Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 12 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 May 2016, Liverpool 1 1 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 37 80 +32 20.48 98.86 18.95 81.06 1.26 31.51 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 37 70 +38 3.39 64.28 13.72 72.01 1.25 38.98 0.00 85.31 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 37 68 +25 -0.06 49.10 -1.30 70.50 0.98 26.91 0.00 14.69 96.18 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 37 65 +30 -8.16 17.17 -6.20 66.92 1.27 30.82 0.00 0.00 3.82 86.24 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 37 63 +12 0.96 53.61 -4.45 65.18 1.17 13.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.76 95.08 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 37 62 +15 7.62 79.81 9.87 63.47 1.31 15.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.56 0.00 0.00 Southampton 37 60 +15 0.62 52.62 2.25 61.91 1.25 15.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.96 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 37 59 +13 -1.01 45.33 -1.16 60.67 1.31 13.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.40 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 37 49 +6 -15.35 4.70 -14.80 50.71 1.32 6.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 37 48 -15 3.79 67.32 -5.13 49.26 1.29 -15.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 37 46 -10 -0.16 50.01 -2.98 46.85 1.17 -10.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 37 44 +1 -9.05 16.12 -1.96 46.01 1.25 1.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 37 44 -10 2.25 61.02 3.93 45.58 1.30 -9.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 37 42 -9 -1.38 44.49 1.69 42.83 1.13 -9.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 37 42 -14 0.11 51.35 -1.21 43.07 1.25 -14.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 37 42 -20 3.13 64.64 0.72 42.62 1.03 -21.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 37 38 -14 -1.95 41.90 3.26 39.15 1.26 -14.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 37 34 -25 -3.11 36.60 -2.20 34.77 1.13 -25.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Norwich 37 34 -25 -3.58 34.90 -3.15 34.78 1.14 -25.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Aston_Villa 37 17 -45 -12.10 4.95 -9.84 17.35 0.80 -46.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 46 93 +37 9.73 82.97 7.51 93.00 0.00 37.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 46 89 +32 8.24 79.61 6.56 89.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 46 89 +30 14.61 92.47 13.13 89.00 0.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.35P 0.00 0.00 Hull 46 83 +34 -0.05 49.36 4.98 83.00 0.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 34.09P 0.00 0.00 Derby 46 78 +23 0.28 50.92 0.92 78.00 0.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.84P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 46 74 +21 5.06 68.97 11.82 74.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 17.72P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 46 69 +2 3.34 62.89 -2.48 69.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 46 68 +5 4.00 65.56 2.82 68.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 46 65 +5 -2.11 42.40 -1.13 65.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 46 63 +4 1.42 55.74 5.25 63.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 46 62 +0 1.31 55.61 1.86 62.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 46 60 +0 -5.84 28.90 -4.69 60.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 46 59 -8 2.49 60.12 0.68 59.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 46 58 -5 -5.83 28.67 -6.74 58.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 46 55 +0 -8.51 20.23 -1.62 55.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 46 55 -4 -6.05 27.83 -2.09 55.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 46 52 -7 -5.83 28.56 0.01 52.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 46 52 -17 -3.07 38.83 -4.74 52.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 46 51 -11 -3.74 36.48 1.95 51.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fulham 46 51 -13 -5.31 30.73 -1.28 51.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 46 49 -18 -0.68 48.18 2.08 49.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 40 -40 -4.51 32.46 -12.48 40.00 0.00 -40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 MK_Dons 46 39 -30 -9.78 16.21 -9.08 39.00 0.00 -30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Bolton 46 30 -40 -15.50 4.67 -13.26 30.00 0.00 -40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 46 87 +37 0.85 52.79 2.13 87.00 0.00 37.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 46 85 +20 16.05 93.69 10.95 85.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 84 +22 11.55 86.70 8.02 84.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.63P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 81 +24 4.40 65.80 3.75 81.00 0.00 24.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.32P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 80 +15 11.08 86.10 5.98 80.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 20.84P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 46 74 +16 2.42 59.13 3.22 74.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 23.21P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 74 +13 7.53 76.66 7.81 74.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 46 69 +18 -0.70 47.37 8.01 69.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 69 +15 0.49 52.05 6.90 69.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 69 +7 2.53 59.73 2.10 69.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 46 66 +5 -3.44 37.19 -4.56 66.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 65 -2 4.51 67.08 1.73 65.