Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 20 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 20 April 2016, Liverpool 4 0 Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 34 73 +26 19.98 99.02 16.65 78.49 2.58 25.99 76.60 99.12 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 34 68 +39 5.95 75.55 15.28 75.24 2.55 41.63 23.05 91.85 99.26 99.94 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 34 61 +28 -6.78 20.42 -5.79 68.42 2.57 30.92 0.03 2.16 36.18 75.67 99.24 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 33 60 +22 -0.41 47.83 -1.14 70.15 2.62 27.32 0.32 6.76 58.75 88.70 99.81 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 34 59 +12 1.58 57.12 -3.73 66.27 2.56 14.63 0.00 0.11 5.12 27.75 90.22 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 34 56 +14 6.41 76.99 9.87 61.96 2.64 14.72 0.00 0.00 0.12 2.39 43.93 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 33 54 +13 0.36 51.63 0.22 62.96 2.92 16.27 0.00 0.00 0.56 5.55 64.28 0.00 0.00 Southampton 34 51 +10 -2.19 40.09 0.35 56.95 2.52 10.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.45 0.00 0.00 Stoke 34 47 -10 5.05 72.89 -3.24 51.91 2.48 -10.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 33 44 +4 -13.48 5.41 -14.53 52.33 2.96 6.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.00 Everton 34 41 +5 -8.95 15.15 0.41 47.92 2.58 7.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 34 41 -7 2.36 61.55 4.82 46.75 2.55 -6.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Bournemouth 34 41 -16 4.27 69.96 1.11 44.73 2.39 -18.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 33 40 -9 1.03 55.88 -0.10 44.86 2.69 -12.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 34 40 -11 -2.13 40.71 -4.30 43.83 2.45 -13.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 35 39 -9 -1.63 43.05 1.68 42.70 2.17 -9.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Norwich 34 31 -25 -2.84 37.47 -3.94 34.35 2.30 -28.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.19R 0.00 Sunderland 33 30 -18 -4.08 31.02 -0.01 34.71 2.72 -21.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.52R 0.00 Newcastle 34 29 -26 -4.18 30.84 -3.50 33.09 2.42 -28.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.26R 0.00 Aston_Villa 34 16 -42 -10.65 6.46 -10.10 19.26 2.23 -45.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Birmingham 2 2 Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Middlesbrough 43 86 +32 10.12 85.40 7.67 91.17 2.21 33.46 58.81 86.19 100.00 90.53P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 43 84 +32 7.61 78.12 6.43 89.43 2.20 33.86 29.06 74.14 100.00 82.24P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 43 84 +28 14.61 93.29 12.59 88.24 2.19 28.27 11.88 35.05 100.00 50.65P 0.00 0.00 Hull 42 76 +29 1.90 57.46 5.17 84.30 2.45 33.08 0.25 4.59 100.00 36.54P 0.00 0.00 Derby 43 76 +24 2.28 58.93 1.71 80.87 2.21 25.12 0.00 0.03 100.00 23.90P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 43 70 +19 5.75 72.12 10.60 73.82 2.18 18.62 0.00 0.00 94.33 15.24P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 43 64 +7 3.33 63.54 3.83 68.77 2.18 8.01 0.00 0.00 5.61 0.88P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 43 62 +0 0.90 53.84 -3.76 65.59 2.08 -0.71 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 43 60 +4 2.14 58.90 4.76 63.41 2.18 3.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 43 58 +0 1.29 55.69 1.73 61.94 2.18 -0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 43 57 -7 3.82 66.04 0.53 60.57 2.05 -7.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 43 56 +0 -5.57 29.39 -4.34 60.45 2.17 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 42 56 -3 -2.45 40.73 -4.16 61.25 2.57 -3.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 43 53 -6 -6.21 26.71 -6.89 57.57 2.24 -5.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 43 51 -4 -3.85 35.01 1.34 54.57 2.17 -4.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 43 50 -3 -3.92 34.77 4.69 54.26 2.30 -2.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 43 48 -3 -9.92 15.44 -2.61 52.86 2.26 -1.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 43 48 -7 -7.58 21.58 -3.28 52.02 2.25 -7.