Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 27 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2016, Tottenham 1 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 35 76 +30 20.03 99.03 18.19 79.74 2.23 29.45 96.05 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 35 69 +39 5.20 72.20 14.77 74.05 2.24 40.41 3.95 88.69 98.78 99.94 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 35 64 +32 -6.79 20.32 -4.73 69.28 2.25 33.74 0.00 5.77 50.98 85.65 99.96 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 35 64 +24 -0.57 46.95 -1.12 69.94 1.95 27.09 0.00 5.37 46.37 90.57 99.98 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 34 59 +12 1.71 57.77 -3.55 66.21 2.55 14.58 0.00 0.18 3.85 21.70 92.46 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 34 56 +14 6.43 77.33 9.90 62.03 2.63 14.83 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.54 52.55 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 34 55 +13 -0.51 47.48 -0.68 61.73 2.64 14.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 49.68 0.00 0.00 Southampton 35 54 +12 -1.91 41.32 0.35 58.04 2.17 11.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.16 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 34 47 +7 -13.08 6.30 -13.63 53.46 2.64 8.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.00 Stoke 35 47 -14 5.41 74.07 -4.35 51.20 2.23 -13.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 34 41 +5 -8.82 15.32 0.61 47.91 2.57 7.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 34 41 -7 2.38 61.97 4.88 46.74 2.55 -6.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 35 41 -11 0.62 53.81 -0.02 44.59 2.23 -11.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 35 41 -19 4.17 69.44 0.46 43.82 2.05 -21.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 35 40 -15 -2.02 41.23 -5.98 42.81 2.09 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 35 39 -9 -1.63 42.90 1.67 42.69 2.17 -9.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Sunderland 34 31 -18 -4.17 31.01 0.29 35.02 2.47 -20.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.07R 0.00 Norwich 34 31 -25 -2.97 36.97 -3.99 34.37 2.29 -28.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.09R 0.00 Newcastle 35 30 -26 -4.33 30.49 -2.92 33.57 2.17 -26.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.82R 0.00 Aston_Villa 35 16 -44 -11.15 5.73 -10.14 18.44 1.92 -46.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 April 2016, Hull 2 0 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 44 87 +33 8.69 80.97 6.74 90.89 1.78 34.61 56.83 89.41 100.00 92.79P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 44 87 +32 9.10 82.58 6.82 90.27 1.80 32.74 29.28 71.03 100.00 80.44P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 44 87 +30 15.06 93.61 12.85 89.50 1.77 29.76 13.90 39.56 100.00 54.85P 0.00 0.00 Hull 44 80 +31 1.92 57.26 5.35 84.19 1.70 33.11 0.00 0.00 100.00 32.39P 0.00 0.00 Derby 44 77 +24 1.67 56.27 1.34 80.06 1.81 24.48 0.00 0.00 100.00 23.22P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 44 71 +19 5.79 72.47 11.18 73.88 1.82 19.22 0.00 0.00 91.52 15.01P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 44 67 +8 4.19 66.61 3.67 69.75 1.79 8.04 0.00 0.00 8.48 1.29P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 44 63 +0 0.57 52.43 -3.83 65.81 1.73 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 44 61 +4 1.94 58.30 4.97 63.18 1.74 3.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 44 59 -2 -2.27 41.44 -3.37 62.12 1.88 -1.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 44 58 -1 0.49 52.39 1.40 60.79 1.80 -0.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 44 58 -7 3.81 65.47 1.08 60.94 1.76 -6.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 44 57 +0 -5.94 28.25 -4.31 59.69 1.72 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 44 54 -6 -6.70 25.31 -7.15 56.64 1.81 -6.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 44 52 -4 -4.18 33.99 1.34 54.58 1.78 -4.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 44 51 -3 -4.17 33.99 4.70 53.71 1.87 -3.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 44 51 -5 -6.93 24.05 -2.55 53.92 1.84 -4.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 44 49 -3 -10.47 14.26 -2.92 52.05 1.83 -2.