Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 1 May 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 May 2016, Man_Utd 1 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        36   77  +30      19.80    98.72    18.38    79.67     1.83    29.87    96.52   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   69  +39       5.21    72.30    14.81    74.01     2.24    40.36     3.48    91.37    99.55   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   67  +25       0.36    50.98    -1.18    70.60     1.61    26.50     0.00     7.75    68.28    98.01   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         36   64  +30      -7.57    18.78    -5.86    67.63     1.83    31.31     0.00     0.88    31.16    76.76   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   60  +12       1.07    54.70    -3.96    65.53     2.18    14.11     0.00     0.00     0.88    19.03    92.68     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   59  +17       6.80    78.15    10.96    63.58     2.26    17.71     0.00     0.00     0.13     6.19    81.57     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   57  +14      -0.67    47.00     1.74    59.94     1.76    14.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.41     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        35   55  +11      -1.46    43.40    -1.96    60.06     2.26    12.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.30     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   48  -14       4.85    71.66    -4.63    50.49     1.80   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   47   +7     -13.21     6.19   -13.81    53.48     2.65     8.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   44   +6      -8.06    18.23     0.21    48.85     2.23     7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   44   -6       3.26    65.21     4.97    47.85     2.20    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   43  -13      -0.92    46.36    -4.66    44.75     1.66   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   41  -14       0.54    53.46    -1.10    43.34     1.81   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   41  -20       3.52    66.74     0.72    43.07     1.68   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   39  -10      -2.58    39.02     1.24    41.28     1.72   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        36   33  -25      -2.84    37.68    -2.22    35.23     1.74   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.59R    0.00  
Sunderland       35   32  -18      -4.41    30.27     0.35    34.99     2.12   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.41R    0.00  
Norwich          35   31  -26      -3.64    34.04    -3.88    33.90     2.07   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.99R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      36   16  -45     -12.05     4.67   -10.12    17.63     1.53   -47.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Bolton 1 0 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   45   88  +32       8.82    81.55     6.97    89.68     1.27    32.42    21.97    66.81   100.00    77.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         44   87  +33       8.88    81.27     6.94    90.86     1.78    34.58    62.20    91.58   100.00    94.21P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        44   87  +30      15.40    94.03    13.30    89.49     1.76    29.75    15.83    41.62   100.00    55.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            45   80  +30       0.44    51.39     4.21    82.19     1.16    31.20     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.02P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   77  +24       1.59    55.91     1.21    80.08     1.80    24.51     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   74  +22       5.92    72.12    12.09    75.29     1.28    21.91     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         45   67   +5       3.90    64.95     2.22    68.62     1.29     5.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   66   +1       1.69    56.99    -3.56    66.91     1.18     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   62   +4       1.50    56.43     4.89    63.10     1.24     3.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   62   +1      -1.86    43.21    -2.23    63.34     1.33     0.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   61   +0       1.88    57.96     2.13    62.63     1.28     0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   58   -8       2.64    60.87     0.43    59.07     1.21    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   57   +0      -6.23    27.37    -4.77    59.68     1.73    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   45   55   -6      -6.99    24.69    -7.10    56.42     1.29    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   52   -2      -9.49    17.18    -2.88    53.65     1.29    -1.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   52   -5      -5.41    29.72     0.59    53.07     1.22    -5.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   52   -5      -7.20    23.69    -2.45    53.41     1.29    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   52  -16      -2.14    42.49    -4.25    52.92     1.20   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   51   -7      -4.03    34.94     3.12    52.42     1.33    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   49  -14      -1.04    46.69     3.16    49.59     0.99   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          45   48  -14      -6.28    27.04    -1.08    49.90     1.30   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        45   40  -37      -4.47    32.42   -11.63    40.80     1.12   -37.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         45   39  -29      -8.71    19.07    -8.68    40.31     1.28   -29.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          45   30  -39     -14.44     5.96   -12.63    30.89     1.21   -39.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barnsley 2 2 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            45   87  +40       1.11    53.72     3.55    88.94     1.26    40.84   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    45   84  +20      16.55    94.41    11.12    85.43     1.29    20.11     0.00    97.03   100.00    97.71P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   78  +23       3.42    62.56     3.70    79.35     1.31    22.95     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.61P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   78  +15      11.50    87.21     5.68    81.06     1.82    15.46     0.00     2.97   100.00    26.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         45   77  +13      10.46    84.84     5.36    78.69     1.29    13.45     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.18P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   71  +13       1.53    55.88     1.28    71.82     1.15    12.16     0.00     0.00    45.23    10.62P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   71  +11       6.83    74.71     7.18    72.10     1.25    10.61     0.00     0.00    32.73     6.42P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   69  +16       1.19    54.56     6.85    70.40     1.32    16.05     0.00     0.00    22.05     5.09P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   66  +16      -1.66    43.67     7.01    67.47     1.30    16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   66   +7      -2.80    39.42    -3.65    67.64     1.31     7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   66   +6       1.35    55.61     1.80    67.69     1.33     6.