.02    -6.48    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   46  -16     -11.26    13.46    -7.77    46.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        46   46  -23      -6.28    27.23    -8.08    46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       46   40  -42      -4.86    31.78    -9.90    40.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   34  -37      -8.85    17.43    -4.71    34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          46   99  +36      20.68    97.78    13.05    99.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   86  +43       4.53    66.44    15.78    86.00     0.00    43.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   85  +31       8.94    79.78    11.94    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   85  +26      14.27    91.15    14.60    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.38P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   81  +26       4.90    67.95     6.95    81.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.41P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   78  +31       1.78    56.63    11.56    78.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.76P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   75  +14       8.36    78.62     8.62    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.45P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   69   -1      -2.37    41.56   -13.34    69.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   68  +11       3.50    63.30     8.88    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   67   +5       3.58    63.35     4.85    67.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   66   +2       0.50    51.96    -1.66    66.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   64   +8       3.41    63.34    11.19    64.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   64   +1      -2.33    41.32    -4.35    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -2       1.84    56.96    -0.31    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   62   -1       2.49    59.59     4.87    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   51  -23       2.19    59.61    -1.73    51.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   51  -29      -4.33    34.95   -16.65    51.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   48  -15     -11.91    12.74   -10.40    48.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   48  -16      -9.68    17.73    -9.27    48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   47  -33      -5.30    30.83   -16.77    47.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   46  -22      -8.36    21.46    -6.89    46.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   43  -21      -9.25    17.95    -5.82    43.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   34  -35     -14.51     6.94   -12.30    34.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
York                 46   34  -36     -14.05     7.41   -12.82    34.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.52    74.71     9.17   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.43    84.56     3.86    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    28.08P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      10.99    86.01     7.55    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.38P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.42    29.41     3.27    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.65P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.88    77.51     8.45    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    17.89P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -1.12    45.40    -6.58    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.70    67.06     0.19    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.73    43.33     3.61    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       7.04    75.35    -5.76    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.51    36.78     2.36    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       8.86    79.95     4.66    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.39    27.03    -3.11    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -0.96    46.54     3.47    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       2.82    60.93     5.29    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.80    53.53    -5.82    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.72    61.45     3.37    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.76    36.28     5.30    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.67    26.07   -13.27    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.56    29.66     4.57    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.31    56.07     0.50    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.59    26.17   -12.93    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -3.93    35.18    -1.35    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.79     8.22    -7.99    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.60    18.11    -8.80    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00