Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 22 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 21 April 2016, Arsenal 2 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 34 73 +26 19.89 98.98 16.46 78.51 2.57 26.02 76.35 98.79 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 34 68 +39 6.03 75.93 15.45 75.25 2.54 41.64 23.09 89.91 99.12 99.95 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 34 63 +24 0.05 49.65 -0.87 71.04 2.31 28.22 0.55 9.22 68.55 94.27 99.97 0.00 0.00 Man_City 34 61 +28 -6.71 20.77 -5.71 68.40 2.56 30.88 0.02 2.04 28.93 74.19 99.27 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 34 59 +12 1.71 57.80 -3.55 66.23 2.56 14.59 0.00 0.04 3.08 24.56 90.13 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 34 56 +14 6.42 76.95 9.89 61.97 2.61 14.73 0.00 0.00 0.06 2.02 43.48 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 33 54 +13 0.24 51.11 0.07 63.01 2.90 16.34 0.00 0.00 0.25 5.00 64.77 0.00 0.00 Southampton 34 51 +10 -2.27 39.69 0.23 56.97 2.51 10.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.30 0.00 0.00 Stoke 34 47 -10 5.02 72.68 -3.23 51.89 2.48 -10.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 33 44 +4 -13.58 5.25 -14.71 52.33 2.95 6.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 Everton 34 41 +5 -8.91 15.27 0.45 47.93 2.58 7.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 34 41 -7 2.42 61.97 4.80 46.74 2.54 -6.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 34 41 -16 4.24 69.75 1.12 44.75 2.40 -18.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 34 40 -11 -2.19 40.36 -4.38 43.83 2.45 -13.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 West_Brom 34 40 -11 0.74 54.36 -0.52 44.18 2.46 -12.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 35 39 -9 -1.58 43.33 1.80 42.69 2.17 -9.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Norwich 34 31 -25 -2.96 37.02 -4.06 34.33 2.29 -28.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.46R 0.00 Sunderland 33 30 -18 -4.12 30.93 -0.09 34.71 2.73 -21.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.53R 0.00 Newcastle 34 29 -26 -4.02 31.60 -3.26 33.11 2.42 -28.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.99R 0.00 Aston_Villa 34 16 -42 -10.58 6.66 -9.89 19.25 2.23 -45.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 22 April 2016, Preston 0 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 44 87 +33 9.00 81.51 7.11 90.85 1.77 34.56 47.50 90.36 100.00 93.55P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 43 86 +32 10.03 85.20 7.52 91.17 2.20 33.46 44.93 82.90 100.00 88.25P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 43 84 +28 14.63 93.25 12.54 88.23 2.19 28.26 7.50 24.93 100.00 42.92P 0.00 0.00 Hull 42 76 +29 1.79 56.97 5.04 84.31 2.44 33.08 0.07 1.81 100.00 34.87P 0.00 0.00 Derby 43 76 +24 2.29 59.15 1.62 80.86 2.23 25.09 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.03P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 43 70 +19 5.97 73.01 10.89 73.82 2.19 18.61 0.00 0.00 93.99 15.47P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 43 64 +7 3.19 63.08 3.59 68.79 2.18 8.04 0.00 0.00 5.98 0.91P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 43 62 +0 0.95 53.96 -3.72 65.61 2.07 -0.69 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 43 60 +4 2.06 58.76 4.68 63.40 2.17 3.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 44 58 -1 0.54 52.40 1.52 60.80 1.79 -0.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 43 57 -7 3.86 65.97 0.63 60.58 2.06 -7.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 43 56 +0 -5.68 28.97 -4.44 60.47 2.16 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 42 56 -3 -2.50 40.39 -4.30 61.25 2.58 -3.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 43 53 -6 -6.29 26.25 -6.97 57.58 2.24 -5.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 43 51 -4 -4.06 34.34 1.08 54.56 2.16 -4.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 43 50 -3 -3.83 35.34 4.72 54.27 2.30 -2.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 43 48 -3 -9.96 15.05 -2.66 52.87 2.26 -1.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 43 48 -7 -7.77 21.25 -3.47 52.04 2.25 -7.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 43 48 -9 -5.62 28.96 0.29 52.53 2.25 -8.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 43 48 -13 0.03 50.87 3.42 50.74 2.00 -15.