Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 5 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2016, Chelsea 2 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        36   77  +30      19.68    98.73    18.14    79.69     1.82    29.89   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   70  +39       4.81    70.23    14.68    73.77     1.81    40.54     0.00    94.08   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   67  +25       0.24    50.60    -1.32    70.60     1.61    26.49     0.00     5.64    68.04    98.11   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         36   64  +30      -7.64    18.50    -5.93    67.62     1.84    31.31     0.00     0.28    31.00    76.47   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   60  +12       1.18    55.02    -3.80    65.52     2.18    14.09     0.00     0.00     0.88    19.08    92.48     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   59  +17       6.66    77.44    10.76    63.60     2.26    17.73     0.00     0.00     0.08     6.34    81.73     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   57  +14      -0.52    47.81     1.98    59.92     1.76    14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.43     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        35   55  +11      -1.33    43.95    -1.70    60.05     2.28    12.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.36     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   48   +7     -13.56     6.01   -13.79    52.99     2.28     8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   48  -14       4.68    70.69    -4.86    50.50     1.80   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   44   +6      -7.95    18.46     0.39    48.86     2.23     7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   44   -6       3.30    65.24     5.04    47.87     2.19    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   43  -13      -0.90    46.71    -4.61    44.74     1.67   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   41  -14       0.42    52.82    -1.29    43.35     1.80   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   41  -20       3.47    66.42     0.63    43.07     1.68   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   39  -10      -2.54    38.94     1.37    41.27     1.72   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        36   33  -25      -2.86    37.77    -2.29    35.24     1.73   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.44R    0.00  
Sunderland       35   32  -18      -4.38    30.36     0.49    35.00     2.15   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.65R    0.00  
Norwich          35   31  -26      -3.52    34.79    -3.78    33.90     2.09   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.90R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      36   16  -45     -12.03     4.88   -10.09    17.61     1.53   -47.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2016, Brighton 1 1 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         45   90  +34       9.90    83.68     7.14    91.95     1.24    34.81    85.84   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   88  +32       8.65    81.14     6.68    89.67     1.27    32.42     9.85    76.32   100.00    83.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        45   88  +30      14.54    92.72    12.63    89.02     1.18    29.58     4.31    23.68   100.00    43.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            45   80  +30       0.74    52.55     4.68    82.19     1.16    31.21     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.11P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           45   78  +24       1.45    55.44     1.48    79.85     1.28    24.69     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.42P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   74  +22       6.03    72.65    12.21    75.30     1.28    21.92     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         45   67   +5       4.02    65.62     2.37    68.63     1.30     5.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   66   +1       1.87    57.63    -3.28    66.90     1.18     0.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   62   +4       1.45    56.34     4.86    63.10     1.24     3.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   62   +1      -2.12    41.91    -2.66    63.34     1.32     0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   61   +0       1.89    57.85     2.12    62.64     1.28     0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   58   -8       2.81    61.67     0.66    59.07     1.22    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   57   -1      -6.94    25.29    -4.83    58.84     1.29    -0.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   45   55   -6      -6.93    24.61    -7.00    56.42     1.29    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   52   -2      -9.34    17.23    -2.64    53.65     1.29    -1.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   52   -5      -5.25    30.35     0.84    53.06     1.22    -5.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   52   -5      -7.28    23.47    -2.54    53.40     1.29    -4.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   52  -16      -2.35    41.52    -4.61    52.92     1.20   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   51   -7      -3.88    35.46     3.38    52.42     1.33    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   49  -14      -1.11    46.38     3.07    49.59     1.00   -15.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          45   48  -14      -6.43    26.92    -1.40    49.90     1.29   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        45   40  -37      -4.33    32.94   -11.43    40.80     1.11   -37.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         45   39  -29      -8.82    18.32    -8.85    40.31     1.28   -29.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          45   30  -39     -14.60     5.71   -12.87    30.89     1.21   -39.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2016, Walsall 3 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            45   87  +40       0.92    52.76     3.25    88.95     1.26    40.85   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    45   84  +20      16.72    94.62    11.43    85.41     1.29    20.08     0.00    92.25   100.00    94.05P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   81  +17      12.18    88.41     6.32    82.35     1.29    16.99     0.00     7.75   100.00    30.78P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   78  +23       3.51    62.83     3.83    79.33     1.31    22.94     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         45   77  +13      10.71    85.64     5.79    78.69     1.29    13.45     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.40P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   71  +13       1.50    56.02     1.27    71.82     1.15    12.15     0.00     0.00    45.22    10.59P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   71  +11       6.55    73.89     6.80    72.09     1.25    10.59     0.00     0.00    32.18     6.38P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   69  +16       1.13    54.41     6.76    70.41     1.31    16.06     0.00     0.00    22.60     5.22P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   66  +16      -1.59    43.93     7.16    67.46     1.30    16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   66   +7      -2.76    39.36    -3.67    67.65     1.31     7.