Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 24 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 April 2016, Leicester 4 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        35   76  +30      20.02    98.90    18.13    79.72     2.21    29.43    87.89   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   68  +39       5.90    75.45    15.16    75.23     2.54    41.58    12.11    92.96    99.17    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   64  +32      -6.71    20.67    -4.54    69.27     2.26    33.70     0.00     3.63    50.58    85.31    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   64  +24      -0.50    47.17    -1.05    69.95     1.95    27.10     0.00     3.30    46.63    90.53    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   59  +12       1.68    57.67    -3.60    66.23     2.54    14.59     0.00     0.10     3.58    22.07    92.52     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   56  +14       6.39    76.96     9.84    62.04     2.63    14.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.55    52.49     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        34   55  +13      -0.60    47.13    -0.79    61.74     2.65    14.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.62    49.63     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   54  +12      -1.70    42.13     0.65    58.02     2.18    11.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.21     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   47   +7     -13.13     6.10   -13.67    53.46     2.65     8.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   47  -14       5.33    73.64    -4.52    51.23     2.25   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   41   +5      -8.93    15.41     0.39    47.92     2.58     7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   41   -7       2.25    60.97     4.74    46.76     2.54    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -19       4.18    69.60     0.59    43.82     2.04   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        34   40  -11       0.71    54.20    -0.50    44.23     2.48   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          35   40  -15      -2.09    41.15    -6.01    42.81     2.09   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   39   -9      -1.57    43.30     1.82    42.67     2.19    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland       34   31  -18      -4.18    30.91     0.28    35.02     2.46   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.45R    0.00  
Norwich          34   31  -25      -2.92    36.84    -3.92    34.33     2.29   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.54R    0.00  
Newcastle        35   30  -26      -4.29    31.01    -2.74    33.57     2.18   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.99R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      35   16  -44     -11.20     5.83   -10.26    18.46     1.92   -46.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Blackburn 2 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         44   87  +33       8.71    80.86     6.68    90.89     1.77    34.60    56.97    89.57   100.00    93.02P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   87  +32       9.45    83.44     7.35    90.25     1.80    32.71    29.04    70.71   100.00    80.20P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        44   87  +30      15.20    93.80    13.02    89.51     1.77    29.77    13.99    39.72   100.00    54.87P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            43   77  +29       1.21    54.38     4.63    83.16     2.12    31.99     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.35P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   77  +24       1.64    56.10     1.25    80.07     1.81    24.49     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.22P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   71  +19       5.51    71.02    10.77    73.88     1.82    19.24     0.00     0.00    91.65    15.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         44   67   +8       4.18    66.48     3.70    69.74     1.79     8.03     0.00     0.00     8.35     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   63   +0       0.78    53.39    -3.55    65.81     1.74     0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      44   61   +4       1.89    57.99     4.92    63.19     1.74     3.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   59   +0      -1.94    42.47    -2.92    62.93     2.19    -0.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   58   -1       0.45    52.23     1.40    60.81     1.79    -0.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   58   -7       3.67    65.02     0.83    60.93     1.76    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   57   +0      -6.00    28.08    -4.45    59.69     1.72    -0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   44   54   -6      -6.63    25.40    -7.02    56.65     1.81    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   52   -4      -4.15    34.16     1.42    54.57     1.78    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   51   -3      -4.24    33.90     4.62    53.70     1.87    -3.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   51   -5      -6.79    24.78    -2.37    53.92     1.83    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   49   -3     -10.55    14.16    -3.01    52.05     1.83    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       44   49  -13      -0.07    50.44     3.60    50.88     1.62   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   49  -20      -2.32    41.52    -6.09    51.40     1.79   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          44   48  -11      -6.24    27.39    -0.37    50.89     1.80   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   39  -28      -7.72    21.33    -8.44    41.13     1.72   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Charlton        44   37  -38      -6.00    26.38   -12.45    38.69     1.62   -39.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          44   27  -40     -16.14     3.65   -13.53    28.65     1.65   -41.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Bradford 4 0 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            44   84  +36       1.26    54.41     2.37    87.70     1.81    37.36    95.48   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    44   81  +19      15.18    93.05    10.56    83.97     1.84    19.35     4.52    89.81   100.00    92.22P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   75  +20       3.17    61.90     2.75    78.23     1.82    20.69     0.00     1.42    99.73    31.68P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   75  +14      10.66    85.69     5.76    79.89     2.24    15.14     0.00     8.77    99.98    30.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         44   74  +12       9.47    82.64     5.31    77.10     1.84    12.53     0.00     0.00    98.95    21.52P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   70  +13       2.28    58.81     2.01    73.04     1.68    13.57     0.00     0.00    59.86    14.55P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       44   69  +17       2.12    58.09     7.13    71.60     1.83    16.81     0.00     0.00    29.08     6.87P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   68  +10       5.73    71.42     6.95    70.66     1.81     9.88     0.00     0.00    10.03     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   66   +9      -2.38    40.93    -3.04    68.93     1.84     9.28     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   65   +6       1.88    57.47     2.00    68.34     1.89     6.92     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        44   65   +4       4.80    68.49     4.01    67.54     1.81     3.72     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   63  +14      -2.21    41.52     6.55    65.93     1.85    14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   59   -4       3.80    65.00     3.31    61.60     1.83    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   57   +4      -7.33    23.94    -1.89    60.25     1.86     4.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   57  -15       6.73    75.17     0.38    59.47     1.81   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   55  -10      -6.95    24.92   -12.23    57.92     1.85    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   54   -9      -0.06    50.46    -0.69    56.12     1.73    -9.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     44   50  -13      -7.71    22.64    -8.86    52.76     1.80   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.07R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       43   50  -16      -2.23    41.84    -5.67    53.20     2.18   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.25R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   44   48   -4      -8.19    20.58     1.21    50.89     1.75    -3.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.79R    0.00  