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 63 +9 -6.64 26.88 -0.80 63.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 60 -17 7.76 77.65 0.00 60.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 59 -6 1.69 57.09 2.32 59.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swindon 46 59 -7 -6.85 26.24 -10.94 59.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 54 -14 -0.79 47.54 -2.76 54.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 46 53 -12 -7.91 22.36 -8.49 53.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 51 -4 -7.82 22.62 1.42 51.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 50 -21 -3.93 35.77 -6.51 50.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 46 46 -16 -11.07 14.01 -7.49 46.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Blackpool 46 46 -23 -6.16 27.51 -7.93 46.00 0.00 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Colchester 46 40 -42 -4.72 32.64 -9.75 40.00 0.00 -42.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Crewe 46 34 -37 -9.17 16.89 -5.13 34.00 0.00 -37.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 46 99 +36 20.92 97.84 13.41 99.00 0.00 36.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 86 +43 4.54 66.60 15.80 86.00 0.00 43.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 85 +31 9.18 80.25 12.24 85.00 0.00 31.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 46 85 +26 14.51 91.51 14.94 85.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 23.72P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 46 81 +26 4.92 68.08 6.94 81.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 28.59P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 46 78 +31 2.02 57.41 11.93 78.00 0.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.80P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 75 +14 8.28 78.55 8.46 75.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.89P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 46 69 -1 -2.65 40.43 -13.69 69.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 68 +11 3.03 61.20 8.23 68.00 0.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 46 67 +5 3.87 64.53 5.26 67.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Luton 46 66 +2 0.39 51.68 -1.86 66.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 46 64 +8 3.44 63.11 11.25 64.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 46 64 +1 -2.27 41.87 -4.29 64.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exeter 46 64 -2 1.80 57.17 -0.38 64.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 46 62 -1 2.48 59.69 4.90 62.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 46 51 -23 2.31 60.17 -1.54 51.00 0.00 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 46 51 -29 -4.60 33.61 -17.18 51.00 0.00 -29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 46 48 -15 -12.00 12.39 -10.48 48.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 46 48 -16 -9.72 17.24 -9.31 48.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 46 47 -33 -5.33 31.14 -16.80 47.00 0.00 -33.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 46 46 -22 -8.22 21.87 -6.74 46.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 46 43 -21 -9.11 18.58 -5.58 43.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 34 -35 -14.43 6.88 -12.15 34.00 0.00 -35.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 York 46 34 -36 -14.44 6.86 -13.35 34.00 0.00 -36.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 46 101 +57 6.24 73.63 8.70 101.00 0.00 57.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 89 +27 10.47 84.65 3.88 89.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 100.00 28.20P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 81 +18 11.01 86.06 7.62 81.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 100.00 17.18P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 80 +37 -5.18 30.07 3.67 80.00 0.00 37.00 0.00 100.00 36.65P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 46 80 +22 7.52 76.19 7.90 80.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 100.00 17.98P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 46 78 +17 -1.08 45.61 -6.52 78.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 46 75 +11 4.67 67.45 0.22 75.00 0.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 69 +15 -1.72 43.38 3.63 69.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 67 -11 6.80 74.92 -6.19 67.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 66 +12 -3.47 36.84 2.39 66.00 0.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 46 65 -7 9.08 80.56 4.98 65.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 61 +3 -6.58 26.39 -3.42 61.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 46 61 +1 -0.91 46.85 3.49 61.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 46 60 -5 2.85 61.14 5.37 60.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 56 -18 0.68 53.25 -5.96 56.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 46 55 -13 2.78 61.52 3.52 55.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 54 -4 -3.50 37.12 5.69 54.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 46 51 -22 -6.53 26.42 -13.00 51.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 46 50 -5 -5.33 30.83 4.94 50.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Guiseley 46 49 -23 1.34 56.10 0.56 49.00 0.00 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 46 48 -27 -6.63 25.78 -12.95 48.00 0.00 -27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 46 44 -25 -3.78 35.79 -1.12 44.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Kidderminster 46 40 -22 -13.97 7.93 -8.31 40.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Welling 46 35 -38 -8.78 17.79 -9.07 35.00 0.00 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00