Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 21 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 21 April 2016, Arsenal 2 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        34   73  +26      20.18    99.09    16.92    78.49     2.57    26.00    76.18    98.79   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   68  +39       5.97    75.57    15.32    75.27     2.55    41.66    23.28    89.99    99.08    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          34   63  +24       0.11    49.88    -0.81    71.04     2.32    28.18     0.51     9.13    68.43    94.31    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   61  +28      -6.78    20.38    -5.80    68.39     2.56    30.87     0.03     2.03    28.77    73.97    99.29     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   59  +12       1.55    56.89    -3.77    66.26     2.56    14.63     0.00     0.06     3.41    24.99    90.02     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   56  +14       6.41    77.07     9.86    61.97     2.61    14.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.99    43.30     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        33   54  +13       0.15    50.68    -0.13    63.01     2.91    16.36     0.00     0.00     0.25     4.81    65.01     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   51  +10      -2.12    40.33     0.44    56.96     2.52    10.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.35     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   47  -10       4.99    72.75    -3.30    51.88     2.47   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   44   +4     -13.45     5.56   -14.60    52.28     2.97     6.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   41   +5      -8.95    15.32     0.39    47.94     2.59     7.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   41   -7       2.31    61.21     4.74    46.74     2.55    -6.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      34   41  -16       4.25    69.90     1.07    44.76     2.38   -18.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          34   40  -11      -2.06    40.88    -4.20    43.81     2.44   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        34   40  -11       0.69    54.26    -0.57    44.19     2.47   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   39   -9      -1.51    43.42     1.86    42.68     2.17    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Norwich          34   31  -25      -2.99    36.83    -4.02    34.33     2.28   -28.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.39R    0.00  
Sunderland       33   30  -18      -4.21    30.63    -0.12    34.73     2.75   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.31R    0.00  
Newcastle        34   29  -26      -4.05    31.48    -3.30    33.09     2.43   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.27R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      34   16  -42     -10.60     6.62    -9.99    19.26     2.22   -45.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Birmingham 2 2 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   43   86  +32       9.79    84.57     7.18    91.18     2.21    33.47    58.86    86.60   100.00    90.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         43   84  +32       7.48    77.54     6.27    89.43     2.19    33.86    29.10    74.15   100.00    82.39P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        43   84  +28      14.72    93.39    12.72    88.23     2.19    28.26    11.82    34.75   100.00    50.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            42   76  +29       1.95    57.67     5.26    84.28     2.46    33.05     0.22     4.48   100.00    36.65P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   76  +24       2.26    58.85     1.60    80.85     2.23    25.09     0.00     0.03   100.00    23.76P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   70  +19       5.78    72.22    10.69    73.83     2.19    18.62     0.00     0.00    94.31    15.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         43   64   +7       3.30    63.42     3.79    68.77     2.18     8.02     0.00     0.00     5.64     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         43   62   +0       0.79    53.40    -3.98    65.60     2.06    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      43   60   +4       2.12    58.93     4.77    63.41     2.17     3.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   58   +0       1.10    55.03     1.51    61.97     2.19    -0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    43   57   -7       3.93    66.05     0.69    60.56     2.07    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             43   56   +0      -5.76    28.98    -4.55    60.47     2.17     0.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   56   -3      -2.24    41.54    -3.89    61.24     2.57    -3.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   43   53   -6      -6.22    26.45    -6.94    57.60     2.24    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         43   51   -4      -3.74    35.42     1.50    54.54     2.18    -4.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   50   -3      -3.74    35.65     4.83    54.28     2.30    -2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       43   48   -3     -10.01    14.98    -2.79    52.89     2.26    -1.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   43   48   -7      -7.69    21.62    -3.43    52.02     2.25    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          43   48   -9      -5.63    28.93     0.35    52.52     2.25    -8.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       43   48  -13       0.01    51.04     3.42    50.74     2.01   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Bristol_City    43   48  -20      -1.71    44.02    -5.67    51.32     2.17   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
MK_Dons         43   39  -25      -7.70    21.19    -7.66    42.52     2.18   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.62R    0.00  
Charlton        43   37  -36      -5.62    27.51   -12.08    39.70     2.03   -37.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          43   27  -39     -15.51     3.96   -13.60    29.36     1.98   -41.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Barnsley 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            43   81  +33       1.10    53.78     1.79    86.77     2.17    35.38    90.42    98.72   100.00    99.25P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    43   78  +16      15.20    93.41     9.85    82.57     2.28    16.70     6.15    57.58   100.00    67.18P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   75  +18      10.43    85.40     7.56    81.31     2.59    19.22     3.43    41.34    99.94    56.23P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   72  +18       2.65    59.96     2.39    76.81     2.27    19.00     0.00     1.97    93.87    29.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         43   71   +8       9.22    82.73     3.20    75.44     2.24     8.51     0.00     0.31    80.45    17.33P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       43   69  +18       3.54    63.94     8.25    73.59     2.25    18.75     0.00     0.08    63.32    15.21P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         43   69  +13       2.57    59.91     1.85    73.17     2.14    13.22     0.00     0.00    46.29    11.49P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   65   +9       1.76    57.05     2.74    69.70     2.32     9.91     0.00     0.00     6.10     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   65   +9      -1.81    43.00    -2.82    69.53     2.28     9.60     0.00     0.00     6.47     1.68P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   65   +8       4.75    68.53     5.92    68.73     2.23     7.39     0.00     0.00     2.41     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   63  +16      -1.61    43.78     7.44    67.39     2.28    16.42     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        43   62   +1       4.54    68.00     2.94    65.91     2.26     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   59   -1       3.57    64.14     3.78    62.36     2.12    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   57   +6      -6.87    25.07    -1.31    62.01     2.30     7.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             43   57  -13       7.28    77.04     1.10    60.55     2.23   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   52  -11      -7.65    22.74   -11.73    56.53     2.29   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Oldham           43   51  -10      -1.38    44.98    -1.19    54.97     2.18   -10.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Chesterfield     43   50  -12      -6.84    25.23    -8.54    53.91     2.24   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.97R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   43   47   -4      -7.72    21.95     1.52    51.45     2.20    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.61R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   47  -17      -3.44    36.84    -6.16    50.97     2.49   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.87R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   45  -15      -7.24    23.47    -6.19    47.97     2.10   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.48R    0.00  
