Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 4 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2016, Chelsea 2 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        36   77  +30      20.00    98.74    18.66    79.68     1.83    29.87   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   70  +39       4.75    70.17    14.58    73.76     1.80    40.54     0.00    94.20   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   67  +25       0.30    50.86    -1.26    70.61     1.61    26.49     0.00     5.57    68.47    98.14   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         36   64  +30      -7.54    18.67    -5.79    67.61     1.84    31.30     0.00     0.23    30.55    76.47   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   60  +12       1.09    54.48    -3.95    65.52     2.19    14.10     0.00     0.00     0.87    19.09    92.42     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   59  +17       6.67    77.78    10.76    63.59     2.26    17.72     0.00     0.00     0.11     6.30    81.76     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   57  +14      -0.76    46.65     1.59    59.93     1.75    14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.71     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        35   55  +11      -1.32    44.24    -1.75    60.04     2.27    12.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.11     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   48   +7     -13.63     5.89   -13.88    53.00     2.27     8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   48  -14       4.60    70.57    -4.99    50.49     1.81   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   44   +6      -7.93    18.51     0.41    48.86     2.22     7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   44   -6       3.19    64.93     4.90    47.87     2.20    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   43  -13      -0.98    46.10    -4.80    44.76     1.67   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   41  -14       0.60    53.54    -0.99    43.35     1.80   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   41  -20       3.46    66.47     0.64    43.08     1.67   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   39  -10      -2.63    38.43     1.22    41.28     1.71   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        36   33  -25      -2.83    37.63    -2.23    35.23     1.73   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.70R    0.00  
Sunderland       35   32  -18      -4.39    30.37     0.48    34.99     2.12   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.36R    0.00  
Norwich          35   31  -26      -3.39    35.16    -3.59    33.90     2.08   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.93R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      36   16  -45     -12.01     4.82   -10.01    17.61     1.53   -47.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2016, Brighton 1 1 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         45   90  +34       9.65    83.05     6.84    91.95     1.24    34.80    85.56   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   88  +32       8.89    81.88     6.99    89.67     1.27    32.41     9.93    76.21   100.00    83.69P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        45   88  +30      14.71    92.97    12.80    89.02     1.19    29.59     4.51    23.79   100.00    43.22P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            45   80  +30       0.71    52.51     4.68    82.20     1.15    31.20     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.77P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           45   78  +24       1.40    55.33     1.40    79.85     1.28    24.68     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.11P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   74  +22       5.72    71.54    11.81    75.29     1.28    21.91     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.21P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         45   67   +5       4.23    66.27     2.64    68.61     1.29     5.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   66   +1       1.91    57.79    -3.20    66.90     1.18     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   62   +4       1.55    56.62     4.94    63.11     1.23     3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   62   +1      -2.09    42.29    -2.65    63.36     1.33     0.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   61   +0       1.77    57.49     1.99    62.64     1.28     0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   58   -8       2.69    61.36     0.44    59.06     1.21    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   57   -1      -6.91    25.21    -4.81    58.85     1.29    -0.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   45   55   -6      -7.12    24.16    -7.25    56.42     1.29    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   52   -2      -9.20    18.01    -2.44    53.64     1.29    -1.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   52   -5      -5.40    29.88     0.54    53.07     1.22    -5.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   52   -5      -7.16    23.89    -2.39    53.40     1.29    -4.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   52  -16      -2.16    42.21    -4.30    52.92     1.21   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   51   -7      -3.93    35.34     3.29    52.41     1.33    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   49  -14      -0.86    47.23     3.41    49.58     0.99   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          45   48  -14      -6.40    26.68    -1.37    49.90     1.29   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        45   40  -37      -4.58    32.04   -11.84    40.80     1.12   -37.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         45   39  -29      -8.74    18.80    -8.75    40.31     1.28   -29.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          45   30  -39     -14.56     5.59   -12.78    30.89     1.21   -39.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2016, Walsall 3 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            45   87  +40       1.01    53.30     3.42    88.94     1.26    40.83   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    45   84  +20      16.75    94.66    11.43    85.43     1.28    20.10     0.00    92.61   100.00    94.40P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   81  +17      12.29    88.46     6.40    82.35     1.29    16.98     0.00     7.39   100.00    30.58P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   78  +23       3.30    61.97     3.61    79.34     1.31    22.96     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         45   77  +13      10.62    85.44     5.64    78.69     1.29    13.45     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.52P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   71  +13       1.41    55.51     1.12    71.83     1.15    12.17     0.00     0.00    45.55    10.59P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   71  +11       6.65    74.11     6.95    72.08     1.25    10.58     0.00     0.00    32.16     6.21P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   69  +16       1.39    55.52     7.18    70.41     1.32    16.04     0.00     0.00    22.29     5.24P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   66  +16      -1.71    43.70     7.01    67.46     1.30    16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   66   +7      -2.94    38.89    -3.87    67.66     1.31     7.