Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 29 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2016, Tottenham 1 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        35   76  +30      19.83    98.98    17.91    79.75     2.21    29.46    96.18   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   69  +39       5.31    72.55    14.95    74.04     2.23    40.39     3.82    88.44    98.76    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   64  +32      -6.73    20.77    -4.69    69.30     2.26    33.75     0.00     6.03    51.15    85.56    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   64  +24      -0.55    46.72    -1.09    69.94     1.95    27.09     0.00     5.36    46.41    90.44    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   59  +12       1.58    57.13    -3.76    66.22     2.55    14.59     0.00     0.17     3.65    22.03    92.55     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   56  +14       6.36    77.09     9.83    62.02     2.62    14.80     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.37    52.32     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        34   55  +13      -0.41    47.84    -0.55    61.71     2.64    14.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.67    49.76     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   54  +12      -1.57    42.87     0.82    58.01     2.19    11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.20     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   47   +7     -13.25     6.10   -13.86    53.48     2.65     8.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   47  -14       5.26    73.47    -4.60    51.21     2.24   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   41   +5      -9.09    14.70     0.17    47.88     2.57     7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   41   -7       2.44    62.15     4.94    46.74     2.54    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   41  -11       0.79    54.49     0.17    44.59     2.23   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -19       4.00    68.59     0.22    43.82     2.05   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          35   40  -15      -2.00    41.34    -5.88    42.81     2.09   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   39   -9      -1.70    42.82     1.67    42.70     2.17    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland       34   31  -18      -4.09    31.30     0.40    35.03     2.46   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.39R    0.00  
Norwich          34   31  -25      -2.81    37.65    -3.81    34.36     2.29   -28.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.52R    0.00  
Newcastle        35   30  -26      -4.13    31.42    -2.57    33.55     2.18   -26.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.07R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      35   16  -44     -11.27     5.70   -10.27    18.46     1.92   -46.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 April 2016, Birmingham 2 2 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   45   88  +32       8.55    80.81     6.56    89.67     1.27    32.41    21.52    66.37   100.00    77.19P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         44   87  +33       8.66    80.90     6.65    90.88     1.78    34.60    62.44    91.82   100.00    94.40P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        44   87  +30      15.07    93.66    12.85    89.52     1.76    29.78    16.04    41.81   100.00    56.37P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            44   80  +31       1.64    56.22     4.97    84.21     1.69    33.13     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.22P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   77  +24       1.80    56.73     1.52    80.06     1.81    24.47     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.51P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   71  +19       5.55    71.36    10.88    73.88     1.82    19.23     0.00     0.00    91.51    15.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         44   67   +8       4.20    66.33     3.74    69.74     1.79     8.04     0.00     0.00     8.49     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   63   +0       1.05    54.39    -3.18    65.81     1.74     0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   62   +4       1.81    57.56     5.29    63.09     1.23     3.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   59   -2      -2.17    41.72    -3.12    62.10     1.87    -1.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   58   -1       0.54    52.50     1.52    60.81     1.80    -0.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   58   -7       4.01    66.54     1.34    60.93     1.76    -6.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   57   +0      -6.36    26.62    -4.86    59.70     1.73    -0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   44   54   -6      -6.63    25.74    -7.02    56.65     1.82    -6.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   52   -4      -4.31    33.56     1.15    54.57     1.78    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   51   -3      -4.15    34.24     4.68    53.73     1.88    -3.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   51   -5      -6.77    24.73    -2.35    53.91     1.84    -4.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   49   -3     -10.60    13.95    -3.07    52.04     1.84    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       44   49  -13      -0.05    50.63     3.65    50.88     1.63   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   49  -20      -2.14    42.17    -5.79    51.40     1.80   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          44   48  -11      -6.30    27.02    -0.51    50.92     1.81   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   39  -28      -7.94    20.75    -8.81    41.15     1.73   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Charlton        44   37  -38      -6.02    26.23   -12.49    38.69     1.62   -39.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          44   27  -40     -16.20     3.43   -13.60    28.62     1.64   -41.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 April 2016, Walsall 2 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            44   84  +36       0.99    53.37     1.99    87.72     1.80    37.40    95.49   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    44   81  +19      15.33    93.48    10.65    83.97     1.83    19.35     4.51    86.33   100.00    89.50P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   78  +15      11.33    86.89     5.42    81.07     1.82    15.48     0.00    12.56   100.00    33.88P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   75  +20       3.29    62.23     2.93    78.22     1.82    20.67     0.00     1.12    99.77    30.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         44   74  +12       9.38    82.53     5.21    77.12     1.83    12.55     0.00     0.00    98.95    21.82P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   70  +13       2.16    58.26     1.89    73.04     1.68    13.57     0.00     0.00    60.15    14.48P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       44   69  +17       2.27    58.85     7.44    71.59     1.83    16.81     0.00     0.00    28.92     6.78P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   68  +10       5.70    71.74     6.90    70.64     1.81     9.88     0.00     0.00     9.92     2.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   66   +9      -2.24    41.47    -2.87    68.94     1.84     9.28     0.00     0.00     1.65     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   65   +6       2.00    57.84     2.23    68.32     1.89     6.88     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        44   65   +4       4.81    68.40     3.98    67.53     1.83     3.71     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   63  +14      -2.32    41.18     6.37    65.92     1.85    14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   59   -4       4.04    65.83     3.69    61.59     1.83    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   57   +4      -7.43    23.58    -2.00    60.27     1.86     4.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   57  -15       6.63    74.97     0.33    59.45     1.81   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   55  -10      -6.60    26.32   -11.75    57.92     1.84    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   54   -9      -0.18    49.89    -0.96    56.12     1.72    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     44   50  -13      -7.92    21.80    -9.18    52.77     1.80   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.64R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   50  -17      -3.09    38.43    -5.85    52.31     1.82   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.82R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   44   48   -4      -7.97    21.29     1.53    50.88     1.75    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.60R    0.00  
