Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 2 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2016, Chelsea 2 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        36   77  +30      19.74    98.76    18.31    79.66     1.82    29.86   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   70  +39       4.71    70.08    14.53    73.75     1.82    40.52     0.00    93.95   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   67  +25       0.44    51.41    -1.00    70.60     1.61    26.49     0.00     5.83    68.55    98.18   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         36   64  +30      -7.70    18.36    -6.06    67.61     1.83    31.30     0.00     0.22    30.62    76.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   60  +12       1.05    54.56    -3.93    65.50     2.18    14.08     0.00     0.00     0.76    18.55    92.50     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   59  +17       6.80    77.98    10.93    63.63     2.26    17.76     0.00     0.00     0.08     6.57    82.06     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   57  +14      -0.78    46.35     1.55    59.95     1.76    14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.56     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        35   55  +11      -1.34    43.90    -1.68    60.04     2.27    12.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.88     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   48   +7     -13.72     5.89   -14.02    53.01     2.28     8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   48  -14       4.79    71.43    -4.78    50.48     1.80   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   44   +6      -8.04    18.41     0.23    48.88     2.22     7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   44   -6       3.40    65.58     5.21    47.85     2.20    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   43  -13      -0.77    47.06    -4.46    44.73     1.66   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   41  -14       0.52    53.29    -1.13    43.36     1.81   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   41  -20       3.58    66.71     0.84    43.06     1.68   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   39  -10      -2.69    38.42     1.08    41.28     1.71   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        36   33  -25      -2.89    37.44    -2.41    35.23     1.74   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.81R    0.00  
Sunderland       35   32  -18      -4.37    30.52     0.50    35.00     2.12   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.21R    0.00  
Norwich          35   31  -26      -3.47    34.70    -3.60    33.90     2.09   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.98R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      36   16  -45     -12.05     4.75   -10.13    17.63     1.53   -47.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2016, Brighton 1 1 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         45   90  +34       9.69    83.15     6.87    91.95     1.24    34.81    85.67   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   88  +32       9.00    81.79     7.09    89.67     1.27    32.41     9.84    75.89   100.00    83.66P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        45   88  +30      14.70    92.75    12.79    89.03     1.19    29.59     4.49    24.11   100.00    43.07P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            45   80  +30       0.72    52.38     4.62    82.20     1.15    31.22     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.99P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           45   78  +24       1.24    54.62     1.18    79.85     1.28    24.68     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   74  +22       5.79    71.65    11.92    75.29     1.27    21.91     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         45   67   +5       3.98    65.77     2.35    68.63     1.29     5.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   66   +1       1.70    56.91    -3.51    66.90     1.18     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   62   +4       1.82    57.59     5.35    63.09     1.24     3.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   62   +1      -1.90    43.03    -2.34    63.35     1.33     0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   61   +0       1.81    57.57     2.05    62.63     1.28     0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   58   -8       2.74    61.45     0.56    59.07     1.21    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   57   -1      -6.69    26.16    -4.57    58.84     1.29    -0.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   45   55   -6      -7.18    24.00    -7.27    56.42     1.29    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   52   -2      -9.14    17.80    -2.38    53.65     1.29    -1.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   52   -5      -5.41    29.76     0.53    53.07     1.22    -5.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   52   -5      -7.44    22.92    -2.81    53.40     1.29    -4.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   52  -16      -2.15    42.25    -4.34    52.92     1.20   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   51   -7      -3.95    35.25     3.26    52.41     1.33    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   49  -14      -0.92    47.04     3.36    49.58     0.99   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          45   48  -14      -6.36    26.92    -1.28    49.91     1.29   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        45   40  -37      -4.30    33.11   -11.40    40.80     1.11   -37.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         45   39  -29      -8.95    18.14    -9.08    40.31     1.28   -29.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          45   30  -39     -14.65     5.49   -12.96    30.89     1.21   -39.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2016, Walsall 3 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            45   87  +40       1.02    53.39     3.39    88.95     1.26    40.85   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    45   84  +20      16.39    94.35    10.92    85.44     1.29    20.11     0.00    92.54   100.00    94.32P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   81  +17      12.16    88.25     6.21    82.35     1.29    16.99     0.00     7.46   100.00    30.79P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   78  +23       3.48    62.76     3.77    79.34     1.31    22.95     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         45   77  +13      10.52    85.12     5.44    78.70     1.29    13.46     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.86P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   71  +13       1.65    56.33     1.50    71.82     1.15    12.15     0.00     0.00    45.49    10.34P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   71  +11       6.90    75.10     7.30    72.07     1.25    10.57     0.00     0.00    31.87     6.31P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   69  +16       1.35    55.29     7.06    70.40     1.32    16.05     0.00     0.00    22.65     5.11P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   66  +16      -1.74    43.31     6.89    67.46     1.30    16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   66   +7      -2.85    39.23    -3.74    67.67     1.31     7.