Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 30 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Arsenal 1 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        35   76  +30      20.03    98.97    18.20    79.74     2.23    29.45    95.93   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   69  +39       5.19    72.23    14.81    74.06     2.25    40.41     4.07    87.05    98.40    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   67  +25       0.24    50.52    -1.35    70.58     1.61    26.46     0.00     6.89    52.06    94.65   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   64  +32      -6.90    20.10    -4.79    69.30     2.26    33.76     0.00     5.92    46.88    84.23    99.92     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   59  +17       6.93    78.25    11.12    63.59     2.26    17.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.63    72.43     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   59  +12       1.56    56.90    -3.78    66.19     2.55    14.56     0.00     0.14     2.64    18.14    89.56     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        34   55  +13      -0.55    47.51    -0.68    61.78     2.64    14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44    35.85     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   54  +12      -1.58    42.83     0.77    58.00     2.17    11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.20     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   48  -14       4.63    70.65    -4.91    50.51     1.81   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   47   +7     -13.07     6.35   -13.58    53.45     2.66     8.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   44   +6      -8.03    18.26     0.24    48.86     2.24     7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   44   -6       3.20    65.24     4.90    47.86     2.19    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   41  -14       0.65    53.74    -0.92    43.32     1.79   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   41  -20       3.40    66.10     0.50    43.07     1.67   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          35   40  -15      -1.92    41.73    -5.85    42.77     2.09   -17.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   39  -10      -2.58    38.73     1.26    41.30     1.73   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        36   33  -25      -2.77    37.92    -2.19    35.22     1.74   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.62R    0.00  
Sunderland       35   32  -18      -4.31    30.63     0.42    34.99     2.12   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.54R    0.00  
Norwich          35   31  -26      -3.68    34.00    -4.07    33.90     2.08   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.84R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      36   16  -45     -12.02     4.84   -10.08    17.63     1.53   -47.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Bolton 1 0 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   45   88  +32       8.83    81.61     6.86    89.67     1.27    32.42    21.80    66.02   100.00    76.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         44   87  +33       8.59    80.50     6.58    90.87     1.77    34.60    61.99    91.81   100.00    94.41P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        44   87  +30      15.16    93.87    12.96    89.52     1.77    29.78    16.21    42.17   100.00    56.87P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            45   80  +30       0.69    52.30     4.62    82.19     1.15    31.20     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.32P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   77  +24       1.75    56.57     1.38    80.06     1.81    24.47     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   74  +22       5.80    71.60    11.90    75.29     1.28    21.91     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         45   67   +5       4.18    66.12     2.61    68.62     1.29     5.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   66   +1       1.67    56.80    -3.56    66.91     1.19     0.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   62   +4       1.59    56.93     5.03    63.10     1.24     3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   62   +1      -1.86    42.87    -2.29    63.35     1.32     0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   61   +0       1.86    57.84     2.12    62.63     1.28     0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   58   -8       2.62    60.77     0.39    59.08     1.22    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   57   +0      -6.06    27.85    -4.53    59.65     1.73    -0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   45   55   -6      -7.12    24.10    -7.26    56.42     1.29    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   52   -2      -9.27    17.59    -2.53    53.66     1.29    -1.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   52   -5      -5.26    30.34     0.80    53.06     1.22    -5.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   52   -5      -7.16    23.91    -2.40    53.41     1.29    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   52  -16      -2.43    41.22    -4.69    52.93     1.21   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   51   -7      -3.99    34.94     3.19    52.41     1.33    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   49  -14      -1.08    46.45     3.10    49.59     0.99   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          45   48  -14      -6.44    26.66    -1.38    49.91     1.29   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        45   40  -37      -4.58    31.95   -11.86    40.80     1.12   -37.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         45   39  -29      -8.48    19.73    -8.28    40.29     1.27   -29.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          45   30  -39     -14.58     5.68   -12.77    30.88     1.20   -39.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barnsley 2 2 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            45   87  +40       0.89    52.66     3.21    88.94     1.26    40.84   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    45   84  +20      16.43    94.26    11.02    85.44     1.29    20.11     0.00    96.98   100.00    97.73P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   78  +23       3.35    62.31     3.62    79.34     1.31    22.95     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.76P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   78  +15      11.43    87.05     5.61    81.06     1.82    15.47     0.00     3.02   100.00    26.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         45   77  +13      10.70    85.39     5.79    78.69     1.29    13.45     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.96P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   71  +13       1.68    56.62     1.53    71.83     1.15    12.16     0.00     0.00    45.37    10.58P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   71  +11       6.67    74.19     6.93    72.09     1.25    10.60     0.00     0.00    32.44     6.21P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   69  +16       1.11    54.47     6.72    70.41     1.32    16.05     0.00     0.00    22.19     5.06P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   66  +16      -1.53    44.12     7.23    67.46     1.30    16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   66   +7      -2.71    39.62    -3.61    67.65     1.31     7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   66   +6       1.34    55.22     1.76    67.68     1.33     6.