Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 9 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Liverpool 2 0 Watford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Leicester 37 80 +32 20.57 98.94 19.13 81.07 1.26 31.53 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 37 70 +38 3.59 65.24 14.01 72.03 1.24 39.00 0.00 85.89 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 37 68 +25 -0.07 49.32 -1.34 70.50 0.98 26.90 0.00 14.11 95.14 98.87 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_City 37 65 +30 -8.25 16.79 -6.30 66.93 1.27 30.84 0.00 0.00 2.93 58.27 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 36 63 +13 2.13 59.25 -3.68 66.63 1.75 14.36 0.00 0.00 1.94 42.87 97.34 0.00 0.00
Southampton 37 60 +15 0.58 52.52 2.18 61.93 1.25 15.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.45 0.00 0.00
West_Ham 36 59 +14 6.43 76.44 9.62 61.73 1.83 14.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.88 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 36 58 +13 -0.65 47.03 -1.16 61.12 1.87 13.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.33 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 36 48 +6 -14.99 4.56 -14.83 51.02 1.87 6.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Stoke 37 48 -15 3.88 67.56 -4.99 49.26 1.29 -15.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Swansea 37 46 -10 -0.26 49.49 -3.05 46.85 1.17 -10.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Everton 36 44 +4 -8.71 16.81 -0.60 47.71 1.81 5.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Watford 36 44 -8 2.86 63.55 4.53 47.01 1.84 -7.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Crystal_Palace 37 42 -9 -1.23 44.95 1.90 42.82 1.13 -9.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
West_Brom 37 42 -14 0.09 51.15 -1.25 43.06 1.24 -14.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bournemouth 37 42 -20 2.98 63.95 0.43 42.62 1.03 -21.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sunderland 36 35 -17 -2.82 37.75 1.46 37.20 1.77 -17.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.39R 0.00
Newcastle 37 34 -25 -3.09 36.68 -2.22 34.75 1.12 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.98R 0.00
Norwich 36 31 -27 -4.12 32.10 -3.75 33.07 1.71 -28.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.63R 0.00
Aston_Villa 37 17 -45 -12.24 4.96 -10.09 17.36 0.81 -46.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Burnley 46 93 +37 9.55 82.64 7.28 93.00 0.00 37.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Middlesbrough 46 89 +32 8.34 79.85 6.73 89.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Brighton 46 89 +30 14.59 92.73 13.10 89.00 0.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.66P 0.00 0.00
Hull 46 83 +34 0.34 51.16 5.58 83.00 0.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 34.07P 0.00 0.00
Derby 46 78 +23 0.33 50.78 0.89 78.00 0.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.28P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Wed 46 74 +21 4.84 68.31 11.48 74.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 17.99P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 46 69 +2 3.08 62.04 -2.93 69.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cardiff 46 68 +5 3.57 63.98 2.25 68.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Brentford 46 65 +5 -2.25 41.35 -1.38 65.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Birmingham 46 63 +4 1.47 56.00 5.34 63.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Preston 46 62 +0 1.27 55.44 1.81 62.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
QPR 46 60 +0 -5.54 29.93 -4.27 60.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Leeds_United 46 59 -8 2.55 60.57 0.76 59.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Wolverhampton 46 58 -5 -5.71 29.02 -6.59 58.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Blackburn 46 55 +0 -8.78 19.64 -1.97 55.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 46 55 -4 -5.98 27.95 -2.00 55.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Reading 46 52 -7 -5.81 28.70 0.06 52.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bristol_City 46 52 -17 -3.04 39.04 -4.63 52.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Huddersfield 46 51 -11 -3.83 35.83 1.74 51.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Fulham 46 51 -13 -5.10 31.50 -0.95 51.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 46 49 -18 -0.63 48.03 2.25 49.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Charlton 46 40 -40 -4.59 31.84 -12.63 40.00 0.00 -40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00
MK_Dons 46 39 -30 -9.61 16.62 -8.94 39.00 0.00 -30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00
Bolton 46 30 -40 -15.35 4.98 -12.97 30.00 0.00 -40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Wigan 46 87 +37 0.87 53.08 2.24 87.00 0.00 37.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Burton_Albion 46 85 +20 16.03 93.63 10.96 85.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Walsall 46 84 +22 11.80 87.03 8.41 84.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.34P 0.00 0.00
Millwall 46 81 +24 4.78 67.36 4.36 81.00 0.00 24.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.17P 0.00 0.00
Bradford 46 80 +15 11.19 86.17 6.19 80.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 20.84P 0.00 0.00
Barnsley 46 74 +16 1.96 57.19 2.55 74.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 23.65P 0.00 0.00