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   66   +6       1.16    54.84     1.52    67.68     1.33     6.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        45   65   +3       4.01    65.63     3.79    66.37     1.29     3.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   60   +5      -6.46    27.00    -1.94    61.86     1.28     5.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         45   59   -5       3.17    62.55     3.40    60.30     1.29    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   57  -18       6.48    74.43    -0.63    58.43     1.31   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   56  -10      -6.85    25.89   -11.43    57.80     1.31    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   54  -12      -0.23    49.61    -1.92    55.26     1.28   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     45   53  -10      -7.52    23.55    -7.97    54.04     1.22   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   50  -18      -4.11    34.88    -5.99    50.98     1.24   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   45   48   -6      -8.46    20.07     0.91    49.86     1.27    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.72R    0.00  
Blackpool        45   46  -19      -6.77    25.43    -7.14    46.90     1.19   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.28R    0.00  
Doncaster        45   45  -16     -10.93    13.77    -7.73    46.27     1.27   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       45   40  -41      -3.78    35.97    -9.39    41.10     1.29   -41.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            45   34  -35      -8.59    18.61    -4.24    34.89     1.17   -35.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barnet 3 4 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          45   96  +35      19.84    97.25    13.29    97.31     1.31    34.92   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   84  +26      14.87    91.94    14.88    85.67     1.32    26.44     0.00    81.13   100.00    85.69P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   83  +40       4.43    66.39    15.05    84.63     1.29    40.36     0.00    71.71   100.00    81.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   82  +30       8.02    77.60    11.99    84.02     1.24    30.96     0.00    47.16   100.00    63.18P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   78  +32       2.89    60.65    12.18    79.43     1.32    32.08     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.13P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   78  +21       5.39    69.85     5.07    79.93     1.25    21.79     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.62P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   72  +13       7.36    76.16     8.48    73.70     1.29    13.48     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   67  +11       3.65    63.99     8.64    68.39     1.31    11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        45   66   -2      -3.68    36.45   -13.88    67.55     1.30    -1.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   64   +4      -2.17    41.85    -3.00    65.09     1.23     3.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   64   +1       1.99    57.87     0.71    65.27     1.30     0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             45   64   +0       4.12    65.65     3.09    65.39     1.32     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   63   +8       3.92    65.36    11.44    64.34     1.30     7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                45   63   -1       0.02    50.44    -3.14    64.47     1.32    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   59   -4       2.35    59.30     4.10    60.42     1.32    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           45   51  -18       1.40    56.45    -0.14    51.82     1.14   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         45   51  -24      -5.35    31.06   -15.57    52.37     1.32   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               45   48  -15      -9.05    18.91    -9.27    49.17     1.26   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   47  -15     -11.97    12.14   -11.02    48.08     1.26   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   47  -30      -5.08    31.43   -15.58    48.33     1.31   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   45  -22      -7.52    23.51    -6.17    46.60     1.33   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   43  -20      -8.73    19.09    -5.96    44.03     1.22   -20.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   34  -34     -13.78     7.84   -12.40    34.76     1.12   -34.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   33.84  
York                 45   33  -36     -13.73     7.81   -12.79    34.17     1.29   -36.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   66.16  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.61    74.86     9.21   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.51    84.76     4.01    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    28.08P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      11.03    86.13     7.64    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.14    30.32     3.73    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.30P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.82    77.46     8.35    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    18.38P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -1.01    45.94    -6.40    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.75    67.70     0.24    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.73    43.65     3.60    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.87    75.16    -6.04    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.60    36.46     2.24    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       8.88    79.98     4.71    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.33    27.52    -3.08    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -1.15    46.04     3.22    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       2.82    60.77     5.25    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.52    52.39    -6.27    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.74    61.70     3.47    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.73    36.35     5.27    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.61    26.12   -13.12    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.51    29.81     4.68    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.29    56.03     0.47    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.62    25.98   -12.97    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -3.72    36.02    -0.95    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -14.09     7.62    -8.50    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.60    17.95    -8.74    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00