Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 10 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Liverpool 2 0 Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        37   80  +32      20.34    98.88    18.72    81.07     1.26    31.54   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   70  +38       3.64    65.17    14.13    72.03     1.24    39.00     0.00    85.88   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   68  +25       0.02    49.66    -1.19    70.50     0.98    26.91     0.00    14.12    95.36    99.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         37   65  +30      -8.20    17.28    -6.23    66.93     1.27    30.83     0.00     0.00     2.82    57.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          36   63  +13       2.09    59.29    -3.74    66.64     1.76    14.38     0.00     0.00     1.83    43.10    97.28     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   60  +15       0.65    52.90     2.26    61.93     1.25    15.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.28     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         36   59  +14       6.40    76.50     9.59    61.72     1.84    13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.80     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        36   58  +13      -0.79    46.30    -1.38    61.12     1.88    13.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.64     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          36   48   +6     -15.02     4.62   -14.94    51.02     1.88     6.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   48  -15       3.82    67.50    -5.09    49.26     1.29   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   46  -10      -0.32    49.32    -3.11    46.85     1.17   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   44   +4      -8.70    16.83    -0.57    47.70     1.81     5.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   44   -8       3.00    64.05     4.69    47.00     1.85    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   42   -9      -1.27    44.84     1.83    42.81     1.12    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   42  -14       0.18    51.95    -1.09    43.06     1.24   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   42  -20       3.06    64.54     0.55    42.62     1.04   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   35  -17      -2.74    38.05     1.64    37.21     1.78   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.32R    0.00  
Newcastle        37   34  -25      -3.09    36.59    -2.22    34.75     1.12   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.18R    0.00  
Norwich          36   31  -27      -4.15    32.21    -3.71    33.08     1.72   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.49R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      37   17  -45     -12.26     4.73   -10.14    17.35     0.80   -46.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         46   93  +37       9.81    83.20     7.71    93.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   89  +32       8.31    79.78     6.73    89.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   89  +30      14.47    92.27    12.96    89.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.37P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   83  +34       0.26    50.57     5.47    83.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.20P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   78  +23       0.33    51.01     0.93    78.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.41P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   74  +21       4.75    68.02    11.39    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   69   +2       3.19    62.52    -2.72    69.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   68   +5       3.45    63.59     2.10    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   65   +5      -2.22    41.75    -1.31    65.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63   +4       1.61    56.48     5.54    63.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +0       1.68    57.07     2.33    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   60   +0      -5.59    29.89    -4.33    60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   59   -8       2.44    60.12     0.64    59.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -5      -5.86    28.77    -6.80    58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   55   +0      -8.79    19.32    -2.08    55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   55   -4      -6.06    27.62    -2.14    55.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   52   -7      -5.64    29.04     0.23    52.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   52  -17      -2.88    39.68    -4.45    52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   51  -11      -3.78    35.89     1.90    51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   51  -13      -5.37    30.63    -1.41    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -18      -0.69    48.26     2.15    49.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   40  -40      -4.58    32.13   -12.68    40.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         46   39  -30      -9.61    16.51    -8.90    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   30  -40     -15.51     4.64   -13.28    30.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            46   87  +37       0.63    52.16     1.82    87.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    46   85  +20      15.90    93.60    10.74    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   84  +22      11.95    87.31     8.59    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.19P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   81  +24       4.66    67.04     4.11    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.65P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   80  +15      11.43    86.74     6.53    80.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.85P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   74  +16       2.20    58.39     2.88    74.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.32P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   74  +13       7.66    76.80     7.99    74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   69  +18      -0.79    47.18     7.94    69.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   69  +15       0.35    51.26     6.71    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +7       2.53    59.58     2.09    69.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   66   +5      -3.51    37.02    -4.67    66.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   65   -2       4.65    67.61     1.91    65.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   +9      -6.62    26.67    -0.82    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   60  -17       7.93    78.39     0.27    60.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   59   -6       1.88    57.77     2.66    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   59   -7      -6.66    26.63   -10.69    59.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   54  -14      -0.78    47.80    -2.75    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   53  -12      -7.86    22.64    -8.43    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   51   -4      -8.09    21.57     1.08    51.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   50  -21      -4.16    35.06    -6.80    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   46  -16     -11.58    12.76    -8.30    46.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        46   46  -23      -6.40    26.80    -8.29    46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       46   40  -42      -4.83    31.91   -10.00    40.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   34  -37      -8.84    17.61    -4.60    34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          46   99  +36      20.87    97.77    13.34    99.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   86  +43       4.62    67.05    15.96    86.00     0.00    43.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   85  +31       9.02    80.13    11.97    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   85  +26      14.24    90.97    14.53    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.17P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   81  +26       4.80    67.46     6.79    81.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.92P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   78  +31       1.90    56.82    11.72    78.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.25P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   75  +14       8.72    79.72     9.06    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.66P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   69   -1      -2.31    41.46   -13.19    69.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   68  +11       3.39    62.81     8.74    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   67   +5       3.65    63.58     4.98    67.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   66   +2       0.33    51.61    -1.92    66.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   64   +8       3.32    62.83    11.05    64.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   64   +1      -2.25    41.68    -4.31    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -2       1.74    56.87    -0.45    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   62   -1       2.75    60.73     5.24    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   51  -23       2.10    58.99    -1.81    51.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   51  -29      -4.44    34.13   -16.89    51.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   48  -15     -12.10    12.23   -10.71    48.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   48  -16      -9.68    17.48    -9.29    48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   47  -33      -5.46    30.42   -17.01    47.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   46  -22      -8.13    21.99    -6.50    46.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   43  -21      -9.53    17.21    -6.18    43.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   34  -35     -14.50     6.96   -12.30    34.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
York                 46   34  -36     -14.06     7.50   -12.82    34.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.48    74.32     9.03   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.60    84.80     4.08    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    28.18P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      11.10    86.29     7.72    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.05P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.38    29.07     3.44    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.41P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.63    76.74     8.05    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    18.36P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -1.06    45.70    -6.50    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.59    66.89     0.03    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.73    43.44     3.59    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.83    74.95    -6.11    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.46    37.01     2.38    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       8.94    80.36     4.80    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.53    27.09    -3.33    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -0.82    47.17     3.67    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       2.66    60.46     5.01    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.66    53.23    -6.02    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.81    61.50     3.61    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.70    36.45     5.41    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.44    26.65   -12.89    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.82    28.86     4.21    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.43    56.61     0.74    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.42    26.77   -12.63    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -4.07    34.59    -1.59    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.74     8.12    -7.99    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.62    18.09    -8.70    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00