Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 28 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2016, Tottenham 1 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        35   76  +30      19.91    98.88    18.00    79.74     2.21    29.45    96.08   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   69  +39       5.23    72.70    14.82    74.06     2.23    40.41     3.92    88.41    98.77    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   64  +32      -6.74    20.72    -4.59    69.28     2.25    33.72     0.00     5.98    51.02    85.54    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   64  +24      -0.60    46.44    -1.23    69.93     1.95    27.08     0.00     5.37    46.36    90.45    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   59  +12       1.48    56.74    -3.87    66.22     2.56    14.61     0.00     0.24     3.79    21.90    92.62     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   56  +14       6.40    76.95     9.87    62.01     2.62    14.78     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.55    52.21     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        34   55  +13      -0.52    47.32    -0.66    61.71     2.65    14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62    49.75     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   54  +12      -1.49    43.27     0.98    58.01     2.18    11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.23     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   47   +7     -13.31     5.92   -13.94    53.49     2.65     8.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   47  -14       5.28    73.61    -4.57    51.21     2.24   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   41   +5      -8.81    15.88     0.58    47.89     2.57     7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   41   -7       2.36    61.71     4.85    46.73     2.55    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   41  -11       0.64    53.82    -0.06    44.60     2.23   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -19       4.07    68.81     0.27    43.81     2.04   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          35   40  -15      -1.97    41.62    -5.84    42.81     2.09   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   39   -9      -1.65    43.11     1.74    42.69     2.18    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland       34   31  -18      -4.04    31.47     0.48    35.03     2.46   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.82R    0.00  
Norwich          34   31  -25      -2.92    37.10    -4.01    34.39     2.30   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.00R    0.00  
Newcastle        35   30  -26      -4.14    31.42    -2.54    33.56     2.18   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.16R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      35   16  -44     -11.24     5.63   -10.28    18.47     1.91   -46.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 April 2016, Hull 2 0 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         44   87  +33       8.75    80.81     6.78    90.89     1.76    34.62    57.27    89.68   100.00    93.04P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   87  +32       9.24    83.05     7.07    90.25     1.80    32.71    28.65    70.75   100.00    80.14P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        44   87  +30      15.19    93.91    13.01    89.52     1.77    29.77    14.08    39.57   100.00    54.68P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            44   80  +31       1.77    56.60     5.16    84.19     1.70    33.11     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.20P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   77  +24       1.76    56.86     1.46    80.06     1.80    24.49     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.61P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   71  +19       5.64    71.60    10.93    73.87     1.82    19.22     0.00     0.00    91.70    15.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         44   67   +8       4.23    66.49     3.72    69.73     1.79     8.03     0.00     0.00     8.30     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   63   +0       0.78    53.18    -3.54    65.81     1.73     0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      44   61   +4       1.91    57.89     4.95    63.19     1.73     3.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   59   -2      -2.34    41.00    -3.41    62.11     1.87    -1.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   58   -1       0.59    52.76     1.56    60.80     1.79    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   58   -7       3.81    65.55     1.01    60.93     1.77    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   57   +0      -5.96    28.38    -4.42    59.68     1.72    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   44   54   -6      -6.80    24.92    -7.34    56.67     1.82    -6.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   52   -4      -4.30    33.65     1.18    54.59     1.79    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   51   -3      -4.27    33.69     4.56    53.72     1.87    -3.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   51   -5      -6.73    24.85    -2.29    53.90     1.84    -4.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   49   -3     -10.67    13.81    -3.12    52.05     1.84    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       44   49  -13      -0.09    50.66     3.59    50.87     1.61   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   49  -20      -2.08    42.36    -5.71    51.41     1.80   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          44   48  -11      -6.50    26.06    -0.76    50.92     1.80   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   39  -28      -7.74    21.28    -8.52    41.14     1.72   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Charlton        44   37  -38      -5.86    27.12   -12.28    38.69     1.62   -39.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          44   27  -40     -16.17     3.56   -13.59    28.62     1.63   -41.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 April 2016, Walsall 2 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            44   84  +36       1.37    54.99     2.53    87.72     1.81    37.40    95.48   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    44   81  +19      14.95    92.84    10.26    83.98     1.84    19.36     4.52    86.58   100.00    89.72P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   78  +15      11.67    87.48     5.86    81.06     1.82    15.46     0.00    12.22   100.00    33.25P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   75  +20       3.21    61.84     2.82    78.23     1.83    20.68     0.00     1.19    99.74    31.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         44   74  +12       9.32    82.70     5.06    77.12     1.83    12.55     0.00     0.00    99.09    22.40P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   70  +13       2.57    59.92     2.35    73.02     1.68    13.54     0.00     0.00    59.43    14.19P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       44   69  +17       2.33    59.30     7.47    71.58     1.83    16.80     0.00     0.00    29.10     6.74P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   68  +10       5.60    70.89     6.74    70.65     1.81     9.86     0.00     0.00    10.23     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   66   +9      -2.47    40.53    -3.16    68.93     1.83     9.29     0.00     0.00     1.75     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   65   +6       1.82    57.20     1.88    68.33     1.89     6.89     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        44   65   +4       4.95    68.99     4.21    67.54     1.81     3.72     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   63  +14      -2.37    40.93     6.37    65.91     1.85    14.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   59   -4       3.86    65.20     3.37    61.58     1.82    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   57   +4      -7.39    23.70    -1.95    60.27     1.86     4.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   57  -15       6.72    75.30     0.40    59.46     1.81   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   55  -10      -6.52    26.46   -11.56    57.92     1.85    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   54   -9      -0.31    49.61    -1.08    56.14     1.73    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     44   50  -13      -7.54    23.10    -8.63    52.76     1.79   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.55R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   50  -17      -2.96    39.49    -5.69    52.30     1.82   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.99R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   44   48   -4      -8.09    20.91     1.35    50.89     1.75    -3.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.60R    0.00  
