Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 7 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Aston_Villa 0 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        37   80  +32      20.50    98.85    18.98    81.07     1.26    31.54   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   70  +39       4.68    69.95    14.51    73.75     1.80    40.52     0.00    94.11   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   67  +25       0.18    50.31    -1.46    70.59     1.61    26.47     0.00     5.68    68.61    97.31   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         36   64  +30      -7.68    18.45    -6.02    67.58     1.83    31.25     0.00     0.21    29.68    70.36   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          36   63  +13       2.07    58.99    -3.81    66.65     1.76    14.39     0.00     0.00     1.71    32.08    98.95     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         36   59  +14       6.35    75.89     9.48    61.71     1.84    13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24    54.84     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   57  +14      -0.77    46.23     1.60    59.91     1.76    14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.40     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        35   55  +11      -1.29    44.19    -1.60    60.04     2.28    12.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.80     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          36   48   +6     -14.97     4.66   -14.90    51.04     1.87     6.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   48  -15       3.83    67.27    -5.07    49.27     1.29   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   46  -10      -0.34    48.95    -3.12    46.85     1.17   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   44   +4      -8.37    17.53    -0.07    47.68     1.81     5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   44   -6       3.30    65.29     5.13    47.84     2.21    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   42   -9      -1.36    44.57     1.71    42.85     1.14    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   42  -14       0.17    51.64    -1.10    43.07     1.24   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   42  -20       3.14    64.69     0.64    42.62     1.03   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   35  -17      -2.93    37.31     1.38    37.22     1.78   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.32R    0.00  
Newcastle        37   34  -25      -3.22    36.16    -2.43    34.75     1.12   -26.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.19R    0.00  
Norwich          36   31  -27      -4.21    31.61    -3.88    33.08     1.73   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.49R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      37   17  -45     -12.17     5.04    -9.98    17.36     0.82   -46.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, Blackburn 3 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         46   93  +37       9.62    82.86     7.43    93.00     0.00    37.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   89  +32       8.19    79.20     6.53    89.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   89  +30      14.55    92.45    13.03    89.00     0.00    30.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.54P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   83  +34       0.23    50.51     5.45    83.00     0.00    34.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.14P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   78  +23       0.32    51.19     0.98    78.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.46P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   74  +21       5.11    69.30    11.85    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.85P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   69   +2       3.19    62.71    -2.70    69.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   68   +5       3.77    64.69     2.53    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   65   +5      -1.90    42.88    -0.81    65.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63   +4       1.33    55.62     5.15    63.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +0       1.51    56.30     2.13    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   60   +0      -5.62    29.73    -4.32    60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   59   -8       2.42    60.09     0.57    59.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -5      -5.72    29.10    -6.57    58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   55   +0      -8.76    19.46    -1.99    55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   55   -4      -5.83    28.42    -1.80    55.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   52   -7      -5.80    28.68     0.07    52.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   52  -17      -3.06    39.15    -4.70    52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   51  -11      -3.99    35.03     1.54    51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   51  -13      -5.32    30.64    -1.25    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -18      -0.75    47.81     1.98    49.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   40  -40      -4.49    32.33   -12.48    40.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         46   39  -30      -9.70    16.72    -9.04    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   30  -40     -15.69     4.64   -13.58    30.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2016, Walsall 3 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            45   87  +40       1.12    54.00     3.61    88.94     1.26    40.85   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    45   84  +20      16.51    94.42    11.07    85.44     1.29    20.11     0.00    92.39   100.00    94.19P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   81  +17      12.06    88.18     6.17    82.35     1.29    16.99     0.00     7.61   100.00    30.94P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   78  +23       3.36    62.42     3.59    79.34     1.31    22.95     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         45   77  +13      10.59    85.24     5.63    78.68     1.29    13.45     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.85P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   71  +13       1.88    57.17     1.77    71.83     1.15    12.15     0.00     0.00    45.60    10.52P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   71  +11       6.73    74.57     7.02    72.07     1.24    10.57     0.00     0.00    31.80     6.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   69  +16       1.29    54.94     7.03    70.41     1.32    16.05     0.00     0.00    22.61     5.10P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   66  +16      -1.97    42.67     6.57    67.46     1.30    16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   66   +7      -2.80    39.36    -3.68    67.67     1.30     7.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   66   +6       1.32    55.10     1.73    67.69     1.33     6.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        45   65   +3       4.13    65.93     4.01    66.37     1.29     3.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   60   +5      -6.42    27.01    -1.95    61.87     1.28     5.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         45   59   -5       3.10    62.51     3.23    60.30     1.30    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   57  -18       6.84    75.39    -0.18    58.43     1.31   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   56  -10      -6.93    25.52   -11.57    57.81     1.31    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   54  -12      -0.27    49.60    -1.95    55.26     1.27   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     45   53  -10      -7.57    23.13    -8.05    54.05     1.23   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   50  -18      -3.91    36.00    -5.68    50.97     1.24   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   45   48   -6      -8.46    20.01     0.92    49.86     1.28    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.66R    0.00  
Blackpool        45   46  -19      -6.84    24.85    -7.19    46.89     1.18   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.34R    0.00  
Doncaster        45   45  -16     -11.04    13.62    -7.89    46.27     1.27   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       45   40  -41      -3.88    35.47    -9.62    41.09     1.28   -41.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            45   34  -35      -8.79    17.85    -4.60    34.89     1.18   -35.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          46   99  +36      20.97    97.91    13.46    99.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   86  +43       4.57    66.97    15.87    86.00     0.00    43.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   85  +31       9.14    80.23    12.25    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   85  +26      14.44    91.13    14.86    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.22P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   81  +26       4.92    68.02     7.07    81.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.69P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   78  +31       1.79    56.43    11.60    78.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.54P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   75  +14       8.55    79.15     8.85    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.55P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   69   -1      -2.25    41.80   -13.14    69.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   68  +11       3.06    61.70     8.23    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   67   +5       3.42    63.16     4.60    67.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   66   +2       0.38    51.58    -1.91    66.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   64   +8       3.36    63.14    11.10    64.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   64   +1      -1.94    42.98    -3.82    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -2       1.71    56.86    -0.50    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   62   -1       2.50    59.53     4.88    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   51  -23       2.09    59.18    -1.91    51.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   51  -29      -4.40    34.21   -16.86    51.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   48  -15     -11.81    12.56   -10.32    48.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   48  -16      -9.88    17.03    -9.60    48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   47  -33      -5.20    31.32   -16.56    47.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   46  -22      -8.34    21.30    -6.83    46.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   43  -21      -9.43    17.67    -6.00    43.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   34  -35     -14.47     6.93   -12.28    34.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
York                 46   34  -36     -14.16     7.27   -13.01    34.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.42    73.96     8.91   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.46    84.59     3.92    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    28.31P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      11.12    86.28     7.74    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.05P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.18    30.06     3.68    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.68P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.75    76.97     8.25    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    17.95P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -1.05    45.68    -6.52    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.56    66.94     0.08    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.88    43.03     3.36    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.77    74.83    -6.21    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.49    37.06     2.34    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       8.71    79.47     4.45    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.56    26.69    -3.36    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -0.85    47.06     3.67    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       2.73    60.62     5.12    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.62    53.12    -6.11    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.74    61.50     3.38    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.54    36.83     5.62    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.52    26.32   -13.01    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.39    30.71     4.86    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.20    55.85     0.34    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.40    26.73   -12.57    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -3.91    34.76    -1.32    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.83     8.14    -8.06    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.51    18.37    -8.55    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00