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   66   +6       1.34    55.42     1.82    67.68     1.34     6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        45   65   +3       4.30    66.54     4.27    66.37     1.30     3.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   60   +5      -6.42    27.03    -1.92    61.86     1.28     5.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         45   59   -5       2.99    61.97     3.10    60.30     1.29    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   57  -18       6.84    75.60    -0.17    58.44     1.31   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   56  -10      -6.91    25.59   -11.48    57.80     1.31    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   54  -12      -0.23    49.89    -1.89    55.25     1.27   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     45   53  -10      -7.47    23.83    -7.90    54.04     1.22   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   50  -18      -3.96    35.54    -5.69    50.98     1.24   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   45   48   -6      -8.90    18.70     0.29    49.88     1.27    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.51R    0.00  
Blackpool        45   46  -19      -6.76    25.34    -7.07    46.90     1.19   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.49R    0.00  
Doncaster        45   45  -16     -11.17    13.46    -8.06    46.29     1.27   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       45   40  -41      -4.08    34.74    -9.99    41.11     1.30   -41.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            45   34  -35      -8.52    18.66    -4.25    34.87     1.17   -35.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barnet 3 4 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          45   96  +35      19.80    97.29    13.19    97.32     1.30    34.91   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   84  +26      15.03    92.24    15.17    85.68     1.32    26.44     0.00    81.00   100.00    85.68P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   83  +40       4.12    65.35    14.61    84.64     1.29    40.38     0.00    72.05   100.00    81.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   82  +30       8.00    77.47    11.93    84.02     1.24    30.97     0.00    46.95   100.00    62.90P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   78  +32       2.86    60.55    12.13    79.42     1.31    32.09     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.25P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   78  +21       5.45    69.93     5.07    79.92     1.26    21.79     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.51P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   72  +13       7.40    76.39     8.59    73.71     1.30    13.48     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   67  +11       3.44    62.87     8.30    68.40     1.31    11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        45   66   -2      -3.59    36.82   -13.73    67.55     1.30    -1.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   64   +4      -2.13    42.09    -2.97    65.08     1.22     3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   64   +1       2.09    58.33     0.89    65.27     1.30     0.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             45   64   +0       3.90    64.89     2.76    65.41     1.33     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   63   +8       3.81    64.89    11.33    64.34     1.30     7.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                45   63   -1       0.02    50.50    -3.12    64.48     1.32    -0.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   59   -4       2.34    59.29     4.22    60.41     1.32    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           45   51  -18       1.43    56.47    -0.15    51.83     1.14   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         45   51  -24      -5.05    31.95   -15.12    52.35     1.32   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               45   48  -15      -8.99    19.13    -9.19    49.17     1.26   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   47  -15     -11.86    12.39   -10.81    48.08     1.26   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   47  -30      -4.98    31.92   -15.38    48.34     1.31   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   45  -22      -7.87    22.55    -6.67    46.62     1.34   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   43  -20      -8.83    18.91    -6.05    44.02     1.22   -20.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   34  -34     -13.43     8.24   -11.86    34.75     1.11   -34.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   33.45  
York                 45   33  -36     -13.91     7.25   -13.13    34.15     1.29   -36.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   66.55  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.58    74.97     9.17   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.38    84.28     3.76    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    28.25P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      11.11    86.33     7.69    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.29    29.61     3.41    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.71P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.88    77.41     8.43    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    17.75P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -1.07    45.79    -6.47    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.75    67.70     0.30    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.93    42.67     3.34    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.57    73.92    -6.56    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.38    37.11     2.55    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       8.99    80.35     4.88    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.30    27.49    -3.04    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -0.88    46.92     3.59    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       2.94    61.23     5.44    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.60    52.94    -6.15    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.85    62.08     3.56    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.79    36.15     5.30    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.53    26.54   -12.98    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.67    29.38     4.40    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.14    55.74     0.24    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.46    26.67   -12.66    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -4.04    34.77    -1.45    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.82     8.19    -8.02    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.65    17.92    -8.71    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00