Doncaster        43   42  -16     -11.19    12.54    -7.89    46.10     2.25   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.87R    0.00  
Colchester       43   39  -38      -3.60    36.52    -9.51    41.82     2.11   -40.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R    0.54  
Crewe            43   31  -36      -8.62    17.45    -5.00    34.01     2.12   -37.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.46  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Barnet 3 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          43   92  +33      19.38    97.23    12.45    96.69     2.28    33.84   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   78  +22      13.37    90.25    13.65    82.84     2.28    23.11     0.00    54.63   100.00    64.16P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   77  +36       2.95    61.10    13.67    82.30     2.25    37.75     0.00    57.41   100.00    70.98P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             43   77  +22       7.33    76.62     6.38    82.47     2.22    23.96     0.00    49.95   100.00    64.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   76  +25       7.33    76.02    10.75    81.50     2.24    27.02     0.00    37.58   100.00    54.31P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           42   69  +28      -0.10    49.26    10.96    75.23     2.63    29.09     0.00     0.40    96.77    27.03P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   68  +13       7.35    76.68     8.47    73.76     2.65    13.41     0.00     0.02    88.90    16.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   64   +6      -0.41    48.42    -2.30    67.72     2.21     5.52     0.00     0.00     4.03     0.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        43   63  +10       2.98    61.50     8.49    66.98     2.27     9.84     0.00     0.00     2.92     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               43   63   +3       3.08    62.23     1.77    67.01     2.26     2.84     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        43   63   -2      -3.64    36.43   -13.46    67.61     2.29    -1.27     0.00     0.00     3.78     0.89P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            43   62   +9       4.88    68.92    11.40    66.00     2.27     8.83     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                43   62   +1       0.81    53.24    -2.44    66.25     2.26     1.17     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             43   61   +1       3.39    63.29     3.42    64.88     2.27     0.61     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               43   58   -3       3.68    64.71     4.28    62.05     2.28    -3.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           43   51  -14       2.15    59.66     0.84    53.56     2.03   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         43   48  -24      -5.49    29.95   -15.34    52.09     2.31   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         43   47  -26      -4.22    34.62   -14.37    51.19     2.29   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               43   44  -16      -9.60    16.80    -9.45    47.47     2.20   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   44  -19      -7.31    23.88    -5.69    48.11     2.31   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            43   43  -18     -12.02    11.55   -12.16    46.73     2.28   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       43   42  -19      -7.46    22.36    -5.47    45.40     2.19   -20.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
York                 43   33  -30     -13.75     7.46   -11.30    36.01     2.16   -31.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R    3.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   28  -38     -15.86     4.20   -14.55    30.75     2.05   -40.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Halifax 0 0 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       44   95  +54       4.94    69.18     8.84    98.94     1.73    55.83   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     44   86  +27      10.42    85.32     4.27    89.44     1.79    28.11     0.00   100.00    27.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   80  +39      -3.17    36.86     4.62    83.58     1.74    40.37     0.00    99.94    38.85P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   44   79  +23       9.02    81.14     8.59    82.03     1.87    23.41     0.00    99.38    15.76P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   44   75  +14       9.41    83.02     5.95    78.12     1.74    14.57     0.00    53.91     9.23P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        44   75  +13       6.52    73.88     0.93    77.66     1.86    12.88     0.00    36.01     6.15P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +15      -3.60    36.03    -7.42    74.73     1.84    15.01     0.00    10.63     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          44   69  +18       0.14    50.66     5.36    72.12     1.85    18.55     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     44   65  +13      -2.35    40.76     2.64    67.57     1.79    12.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        44   64  -11       6.77    75.23    -5.89    66.88     1.88   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     44   61   +4       0.23    51.41     3.93    63.06     1.68     2.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           44   61   -9       8.27    79.13     3.91    63.30     1.82    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          44   60   -1       3.85    64.75     6.41    62.82     1.85    -0.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           44   55   +1      -8.76    19.44    -3.70    57.74     1.88     0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        44   53  -19       0.68    53.45    -6.71    55.72     1.82   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        44   52  -13       2.72    61.94     3.49    54.62     1.82   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          44   50  -21      -5.06    30.88   -12.66    53.07     1.87   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   48   -7      -5.63    29.20     4.35    50.06     1.68    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         44   46  -23       1.11    55.39     0.39    48.37     1.78   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     44   44   -9      -6.74    25.05     3.63    46.97     1.81    -8.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.44R    0.00  
Halifax          44   44  -28      -7.69    21.79   -13.47    45.87     1.68   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.66R    0.00  
Altrincham       44   41  -27      -3.73    35.26    -2.72    43.33     1.71   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.18R    0.52  
Kidderminster    44   36  -23     -14.86     5.95    -8.90    38.36     1.80   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   30.48  
Welling          44   35  -30      -8.90    16.90    -5.82    37.52     1.78   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   69.00