Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 8 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Liverpool 2 0 Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        37   80  +32      20.58    98.87    19.11    81.08     1.27    31.55   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   70  +38       3.63    65.33    14.07    72.02     1.24    38.99     0.00    85.90   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   68  +25      -0.13    48.85    -1.33    70.50     0.98    26.91     0.00    14.10    95.26    98.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         37   65  +30      -8.16    17.30    -6.16    66.92     1.27    30.83     0.00     0.00     2.90    57.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          36   63  +13       2.08    59.13    -3.77    66.65     1.76    14.39     0.00     0.00     1.84    43.34    97.45     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   60  +15       0.50    52.10     2.13    61.92     1.25    15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.33     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         36   59  +14       6.39    76.21     9.56    61.70     1.83    13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.23     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        36   58  +13      -0.77    46.72    -1.33    61.14     1.87    13.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          36   48   +6     -14.95     4.67   -14.78    51.00     1.87     6.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   48  -15       3.80    67.32    -5.11    49.28     1.29   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   46  -10      -0.20    49.93    -2.96    46.85     1.18   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   44   +4      -8.58    16.90    -0.45    47.70     1.81     5.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   44   -8       2.81    63.32     4.37    47.02     1.85    -7.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   42   -9      -1.56    43.53     1.42    42.83     1.14    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   42  -14       0.37    52.49    -0.85    43.05     1.24   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   42  -20       3.07    64.54     0.48    42.62     1.03   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   35  -17      -2.75    38.20     1.61    37.20     1.77   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.49R    0.00  
Newcastle        37   34  -25      -3.21    36.14    -2.44    34.76     1.13   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.87R    0.00  
Norwich          36   31  -27      -4.17    32.09    -3.80    33.08     1.72   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.65R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      37   17  -45     -12.05     4.99    -9.77    17.35     0.80   -46.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         46   93  +37       9.91    83.58     7.80    93.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   89  +32       8.35    79.82     6.72    89.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   89  +30      14.60    92.57    13.09    89.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.18P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   83  +34       0.18    50.47     5.31    83.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.21P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   78  +23       0.36    51.43     0.95    78.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.61P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   74  +21       4.67    67.88    11.28    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   69   +2       3.15    62.26    -2.75    69.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   68   +5       3.83    64.77     2.63    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   65   +5      -2.22    41.85    -1.34    65.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63   +4       1.66    56.65     5.65    63.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +0       1.24    55.30     1.77    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   60   +0      -5.78    29.32    -4.58    60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   59   -8       2.29    59.62     0.42    59.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -5      -5.95    28.43    -6.90    58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   55   +0      -8.77    19.28    -2.05    55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   55   -4      -6.17    27.32    -2.26    55.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   52   -7      -5.71    29.01     0.16    52.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   52  -17      -3.00    39.23    -4.57    52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   51  -11      -3.73    36.01     1.89    51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   51  -13      -5.33    30.48    -1.29    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -18      -0.44    49.28     2.44    49.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   40  -40      -4.58    32.21   -12.63    40.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         46   39  -30      -9.50    16.86    -8.71    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   30  -40     -15.35     4.78   -13.03    30.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 May 2016, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            46   87  +37       0.44    51.34     1.60    87.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    46   85  +20      16.26    93.94    11.23    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   84  +22      11.76    87.25     8.32    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.28P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   81  +24       4.55    66.32     3.94    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   80  +15      11.36    86.25     6.39    80.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.82P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   74  +16       2.21    58.43     2.89    74.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.50P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   74  +13       7.93    77.76     8.37    74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   69  +18      -1.08    45.95     7.51    69.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   69  +15       0.29    51.34     6.62    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +7       2.31    58.92     1.77    69.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   66   +5      -3.58    36.75    -4.78    66.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   65   -2       4.76    68.03     2.05    65.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   +9      -6.60    26.79    -0.80    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   60  -17       7.83    77.89     0.04    60.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   59   -6       1.94    57.77     2.67    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   59   -7      -6.83    25.82   -10.88    59.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   54  -14      -0.75    47.99    -2.61    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   53  -12      -7.89    22.67    -8.50    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   51   -4      -8.01    21.60     1.21    51.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   50  -21      -3.97    35.60    -6.60    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   46  -16     -11.20    13.37    -7.70    46.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        46   46  -23      -6.20    27.46    -7.90    46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       46   40  -42      -4.93    31.45   -10.05    40.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   34  -37      -8.96    17.56    -4.77    34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          46   99  +36      20.77    97.82    13.14    99.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   86  +43       4.66    67.14    15.96    86.00     0.00    43.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   85  +31       9.15    80.43    12.22    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   85  +26      14.78    91.80    15.36    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.77P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   81  +26       4.74    67.49     6.78    81.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.90P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   78  +31       1.63    55.76    11.31    78.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.86P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   75  +14       8.60    79.20     8.93    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   69   -1      -2.34    41.56   -13.22    69.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   68  +11       3.21    62.20     8.48    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   67   +5       3.68    63.62     4.98    67.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   66   +2       0.34    51.43    -1.90    66.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   64   +8       3.21    62.36    10.94    64.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   64   +1      -2.19    41.84    -4.23    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -2       1.88    57.38    -0.22    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   62   -1       2.37    59.12     4.69    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   51  -23       2.05    58.97    -1.98    51.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   51  -29      -4.34    34.82   -16.76    51.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   48  -15     -12.19    12.11   -10.86    48.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   48  -16      -9.57    18.05    -9.12    48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   47  -33      -5.00    31.93   -16.30    47.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   46  -22      -8.16    21.99    -6.60    46.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   43  -21      -9.53    17.35    -6.17    43.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   34  -35     -14.60     6.88   -12.35    34.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
York                 46   34  -36     -14.26     7.46   -13.09    34.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.44    74.24     8.95   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.52    84.79     3.99    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    28.05P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      11.07    86.41     7.69    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.08P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.39    29.33     3.37    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.80P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.82    77.46     8.31    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    18.06P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -0.87    46.52    -6.23    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.54    66.89     0.10    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.79    43.25     3.49    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.70    74.37    -6.25    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.54    36.58     2.32    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       9.00    80.28     4.91    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.41    27.16    -3.19    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -0.74    47.66     3.76    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       2.88    61.03     5.35    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.20    51.35    -6.76    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.87    61.92     3.67    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.66    36.57     5.50    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.48    26.36   -12.89    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.39    30.42     4.79    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.23    55.86     0.32    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.33    27.07   -12.48    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -4.09    34.23    -1.58    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.87     7.95    -8.20    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.77    17.73    -8.95    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00