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   66   +6       1.45    55.62     2.00    67.68     1.34     6.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        45   65   +3       4.03    65.79     3.89    66.37     1.30     3.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   60   +5      -6.59    26.31    -2.23    61.86     1.28     5.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         45   59   -5       2.96    61.92     3.02    60.31     1.30    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   57  -18       6.72    75.15    -0.26    58.42     1.31   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   56  -10      -7.03    25.06   -11.73    57.80     1.31    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   54  -12      -0.10    50.27    -1.71    55.26     1.28   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     45   53  -10      -7.66    22.84    -8.23    54.04     1.23   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   50  -18      -4.01    35.27    -5.90    50.97     1.23   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   45   48   -6      -8.32    20.49     1.12    49.86     1.27    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.79R    0.00  
Blackpool        45   46  -19      -6.81    25.28    -7.19    46.91     1.19   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.21R    0.00  
Doncaster        45   45  -16     -10.99    13.54    -7.84    46.28     1.27   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       45   40  -41      -3.88    35.05    -9.60    41.11     1.29   -41.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            45   34  -35      -8.57    18.39    -4.22    34.89     1.17   -35.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barnet 3 4 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          45   96  +35      19.55    96.98    12.79    97.31     1.30    34.91   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   84  +26      14.84    92.13    14.88    85.68     1.32    26.46     0.00    81.20   100.00    85.65P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   83  +40       4.27    65.74    14.87    84.63     1.28    40.37     0.00    71.80   100.00    81.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   82  +30       8.20    78.04    12.29    84.01     1.24    30.95     0.00    47.00   100.00    62.64P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   78  +32       2.78    60.33    11.95    79.43     1.32    32.09     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.55P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   78  +21       5.53    70.47     5.23    79.92     1.26    21.78     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.45P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   72  +13       7.15    75.44     8.22    73.71     1.29    13.48     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.34P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   67  +11       3.66    63.82     8.64    68.37     1.30    11.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        45   66   -2      -3.42    37.18   -13.46    67.55     1.30    -1.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   64   +4      -2.25    41.33    -3.15    65.08     1.22     3.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   64   +1       2.13    58.54     0.96    65.27     1.30     0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             45   64   +0       4.05    65.53     2.96    65.39     1.33     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   63   +8       3.51    63.69    10.87    64.36     1.30     7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                45   63   -1      -0.01    50.15    -3.14    64.47     1.32    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   59   -4       2.27    58.89     4.02    60.42     1.32    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           45   51  -18       1.39    56.40    -0.18    51.83     1.14   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         45   51  -24      -5.02    32.37   -15.06    52.37     1.32   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               45   48  -15      -8.99    19.25    -9.13    49.17     1.26   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   47  -15     -11.71    12.69   -10.58    48.08     1.26   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   47  -30      -5.19    31.29   -15.75    48.33     1.31   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   45  -22      -7.68    23.16    -6.45    46.60     1.34   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   43  -20      -8.69    19.41    -5.87    44.02     1.22   -20.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   34  -34     -13.42     8.38   -11.81    34.77     1.13   -34.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   33.56  
York                 45   33  -36     -13.88     7.49   -13.10    34.17     1.30   -36.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   66.44  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.42    74.04     8.90   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.50    84.72     3.91    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    27.93P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      10.93    85.68     7.47    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.20P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.33    29.38     3.47    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.66P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.70    77.05     8.16    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    18.21P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -1.12    45.75    -6.62    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.44    66.50    -0.16    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.75    43.28     3.63    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.84    75.14    -6.07    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.48    36.86     2.39    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       9.13    80.74     5.06    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.44    27.27    -3.14    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -0.82    47.11     3.67    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       2.82    61.02     5.24    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.46    52.34    -6.36    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.73    61.40     3.50    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.60    36.66     5.59    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.52    26.43   -12.96    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.23    31.12     4.99    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.28    55.90     0.44    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.60    26.22   -12.90    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -3.89    35.30    -1.26    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.82     8.08    -8.09    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.64    18.03    -8.84    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00