Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 12 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 May 2016, Liverpool 1 1 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        37   80  +32      20.48    98.86    18.95    81.06     1.26    31.51   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   70  +38       3.39    64.28    13.72    72.01     1.25    38.98     0.00    85.31   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   68  +25      -0.06    49.10    -1.30    70.50     0.98    26.91     0.00    14.69    96.18   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         37   65  +30      -8.16    17.17    -6.20    66.92     1.27    30.82     0.00     0.00     3.82    86.24   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   63  +12       0.96    53.61    -4.45    65.18     1.17    13.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.76    95.08     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   62  +15       7.62    79.81     9.87    63.47     1.31    15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.56     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   60  +15       0.62    52.62     2.25    61.91     1.25    15.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   59  +13      -1.01    45.33    -1.16    60.67     1.31    13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.40     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   49   +6     -15.35     4.70   -14.80    50.71     1.32     6.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   48  -15       3.79    67.32    -5.13    49.26     1.29   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   46  -10      -0.16    50.01    -2.98    46.85     1.17   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   44   +1      -9.05    16.12    -1.96    46.01     1.25     1.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   44  -10       2.25    61.02     3.93    45.58     1.30    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   42   -9      -1.38    44.49     1.69    42.83     1.13    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   42  -14       0.11    51.35    -1.21    43.07     1.25   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   42  -20       3.13    64.64     0.72    42.62     1.03   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       37   38  -14      -1.95    41.90     3.26    39.15     1.26   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   34  -25      -3.11    36.60    -2.20    34.77     1.13   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Norwich          37   34  -25      -3.58    34.90    -3.15    34.78     1.14   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      37   17  -45     -12.10     4.95    -9.84    17.35     0.80   -46.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         46   93  +37       9.73    82.97     7.51    93.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   89  +32       8.24    79.61     6.56    89.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   89  +30      14.61    92.47    13.13    89.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   83  +34      -0.05    49.36     4.98    83.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.09P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   78  +23       0.28    50.92     0.92    78.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   74  +21       5.06    68.97    11.82    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.72P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   69   +2       3.34    62.89    -2.48    69.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   68   +5       4.00    65.56     2.82    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   65   +5      -2.11    42.40    -1.13    65.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63   +4       1.42    55.74     5.25    63.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +0       1.31    55.61     1.86    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   60   +0      -5.84    28.90    -4.69    60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   59   -8       2.49    60.12     0.68    59.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -5      -5.83    28.67    -6.74    58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   55   +0      -8.51    20.23    -1.62    55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   55   -4      -6.05    27.83    -2.09    55.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   52   -7      -5.83    28.56     0.01    52.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   52  -17      -3.07    38.83    -4.74    52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   51  -11      -3.74    36.48     1.95    51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   51  -13      -5.31    30.73    -1.28    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -18      -0.68    48.18     2.08    49.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   40  -40      -4.51    32.46   -12.48    40.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         46   39  -30      -9.78    16.21    -9.08    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   30  -40     -15.50     4.67   -13.26    30.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            46   87  +37       0.85    52.79     2.13    87.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    46   85  +20      16.05    93.69    10.95    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   84  +22      11.55    86.70     8.02    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.63P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   81  +24       4.40    65.80     3.75    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   80  +15      11.08    86.10     5.98    80.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.84P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   74  +16       2.42    59.13     3.22    74.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.21P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   74  +13       7.53    76.66     7.81    74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   69  +18      -0.70    47.37     8.01    69.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   69  +15       0.49    52.05     6.90    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +7       2.53    59.73     2.10    69.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   66   +5      -3.44    37.19    -4.56    66.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   65   -2       4.51    67.08     1.73    65.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   +9      -6.64    26.88    -0.80    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   60  -17       7.76    77.65     0.00    60.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   59   -6       1.69    57.09     2.32    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   59   -7      -6.85    26.24   -10.94    59.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   54  -14      -0.79    47.54    -2.76    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   53  -12      -7.91    22.36    -8.49    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   51   -4      -7.82    22.62     1.42    51.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   50  -21      -3.93    35.77    -6.51    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   46  -16     -11.07    14.01    -7.49    46.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        46   46  -23      -6.16    27.51    -7.93    46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       46   40  -42      -4.72    32.64    -9.75    40.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   34  -37      -9.17    16.89    -5.13    34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          46   99  +36      20.92    97.84    13.41    99.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   86  +43       4.54    66.60    15.80    86.00     0.00    43.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   85  +31       9.18    80.25    12.24    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   85  +26      14.51    91.51    14.94    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.72P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   81  +26       4.92    68.08     6.94    81.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.59P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   78  +31       2.02    57.41    11.93    78.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.80P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   75  +14       8.28    78.55     8.46    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.89P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   69   -1      -2.65    40.43   -13.69    69.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   68  +11       3.03    61.20     8.23    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   67   +5       3.87    64.53     5.26    67.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   66   +2       0.39    51.68    -1.86    66.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   64   +8       3.44    63.11    11.25    64.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   64   +1      -2.27    41.87    -4.29    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -2       1.80    57.17    -0.38    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   62   -1       2.48    59.69     4.90    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   51  -23       2.31    60.17    -1.54    51.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   51  -29      -4.60    33.61   -17.18    51.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   48  -15     -12.00    12.39   -10.48    48.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   48  -16      -9.72    17.24    -9.31    48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   47  -33      -5.33    31.14   -16.80    47.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   46  -22      -8.22    21.87    -6.74    46.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   43  -21      -9.11    18.58    -5.58    43.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   34  -35     -14.43     6.88   -12.15    34.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
York                 46   34  -36     -14.44     6.86   -13.35    34.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.24    73.63     8.70   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.47    84.65     3.88    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    28.20P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      11.01    86.06     7.62    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.18P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.18    30.07     3.67    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.65P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.52    76.19     7.90    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    17.98P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -1.08    45.61    -6.52    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.67    67.45     0.22    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.72    43.38     3.63    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.80    74.92    -6.19    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.47    36.84     2.39    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       9.08    80.56     4.98    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.58    26.39    -3.42    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -0.91    46.85     3.49    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       2.85    61.14     5.37    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.68    53.25    -5.96    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.78    61.52     3.52    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.50    37.12     5.69    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.53    26.42   -13.00    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.33    30.83     4.94    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.34    56.10     0.56    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.63    25.78   -12.95    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -3.78    35.79    -1.12    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.97     7.93    -8.31    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.78    17.79    -9.07    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00