Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 25 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2016, Tottenham 1 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 35 76 +30 20.01 98.91 18.13 79.75 2.22 29.46 96.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 35 69 +39 5.28 72.77 14.88 74.05 2.23 40.41 4.00 88.49 98.74 99.92 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 35 64 +32 -6.70 20.89 -4.50 69.29 2.26 33.73 0.00 5.90 51.22 85.87 99.97 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 35 64 +24 -0.62 46.67 -1.22 69.94 1.95 27.11 0.00 5.44 46.21 90.72 99.98 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 34 59 +12 1.75 57.86 -3.53 66.19 2.57 14.55 0.00 0.17 3.80 21.51 92.26 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 34 56 +14 6.39 76.74 9.84 62.04 2.62 14.83 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.40 52.62 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 34 55 +13 -0.63 47.09 -0.82 61.72 2.65 14.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.58 49.66 0.00 0.00 Southampton 35 54 +12 -1.70 42.26 0.64 58.02 2.19 11.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.34 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 34 47 +7 -13.12 6.32 -13.70 53.47 2.64 8.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.00 0.00 Stoke 35 47 -14 5.24 73.30 -4.62 51.20 2.26 -13.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 34 41 +5 -9.06 14.92 0.24 47.91 2.58 7.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 34 41 -7 2.17 60.86 4.64 46.77 2.55 -6.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 35 41 -11 0.72 54.20 0.03 44.59 2.22 -11.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 35 41 -19 4.26 69.67 0.58 43.81 2.05 -21.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 35 40 -15 -1.97 41.55 -5.92 42.81 2.10 -16.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 35 39 -9 -1.64 43.03 1.71 42.70 2.18 -9.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Sunderland 34 31 -18 -4.15 31.04 0.33 35.02 2.48 -20.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.19R 0.00 Norwich 34 31 -25 -2.90 37.18 -3.92 34.35 2.29 -28.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.66R 0.00 Newcastle 35 30 -26 -4.03 32.00 -2.38 33.55 2.17 -26.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.14R 0.00 Aston_Villa 35 16 -44 -11.29 5.74 -10.40 18.47 1.93 -46.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Blackburn 2 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 44 87 +33 8.74 80.67 6.76 90.88 1.77 34.61 56.83 89.42 100.00 92.82P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 44 87 +32 9.34 83.30 7.20 90.25 1.80 32.72 29.14 70.76 100.00 80.36P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 44 87 +30 15.20 93.86 13.03 89.52 1.77 29.78 14.03 39.81 100.00 55.18P 0.00 0.00 Hull 43 77 +29 1.15 54.46 4.61 83.18 2.12 32.01 0.00 0.00 100.00 32.24P 0.00 0.00 Derby 44 77 +24 1.61 56.29 1.22 80.05 1.81 24.46 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.82P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 44 71 +19 5.55 71.32 10.83 73.88 1.82 19.22 0.00 0.00 91.52 15.28P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 44 67 +8 4.18 66.34 3.66 69.74 1.79 8.04 0.00 0.00 8.48 1.30P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 44 63 +0 0.63 52.86 -3.73 65.81 1.73 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 44 61 +4 1.96 58.37 5.03 63.19 1.74 3.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 43 59 +0 -1.85 42.93 -2.79 62.91 2.20 -0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 44 58 -1 0.60 52.62 1.62 60.79 1.79 -0.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 44 58 -7 3.94 66.10 1.25 60.93 1.77 -6.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 44 57 +0 -6.00 28.04 -4.36 59.70 1.72 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 44 54 -6 -6.91 24.43 -7.43 56.65 1.81 -6.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 44 52 -4 -4.20 34.00 1.26 54.58 1.78 -4.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 44 51 -3 -4.35 33.45 4.36 53.72 1.87 -3.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 44 51 -5 -6.52 25.74 -2.03 53.90 1.83 -4.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 44 49 -3 -10.67 13.98 -3.18 52.05 1.84 -2.