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 44 49 -13 -0.22 49.79 3.44 50.88 1.62 -14.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 44 49 -20 -2.13 42.46 -5.83 51.41 1.79 -20.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fulham 44 48 -11 -6.23 27.40 -0.34 50.91 1.80 -10.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 44 39 -28 -7.84 20.93 -8.71 41.15 1.72 -28.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Charlton 44 37 -38 -5.90 26.58 -12.31 38.69 1.62 -39.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Bolton 44 27 -40 -16.16 3.60 -13.55 28.64 1.64 -41.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 April 2016, Walsall 2 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 44 84 +36 1.23 54.28 2.38 87.71 1.81 37.38 95.43 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 44 81 +19 15.32 93.39 10.70 83.96 1.85 19.34 4.57 86.13 100.00 89.39P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 44 78 +15 11.58 87.44 5.79 81.08 1.82 15.48 0.00 12.69 100.00 33.72P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 44 75 +20 3.26 62.16 2.87 78.22 1.82 20.68 0.00 1.18 99.73 31.60P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 44 74 +12 9.50 83.09 5.32 77.09 1.83 12.51 0.00 0.00 98.97 21.63P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 44 70 +13 2.26 58.83 1.94 73.04 1.68 13.56 0.00 0.00 59.56 14.20P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 44 69 +17 2.16 58.33 7.23 71.60 1.83 16.82 0.00 0.00 29.17 6.90P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 44 68 +10 5.82 71.92 7.06 70.65 1.81 9.86 0.00 0.00 10.23 2.03P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 44 66 +9 -2.41 40.55 -3.08 68.93 1.84 9.29 0.00 0.00 1.70 0.39P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 44 65 +6 1.84 57.32 1.94 68.34 1.90 6.92 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 44 65 +4 5.01 69.32 4.27 67.52 1.81 3.71 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 44 63 +14 -2.28 41.33 6.47 65.92 1.85 14.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southend 44 59 -4 3.83 64.93 3.29 61.61 1.82 -4.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 44 57 +4 -7.50 23.58 -2.12 60.26 1.86 4.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 44 57 -15 6.83 75.52 0.62 59.45 1.82 -15.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swindon 44 55 -10 -6.45 26.44 -11.52 57.90 1.84 -9.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 44 54 -9 -0.23 49.68 -1.03 56.12 1.71 -9.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 44 50 -13 -7.71 22.55 -8.83 52.78 1.80 -12.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.56R 0.00 Shrewsbury 44 50 -17 -3.10 38.40 -5.87 52.31 1.83 -17.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.77R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 44 48 -4 -8.08 20.88 1.41 50.87 1.75 -3.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.84R 0.00 Blackpool 44 46 -15 -7.22 23.83 -5.80 47.86 1.69 -16.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.89R 0.00 Doncaster 44 45 -14 -10.44 14.78 -7.17 47.84 1.83 -13.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.94R 0.00 Colchester 44 39 -41 -3.85 35.15 -10.49 40.74 1.68 -42.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Crewe 44 31 -37 -9.54 15.15 -5.40 33.07 1.73 -37.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 April 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 44 93 +33 18.81 96.89 12.15 96.00 1.86 33.38 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 44 81 +25 13.71 90.53 14.67 83.97 1.84 25.37 0.00 69.50 100.00 76.35P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 44 80 +38 3.54 63.67 14.18 83.33 1.85 38.85 0.00 70.00 100.00 79.73P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 44 79 +27 8.03 77.74 11.32 82.86 1.79 28.65 0.00 53.50 100.00 66.53P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 44 77 +21 6.06 72.18 5.43 80.44 1.82 21.99 0.00 6.36 100.00 31.77P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 44 75 +30 2.36 58.87 11.73 78.24 1.85 30.73 0.00 0.64 100.00 28.08P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 44 71 +13 7.56 76.92 8.29 74.17 1.85 13.62 0.00 0.00 97.19 17.04P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 44 66 +11 4.14 65.61 8.84 68.57 1.83 10.78 0.00 0.00 2.81 0.49P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 44 64 +5 -1.17 45.21 -2.46 66.49 1.79 4.