Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 25 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2016, Tottenham 1 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        35   76  +30      20.01    98.91    18.13    79.75     2.22    29.46    96.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   69  +39       5.28    72.77    14.88    74.05     2.23    40.41     4.00    88.49    98.74    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   64  +32      -6.70    20.89    -4.50    69.29     2.26    33.73     0.00     5.90    51.22    85.87    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   64  +24      -0.62    46.67    -1.22    69.94     1.95    27.11     0.00     5.44    46.21    90.72    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   59  +12       1.75    57.86    -3.53    66.19     2.57    14.55     0.00     0.17     3.80    21.51    92.26     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   56  +14       6.39    76.74     9.84    62.04     2.62    14.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.40    52.62     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        34   55  +13      -0.63    47.09    -0.82    61.72     2.65    14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58    49.66     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   54  +12      -1.70    42.26     0.64    58.02     2.19    11.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.34     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   47   +7     -13.12     6.32   -13.70    53.47     2.64     8.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   47  -14       5.24    73.30    -4.62    51.20     2.26   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   41   +5      -9.06    14.92     0.24    47.91     2.58     7.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   41   -7       2.17    60.86     4.64    46.77     2.55    -6.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   41  -11       0.72    54.20     0.03    44.59     2.22   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -19       4.26    69.67     0.58    43.81     2.05   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          35   40  -15      -1.97    41.55    -5.92    42.81     2.10   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   39   -9      -1.64    43.03     1.71    42.70     2.18    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland       34   31  -18      -4.15    31.04     0.33    35.02     2.48   -20.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.19R    0.00  
Norwich          34   31  -25      -2.90    37.18    -3.92    34.35     2.29   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.66R    0.00  
Newcastle        35   30  -26      -4.03    32.00    -2.38    33.55     2.17   -26.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.14R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      35   16  -44     -11.29     5.74   -10.40    18.47     1.93   -46.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Blackburn 2 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         44   87  +33       8.74    80.67     6.76    90.88     1.77    34.61    56.83    89.42   100.00    92.82P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   87  +32       9.34    83.30     7.20    90.25     1.80    32.72    29.14    70.76   100.00    80.36P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        44   87  +30      15.20    93.86    13.03    89.52     1.77    29.78    14.03    39.81   100.00    55.18P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            43   77  +29       1.15    54.46     4.61    83.18     2.12    32.01     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.24P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   77  +24       1.61    56.29     1.22    80.05     1.81    24.46     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.82P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   71  +19       5.55    71.32    10.83    73.88     1.82    19.22     0.00     0.00    91.52    15.28P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         44   67   +8       4.18    66.34     3.66    69.74     1.79     8.04     0.00     0.00     8.48     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   63   +0       0.63    52.86    -3.73    65.81     1.73     0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      44   61   +4       1.96    58.37     5.03    63.19     1.74     3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   59   +0      -1.85    42.93    -2.79    62.91     2.20    -0.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   58   -1       0.60    52.62     1.62    60.79     1.79    -0.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   58   -7       3.94    66.10     1.25    60.93     1.77    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   57   +0      -6.00    28.04    -4.36    59.70     1.72    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   44   54   -6      -6.91    24.43    -7.43    56.65     1.81    -6.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   52   -4      -4.20    34.00     1.26    54.58     1.78    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   51   -3      -4.35    33.45     4.36    53.72     1.87    -3.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   51   -5      -6.52    25.74    -2.03    53.90     1.83    -4.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   49   -3     -10.67    13.98    -3.18    52.05     1.84    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       44   49  -13      -0.08    50.39     3.60    50.88     1.63   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   49  -20      -1.96    42.88    -5.57    51.39     1.80   -20.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          44   48  -11      -6.25    27.28    -0.43    50.90     1.81   -10.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   39  -28      -7.72    21.62    -8.53    41.16     1.72   -28.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Charlton        44   37  -38      -6.03    26.27   -12.53    38.70     1.62   -39.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          44   27  -40     -16.36     3.41   -13.86    28.64     1.64   -41.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Bradford 4 0 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            44   84  +36       1.00    53.33     2.00    87.71     1.80    37.40    95.48   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    44   81  +19      15.47    93.40    10.91    83.95     1.84    19.33     4.52    89.45   100.00    91.88P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   75  +20       3.03    61.45     2.52    78.23     1.82    20.70     0.00     1.54    99.76    31.81P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   75  +14      10.63    85.57     5.71    79.90     2.24    15.14     0.00     9.01    99.97    30.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         44   74  +12       9.44    82.69     5.33    77.09     1.83    12.52     0.00     0.00    99.02    22.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   70  +13       2.25    58.73     1.98    73.02     1.69    13.54     0.00     0.00    59.33    14.04P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       44   69  +17       2.25    58.70     7.38    71.60     1.83    16.81     0.00     0.00    29.19     6.89P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   68  +10       5.66    71.22     6.81    70.66     1.81     9.88     0.00     0.00    10.32     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   66   +9      -2.52    40.57    -3.24    68.93     1.83     9.28     0.00     0.00     1.75     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   65   +6       1.73    56.79     1.76    68.32     1.90     6.89     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        44   65   +4       4.74    68.31     3.90    67.54     1.81     3.72     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   63  +14      -2.35    41.24     6.36    65.90     1.85    14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   59   -4       3.71    64.75     3.21    61.61     1.82    -4.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   57   +4      -7.31    23.80    -1.79    60.27     1.86     4.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   57  -15       6.96    76.10     0.77    59.45     1.81   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   55  -10      -6.73    26.01   -11.88    57.93     1.85    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   54   -9      -0.26    49.38    -1.00    56.14     1.72    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     44   50  -13      -7.71    22.41    -8.85    52.78     1.79   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       43   50  -16      -1.88    43.05    -5.11    53.19     2.19   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.43R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   44   48   -4      -7.88    21.23     1.66    50.89     1.76    -3.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.30R    0.00  