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Bristol_City 43 48 -20 -1.80 43.46 -5.88 51.32 2.17 -21.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26R 0.00 MK_Dons 43 39 -25 -7.69 21.11 -7.59 42.49 2.18 -25.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.68R 0.00 Charlton 43 37 -36 -5.51 28.11 -11.87 39.70 2.03 -37.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Bolton 43 27 -39 -15.60 3.90 -13.74 29.35 1.98 -41.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Barnsley 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 43 81 +33 1.24 54.59 1.98 86.76 2.19 35.37 90.39 98.80 100.00 99.24P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 43 78 +16 15.17 93.50 9.80 82.58 2.27 16.71 6.20 57.65 100.00 67.43P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 42 75 +18 10.27 85.06 7.31 81.33 2.58 19.26 3.41 41.30 99.94 56.52P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 43 72 +18 2.76 60.62 2.54 76.84 2.26 19.02 0.00 1.87 94.10 28.97P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 43 71 +8 9.72 83.86 3.86 75.40 2.24 8.48 0.00 0.30 79.73 16.99P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 43 69 +18 3.43 63.13 8.07 73.57 2.26 18.73 0.00 0.06 63.05 15.47P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 43 69 +13 2.53 59.75 1.82 73.20 2.13 13.27 0.00 0.01 47.02 11.52P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 43 65 +9 1.91 57.79 2.89 69.70 2.32 9.90 0.00 0.00 6.25 1.38P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 43 65 +9 -1.92 42.29 -3.00 69.53 2.28 9.61 0.00 0.00 6.41 1.70P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 43 65 +8 4.75 68.47 5.92 68.74 2.22 7.39 0.00 0.00 2.32 0.47P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 43 63 +16 -1.59 43.84 7.52 67.39 2.29 16.42 0.00 0.00 1.15 0.32P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 43 62 +1 4.32 66.96 2.65 65.89 2.25 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Southend 43 59 -1 3.65 64.50 3.93 62.36 2.13 -2.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 43 57 +6 -6.58 26.10 -0.90 61.99 2.30 7.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 43 57 -13 7.11 76.60 0.84 60.54 2.21 -13.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swindon 43 52 -11 -7.95 21.76 -12.19 56.55 2.29 -10.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Oldham 43 51 -10 -1.34 45.08 -1.12 54.95 2.18 -10.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16R 0.00 Chesterfield 43 50 -12 -7.04 24.11 -8.86 53.92 2.23 -12.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.99R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 43 47 -4 -7.76 21.57 1.39 51.45 2.19 -3.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.48R 0.00 Shrewsbury 42 47 -17 -3.59 36.34 -6.37 51.00 2.49 -19.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.23R 0.00 Blackpool 43 45 -15 -6.92 24.64 -5.76 47.96 2.11 -16.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.98R 0.00 Doncaster 43 42 -16 -11.16 12.77 -7.80 46.09 2.25 -15.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.18R 0.00 Colchester 43 39 -38 -3.55 36.54 -9.36 41.80 2.11 -40.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.97R 0.62 Crewe 43 31 -36 -8.80 16.66 -5.18 34.01 2.12 -37.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.38League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Barnet 3 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 43 92 +33 19.51 97.41 12.60 96.69 2.29 33.82 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 43 78 +22 13.38 90.30 13.64 82.86 2.26 23.14 0.00 55.09 100.00 64.71P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 43 77 +36 3.15 61.98 13.95 82.31 2.24 37.74 0.00 57.11 100.00 70.79P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 43 77 +22 7.04 75.75 6.00 82.50 2.21 24.01 0.00 50.25 100.00 64.54P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 43 76 +25 7.48 76.64 10.95 81.48 2.24 27.00 0.00 37.12 100.00 53.89P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 42 69 +28 -0.37 48.37 10.52 75.27 2.64 29.14 0.00 0.42 97.10 26.85P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 42 68 +13 7.26 76.47 8.30 73.76 2.65 13.41 0.00 0.02 88.70 16.34P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 43 64 +6 -0.34 48.89 -2.23 67.71 2.20 5.53 0.00 0.00 3.81 0.86P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 