Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 22 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 21 April 2016, Arsenal 2 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        34   73  +26      19.89    98.98    16.46    78.51     2.57    26.02    76.35    98.79   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   68  +39       6.03    75.93    15.45    75.25     2.54    41.64    23.09    89.91    99.12    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          34   63  +24       0.05    49.65    -0.87    71.04     2.31    28.22     0.55     9.22    68.55    94.27    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   61  +28      -6.71    20.77    -5.71    68.40     2.56    30.88     0.02     2.04    28.93    74.19    99.27     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   59  +12       1.71    57.80    -3.55    66.23     2.56    14.59     0.00     0.04     3.08    24.56    90.13     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   56  +14       6.42    76.95     9.89    61.97     2.61    14.73     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.02    43.48     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        33   54  +13       0.24    51.11     0.07    63.01     2.90    16.34     0.00     0.00     0.25     5.00    64.77     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   51  +10      -2.27    39.69     0.23    56.97     2.51    10.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.30     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   47  -10       5.02    72.68    -3.23    51.89     2.48   -10.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   44   +4     -13.58     5.25   -14.71    52.33     2.95     6.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   41   +5      -8.91    15.27     0.45    47.93     2.58     7.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   41   -7       2.42    61.97     4.80    46.74     2.54    -6.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      34   41  -16       4.24    69.75     1.12    44.75     2.40   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          34   40  -11      -2.19    40.36    -4.38    43.83     2.45   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        34   40  -11       0.74    54.36    -0.52    44.18     2.46   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   39   -9      -1.58    43.33     1.80    42.69     2.17    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          34   31  -25      -2.96    37.02    -4.06    34.33     2.29   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.46R    0.00  
Sunderland       33   30  -18      -4.12    30.93    -0.09    34.71     2.73   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.53R    0.00  
Newcastle        34   29  -26      -4.02    31.60    -3.26    33.11     2.42   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.99R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      34   16  -42     -10.58     6.66    -9.89    19.25     2.23   -45.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 22 April 2016, Preston 0 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         44   87  +33       9.00    81.51     7.11    90.85     1.77    34.56    47.50    90.36   100.00    93.55P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   43   86  +32      10.03    85.20     7.52    91.17     2.20    33.46    44.93    82.90   100.00    88.25P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        43   84  +28      14.63    93.25    12.54    88.23     2.19    28.26     7.50    24.93   100.00    42.92P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            42   76  +29       1.79    56.97     5.04    84.31     2.44    33.08     0.07     1.81   100.00    34.87P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   76  +24       2.29    59.15     1.62    80.86     2.23    25.09     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   70  +19       5.97    73.01    10.89    73.82     2.19    18.61     0.00     0.00    93.99    15.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         43   64   +7       3.19    63.08     3.59    68.79     2.18     8.04     0.00     0.00     5.98     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         43   62   +0       0.95    53.96    -3.72    65.61     2.07    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      43   60   +4       2.06    58.76     4.68    63.40     2.17     3.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   58   -1       0.54    52.40     1.52    60.80     1.79    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    43   57   -7       3.86    65.97     0.63    60.58     2.06    -7.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             43   56   +0      -5.68    28.97    -4.44    60.47     2.16     0.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   56   -3      -2.50    40.39    -4.30    61.25     2.58    -3.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   43   53   -6      -6.29    26.25    -6.97    57.58     2.24    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         43   51   -4      -4.06    34.34     1.08    54.56     2.16    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   50   -3      -3.83    35.34     4.72    54.27     2.30    -2.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       43   48   -3      -9.96    15.05    -2.66    52.87     2.26    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   43   48   -7      -7.77    21.25    -3.47    52.04     2.25    -7.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          43   48   -9      -5.62    28.96     0.29    52.53     2.25    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       43   48  -13       0.03    50.87     3.42    50.74     2.00   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_City    43   48  -20      -1.80    43.46    -5.88    51.32     2.17   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
MK_Dons         43   39  -25      -7.69    21.11    -7.59    42.49     2.18   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.68R    0.00  
Charlton        43   37  -36      -5.51    28.11   -11.87    39.70     2.03   -37.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          43   27  -39     -15.60     3.90   -13.74    29.35     1.98   -41.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Barnsley 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            43   81  +33       1.24    54.59     1.98    86.76     2.19    35.37    90.39    98.80   100.00    99.24P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    43   78  +16      15.17    93.50     9.80    82.58     2.27    16.71     6.20    57.65   100.00    67.43P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   75  +18      10.27    85.06     7.31    81.33     2.58    19.26     3.41    41.30    99.94    56.52P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   72  +18       2.76    60.62     2.54    76.84     2.26    19.02     0.00     1.87    94.10    28.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         43   71   +8       9.72    83.86     3.86    75.40     2.24     8.48     0.00     0.30    79.73    16.99P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       43   69  +18       3.43    63.13     8.07    73.57     2.26    18.73     0.00     0.06    63.05    15.47P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         43   69  +13       2.53    59.75     1.82    73.20     2.13    13.27     0.00     0.01    47.02    11.52P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   65   +9       1.91    57.79     2.89    69.70     2.32     9.90     0.00     0.00     6.25     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   65   +9      -1.92    42.29    -3.00    69.53     2.28     9.61     0.00     0.00     6.41     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   65   +8       4.75    68.47     5.92    68.74     2.22     7.39     0.00     0.00     2.32     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   63  +16      -1.59    43.84     7.52    67.39     2.29    16.42     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        43   62   +1       4.32    66.96     2.65    65.89     2.25     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   59   -1       3.65    64.50     3.93    62.36     2.13    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   57   +6      -6.58    26.10    -0.90    61.99     2.30     7.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             43   57  -13       7.11    76.60     0.84    60.54     2.21   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   52  -11      -7.95    21.76   -12.19    56.55     2.29   -10.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Oldham           43   51  -10      -1.34    45.08    -1.12    54.95     2.18   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Chesterfield     43   50  -12      -7.04    24.11    -8.86    53.92     2.23   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   43   47   -4      -7.76    21.57     1.39    51.45     2.19    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.48R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   47  -17      -3.59    36.34    -6.37    51.00     2.49   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.23R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   45  -15      -6.92    24.64    -5.76    47.96     2.11   -16.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.98R    0.00  