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 44 64 +2 4.48 67.12 3.57 66.47 1.83 1.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 44 63 +9 4.45 67.42 11.31 65.47 1.82 8.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exeter 44 63 +1 2.41 59.49 0.84 65.95 1.87 1.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Luton 44 63 +1 0.49 51.83 -2.43 65.55 1.83 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 44 63 -3 -4.60 33.32 -13.80 66.19 1.85 -2.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 44 59 -3 3.41 63.38 4.41 61.82 1.86 -2.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 44 51 -16 1.89 58.42 0.54 52.77 1.66 -17.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 44 48 -25 -6.63 26.71 -15.93 50.75 1.87 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 44 47 -27 -5.24 30.95 -14.93 49.86 1.87 -26.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 44 46 -15 -11.41 13.11 -10.69 48.38 1.82 -15.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 44 45 -16 -10.00 16.04 -9.50 47.45 1.80 -16.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 44 44 -22 -7.51 23.39 -6.76 46.69 1.86 -22.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 44 43 -19 -7.62 22.25 -5.18 45.36 1.78 -19.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 44 33 -33 -13.78 7.28 -12.22 35.08 1.77 -34.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 17.99 Dag_&_Red 44 31 -37 -14.17 6.57 -13.39 33.02 1.73 -38.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 82.01National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Aldershot 1 2 Southport; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 45 98 +55 6.12 73.51 9.27 100.26 1.14 56.40 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 45 86 +26 9.26 82.02 3.58 87.31 1.30 25.91 0.00 100.00 26.50P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 45 80 +38 -4.37 32.71 3.85 81.32 1.28 37.94 0.00 100.00 37.79P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 45 80 +23 8.49 79.76 8.35 81.43 1.32 23.09 0.00 100.00 17.29P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 45 78 +15 10.74 85.69 6.50 79.96 1.24 15.82 0.00 90.85 16.18P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 45 75 +16 -2.39 40.44 -7.01 76.40 1.29 16.06 0.00 6.69 1.82P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 45 75 +12 5.44 70.14 0.37 76.27 1.31 11.82 0.00 2.47 0.42P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 45 69 +17 -0.96 46.08 4.76 70.56 1.32 17.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 45 67 -9 7.49 77.16 -5.34 68.27 1.31 -9.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 45 65 +12 -2.98 38.69 2.63 66.52 1.31 12.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 45 62 -9 8.33 78.85 4.63 63.19 1.29 -9.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 45 61 +3 -0.62 47.91 3.76 61.56 1.00 1.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 45 60 -3 3.28 62.49 5.77 61.66 1.32 -2.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 45 58 +2 -7.76 22.42 -3.60 59.49 1.33 2.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 45 55 -12 3.91 66.08 3.78 56.52 1.30 -11.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 45 53 -20 -0.47 48.76 -7.28 54.10 1.27 -20.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 45 51 -6 -4.68 32.25 4.30 52.49 1.33 -5.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 45 51 -21 -5.43 29.89 -12.58 52.43 1.31 -20.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 45 47 -8 -5.85 28.53 3.47 48.38 1.27 -7.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 45 47 -27 -6.22 27.03 -12.82 48.22 1.28 -27.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.62R 0.00 Guiseley 45 46 -24 0.33 52.27 0.01 47.30 1.29 -24.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.69R 0.00 Altrincham 45 44 -22 -3.78 35.64 -0.26 44.79 1.11 -22.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.69R 0.00 Kidderminster 45 37 -23 -14.96 5.92 -8.64 38.20 1.27 -23.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 13.80 Welling 45 35 -35 -8.31 18.78 -7.50 36.31 1.26 -35.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 86.20