Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 27 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2016, Tottenham 1 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        35   76  +30      20.03    99.03    18.19    79.74     2.23    29.45    96.05   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   69  +39       5.20    72.20    14.77    74.05     2.24    40.41     3.95    88.69    98.78    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   64  +32      -6.79    20.32    -4.73    69.28     2.25    33.74     0.00     5.77    50.98    85.65    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   64  +24      -0.57    46.95    -1.12    69.94     1.95    27.09     0.00     5.37    46.37    90.57    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   59  +12       1.71    57.77    -3.55    66.21     2.55    14.58     0.00     0.18     3.85    21.70    92.46     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   56  +14       6.43    77.33     9.90    62.03     2.63    14.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.54    52.55     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        34   55  +13      -0.51    47.48    -0.68    61.73     2.64    14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60    49.68     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   54  +12      -1.91    41.32     0.35    58.04     2.17    11.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.16     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   47   +7     -13.08     6.30   -13.63    53.46     2.64     8.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   47  -14       5.41    74.07    -4.35    51.20     2.23   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   41   +5      -8.82    15.32     0.61    47.91     2.57     7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   41   -7       2.38    61.97     4.88    46.74     2.55    -6.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   41  -11       0.62    53.81    -0.02    44.59     2.23   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -19       4.17    69.44     0.46    43.82     2.05   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          35   40  -15      -2.02    41.23    -5.98    42.81     2.09   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   39   -9      -1.63    42.90     1.67    42.69     2.17    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland       34   31  -18      -4.17    31.01     0.29    35.02     2.47   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.07R    0.00  
Norwich          34   31  -25      -2.97    36.97    -3.99    34.37     2.29   -28.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.09R    0.00  
Newcastle        35   30  -26      -4.33    30.49    -2.92    33.57     2.17   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.82R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      35   16  -44     -11.15     5.73   -10.14    18.44     1.92   -46.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 April 2016, Hull 2 0 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         44   87  +33       8.69    80.97     6.74    90.89     1.78    34.61    56.83    89.41   100.00    92.79P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   87  +32       9.10    82.58     6.82    90.27     1.80    32.74    29.28    71.03   100.00    80.44P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        44   87  +30      15.06    93.61    12.85    89.50     1.77    29.76    13.90    39.56   100.00    54.85P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            44   80  +31       1.92    57.26     5.35    84.19     1.70    33.11     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.39P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   77  +24       1.67    56.27     1.34    80.06     1.81    24.48     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.22P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   71  +19       5.79    72.47    11.18    73.88     1.82    19.22     0.00     0.00    91.52    15.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         44   67   +8       4.19    66.61     3.67    69.75     1.79     8.04     0.00     0.00     8.48     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   63   +0       0.57    52.43    -3.83    65.81     1.73     0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      44   61   +4       1.94    58.30     4.97    63.18     1.74     3.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   59   -2      -2.27    41.44    -3.37    62.12     1.88    -1.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   58   -1       0.49    52.39     1.40    60.79     1.80    -0.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   58   -7       3.81    65.47     1.08    60.94     1.76    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   57   +0      -5.94    28.25    -4.31    59.69     1.72    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   44   54   -6      -6.70    25.31    -7.15    56.64     1.81    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   52   -4      -4.18    33.99     1.34    54.58     1.78    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   51   -3      -4.17    33.99     4.70    53.71     1.87    -3.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   51   -5      -6.93    24.05    -2.55    53.92     1.84    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   49   -3     -10.47    14.26    -2.92    52.05     1.83    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       44   49  -13      -0.22    49.79     3.44    50.88     1.62   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   49  -20      -2.13    42.46    -5.83    51.41     1.79   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          44   48  -11      -6.23    27.40    -0.34    50.91     1.80   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   39  -28      -7.84    20.93    -8.71    41.15     1.72   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Charlton        44   37  -38      -5.90    26.58   -12.31    38.69     1.62   -39.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          44   27  -40     -16.16     3.60   -13.55    28.64     1.64   -41.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 April 2016, Walsall 2 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            44   84  +36       1.23    54.28     2.38    87.71     1.81    37.38    95.43   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    44   81  +19      15.32    93.39    10.70    83.96     1.85    19.34     4.57    86.13   100.00    89.39P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   78  +15      11.58    87.44     5.79    81.08     1.82    15.48     0.00    12.69   100.00    33.72P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   75  +20       3.26    62.16     2.87    78.22     1.82    20.68     0.00     1.18    99.73    31.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         44   74  +12       9.50    83.09     5.32    77.09     1.83    12.51     0.00     0.00    98.97    21.63P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   70  +13       2.26    58.83     1.94    73.04     1.68    13.56     0.00     0.00    59.56    14.20P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       44   69  +17       2.16    58.33     7.23    71.60     1.83    16.82     0.00     0.00    29.17     6.90P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   68  +10       5.82    71.92     7.06    70.65     1.81     9.86     0.00     0.00    10.23     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   66   +9      -2.41    40.55    -3.08    68.93     1.84     9.29     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   65   +6       1.84    57.32     1.94    68.34     1.90     6.92     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        44   65   +4       5.01    69.32     4.27    67.52     1.81     3.71     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   63  +14      -2.28    41.33     6.47    65.92     1.85    14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   59   -4       3.83    64.93     3.29    61.61     1.82    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   57   +4      -7.50    23.58    -2.12    60.26     1.86     4.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   57  -15       6.83    75.52     0.62    59.45     1.82   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   55  -10      -6.45    26.44   -11.52    57.90     1.84    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   54   -9      -0.23    49.68    -1.03    56.12     1.71    -9.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     44   50  -13      -7.71    22.55    -8.83    52.78     1.80   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.56R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   50  -17      -3.10    38.40    -5.87    52.31     1.83   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.77R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   44   48   -4      -8.08    20.88     1.41    50.87     1.75    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.84R    0.00  