43 63 +10 2.82 61.06 8.25 66.99 2.27 9.84 0.00 0.00 2.80 0.50P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 43 63 +3 2.82 61.20 1.42 67.04 2.26 2.92 0.00 0.00 1.70 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 43 63 -2 -4.00 34.97 -13.96 67.65 2.29 -1.24 0.00 0.00 3.84 0.92P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 43 62 +9 4.94 69.31 11.51 65.97 2.26 8.79 0.00 0.00 1.29 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Luton 43 62 +1 1.10 54.48 -2.03 66.22 2.25 1.12 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 43 61 +1 3.57 63.94 3.72 64.87 2.28 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 43 58 -3 3.67 64.51 4.28 62.04 2.27 -3.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 43 51 -14 2.29 59.79 1.08 53.53 2.01 -16.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 43 48 -24 -5.44 30.08 -15.23 52.08 2.30 -24.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 43 47 -26 -4.31 34.15 -14.47 51.21 2.32 -25.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 43 44 -16 -9.77 16.27 -9.64 47.48 2.20 -16.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 43 44 -19 -7.22 23.95 -5.58 48.07 2.30 -19.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 43 43 -18 -11.99 11.30 -12.11 46.76 2.27 -18.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 43 42 -19 -7.34 22.75 -5.28 45.39 2.20 -20.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 York 43 33 -30 -13.72 7.47 -11.35 35.99 2.16 -31.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.94R 3.16 Dag_&_Red 43 28 -38 -15.67 4.58 -14.36 30.74 2.06 -40.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 96.84National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Halifax 0 0 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 44 95 +54 4.89 68.91 8.73 98.93 1.73 55.83 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 44 86 +27 10.49 85.45 4.29 89.46 1.79 28.11 0.00 100.00 27.43P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 44 80 +39 -3.11 37.15 4.76 83.58 1.74 40.36 0.00 99.92 38.61P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 44 79 +23 9.02 81.20 8.58 82.01 1.86 23.40 0.00 99.44 16.02P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 44 75 +14 9.61 83.41 6.20 78.10 1.74 14.55 0.00 53.50 9.17P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 44 75 +13 6.46 74.16 0.82 77.67 1.86 12.88 0.00 36.35 6.04P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 44 72 +15 -3.43 36.39 -7.18 74.72 1.84 14.99 0.00 10.62 2.68P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 44 69 +18 -0.17 49.39 4.89 72.14 1.84 18.58 0.00 0.18 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 44 65 +13 -2.28 41.07 2.69 67.57 1.79 12.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 44 64 -11 6.78 75.21 -5.98 66.89 1.87 -10.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 44 61 +4 0.58 52.59 4.41 63.08 1.68 2.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 44 61 -9 8.67 80.35 4.48 63.28 1.81 -9.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 44 60 -1 3.85 64.69 6.43 62.82 1.85 -0.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 44 55 +1 -8.88 19.25 -3.82 57.72 1.88 0.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 44 53 -19 0.74 53.65 -6.57 55.70 1.83 -19.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 44 52 -13 2.71 61.67 3.50 54.63 1.81 -13.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 44 50 -21 -4.93 31.26 -12.51 53.07 1.86 -20.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 44 48 -7 -6.09 27.25 3.68 50.07 1.68 -8.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Guiseley 44 46 -23 0.86 54.62 -0.00 48.39 1.78 -23.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.68R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 44 44 -9 -6.57 25.80 3.79 46.95 1.80 -8.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.49R 0.00 Halifax 44 44 -28 -7.80 22.14 -13.56 45.88 1.68 -29.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.90R 0.00 Altrincham 44 41 -27 -3.69 35.88 -2.61 43.33 1.70 -27.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.94R 0.57 Kidderminster 44 36 -23 -14.87 5.78 -8.92 38.36 1.80 -23.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 30.27 Welling 44 35 -30 -9.13 16.29 -6.11 37.52 1.79 -30.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 69.16