Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 23 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Aston_Villa 2 4 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        34   73  +26      20.11    99.03    16.81    78.45     2.57    25.94    76.35    98.70   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   68  +39       5.98    75.44    15.28    75.20     2.55    41.59    23.08    88.77    98.70    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   64  +32      -6.83    20.33    -4.72    69.27     2.26    33.69     0.04     3.28    37.25    84.51    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          34   63  +24       0.09    49.92    -0.83    71.01     2.32    28.18     0.53     9.20    61.42    93.87    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   59  +12       1.68    57.50    -3.63    66.27     2.55    14.65     0.00     0.06     2.59    19.78    92.81     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   56  +14       6.42    77.19     9.87    61.98     2.62    14.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.31    51.62     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        34   55  +13      -0.66    46.80    -0.89    61.73     2.63    14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63    49.97     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   54  +12      -1.66    42.45     0.71    58.00     2.18    11.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.46     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   47   +7     -13.24     6.22   -13.82    53.52     2.66     8.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   47  -14       5.27    73.73    -4.60    51.22     2.24   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   41   +5      -8.98    15.21     0.39    47.95     2.59     7.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   41   -7       2.55    62.53     5.13    46.75     2.55    -6.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -19       4.11    69.11     0.40    43.83     2.05   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          34   40  -11      -2.14    40.60    -4.27    43.81     2.44   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        34   40  -11       0.79    54.76    -0.37    44.21     2.47   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   39   -9      -1.58    43.31     1.80    42.68     2.17    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Norwich          34   31  -25      -2.89    37.18    -3.92    34.36     2.29   -28.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.90R    0.00  
Sunderland       33   30  -18      -4.39    29.80    -0.42    34.73     2.72   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.65R    0.00  
Newcastle        35   30  -26      -4.29    30.82    -2.86    33.56     2.16   -26.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.42R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      35   16  -44     -11.13     5.93   -10.10    18.44     1.91   -46.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Blackburn 2 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         44   87  +33       8.54    80.48     6.49    90.87     1.77    34.60    56.68    89.34   100.00    92.79P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   87  +32       9.34    83.28     7.17    90.26     1.81    32.72    29.36    70.65   100.00    80.14P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        44   87  +30      15.02    93.41    12.79    89.53     1.77    29.78    13.96    40.01   100.00    55.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            43   77  +29       1.18    54.56     4.66    83.16     2.12    31.97     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.95P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   77  +24       1.70    56.35     1.42    80.06     1.80    24.48     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   71  +19       5.44    70.79    10.72    73.89     1.82    19.24     0.00     0.00    91.52    15.40P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         44   67   +8       4.33    66.94     3.89    69.72     1.80     8.01     0.00     0.00     8.48     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   63   +0       0.98    54.33    -3.23    65.81     1.74     0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      44   61   +4       2.18    59.05     5.33    63.19     1.73     3.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   59   +0      -2.18    41.71    -3.28    62.95     2.21    -0.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   58   -1       0.57    52.73     1.55    60.78     1.79    -0.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   58   -7       3.73    65.26     0.97    60.95     1.77    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   57   +0      -6.21    27.46    -4.76    59.70     1.73    -0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   44   54   -6      -6.71    25.36    -7.15    56.64     1.81    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   52   -4      -4.22    33.84     1.29    54.58     1.77    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   51   -3      -4.07    34.33     4.85    53.69     1.87    -3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   51   -5      -6.77    24.98    -2.33    53.93     1.84    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   49   -3     -10.53    14.26    -3.03    52.05     1.84    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       44   49  -13      -0.10    50.37     3.58    50.89     1.63   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   49  -20      -2.08    42.37    -5.68    51.40     1.81   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          44   48  -11      -6.30    27.09    -0.55    50.91     1.81   -10.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   39  -28      -7.72    21.60    -8.47    41.13     1.73   -28.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Charlton        44   37  -38      -6.12    26.17   -12.67    38.69     1.62   -39.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          44   27  -40     -16.18     3.46   -13.56    28.64     1.64   -41.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Bradford 4 0 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            44   84  +36       1.33    54.53     2.45    87.70     1.81    37.37    95.26   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    44   81  +19      15.25    93.28    10.66    83.98     1.84    19.35     4.74    89.54   100.00    91.97P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   75  +20       3.51    63.15     3.23    78.20     1.82    20.64     0.00     1.42    99.79    31.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   75  +14      10.42    84.91     5.46    79.93     2.25    15.17     0.00     9.04    99.98    31.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         44   74  +12       9.39    82.31     5.20    77.10     1.83    12.53     0.00     0.00    98.91    21.81P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   70  +13       2.05    57.97     1.66    73.05     1.68    13.58     0.00     0.00    59.61    14.58P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       44   69  +17       2.02    57.63     7.04    71.61     1.83    16.84     0.00     0.00    29.21     6.99P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   68  +10       5.59    70.91     6.78    70.66     1.81     9.89     0.00     0.00    10.10     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   66   +9      -2.36    40.81    -3.08    68.93     1.84     9.29     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   65   +6       1.96    57.75     2.09    68.33     1.89     6.91     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        44   65   +4       4.96    69.23     4.24    67.51     1.81     3.69     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   63  +14      -2.26    41.31     6.51    65.91     1.85    14.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   59   -4       4.01    65.78     3.64    61.60     1.83    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   57   +4      -7.44    23.31    -2.12    60.25     1.86     4.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   57  -15       6.75    75.35     0.45    59.47     1.83   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   55  -10      -6.69    26.00   -11.82    57.91     1.85    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   54   -9      -0.12    50.02    -0.79    56.14     1.73    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     44   50  -13      -7.52    23.05    -8.55    52.76     1.80   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.14R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       43   50  -16      -2.23    41.70    -5.68    53.20     2.18   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.55R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   44   48   -4      -8.18    20.64     1.22    50.88     1.75    -3.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.87R    0.00  
