Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 3 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2016, Chelsea 2 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        36   77  +30      19.72    98.71    18.26    79.68     1.82    29.88   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   70  +39       4.84    70.72    14.77    73.76     1.81    40.53     0.00    94.23   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   67  +25       0.28    50.85    -1.27    70.60     1.60    26.50     0.00     5.54    68.30    98.16   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         36   64  +30      -7.61    18.53    -5.92    67.62     1.83    31.31     0.00     0.23    30.75    77.03   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   60  +12       1.16    54.98    -3.77    65.51     2.18    14.09     0.00     0.00     0.87    18.45    92.70     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   59  +17       6.74    77.92    10.89    63.59     2.26    17.71     0.00     0.00     0.08     6.36    81.82     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   57  +14      -0.59    47.21     1.85    59.93     1.76    14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.65     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        35   55  +11      -1.34    43.71    -1.77    60.03     2.26    12.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.83     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   48   +7     -13.68     6.11   -13.99    53.02     2.28     8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   48  -14       4.73    71.12    -4.80    50.50     1.80   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   44   +6      -8.01    18.21     0.29    48.85     2.22     7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   44   -6       3.28    65.22     5.03    47.86     2.20    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   43  -13      -0.82    46.96    -4.57    44.75     1.67   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   41  -14       0.42    52.94    -1.24    43.35     1.80   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   41  -20       3.49    66.40     0.67    43.07     1.68   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   39  -10      -2.56    38.97     1.30    41.27     1.72   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        36   33  -25      -2.79    37.77    -2.19    35.23     1.74   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.82R    0.00  
Sunderland       35   32  -18      -4.44    30.35     0.32    34.98     2.13   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.61R    0.00  
Norwich          35   31  -26      -3.66    33.82    -3.99    33.91     2.10   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.55R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      36   16  -45     -11.94     4.97    -9.87    17.61     1.52   -47.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2016, Brighton 1 1 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         45   90  +34       9.93    83.92     7.20    91.94     1.24    34.80    85.51   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   88  +32       8.75    81.01     6.75    89.67     1.27    32.42    10.06    76.24   100.00    83.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        45   88  +30      14.70    92.86    12.84    89.02     1.19    29.58     4.43    23.76   100.00    43.15P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            45   80  +30       0.75    52.82     4.71    82.19     1.15    31.21     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.02P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           45   78  +24       1.57    56.23     1.65    79.84     1.28    24.68     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.36P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   74  +22       5.83    71.65    11.94    75.29     1.28    21.92     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         45   67   +5       4.03    65.77     2.36    68.63     1.29     5.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   66   +1       1.69    56.87    -3.57    66.91     1.18     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   62   +4       1.59    56.65     5.06    63.09     1.23     3.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   62   +1      -1.94    42.99    -2.36    63.36     1.32     0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   61   +0       1.65    56.65     1.82    62.63     1.28     0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   58   -8       2.54    60.55     0.28    59.07     1.21    -8.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   57   -1      -6.84    25.71    -4.74    58.83     1.29    -0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   45   55   -6      -7.07    24.32    -7.24    56.42     1.29    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   52   -2      -9.46    17.30    -2.84    53.65     1.29    -1.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   52   -5      -5.19    30.64     0.89    53.06     1.22    -5.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   52   -5      -7.02    23.92    -2.19    53.41     1.29    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   52  -16      -2.37    41.45    -4.69    52.94     1.21   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   51   -7      -3.87    35.35     3.39    52.40     1.33    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   49  -14      -0.95    46.82     3.30    49.59     0.99   -15.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          45   48  -14      -6.48    26.61    -1.44    49.92     1.29   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        45   40  -37      -4.61    31.80   -11.87    40.80     1.12   -37.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         45   39  -29      -8.75    18.62    -8.75    40.31     1.28   -29.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          45   30  -39     -14.38     5.80   -12.51    30.88     1.21   -39.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2016, Walsall 3 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            45   87  +40       0.85    52.52     3.14    88.94     1.26    40.84   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    45   84  +20      16.45    94.45    11.03    85.44     1.29    20.12     0.00    92.46   100.00    94.31P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   81  +17      12.26    88.30     6.44    82.36     1.29    17.00     0.00     7.54   100.00    30.60P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   78  +23       3.27    62.20     3.49    79.35     1.31    22.97     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         45   77  +13      10.63    85.16     5.61    78.69     1.29    13.45     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.45P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   71  +13       1.59    56.04     1.39    71.83     1.15    12.16     0.00     0.00    45.20    10.62P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   71  +11       6.73    74.36     6.96    72.09     1.25    10.60     0.00     0.00    32.62     6.42P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   69  +16       1.27    54.91     6.98    70.40     1.32    16.03     0.00     0.00    22.18     4.98P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   66  +16      -1.54    44.21     7.19    67.46     1.30    16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   66   +7      -2.71    39.88    -3.53    67.65     1.31     7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   66   +6       1.41    55.46     1.93    67.69     1.34     6.