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 44 49 -13 -0.08 50.39 3.60 50.88 1.63 -14.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 44 49 -20 -1.96 42.88 -5.57 51.39 1.80 -20.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fulham 44 48 -11 -6.25 27.28 -0.43 50.90 1.81 -10.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 44 39 -28 -7.72 21.62 -8.53 41.16 1.72 -28.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Charlton 44 37 -38 -6.03 26.27 -12.53 38.70 1.62 -39.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Bolton 44 27 -40 -16.36 3.41 -13.86 28.64 1.64 -41.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Bradford 4 0 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 44 84 +36 1.00 53.33 2.00 87.71 1.80 37.40 95.48 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 44 81 +19 15.47 93.40 10.91 83.95 1.84 19.33 4.52 89.45 100.00 91.88P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 44 75 +20 3.03 61.45 2.52 78.23 1.82 20.70 0.00 1.54 99.76 31.81P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 43 75 +14 10.63 85.57 5.71 79.90 2.24 15.14 0.00 9.01 99.97 30.67P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 44 74 +12 9.44 82.69 5.33 77.09 1.83 12.52 0.00 0.00 99.02 22.01P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 44 70 +13 2.25 58.73 1.98 73.02 1.69 13.54 0.00 0.00 59.33 14.04P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 44 69 +17 2.25 58.70 7.38 71.60 1.83 16.81 0.00 0.00 29.19 6.89P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 44 68 +10 5.66 71.22 6.81 70.66 1.81 9.88 0.00 0.00 10.32 2.10P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 44 66 +9 -2.52 40.57 -3.24 68.93 1.83 9.28 0.00 0.00 1.75 0.46P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 44 65 +6 1.73 56.79 1.76 68.32 1.90 6.89 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 44 65 +4 4.74 68.31 3.90 67.54 1.81 3.72 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 44 63 +14 -2.35 41.24 6.36 65.90 1.85 14.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southend 44 59 -4 3.71 64.75 3.21 61.61 1.82 -4.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 44 57 +4 -7.31 23.80 -1.79 60.27 1.86 4.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 44 57 -15 6.96 76.10 0.77 59.45 1.81 -15.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swindon 44 55 -10 -6.73 26.01 -11.88 57.93 1.85 -9.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 44 54 -9 -0.26 49.38 -1.00 56.14 1.72 -9.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 44 50 -13 -7.71 22.41 -8.85 52.78 1.79 -12.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.00R 0.00 Shrewsbury 43 50 -16 -1.88 43.05 -5.11 53.19 2.19 -17.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.43R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 44 48 -4 -7.88 21.23 1.66 50.89 1.76 -3.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.30R 0.00 Blackpool 44 46 -15 -6.94 24.62 -5.45 47.86 1.69 -16.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.56R 0.00 Doncaster 44 45 -14 -10.50 14.69 -7.23 47.84 1.84 -13.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.70R 0.00 Colchester 44 39 -41 -3.83 35.38 -10.45 40.75 1.69 -42.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Crewe 44 31 -37 -9.46 15.45 -5.27 33.06 1.73 -37.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 44 93 +33 18.98 96.89 12.35 96.01 1.86 33.39 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 44 81 +25 13.83 90.63 14.84 83.97 1.85 25.35 0.00 69.66 100.00 76.30P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 44 80 +38 3.60 63.42 14.24 83.33 1.84 38.85 0.00 69.93 100.00 79.54P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 44 79 +27 8.06 77.71 11.44 82.87 1.79 28.65 0.00 53.61 100.00 66.19P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 44 77 +21 5.85 71.72 5.17 80.43 1.82 21.99 0.00 6.49 100.00 32.33P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 43 72 +29 1.04 54.00 11.25 76.74 2.29 29.92 0.00 0.31 100.00 27.47P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 43 71 +14 8.76 80.43 9.08 75.41 2.27 14.41 0.00 0.00 98.59 17.90P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 44 66 +11 3.77 64.30 8.23 68.59 1.83 10.80 0.00 0.00 1.41 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 44 64 +5 -1.42 44.49 -2.87 66.51 1.80 4.