Blackpool        44   46  -15      -7.14    23.95    -5.72    47.87     1.69   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.66R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   45  -14     -10.32    14.99    -6.98    47.82     1.83   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.23R    0.00  
Colchester       44   39  -41      -3.69    35.80   -10.10    40.73     1.69   -42.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            44   31  -37      -9.36    15.47    -5.14    33.06     1.73   -37.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          44   93  +33      19.00    96.85    12.38    96.00     1.87    33.37   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   81  +25      13.62    90.48    14.45    83.99     1.85    25.38     0.00    69.99   100.00    76.64P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   80  +38       3.70    63.87    14.44    83.31     1.85    38.83     0.00    69.73   100.00    79.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   79  +27       8.03    77.97    11.43    82.86     1.79    28.65     0.00    53.58   100.00    66.15P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   77  +21       5.94    72.05     5.34    80.43     1.82    21.98     0.00     6.38   100.00    32.36P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           43   72  +29       0.88    53.13    10.93    76.76     2.28    29.92     0.00     0.32   100.00    27.65P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   71  +14       8.71    80.42     8.99    75.42     2.27    14.45     0.00     0.00    98.52    17.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        44   66  +11       3.91    65.10     8.46    68.58     1.83    10.79     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   64   +5      -1.44    44.60    -2.81    66.51     1.80     4.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             44   64   +2       4.27    66.23     3.30    66.49     1.84     1.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            44   63   +9       4.57    67.63    11.50    65.47     1.82     8.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   63   +1       2.54    59.98     1.02    65.94     1.86     1.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                44   63   +1       0.45    51.87    -2.49    65.56     1.83     0.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        44   63   -3      -4.74    32.79   -14.02    66.20     1.85    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   59   -3       3.61    63.94     4.75    61.81     1.85    -2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           44   51  -16       1.82    58.19     0.37    52.77     1.66   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         44   48  -25      -6.46    27.16   -15.68    50.73     1.87   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   47  -27      -4.95    31.97   -14.60    49.85     1.87   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   46  -15     -11.29    13.35   -10.45    48.37     1.82   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               44   45  -16     -10.09    15.87    -9.62    47.45     1.80   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   44  -22      -7.65    22.95    -6.85    46.71     1.87   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       44   43  -19      -7.59    22.65    -5.20    45.36     1.80   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 44   33  -33     -13.71     7.59   -12.14    35.06     1.76   -34.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   18.35  
Dag_&_Red            44   31  -37     -14.32     6.35   -13.51    33.02     1.72   -38.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   81.65  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Aldershot 1 2 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       45   98  +55       5.96    72.61     8.99   100.27     1.13    56.43   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   86  +26       9.44    82.32     3.85    87.31     1.30    25.90     0.00   100.00    26.56P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   80  +38      -4.45    32.40     3.76    81.31     1.28    37.93     0.00   100.00    37.60P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   45   80  +23       8.55    79.72     8.44    81.43     1.32    23.10     0.00   100.00    17.33P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   45   78  +15      10.71    85.58     6.50    79.95     1.24    15.81     0.00    90.87    16.35P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         45   75  +16      -2.26    41.04    -6.80    76.41     1.30    16.07     0.00     6.70     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        45   75  +12       5.35    69.83     0.19    76.27     1.31    11.83     0.00     2.43     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   69  +17      -0.88    46.49     4.85    70.56     1.32    17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        45   67   -9       7.28    76.33    -5.62    68.28     1.31    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   65  +12      -3.10    38.18     2.42    66.53     1.31    12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           45   62   -9       8.29    79.12     4.51    63.19     1.29    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     45   61   +3      -0.53    48.16     3.90    61.54     0.99     1.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          45   60   -3       3.39    63.12     5.86    61.66     1.32    -2.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           45   58   +2      -7.87    22.44    -3.83    59.49     1.33     2.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        45   55  -12       3.79    65.69     3.62    56.51     1.30   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        45   53  -20      -0.36    49.33    -7.15    54.10     1.27   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   51   -6      -4.44    33.61     4.72    52.48     1.33    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          45   51  -21      -5.38    29.99   -12.57    52.43     1.31   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     45   47   -8      -5.65    29.28     3.72    48.38     1.27    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          45   47  -27      -6.12    27.44   -12.63    48.20     1.28   -27.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.70R    0.00  
Guiseley         45   46  -24       0.39    52.79     0.21    47.30     1.29   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.64R    0.00  
Altrincham       45   44  -22      -3.91    35.01    -0.36    44.79     1.11   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.66R    0.00  
Kidderminster    45   37  -23     -15.14     5.86    -8.85    38.21     1.27   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   13.76  
Welling          45   35  -35      -8.46    18.43    -7.73    36.32     1.26   -35.04     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.24