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        45   65   +3       4.04    65.66     3.89    66.36     1.29     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   60   +5      -6.24    27.67    -1.68    61.86     1.28     5.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         45   59   -5       3.01    62.02     3.16    60.30     1.30    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   57  -18       6.50    73.98    -0.65    58.43     1.31   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   56  -10      -6.98    25.09   -11.60    57.80     1.31    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   54  -12      -0.33    49.27    -2.08    55.26     1.28   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     45   53  -10      -7.59    23.16    -8.09    54.04     1.23   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   50  -18      -4.02    35.34    -5.81    50.97     1.23   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   45   48   -6      -8.48    20.13     0.93    49.87     1.27    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.62R    0.00  
Blackpool        45   46  -19      -6.78    25.00    -7.07    46.90     1.19   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.38R    0.00  
Doncaster        45   45  -16     -10.90    13.80    -7.70    46.26     1.27   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       45   40  -41      -3.97    35.03    -9.83    41.10     1.29   -41.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            45   34  -35      -8.48    18.56    -4.09    34.88     1.17   -35.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barnet 3 4 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          45   96  +35      19.52    97.09    12.76    97.32     1.31    34.92   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   84  +26      15.01    92.24    15.14    85.68     1.32    26.45     0.00    81.56   100.00    86.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   83  +40       4.37    66.18    14.98    84.63     1.29    40.37     0.00    71.44   100.00    81.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   82  +30       7.99    77.25    11.97    84.02     1.24    30.97     0.00    47.00   100.00    62.66P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   78  +32       2.91    60.38    12.18    79.42     1.32    32.08     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.41P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   78  +21       5.40    69.83     5.07    79.92     1.25    21.78     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.43P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   72  +13       7.15    75.34     8.25    73.73     1.29    13.50     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   67  +11       3.61    63.52     8.56    68.37     1.31    11.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        45   66   -2      -3.45    37.39   -13.56    67.56     1.30    -1.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   64   +4      -2.46    40.69    -3.38    65.08     1.22     3.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   64   +1       2.23    58.74     1.08    65.28     1.30     0.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             45   64   +0       4.28    66.01     3.35    65.38     1.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   63   +8       3.69    64.41    11.12    64.36     1.30     7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                45   63   -1       0.22    51.26    -2.81    64.47     1.32    -0.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   59   -4       2.39    59.41     4.18    60.41     1.32    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           45   51  -18       1.49    56.75    -0.05    51.83     1.14   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         45   51  -24      -5.40    30.76   -15.65    52.38     1.32   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               45   48  -15      -8.92    19.39    -9.09    49.16     1.26   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   47  -15     -11.80    12.65   -10.73    48.08     1.26   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   47  -30      -5.21    31.01   -15.73    48.34     1.31   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   45  -22      -7.76    22.91    -6.49    46.62     1.34   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   43  -20      -8.51    20.05    -5.62    44.01     1.22   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   34  -34     -13.83     7.90   -12.42    34.76     1.12   -34.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   33.41  
York                 45   33  -36     -13.90     7.55   -13.12    34.15     1.30   -36.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   66.59  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.40    73.95     8.86   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.46    84.77     3.90    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    28.10P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      10.92    85.63     7.47    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.15P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.31    29.54     3.51    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.73P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.66    76.89     8.06    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    18.02P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -1.15    45.46    -6.60    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.41    66.47    -0.18    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.80    43.20     3.52    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.95    75.17    -5.89    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.57    36.70     2.30    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       8.96    80.29     4.83    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.60    26.42    -3.36    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -0.78    47.24     3.74    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       3.06    61.83     5.68    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.54    52.85    -6.28    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.88    61.90     3.63    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.55    37.08     5.60    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.64    26.04   -13.16    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.47    30.23     4.72    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.48    56.97     0.70    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.37    26.80   -12.62    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -4.00    35.06    -1.39    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.91     8.15    -8.19    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.70    17.96    -8.84    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00