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        45   65   +3       3.99    65.31     3.79    66.39     1.30     3.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   60   +5      -6.43    26.98    -1.97    61.87     1.28     5.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         45   59   -5       2.86    61.52     2.87    60.31     1.30    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   57  -18       6.72    74.99    -0.28    58.42     1.31   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   56  -10      -6.92    25.64   -11.48    57.80     1.31    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   54  -12      -0.05    50.45    -1.65    55.25     1.28   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     45   53  -10      -7.55    23.19    -8.01    54.04     1.22   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   50  -18      -4.10    35.11    -5.93    50.97     1.24   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   44   48   -4      -8.03    21.00     1.53    50.86     1.75    -3.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.33R    0.00  
Blackpool        45   46  -19      -6.59    26.05    -6.85    46.90     1.19   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.68R    0.00  
Doncaster        45   45  -16     -10.98    13.65    -7.80    46.27     1.27   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    0.00  
Colchester       45   40  -41      -3.82    35.74    -9.57    41.09     1.28   -41.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            45   34  -35      -8.63    18.31    -4.53    34.88     1.17   -35.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barnet 3 4 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          45   96  +35      19.70    97.28    13.08    97.31     1.31    34.91   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   84  +26      14.81    92.14    14.85    85.67     1.32    26.44     0.00    80.90   100.00    85.46P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   83  +40       4.22    65.60    14.84    84.64     1.29    40.39     0.00    71.95   100.00    81.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   82  +30       8.18    77.89    12.22    84.03     1.23    30.98     0.00    47.15   100.00    62.81P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   78  +32       2.75    60.23    11.91    79.43     1.32    32.09     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.31P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   78  +21       5.42    69.75     5.09    79.92     1.25    21.79     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.68P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   72  +13       7.40    76.14     8.57    73.71     1.29    13.49     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.14P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   67  +11       3.62    63.94     8.58    68.39     1.31    11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        45   66   -2      -3.66    36.59   -13.84    67.55     1.30    -1.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   64   +4      -2.06    42.27    -2.89    65.07     1.22     3.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   64   +1       1.93    57.60     0.61    65.28     1.30     0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             45   64   +0       4.04    65.40     2.98    65.39     1.33     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   63   +8       3.72    64.53    11.17    64.35     1.30     7.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                45   63   -1       0.02    50.30    -3.06    64.47     1.32    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   59   -4       2.25    58.95     4.03    60.40     1.32    -3.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           45   51  -18       1.62    57.28     0.09    51.83     1.14   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         45   51  -24      -5.28    31.30   -15.47    52.37     1.32   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               45   48  -15      -9.00    19.20    -9.20    49.17     1.26   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   47  -15     -11.69    12.86   -10.55    48.09     1.26   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   47  -30      -5.37    30.61   -16.02    48.35     1.32   -30.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   45  -22      -7.76    22.94    -6.48    46.63     1.33   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   43  -20      -8.57    19.83    -5.72    44.02     1.22   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   34  -34     -13.44     8.16   -11.86    34.75     1.11   -34.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   33.22  
York                 45   33  -36     -13.79     7.41   -12.93    34.14     1.29   -36.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   66.78  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.67    75.04     9.28   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.60    85.00     4.06    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    28.23P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      11.01    86.08     7.59    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.10P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.39    29.38     3.30    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.84P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.69    76.97     8.16    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    17.84P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -1.16    45.11    -6.65    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.53    66.73    -0.04    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.84    43.05     3.45    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.71    74.22    -6.36    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.68    36.19     2.07    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       8.51    78.92     4.07    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.49    26.73    -3.26    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -0.84    47.51     3.70    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       3.11    62.13     5.69    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.46    52.47    -6.31    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.90    62.09     3.74    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.75    36.21     5.35    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.40    26.64   -12.78    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.51    30.14     4.65    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.34    56.43     0.53    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.29    27.03   -12.41    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -3.83    35.48    -1.18    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.73     8.26    -7.93    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.59    18.05    -8.70    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00