Doncaster        43   42  -16     -11.16    12.77    -7.80    46.09     2.25   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.18R    0.00  
Colchester       43   39  -38      -3.55    36.54    -9.36    41.80     2.11   -40.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R    0.62  
Crewe            43   31  -36      -8.80    16.66    -5.18    34.01     2.12   -37.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.38  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Barnet 3 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          43   92  +33      19.51    97.41    12.60    96.69     2.29    33.82   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   78  +22      13.38    90.30    13.64    82.86     2.26    23.14     0.00    55.09   100.00    64.71P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   77  +36       3.15    61.98    13.95    82.31     2.24    37.74     0.00    57.11   100.00    70.79P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             43   77  +22       7.04    75.75     6.00    82.50     2.21    24.01     0.00    50.25   100.00    64.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   76  +25       7.48    76.64    10.95    81.48     2.24    27.00     0.00    37.12   100.00    53.89P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           42   69  +28      -0.37    48.37    10.52    75.27     2.64    29.14     0.00     0.42    97.10    26.85P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   68  +13       7.26    76.47     8.30    73.76     2.65    13.41     0.00     0.02    88.70    16.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   64   +6      -0.34    48.89    -2.23    67.71     2.20     5.53     0.00     0.00     3.81     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        43   63  +10       2.82    61.06     8.25    66.99     2.27     9.84     0.00     0.00     2.80     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               43   63   +3       2.82    61.20     1.42    67.04     2.26     2.92     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        43   63   -2      -4.00    34.97   -13.96    67.65     2.29    -1.24     0.00     0.00     3.84     0.92P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            43   62   +9       4.94    69.31    11.51    65.97     2.26     8.79     0.00     0.00     1.29     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                43   62   +1       1.10    54.48    -2.03    66.22     2.25     1.12     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             43   61   +1       3.57    63.94     3.72    64.87     2.28     0.61     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               43   58   -3       3.67    64.51     4.28    62.04     2.27    -3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           43   51  -14       2.29    59.79     1.08    53.53     2.01   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         43   48  -24      -5.44    30.08   -15.23    52.08     2.30   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         43   47  -26      -4.31    34.15   -14.47    51.21     2.32   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               43   44  -16      -9.77    16.27    -9.64    47.48     2.20   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   44  -19      -7.22    23.95    -5.58    48.07     2.30   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            43   43  -18     -11.99    11.30   -12.11    46.76     2.27   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       43   42  -19      -7.34    22.75    -5.28    45.39     2.20   -20.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
York                 43   33  -30     -13.72     7.47   -11.35    35.99     2.16   -31.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R    3.16  
Dag_&_Red            43   28  -38     -15.67     4.58   -14.36    30.74     2.06   -40.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.84  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Halifax 0 0 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       44   95  +54       4.89    68.91     8.73    98.93     1.73    55.83   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     44   86  +27      10.49    85.45     4.29    89.46     1.79    28.11     0.00   100.00    27.43P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   80  +39      -3.11    37.15     4.76    83.58     1.74    40.36     0.00    99.92    38.61P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   44   79  +23       9.02    81.20     8.58    82.01     1.86    23.40     0.00    99.44    16.02P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   44   75  +14       9.61    83.41     6.20    78.10     1.74    14.55     0.00    53.50     9.17P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        44   75  +13       6.46    74.16     0.82    77.67     1.86    12.88     0.00    36.35     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +15      -3.43    36.39    -7.18    74.72     1.84    14.99     0.00    10.62     2.68P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          44   69  +18      -0.17    49.39     4.89    72.14     1.84    18.58     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     44   65  +13      -2.28    41.07     2.69    67.57     1.79    12.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        44   64  -11       6.78    75.21    -5.98    66.89     1.87   -10.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     44   61   +4       0.58    52.59     4.41    63.08     1.68     2.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           44   61   -9       8.67    80.35     4.48    63.28     1.81    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          44   60   -1       3.85    64.69     6.43    62.82     1.85    -0.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           44   55   +1      -8.88    19.25    -3.82    57.72     1.88     0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        44   53  -19       0.74    53.65    -6.57    55.70     1.83   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        44   52  -13       2.71    61.67     3.50    54.63     1.81   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          44   50  -21      -4.93    31.26   -12.51    53.07     1.86   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   48   -7      -6.09    27.25     3.68    50.07     1.68    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         44   46  -23       0.86    54.62    -0.00    48.39     1.78   -23.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     44   44   -9      -6.57    25.80     3.79    46.95     1.80    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.49R    0.00  
Halifax          44   44  -28      -7.80    22.14   -13.56    45.88     1.68   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.90R    0.00  
Altrincham       44   41  -27      -3.69    35.88    -2.61    43.33     1.70   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.94R    0.57  
Kidderminster    44   36  -23     -14.87     5.78    -8.92    38.36     1.80   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   30.27  
Welling          44   35  -30      -9.13    16.29    -6.11    37.52     1.79   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   69.16