Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 26 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2016, Tottenham 1 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        35   76  +30      19.86    98.86    17.94    79.74     2.22    29.44    95.89   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   69  +39       5.27    72.52    14.87    74.04     2.24    40.39     4.11    88.49    98.65    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   64  +32      -6.62    21.08    -4.36    69.29     2.25    33.74     0.00     5.96    51.20    85.70    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   64  +24      -0.48    47.15    -0.97    69.93     1.95    27.09     0.00     5.37    46.25    90.45    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   59  +12       1.68    57.50    -3.62    66.22     2.56    14.58     0.00     0.18     3.87    21.93    92.45     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   56  +14       6.37    76.97     9.78    62.04     2.61    14.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.47    52.44     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        34   55  +13      -0.53    47.73    -0.67    61.73     2.65    14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53    49.62     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   54  +12      -1.57    42.67     0.83    58.03     2.20    11.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.35     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   47   +7     -13.11     6.16   -13.62    53.44     2.66     8.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   47  -14       5.30    73.78    -4.58    51.21     2.24   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   41   +5      -9.12    14.57     0.13    47.91     2.57     7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   41   -7       2.39    61.80     4.92    46.74     2.55    -6.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   41  -11       0.83    54.76     0.27    44.58     2.22   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -19       4.23    69.89     0.49    43.83     2.05   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          35   40  -15      -1.92    41.84    -5.85    42.80     2.09   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   39   -9      -1.71    42.49     1.63    42.70     2.18    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland       34   31  -18      -4.26    30.66     0.09    35.03     2.47   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.96R    0.00  
Norwich          34   31  -25      -3.08    36.25    -4.20    34.38     2.31   -28.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        35   30  -26      -4.22    31.12    -2.68    33.56     2.19   -26.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      35   16  -44     -11.28     5.78   -10.41    18.47     1.93   -46.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 April 2016, Hull 2 0 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         44   87  +33       8.61    80.47     6.63    90.89     1.76    34.62    56.97    89.53   100.00    93.03P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   87  +32       9.28    82.96     7.14    90.26     1.80    32.72    29.05    71.21   100.00    80.58P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        44   87  +30      15.21    93.85    13.01    89.51     1.76    29.77    13.98    39.26   100.00    54.66P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            44   80  +31       1.79    56.73     5.23    84.19     1.70    33.10     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.76P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   77  +24       1.85    57.24     1.55    80.05     1.80    24.46     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.79P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   71  +19       5.59    71.61    10.90    73.88     1.82    19.22     0.00     0.00    91.46    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         44   67   +8       4.04    65.87     3.47    69.76     1.79     8.07     0.00     0.00     8.54     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   63   +0       0.71    53.19    -3.68    65.82     1.73     0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      44   61   +4       2.11    58.74     5.18    63.18     1.73     3.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   59   -2      -2.35    40.94    -3.43    62.12     1.88    -1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   58   -1       0.66    53.21     1.64    60.80     1.80    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   58   -7       3.91    65.74     1.18    60.94     1.77    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   57   +0      -6.20    27.43    -4.69    59.69     1.72    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   44   54   -6      -6.93    24.66    -7.47    56.65     1.82    -6.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   52   -4      -4.01    34.34     1.54    54.56     1.77    -4.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   51   -3      -4.16    34.09     4.70    53.73     1.88    -3.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   51   -5      -6.79    24.52    -2.37    53.91     1.83    -4.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   49   -3     -10.46    14.38    -2.86    52.06     1.84    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       44   49  -13      -0.06    50.53     3.67    50.88     1.63   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   49  -20      -2.10    42.47    -5.79    51.39     1.80   -20.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          44   48  -11      -6.37    26.57    -0.62    50.93     1.80   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   39  -28      -8.05    20.66    -8.92    41.15     1.72   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Charlton        44   37  -38      -5.88    26.93   -12.28    38.69     1.62   -39.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          44   27  -40     -16.25     3.46   -13.73    28.62     1.63   -41.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 April 2016, Walsall 2 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            44   84  +36       1.15    53.94     2.29    87.72     1.80    37.39    95.54   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    44   81  +19      15.20    93.21    10.56    83.97     1.84    19.35     4.46    86.25   100.00    89.33P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   78  +15      11.50    87.42     5.63    81.07     1.83    15.47     0.00    12.71   100.00    33.94P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   75  +20       3.47    63.08     3.19    78.21     1.83    20.66     0.00     1.04    99.75    31.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         44   74  +12       9.27    82.36     5.02    77.11     1.83    12.53     0.00     0.00    98.99    21.74P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   70  +13       2.40    59.47     2.13    73.03     1.68    13.56     0.00     0.00    59.67    14.41P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       44   69  +17       2.13    58.31     7.18    71.60     1.83    16.81     0.00     0.00    29.00     7.04P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   68  +10       5.71    71.38     6.87    70.67     1.82     9.91     0.00     0.00    10.24     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   66   +9      -2.05    41.91    -2.64    68.91     1.84     9.25     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   65   +6       1.88    57.58     2.01    68.32     1.88     6.90     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        44   65   +4       4.91    68.62     4.10    67.52     1.82     3.69     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   63  +14      -2.72    39.55     5.84    65.93     1.85    14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   59   -4       3.96    65.60     3.56    61.59     1.82    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   57   +4      -7.41    23.50    -2.00    60.26     1.86     4.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   57  -15       6.50    74.54     0.13    59.46     1.81   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   55  -10      -6.65    26.09   -11.79    57.93     1.84    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   54   -9      -0.31    49.31    -1.07    56.14     1.73    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     44   50  -13      -7.84    21.98    -8.99    52.78     1.80   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.59R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   50  -17      -3.11    38.51    -5.89    52.30     1.82   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.76R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   44   48   -4      -7.87    21.35     1.70    50.87     1.75    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.75R    0.00  