Blackpool        44   46  -15      -7.22    23.83    -5.80    47.86     1.69   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.89R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   45  -14     -10.44    14.78    -7.17    47.84     1.83   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.94R    0.00  
Colchester       44   39  -41      -3.85    35.15   -10.49    40.74     1.68   -42.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            44   31  -37      -9.54    15.15    -5.40    33.07     1.73   -37.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 April 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          44   93  +33      18.81    96.89    12.15    96.00     1.86    33.38   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   81  +25      13.71    90.53    14.67    83.97     1.84    25.37     0.00    69.50   100.00    76.35P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   80  +38       3.54    63.67    14.18    83.33     1.85    38.85     0.00    70.00   100.00    79.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   79  +27       8.03    77.74    11.32    82.86     1.79    28.65     0.00    53.50   100.00    66.53P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   77  +21       6.06    72.18     5.43    80.44     1.82    21.99     0.00     6.36   100.00    31.77P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           44   75  +30       2.36    58.87    11.73    78.24     1.85    30.73     0.00     0.64   100.00    28.08P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   71  +13       7.56    76.92     8.29    74.17     1.85    13.62     0.00     0.00    97.19    17.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        44   66  +11       4.14    65.61     8.84    68.57     1.83    10.78     0.00     0.00     2.81     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   64   +5      -1.17    45.21    -2.46    66.49     1.79     4.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             44   64   +2       4.48    67.12     3.57    66.47     1.83     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            44   63   +9       4.45    67.42    11.31    65.47     1.82     8.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   63   +1       2.41    59.49     0.84    65.95     1.87     1.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                44   63   +1       0.49    51.83    -2.43    65.55     1.83     0.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        44   63   -3      -4.60    33.32   -13.80    66.19     1.85    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   59   -3       3.41    63.38     4.41    61.82     1.86    -2.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           44   51  -16       1.89    58.42     0.54    52.77     1.66   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         44   48  -25      -6.63    26.71   -15.93    50.75     1.87   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   47  -27      -5.24    30.95   -14.93    49.86     1.87   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   46  -15     -11.41    13.11   -10.69    48.38     1.82   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               44   45  -16     -10.00    16.04    -9.50    47.45     1.80   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   44  -22      -7.51    23.39    -6.76    46.69     1.86   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       44   43  -19      -7.62    22.25    -5.18    45.36     1.78   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 44   33  -33     -13.78     7.28   -12.22    35.08     1.77   -34.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   17.99  
Dag_&_Red            44   31  -37     -14.17     6.57   -13.39    33.02     1.73   -38.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   82.01  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Aldershot 1 2 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       45   98  +55       6.12    73.51     9.27   100.26     1.14    56.40   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   86  +26       9.26    82.02     3.58    87.31     1.30    25.91     0.00   100.00    26.50P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   80  +38      -4.37    32.71     3.85    81.32     1.28    37.94     0.00   100.00    37.79P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   45   80  +23       8.49    79.76     8.35    81.43     1.32    23.09     0.00   100.00    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   45   78  +15      10.74    85.69     6.50    79.96     1.24    15.82     0.00    90.85    16.18P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         45   75  +16      -2.39    40.44    -7.01    76.40     1.29    16.06     0.00     6.69     1.82P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        45   75  +12       5.44    70.14     0.37    76.27     1.31    11.82     0.00     2.47     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   69  +17      -0.96    46.08     4.76    70.56     1.32    17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        45   67   -9       7.49    77.16    -5.34    68.27     1.31    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   65  +12      -2.98    38.69     2.63    66.52     1.31    12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           45   62   -9       8.33    78.85     4.63    63.19     1.29    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     45   61   +3      -0.62    47.91     3.76    61.56     1.00     1.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          45   60   -3       3.28    62.49     5.77    61.66     1.32    -2.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           45   58   +2      -7.76    22.42    -3.60    59.49     1.33     2.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        45   55  -12       3.91    66.08     3.78    56.52     1.30   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        45   53  -20      -0.47    48.76    -7.28    54.10     1.27   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   51   -6      -4.68    32.25     4.30    52.49     1.33    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          45   51  -21      -5.43    29.89   -12.58    52.43     1.31   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     45   47   -8      -5.85    28.53     3.47    48.38     1.27    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          45   47  -27      -6.22    27.03   -12.82    48.22     1.28   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.62R    0.00  
Guiseley         45   46  -24       0.33    52.27     0.01    47.30     1.29   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.69R    0.00  
Altrincham       45   44  -22      -3.78    35.64    -0.26    44.79     1.11   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.69R    0.00  
Kidderminster    45   37  -23     -14.96     5.92    -8.64    38.20     1.27   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   13.80  
Welling          45   35  -35      -8.31    18.78    -7.50    36.31     1.26   -35.04     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.20