Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 11 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 May 2016, Liverpool 1 1 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        37   80  +32      20.57    98.82    19.06    81.06     1.25    31.52   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   70  +38       3.57    64.81    13.92    72.02     1.25    39.00     0.00    85.44   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   68  +25       0.00    49.51    -1.19    70.49     0.99    26.91     0.00    14.56    95.87   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         37   65  +30      -8.36    16.67    -6.54    66.92     1.28    30.82     0.00     0.00     4.13    86.17   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   63  +12       0.94    53.91    -4.53    65.17     1.18    13.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.83    94.82     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   62  +15       7.51    79.35     9.82    63.46     1.31    15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.76     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   60  +15       0.65    52.79     2.26    61.94     1.24    15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.06     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   59  +13      -1.03    45.37    -1.20    60.67     1.31    13.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.37     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   49   +6     -15.32     4.60   -14.79    50.69     1.31     6.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   48  -15       3.88    67.40    -4.97    49.27     1.29   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   46  -10      -0.19    49.73    -2.92    46.86     1.18   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   44   +1      -9.01    16.20    -1.83    46.01     1.25     1.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   44  -10       2.31    61.20     4.11    45.58     1.31    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   42   -9      -1.35    44.48     1.72    42.80     1.12    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   42  -14       0.10    51.17    -1.24    43.07     1.24   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   42  -20       3.04    64.33     0.53    42.62     1.04   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       37   38  -14      -2.21    40.73     2.89    39.15     1.26   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   34  -25      -3.06    36.91    -2.20    34.77     1.13   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Norwich          37   34  -25      -3.44    35.55    -2.87    34.78     1.14   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      37   17  -45     -12.19     4.71   -10.03    17.36     0.81   -46.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         46   93  +37       9.70    83.04     7.53    93.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   89  +32       8.37    79.94     6.74    89.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   89  +30      14.45    92.22    12.94    89.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.96P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   83  +34       0.16    50.26     5.31    83.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.91P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   78  +23       0.32    50.92     0.89    78.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.41P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   74  +21       4.88    68.57    11.53    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.72P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   69   +2       3.24    62.53    -2.63    69.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   68   +5       3.71    64.31     2.47    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   65   +5      -1.98    42.76    -0.94    65.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63   +4       1.36    55.59     5.25    63.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +0       1.27    55.41     1.80    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   60   +0      -5.64    29.51    -4.36    60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   59   -8       2.39    60.17     0.55    59.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -5      -5.83    28.58    -6.73    58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   55   +0      -8.80    19.29    -2.10    55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   55   -4      -5.99    27.89    -2.02    55.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   52   -7      -5.82    28.73     0.04    52.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   52  -17      -3.11    38.67    -4.76    52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   51  -11      -3.92    35.45     1.66    51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   51  -13      -5.33    30.55    -1.30    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -18      -0.52    48.87     2.36    49.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   40  -40      -4.48    32.42   -12.47    40.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         46   39  -30      -9.60    16.59    -8.88    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   30  -40     -15.26     4.91   -12.86    30.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            46   87  +37       0.63    51.67     1.86    87.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    46   85  +20      15.93    93.69    10.81    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   84  +22      11.59    86.84     8.07    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.29P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   81  +24       4.61    66.81     4.07    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   80  +15      11.30    86.50     6.31    80.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.98P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   74  +16       2.10    57.91     2.72    74.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.25P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   74  +13       7.97    77.79     8.46    74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   69  +18      -0.92    46.62     7.76    69.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   69  +15       0.28    51.12     6.59    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +7       2.39    59.05     1.94    69.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   66   +5      -3.39    37.43    -4.52    66.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   65   -2       4.89    68.67     2.22    65.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   +9      -6.58    27.04    -0.70    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   60  -17       7.97    78.48     0.26    60.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   59   -6       1.72    57.28     2.40    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   59   -7      -6.54    26.83   -10.49    59.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   54  -14      -0.72    47.97    -2.62    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   53  -12      -7.86    22.65    -8.46    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   51   -4      -7.79    22.51     1.50    51.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   50  -21      -4.07    35.32    -6.73    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   46  -16     -11.38    13.03    -7.98    46.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        46   46  -23      -6.32    27.30    -8.07    46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       46   40  -42      -5.05    30.85   -10.29    40.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   34  -37      -9.11    17.00    -5.10    34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          46   99  +36      20.83    97.78    13.29    99.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   86  +43       4.51    66.67    15.74    86.00     0.00    43.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   85  +31       9.16    80.50    12.24    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   85  +26      14.29    91.34    14.68    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.21P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   81  +26       4.43    66.23     6.34    81.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.89P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   78  +31       1.91    57.13    11.75    78.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.11P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   75  +14       8.35    78.69     8.57    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.79P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   69   -1      -2.35    41.40   -13.33    69.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   68  +11       3.37    62.49     8.71    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   67   +5       3.70    63.71     4.98    67.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   66   +2       0.35    51.52    -1.96    66.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   64   +8       3.48    63.52    11.29    64.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   64   +1      -2.11    42.16    -4.05    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -2       1.94    57.48    -0.16    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   62   -1       2.47    59.72     4.82    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   51  -23       2.48    60.66    -1.29    51.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   51  -29      -4.58    33.89   -17.11    51.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   48  -15     -12.00    12.75   -10.57    48.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   48  -16      -9.94    16.84    -9.70    48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   47  -33      -5.21    31.04   -16.61    47.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   46  -22      -8.18    21.86    -6.65    46.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   43  -21      -9.45    17.34    -6.03    43.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   34  -35     -14.29     7.13   -11.90    34.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
York                 46   34  -36     -14.27     7.25   -13.04    34.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.63    74.68     9.27   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.65    84.97     4.20    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    27.59P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      11.03    85.93     7.68    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    16.81P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.44    29.24     3.23    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    37.08P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.57    76.63     7.99    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    18.52P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -1.06    45.71    -6.44    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.48    66.77    -0.11    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.93    42.64     3.28    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.78    74.52    -6.12    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.53    36.51     2.34    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       8.87    79.92     4.68    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.33    27.29    -3.01    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -0.83    47.26     3.65    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       2.82    60.74     5.23    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.49    52.56    -6.35    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       3.04    62.68     3.92    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.67    36.75     5.41    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.53    26.80   -12.99    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.54    29.94     4.62    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.29    56.10     0.47    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.36    26.82   -12.59    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -4.01    34.95    -1.45    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.77     8.05    -8.01    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.73    17.87    -8.90    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00