Blackpool        44   46  -15      -6.94    24.62    -5.45    47.86     1.69   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.56R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   45  -14     -10.50    14.69    -7.23    47.84     1.84   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.70R    0.00  
Colchester       44   39  -41      -3.83    35.38   -10.45    40.75     1.69   -42.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            44   31  -37      -9.46    15.45    -5.27    33.06     1.73   -37.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          44   93  +33      18.98    96.89    12.35    96.01     1.86    33.39   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   81  +25      13.83    90.63    14.84    83.97     1.85    25.35     0.00    69.66   100.00    76.30P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   80  +38       3.60    63.42    14.24    83.33     1.84    38.85     0.00    69.93   100.00    79.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   79  +27       8.06    77.71    11.44    82.87     1.79    28.65     0.00    53.61   100.00    66.19P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   77  +21       5.85    71.72     5.17    80.43     1.82    21.99     0.00     6.49   100.00    32.33P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           43   72  +29       1.04    54.00    11.25    76.74     2.29    29.92     0.00     0.31   100.00    27.47P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   71  +14       8.76    80.43     9.08    75.41     2.27    14.41     0.00     0.00    98.59    17.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        44   66  +11       3.77    64.30     8.23    68.59     1.83    10.80     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   64   +5      -1.42    44.49    -2.87    66.51     1.80     4.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             44   64   +2       4.65    67.45     3.81    66.46     1.83     1.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            44   63   +9       4.32    66.60    11.11    65.46     1.82     8.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   63   +1       2.53    59.93     1.08    65.93     1.88     1.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                44   63   +1       0.45    52.13    -2.45    65.55     1.82     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        44   63   -3      -4.63    33.10   -13.85    66.18     1.85    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   59   -3       3.47    63.52     4.51    61.80     1.86    -2.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           44   51  -16       1.91    58.49     0.51    52.77     1.66   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         44   48  -25      -6.29    27.55   -15.40    50.73     1.87   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   47  -27      -5.08    31.21   -14.71    49.86     1.88   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   46  -15     -11.53    12.88   -10.75    48.40     1.82   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               44   45  -16     -10.15    15.76    -9.68    47.47     1.81   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   44  -22      -7.53    23.22    -6.68    46.70     1.86   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       44   43  -19      -7.64    22.53    -5.23    45.37     1.80   -19.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 44   33  -33     -14.03     7.09   -12.61    35.08     1.77   -34.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   18.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   31  -37     -14.16     6.83   -13.38    33.02     1.72   -38.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   82.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Aldershot 1 2 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       45   98  +55       5.92    72.66     8.90   100.27     1.14    56.42   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   86  +26       9.29    81.88     3.67    87.31     1.30    25.91     0.00   100.00    26.95P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   80  +38      -4.37    32.62     3.90    81.32     1.28    37.95     0.00   100.00    37.30P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   45   80  +23       8.51    79.64     8.41    81.43     1.31    23.09     0.00   100.00    17.43P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   45   78  +15      10.67    85.39     6.40    79.95     1.24    15.82     0.00    90.85    16.20P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         45   75  +16      -2.05    41.77    -6.52    76.40     1.29    16.05     0.00     6.64     1.68P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        45   75  +12       5.51    70.22     0.40    76.28     1.31    11.84     0.00     2.51     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   69  +17      -1.06    45.82     4.58    70.56     1.32    17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        45   67   -9       7.34    76.63    -5.49    68.27     1.31    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   65  +12      -3.01    38.41     2.58    66.52     1.31    12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           45   62   -9       7.99    77.94     4.05    63.20     1.29    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     45   61   +3      -0.71    47.88     3.63    61.55     0.98     1.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          45   60   -3       3.50    63.52     6.08    61.65     1.32    -2.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           45   58   +2      -7.50    23.69    -3.25    59.48     1.33     2.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        45   55  -12       4.21    67.06     4.26    56.51     1.30   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        45   53  -20      -0.45    48.88    -7.30    54.11     1.27   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   51   -6      -4.38    33.70     4.78    52.48     1.33    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          45   51  -21      -5.39    29.95   -12.52    52.42     1.31   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     45   47   -8      -5.69    29.02     3.61    48.38     1.27    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          45   47  -27      -6.32    26.60   -12.92    48.22     1.28   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.63R    0.00  
Guiseley         45   46  -24       0.24    52.00    -0.08    47.31     1.30   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.86R    0.00  
Altrincham       45   44  -22      -4.04    34.36    -0.65    44.80     1.12   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.51R    0.00  
Kidderminster    45   37  -23     -15.07     5.98    -8.72    38.21     1.27   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   13.74  
Welling          45   35  -35      -8.50    18.31    -7.83    36.31     1.26   -35.04     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.26