Blackpool        44   46  -15      -7.18    23.77    -5.76    47.85     1.68   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.94R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   45  -14     -10.20    15.45    -6.76    47.83     1.83   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.00R    0.00  
Colchester       44   39  -41      -3.78    35.40   -10.36    40.73     1.68   -42.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            44   31  -37      -9.33    15.46    -5.06    33.06     1.72   -37.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 April 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          44   93  +33      18.95    96.90    12.32    95.98     1.86    33.35   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   81  +25      13.72    90.57    14.69    83.99     1.85    25.38     0.00    69.67   100.00    76.54P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   80  +38       3.52    63.02    14.15    83.33     1.85    38.84     0.00    70.23   100.00    79.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   79  +27       8.06    77.89    11.47    82.85     1.79    28.64     0.00    53.16   100.00    66.09P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   77  +21       5.96    72.12     5.34    80.43     1.82    21.99     0.00     6.19   100.00    31.36P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           44   75  +30       2.15    58.06    11.49    78.28     1.84    30.78     0.00     0.73   100.00    28.43P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   71  +13       7.68    77.06     8.44    74.16     1.86    13.60     0.00     0.00    97.12    17.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        44   66  +11       3.96    65.12     8.50    68.59     1.83    10.79     0.00     0.00     2.88     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   64   +5      -1.36    45.04    -2.70    66.49     1.79     4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             44   64   +2       4.53    67.17     3.66    66.46     1.83     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            44   63   +9       4.53    67.62    11.40    65.47     1.82     8.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   63   +1       2.35    59.17     0.75    65.94     1.87     1.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                44   63   +1       0.45    52.25    -2.42    65.57     1.82     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        44   63   -3      -4.71    33.03   -13.93    66.21     1.84    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   59   -3       3.20    62.51     4.12    61.83     1.86    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           44   51  -16       2.11    59.37     0.84    52.75     1.65   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         44   48  -25      -6.62    26.73   -15.93    50.76     1.87   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   47  -27      -5.13    31.42   -14.73    49.82     1.87   -26.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   46  -15     -11.62    12.61   -10.97    48.38     1.83   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               44   45  -16      -9.78    16.69    -9.21    47.43     1.80   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   44  -22      -7.49    23.18    -6.58    46.70     1.86   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       44   43  -19      -7.41    22.65    -4.94    45.36     1.79   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 44   33  -33     -13.66     7.57   -12.00    35.07     1.77   -34.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   18.43  
Dag_&_Red            44   31  -37     -14.37     6.34   -13.76    33.05     1.72   -38.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   81.57  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Aldershot 1 2 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       45   98  +55       6.08    73.42     9.20   100.26     1.14    56.42   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   86  +26       9.34    82.35     3.72    87.31     1.30    25.91     0.00   100.00    26.87P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   80  +38      -4.34    32.72     3.92    81.32     1.29    37.94     0.00   100.00    37.39P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   45   80  +23       8.76    80.21     8.73    81.43     1.32    23.09     0.00   100.00    17.57P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   45   78  +15      10.83    86.03     6.62    79.94     1.24    15.79     0.00    90.89    15.91P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         45   75  +16      -2.38    40.78    -7.03    76.40     1.30    16.06     0.00     6.63     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        45   75  +12       5.40    70.14     0.24    76.28     1.31    11.84     0.00     2.48     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   69  +17      -1.00    46.29     4.70    70.55     1.33    17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        45   67   -9       7.39    76.68    -5.41    68.27     1.31    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   65  +12      -3.13    38.03     2.41    66.52     1.31    12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           45   62   -9       7.92    78.08     3.93    63.20     1.29    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     45   61   +3      -0.72    47.56     3.49    61.55     0.99     1.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          45   60   -3       3.46    63.30     5.98    61.67     1.32    -2.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           45   58   +2      -7.65    22.75    -3.51    59.48     1.33     2.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        45   55  -12       3.72    65.41     3.60    56.52     1.30   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        45   53  -20      -0.39    48.97    -7.22    54.09     1.27   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   51   -6      -4.37    34.05     4.82    52.48     1.33    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          45   51  -21      -5.47    29.63   -12.63    52.42     1.31   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     45   47   -8      -5.49    29.69     3.94    48.37     1.27    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          45   47  -27      -6.02    27.92   -12.48    48.21     1.28   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.70R    0.00  
Guiseley         45   46  -24       0.42    52.82     0.22    47.31     1.29   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.61R    0.00  
Altrincham       45   44  -22      -4.21    33.67    -0.91    44.80     1.11   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.69R    0.00  
Kidderminster    45   37  -23     -15.29     5.55    -9.03    38.20     1.27   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   13.90  
Welling          45   35  -35      -8.18    19.20    -7.27    36.31     1.26   -35.04     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.10