Scunthorpe 46 74 +13 7.74 77.19 8.08 74.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Coventry 46 69 +18 -0.97 46.48 7.68 69.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gillingham 46 69 +15 0.11 50.45 6.30 69.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rochdale 46 69 +7 2.48 59.53 2.03 69.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 46 66 +5 -3.47 36.73 -4.58 66.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Port_Vale 46 65 -2 4.36 66.50 1.48 65.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 46 63 +9 -6.24 27.85 -0.22 63.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bury 46 60 -17 7.84 77.94 0.03 60.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Southend 46 59 -6 1.71 57.18 2.35 59.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Swindon 46 59 -7 -6.73 26.41 -10.76 59.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oldham 46 54 -14 -0.76 47.56 -2.69 54.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Chesterfield 46 53 -12 -7.75 22.83 -8.32 53.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 46 51 -4 -7.62 23.18 1.81 51.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Shrewsbury 46 50 -21 -4.02 35.40 -6.71 50.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Doncaster 46 46 -16 -11.36 13.07 -7.90 46.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00
Blackpool 46 46 -23 -6.30 27.28 -8.12 46.00 0.00 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00
Colchester 46 40 -42 -4.89 31.77 -10.13 40.00 0.00 -42.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00
Crewe 46 34 -37 -9.13 17.11 -5.04 34.00 0.00 -37.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Northampton 46 99 +36 20.81 97.65 13.22 99.00 0.00 36.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 46 86 +43 4.65 66.87 15.96 86.00 0.00 43.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 46 85 +31 9.20 80.35 12.26 85.00 0.00 31.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Accrington_Stanley 46 85 +26 14.59 91.64 15.07 85.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.26P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 46 81 +26 4.62 66.96 6.55 81.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 28.76P 0.00 0.00
Portsmouth 46 78 +31 1.83 56.86 11.60 78.00 0.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.50P 0.00 0.00
AFC_Wimbledon 46 75 +14 8.26 78.28 8.43 75.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.48P 0.00 0.00
Leyton_Orient 46 69 -1 -2.38 41.23 -13.36 69.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 46 68 +11 3.11 61.89 8.41 68.00 0.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Carlisle 46 67 +5 3.75 64.14 5.09 67.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Luton 46 66 +2 0.23 51.28 -2.06 66.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mansfield 46 64 +8 3.45 63.31 11.28 64.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 46 64 +1 -2.35 41.45 -4.40 64.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Exeter 46 64 -2 1.92 57.52 -0.23 64.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Barnet 46 62 -1 2.83 61.14 5.43 62.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Hartlepool 46 51 -23 2.36 60.18 -1.42 51.00 0.00 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Notts_County 46 51 -29 -4.55 33.91 -17.01 51.00 0.00 -29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Stevenage 46 48 -15 -12.05 12.50 -10.56 48.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yeovil 46 48 -16 -9.85 17.13 -9.55 48.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Crawley_Town 46 47 -33 -5.12 31.75 -16.47 47.00 0.00 -33.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Morecambe 46 46 -22 -8.34 21.39 -6.88 46.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Newport_County 46 43 -21 -9.60 17.02 -6.26 43.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dag_&_Red 46 34 -35 -14.30 7.35 -12.04 34.00 0.00 -35.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00
York 46 34 -36 -14.26 7.33 -13.06 34.00 0.00 -36.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00
National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Cheltenham 46 101 +57 6.46 74.14 8.89 101.00 0.00 57.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 46 89 +27 10.62 85.01 4.18 89.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 100.00 28.00P 0.00 0.00
Braintree_Town 46 81 +18 10.92 86.07 7.49 81.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 100.00 17.08P 0.00 0.00
Grimsby 46 80 +37 -5.24 29.67 3.60 80.00 0.00 37.00 0.00 100.00 36.92P 0.00 0.00
Dover_Athletic 46 80 +22 7.42 75.99 7.69 80.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 100.00 18.00P 0.00 0.00
Tranmere 46 78 +17 -1.06 45.62 -6.49 78.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Eastleigh 46 75 +11 4.50 66.63 -0.01 75.00 0.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Wrexham 46 69 +15 -1.61 44.10 3.69 69.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 46 67 -11 6.97 75.44 -5.91 67.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Macclesfield 46 66 +12 -3.57 36.35 2.25 66.00 0.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Barrow 46 65 -7 9.07 80.36 4.96 65.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Woking 46 61 +3 -6.38 27.30 -3.04 61.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lincoln_City 46 61 +1 -0.88 47.09 3.61 61.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bromley 46 60 -5 2.72 60.54 5.04 60.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Aldershot 46 56 -18 0.65 53.45 -6.07 56.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Southport 46 55 -13 2.76 61.60 3.50 55.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Chester 46 54 -4 -3.71 36.43 5.40 54.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Torquay 46 51 -22 -6.58 26.40 -13.08 51.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Boreham_Wood 46 50 -5 -5.44 30.30 4.70 50.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Guiseley 46 49 -23 1.19 55.77 0.31 49.00 0.00 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Halifax 46 48 -27 -6.28 27.28 -12.42 48.00 0.00 -27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Altrincham 46 44 -25 -3.77 35.52 -1.09 44.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00
Kidderminster 46 40 -22 -13.95 7.55 -8.24 40.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00
Welling 46 35 -38 -8.81 17.46 -8.97 35.00 0.00 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00