Blackpool        44   46  -15      -7.26    23.83    -5.84    47.86     1.68   -16.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.79R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   45  -14     -10.36    15.16    -7.01    47.83     1.83   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.08R    0.00  
Colchester       44   39  -41      -3.94    35.02   -10.62    40.74     1.70   -42.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            44   31  -37      -9.37    15.37    -5.13    33.05     1.73   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 April 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          44   93  +33      18.95    96.80    12.38    95.98     1.86    33.36   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   81  +25      13.67    90.54    14.68    83.97     1.85    25.37     0.00    69.37   100.00    76.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   80  +38       3.60    63.83    14.25    83.32     1.85    38.85     0.00    69.70   100.00    79.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   79  +27       7.84    77.19    11.17    82.88     1.78    28.67     0.00    53.81   100.00    66.47P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   77  +21       5.68    71.05     4.96    80.44     1.81    22.00     0.00     6.45   100.00    31.77P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           44   75  +30       2.28    58.58    11.67    78.26     1.85    30.75     0.00     0.67   100.00    28.24P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   71  +13       7.40    76.58     8.11    74.16     1.85    13.61     0.00     0.00    97.19    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        44   66  +11       3.82    64.45     8.31    68.58     1.83    10.79     0.00     0.00     2.81     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   64   +5      -1.10    46.05    -2.42    66.52     1.80     4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             44   64   +2       4.66    67.73     3.82    66.45     1.83     1.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            44   63   +9       4.46    67.29    11.27    65.47     1.82     8.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   63   +1       2.46    59.66     0.91    65.96     1.87     1.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                44   63   +1       0.51    52.25    -2.43    65.55     1.83     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        44   63   -3      -4.59    33.15   -13.82    66.18     1.85    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   59   -3       3.52    63.96     4.56    61.82     1.85    -2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           44   51  -16       1.99    58.79     0.70    52.76     1.66   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         44   48  -25      -6.47    27.19   -15.72    50.76     1.87   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   47  -27      -5.01    31.60   -14.59    49.85     1.87   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   46  -15     -11.51    12.99   -10.75    48.38     1.81   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               44   45  -16     -10.10    15.98    -9.70    47.45     1.81   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   44  -22      -7.56    23.27    -6.74    46.70     1.86   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       44   43  -19      -7.58    22.41    -5.14    45.37     1.79   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 44   33  -33     -13.79     7.39   -12.25    35.06     1.76   -34.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   17.98  
Dag_&_Red            44   31  -37     -14.06     6.97   -13.22    33.02     1.72   -38.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   82.02  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Aldershot 1 2 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       45   98  +55       5.92    72.41     8.92   100.26     1.14    56.42   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   86  +26       9.17    81.51     3.39    87.31     1.30    25.92     0.00   100.00    26.78P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   80  +38      -4.42    32.69     3.78    81.32     1.29    37.95     0.00   100.00    37.63P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   45   80  +23       8.52    79.70     8.40    81.43     1.31    23.08     0.00   100.00    17.73P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   45   78  +15      10.87    85.95     6.66    79.95     1.24    15.81     0.00    90.89    15.74P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         45   75  +16      -2.38    40.60    -7.05    76.40     1.30    16.05     0.00     6.65     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        45   75  +12       5.60    70.56     0.55    76.27     1.31    11.82     0.00     2.46     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   69  +17      -1.30    44.89     4.28    70.57     1.32    17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        45   67   -9       7.38    76.65    -5.42    68.26     1.31    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   65  +12      -3.18    37.94     2.31    66.54     1.31    12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           45   62   -9       8.23    78.62     4.40    63.19     1.29    -9.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     45   61   +3      -0.64    47.80     3.73    61.55     0.99     1.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          45   60   -3       3.34    62.99     5.82    61.66     1.32    -2.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           45   58   +2      -7.59    23.26    -3.44    59.49     1.33     2.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        45   55  -12       3.99    66.51     3.99    56.53     1.30   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        45   53  -20      -0.47    48.86    -7.31    54.10     1.27   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   51   -6      -4.53    33.20     4.61    52.50     1.33    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          45   51  -21      -5.43    29.97   -12.61    52.44     1.30   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     45   47   -8      -5.63    29.42     3.78    48.38     1.27    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          45   47  -27      -6.03    27.91   -12.49    48.19     1.28   -27.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.71R    0.00  
Guiseley         45   46  -24       0.54    53.17     0.46    47.29     1.29   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.83R    0.00  
Altrincham       45   44  -22      -4.00    34.69    -0.55    44.80     1.11   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.46R    0.00  
Kidderminster    45   37  -23     -14.99     5.84    -8.67    38.20     1.27   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   13.84  
Welling          45   35  -35      -8.36    18.69    -7.53    36.31     1.26   -35.04     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.16