Blackpool        44   46  -15      -7.08    24.41    -5.66    47.86     1.68   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.74R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   45  -14     -10.21    15.37    -6.88    47.82     1.83   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.17R    0.00  
Colchester       44   39  -41      -3.57    36.38    -9.97    40.74     1.69   -42.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            44   31  -37      -9.48    15.47    -5.31    33.07     1.73   -37.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 April 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          44   93  +33      19.15    97.03    12.63    95.97     1.86    33.33   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   81  +25      13.83    90.69    14.92    83.96     1.85    25.36     0.00    69.42   100.00    76.37P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   80  +38       3.53    63.07    14.17    83.34     1.84    38.87     0.00    70.06   100.00    80.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   79  +27       7.87    77.66    11.13    82.87     1.79    28.66     0.00    53.44   100.00    66.43P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   77  +21       6.07    72.45     5.49    80.42     1.82    21.97     0.00     6.41   100.00    31.37P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           44   75  +30       2.23    58.59    11.60    78.25     1.85    30.75     0.00     0.66   100.00    28.11P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   71  +13       7.45    76.35     8.15    74.16     1.86    13.60     0.00     0.00    97.07    17.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        44   66  +11       3.90    65.16     8.48    68.60     1.83    10.80     0.00     0.00     2.93     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   64   +5      -1.19    45.56    -2.57    66.49     1.79     4.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             44   64   +2       4.60    67.43     3.75    66.47     1.83     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            44   63   +9       4.49    67.57    11.36    65.45     1.82     8.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   63   +1       2.48    59.70     0.97    65.95     1.87     1.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                44   63   +1       0.47    52.08    -2.47    65.56     1.83     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        44   63   -3      -4.69    32.90   -13.92    66.18     1.85    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   59   -3       3.51    63.67     4.60    61.80     1.86    -2.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           44   51  -16       1.75    57.94     0.28    52.78     1.66   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         44   48  -25      -6.40    27.30   -15.60    50.73     1.87   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   47  -27      -4.97    31.91   -14.53    49.84     1.87   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   46  -15     -11.48    12.98   -10.71    48.39     1.82   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               44   45  -16     -10.13    15.74    -9.70    47.47     1.81   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   44  -22      -7.51    23.30    -6.65    46.71     1.86   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       44   43  -19      -7.75    21.75    -5.47    45.38     1.80   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 44   33  -33     -13.66     7.56   -12.10    35.07     1.77   -34.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   18.19  
Dag_&_Red            44   31  -37     -14.44     6.24   -13.81    33.03     1.72   -38.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   81.81  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Aldershot 1 2 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       45   98  +55       6.27    73.77     9.55   100.25     1.14    56.42   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   86  +26       9.39    82.07     3.82    87.31     1.30    25.91     0.00   100.00    26.41P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   80  +38      -4.54    31.95     3.51    81.32     1.28    37.96     0.00   100.00    37.82P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   45   80  +23       8.55    79.67     8.45    81.43     1.32    23.09     0.00   100.00    17.51P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   45   78  +15      10.90    86.20     6.73    79.94     1.24    15.80     0.00    91.06    16.19P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         45   75  +16      -2.31    40.99    -6.87    76.39     1.29    16.04     0.00     6.50     1.61P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        45   75  +12       5.43    70.10     0.34    76.27     1.31    11.83     0.00     2.44     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   69  +17      -0.97    46.12     4.71    70.56     1.32    17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        45   67   -9       7.32    76.56    -5.51    68.27     1.31    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   65  +12      -3.09    38.30     2.45    66.52     1.31    12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           45   62   -9       8.07    78.38     4.09    63.20     1.29    -9.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     45   61   +3      -0.37    48.65     4.05    61.56     0.99     1.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          45   60   -3       3.20    62.34     5.60    61.66     1.32    -2.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           45   58   +2      -7.68    23.24    -3.49    59.49     1.33     2.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        45   55  -12       3.93    66.10     3.84    56.52     1.30   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        45   53  -20      -0.42    49.24    -7.20    54.09     1.26   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   51   -6      -4.28    33.94     4.97    52.49     1.33    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          45   51  -21      -5.50    29.60   -12.74    52.43     1.30   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     45   47   -8      -5.76    28.86     3.67    48.37     1.27    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          45   47  -27      -6.20    27.28   -12.78    48.22     1.28   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.59R    0.00  
Guiseley         45   46  -24       0.26    52.28    -0.11    47.30     1.29   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.87R    0.00  
Altrincham       45   44  -22      -3.98    34.71    -0.51    44.80     1.11   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.54R    0.00  
Kidderminster    45   37  -23     -15.10     5.76    -8.84    38.20     1.27   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   13.96  
Welling          45   35  -35      -8.43    18.26    -7.73    36.31     1.26   -35.04     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.04