Blackpool        44   46  -15      -7.32    23.28    -5.98    47.88     1.69   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.42R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   45  -14     -10.40    15.00    -7.09    47.82     1.83   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.02R    0.00  
Colchester       44   39  -41      -3.68    36.13   -10.17    40.73     1.68   -42.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            44   31  -37      -9.51    15.35    -5.37    33.07     1.74   -37.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          44   93  +33      18.92    96.95    12.26    95.99     1.86    33.36   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   81  +25      13.76    90.72    14.75    83.97     1.86    25.36     0.00    69.45   100.00    76.29P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   80  +38       3.58    63.43    14.20    83.32     1.85    38.84     0.00    69.86   100.00    79.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   79  +27       8.16    78.14    11.52    82.87     1.79    28.66     0.00    53.96   100.00    66.68P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   77  +21       5.80    71.31     5.16    80.42     1.82    21.97     0.00     6.40   100.00    32.31P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           43   72  +29       1.03    53.75    11.18    76.72     2.30    29.89     0.00     0.32   100.00    27.27P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   71  +14       8.62    80.07     8.84    75.43     2.28    14.46     0.00     0.00    98.52    17.58P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        44   66  +11       3.71    64.26     8.16    68.59     1.83    10.80     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   64   +5      -1.26    44.89    -2.62    66.52     1.80     4.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             44   64   +2       4.47    66.81     3.55    66.46     1.83     1.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            44   63   +9       4.59    67.52    11.54    65.46     1.82     8.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   63   +1       2.40    59.46     0.88    65.95     1.87     1.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                44   63   +1       0.28    51.34    -2.80    65.56     1.84     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        44   63   -3      -4.59    33.38   -13.75    66.18     1.85    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   59   -3       3.43    63.21     4.47    61.83     1.86    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           44   51  -16       1.75    57.75     0.24    52.79     1.66   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         44   48  -25      -6.56    26.98   -15.80    50.75     1.87   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   47  -27      -4.96    31.90   -14.52    49.83     1.86   -26.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   46  -15     -11.47    12.98   -10.70    48.38     1.82   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               44   45  -16     -10.11    15.83    -9.66    47.45     1.80   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   44  -22      -7.57    23.24    -6.75    46.71     1.86   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       44   43  -19      -7.60    22.33    -5.18    45.36     1.79   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 44   33  -33     -13.45     7.93   -11.71    35.06     1.76   -34.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   18.24  
Dag_&_Red            44   31  -37     -14.12     6.65   -13.26    33.02     1.72   -38.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   81.76  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2016, Aldershot 1 2 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       45   98  +55       6.09    73.41     9.24   100.26     1.14    56.42   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   86  +26       9.12    81.48     3.32    87.32     1.30    25.92     0.00   100.00    26.77P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   80  +38      -4.39    32.69     3.77    81.31     1.28    37.94     0.00   100.00    37.56P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   45   80  +23       8.61    80.03     8.51    81.43     1.31    23.08     0.00   100.00    17.62P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   45   78  +15      10.88    86.19     6.73    79.94     1.24    15.80     0.00    90.75    15.71P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         45   75  +16      -2.36    40.85    -6.92    76.40     1.29    16.06     0.00     6.78     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        45   75  +12       5.40    70.08     0.26    76.28     1.32    11.84     0.00     2.47     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   69  +17      -1.13    45.58     4.53    70.55     1.32    17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        45   67   -9       7.44    76.93    -5.34    68.26     1.31    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   65  +12      -3.28    37.15     2.18    66.54     1.31    12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           45   62   -9       8.05    78.33     4.13    63.20     1.29    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     45   61   +3      -0.45    48.59     3.96    61.55     0.99     1.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          45   60   -3       3.25    62.78     5.69    61.65     1.32    -2.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           45   58   +2      -7.50    23.63    -3.25    59.49     1.33     2.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        45   55  -12       4.18    67.18     4.19    56.50     1.30   -11.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        45   53  -20      -0.60    48.13    -7.50    54.11     1.27   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   51   -6      -4.68    32.63     4.33    52.50     1.33    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          45   51  -21      -5.49    29.62   -12.69    52.43     1.30   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood     45   47   -8      -5.38    30.22     4.13    48.37     1.27    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          45   47  -27      -6.00    27.65   -12.49    48.20     1.28   -27.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.78R    0.00  
Guiseley         45   46  -24       0.37    52.43     0.05    47.30     1.29   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.78R    0.00  
Altrincham       45   44  -22      -4.20    33.73    -0.81    44.80     1.12   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.44R    0.00  
Kidderminster    45   37  -23     -15.05     5.85    -8.67    38.22     1.27   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   13.56  
Welling          45   35  -35      -8.27    19.18    -7.35    36.31     1.26   -35.04     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.44