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 44 64 +2 4.65 67.45 3.81 66.46 1.83 1.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 44 63 +9 4.32 66.60 11.11 65.46 1.82 8.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exeter 44 63 +1 2.53 59.93 1.08 65.93 1.88 1.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Luton 44 63 +1 0.45 52.13 -2.45 65.55 1.82 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 44 63 -3 -4.63 33.10 -13.85 66.18 1.85 -2.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 44 59 -3 3.47 63.52 4.51 61.80 1.86 -2.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 44 51 -16 1.91 58.49 0.51 52.77 1.66 -17.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 44 48 -25 -6.29 27.55 -15.40 50.73 1.87 -25.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 44 47 -27 -5.08 31.21 -14.71 49.86 1.88 -26.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 44 46 -15 -11.53 12.88 -10.75 48.40 1.82 -15.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 44 45 -16 -10.15 15.76 -9.68 47.47 1.81 -16.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 44 44 -22 -7.53 23.22 -6.68 46.70 1.86 -22.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 44 43 -19 -7.64 22.53 -5.23 45.37 1.80 -19.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 44 33 -33 -14.03 7.09 -12.61 35.08 1.77 -34.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 18.00 Dag_&_Red 44 31 -37 -14.16 6.83 -13.38 33.02 1.72 -38.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 82.00National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Aldershot 1 2 Southport; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 45 98 +55 5.92 72.66 8.90 100.27 1.14 56.42 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 45 86 +26 9.29 81.88 3.67 87.31 1.30 25.91 0.00 100.00 26.95P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 45 80 +38 -4.37 32.62 3.90 81.32 1.28 37.95 0.00 100.00 37.30P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 45 80 +23 8.51 79.64 8.41 81.43 1.31 23.09 0.00 100.00 17.43P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 45 78 +15 10.67 85.39 6.40 79.95 1.24 15.82 0.00 90.85 16.20P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 45 75 +16 -2.05 41.77 -6.52 76.40 1.29 16.05 0.00 6.64 1.68P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 45 75 +12 5.51 70.22 0.40 76.28 1.31 11.84 0.00 2.51 0.44P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 45 69 +17 -1.06 45.82 4.58 70.56 1.32 17.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 45 67 -9 7.34 76.63 -5.49 68.27 1.31 -9.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 45 65 +12 -3.01 38.41 2.58 66.52 1.31 12.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 45 62 -9 7.99 77.94 4.05 63.20 1.29 -9.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 45 61 +3 -0.71 47.88 3.63 61.55 0.98 1.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 45 60 -3 3.50 63.52 6.08 61.65 1.32 -2.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 45 58 +2 -7.50 23.69 -3.25 59.48 1.33 2.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 45 55 -12 4.21 67.06 4.26 56.51 1.30 -11.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 45 53 -20 -0.45 48.88 -7.30 54.11 1.27 -20.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 45 51 -6 -4.38 33.70 4.78 52.48 1.33 -5.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 45 51 -21 -5.39 29.95 -12.52 52.42 1.31 -20.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 45 47 -8 -5.69 29.02 3.61 48.38 1.27 -7.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 45 47 -27 -6.32 26.60 -12.92 48.22 1.28 -27.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.63R 0.00 Guiseley 45 46 -24 0.24 52.00 -0.08 47.31 1.30 -24.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.86R 0.00 Altrincham 45 44 -22 -4.04 34.36 -0.65 44.80 1.12 -22.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.51R 0.00 Kidderminster 45 37 -23 -15.07 5.98 -8.72 38.21 1.27 -23.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 13.74 Welling 45 35 -35 -8.50 18.31 -7.83 36.31 1.26 -35.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 86.26