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        45   65   +3       3.99    65.52     3.79    66.39     1.29     3.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   60   +5      -6.38    27.19    -1.85    61.86     1.28     5.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         45   59   -5       3.05    62.20     3.15    60.30     1.30    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   57  -18       6.65    74.87    -0.46    58.44     1.31   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   56  -10      -6.80    25.78   -11.32    57.78     1.31    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   54  -12      -0.24    49.51    -1.95    55.26     1.28   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     45   53  -10      -7.41    23.69    -7.77    54.04     1.22   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   50  -18      -4.15    35.00    -6.06    50.99     1.24   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   44   48   -4      -8.05    21.14     1.53    50.87     1.75    -3.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.23R    0.00  
Blackpool        45   46  -19      -6.72    25.50    -7.05    46.90     1.19   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.77R    0.00  
Doncaster        45   45  -16     -10.97    13.82    -7.77    46.27     1.27   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Colchester       45   40  -41      -3.92    35.13    -9.73    41.10     1.29   -41.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            45   34  -35      -8.60    18.40    -4.34    34.87     1.17   -35.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barnet 3 4 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          45   96  +35      19.65    97.27    12.92    97.32     1.31    34.92   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   84  +26      14.86    92.34    14.88    85.68     1.31    26.46     0.00    81.30   100.00    85.87P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   83  +40       4.25    65.61    14.84    84.64     1.29    40.38     0.00    71.68   100.00    81.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   82  +30       8.06    77.60    12.06    84.02     1.24    30.97     0.00    47.01   100.00    63.09P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   78  +32       2.80    60.52    12.02    79.43     1.32    32.08     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.27P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   78  +21       5.49    70.17     5.15    79.92     1.25    21.78     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.06P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   72  +13       7.39    76.15     8.52    73.71     1.30    13.48     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   67  +11       3.66    64.06     8.67    68.39     1.31    11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        45   66   -2      -3.66    36.60   -13.83    67.55     1.30    -1.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   64   +4      -1.99    42.47    -2.75    65.07     1.22     3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   64   +1       2.17    58.35     1.02    65.26     1.30     0.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             45   64   +0       4.15    65.78     3.13    65.39     1.33     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   63   +8       3.88    65.18    11.45    64.34     1.30     7.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                45   63   -1      -0.04    50.01    -3.18    64.48     1.32    -0.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   59   -4       2.20    58.75     3.90    60.40     1.32    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           45   51  -18       1.46    56.59    -0.09    51.83     1.14   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         45   51  -24      -5.14    31.71   -15.32    52.37     1.32   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               45   48  -15      -9.10    19.05    -9.30    49.17     1.26   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   47  -15     -11.93    12.35   -10.91    48.07     1.26   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   47  -30      -5.29    30.89   -15.98    48.35     1.31   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   45  -22      -7.80    22.77    -6.57    46.61     1.34   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   43  -20      -8.59    19.65    -5.69    44.03     1.22   -20.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   34  -34     -13.35     8.40   -11.70    34.75     1.12   -34.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   33.49  
York                 45   33  -36     -14.02     7.23   -13.25    34.16     1.30   -36.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   66.51  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2016, Barrow 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       46  101  +57       6.51    74.75     9.05   101.00     0.00    57.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   89  +27      10.46    84.79     3.91    89.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    28.04P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   81  +18      11.08    86.41     7.75    81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    17.53P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   80  +37      -5.11    30.19     3.80    80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    36.25P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   80  +22       7.54    76.59     7.94    80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    18.19P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   78  +17      -0.85    46.70    -6.22    78.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   75  +11       4.54    66.86    -0.02    75.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   69  +15      -1.53    44.11     3.83    69.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   67  -11       6.71    74.42    -6.29    67.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   66  +12      -3.66    36.10     2.16    66.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           46   65   -7       9.03    80.56     4.89    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   61   +3      -6.30    27.54    -3.01    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   61   +1      -0.75    47.37     3.79    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          46   60   -5       2.74    60.73     5.06    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   56  -18       0.41    52.03    -6.40    56.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   55  -13       2.59    61.02     3.27    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   54   -4      -3.64    36.61     5.48    54.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   51  -22      -6.41    26.85   -12.82    51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     46   50   -5      -5.61    30.01     4.52    50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         46   49  -23       1.40    56.71     0.56    49.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   48  -27      -6.54    26.45   -12.85    48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   44  -25      -4.02    34.83    -1.42    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    46   40  -22     -13.84     7.85    -8.14    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Welling          46   35  -38      -8.69    17.89    -8.84    35.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00