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fulham 43 48 -9 -5.74 28.47 0.11 52.55 2.24 -8.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 43 48 -13 -0.10 50.48 3.26 50.75 2.01 -15.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Bristol_City 43 48 -20 -2.06 42.31 -6.27 51.34 2.18 -21.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23R 0.00 MK_Dons 43 39 -25 -7.58 21.64 -7.48 42.50 2.18 -25.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.71R 0.00 Charlton 43 37 -36 -5.46 28.00 -11.80 39.69 2.04 -37.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Bolton 43 27 -39 -15.61 3.89 -13.82 29.35 1.98 -41.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Barnsley 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 43 81 +33 0.98 53.52 1.60 86.78 2.19 35.40 90.36 98.65 100.00 99.22P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 43 78 +16 15.00 93.16 9.53 82.60 2.27 16.74 6.16 57.78 100.00 67.52P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 42 75 +18 10.04 84.44 6.97 81.36 2.58 19.29 3.49 41.41 99.90 56.84P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 43 72 +18 2.74 60.64 2.55 76.80 2.26 18.98 0.00 1.73 93.87 29.06P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 43 71 +8 9.40 83.14 3.52 75.42 2.23 8.49 0.00 0.33 80.08 16.90P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 43 69 +18 3.51 63.57 8.22 73.57 2.26 18.71 0.00 0.09 63.03 15.09P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 43 69 +13 2.45 59.43 1.70 73.21 2.13 13.28 0.00 0.01 47.14 11.62P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 43 65 +9 2.12 58.43 3.19 69.67 2.32 9.87 0.00 0.00 6.08 1.42P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 43 65 +9 -1.78 42.94 -2.78 69.50 2.28 9.57 0.00 0.00 6.31 1.63P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 43 65 +8 4.92 69.00 6.11 68.74 2.24 7.41 0.00 0.00 2.42 0.44P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 43 63 +16 -1.88 42.93 7.06 67.38 2.27 16.42 0.00 0.00 1.15 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 43 62 +1 4.57 67.96 2.96 65.88 2.25 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Southend 43 59 -1 3.57 63.95 3.77 62.34 2.13 -2.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 43 57 +6 -6.70 25.51 -1.04 61.98 2.30 7.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 43 57 -13 7.06 76.03 0.74 60.58 2.23 -13.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swindon 43 52 -11 -7.92 21.47 -12.19 56.59 2.29 -10.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Oldham 43 51 -10 -1.25 45.44 -1.04 54.96 2.17 -10.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18R 0.00 Chesterfield 43 50 -12 -6.75 25.45 -8.44 53.89 2.22 -12.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.07R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 43 47 -4 -7.64 22.03 1.59 51.44 2.17 -3.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.35R 0.00 Shrewsbury 42 47 -17 -3.51 36.77 -6.30 50.98 2.49 -19.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.36R 0.00 Blackpool 43 45 -15 -6.88 24.58 -5.72 47.96 2.11 -16.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.89R 0.00 Doncaster 43 42 -16 -11.37 12.20 -8.08 46.10 2.23 -15.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.17R 0.00 Colchester 43 39 -38 -3.29 37.41 -8.89 41.81 2.12 -40.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.96R 0.54 Crewe 43 31 -36 -8.69 17.20 -5.04 33.99 2.11 -37.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.46League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Barnet 3 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 43 92 +33 19.45 97.49 12.54 96.67 2.29 33.80 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 43 78 +22 13.48 90.56 13.84 82.86 2.27 23.15 0.00 54.99 100.00 64.43P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 43 77 +36 3.05 61.68 13.83 82.32 2.23 37.77 0.00 57.53 100.00 71.14P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 43 77 +22 7.18 76.24 6.18 82.50 2.21 23.99 0.00 49.92 100.00 64.27P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 43 76 +25 7.53 76.89 11.05 81.49 2.25 27.02 0.00 37.12 100.00 53.89P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 42 69 +28 -0.32 48.61 10.62 75.27 2.64 29.14 0.00 0.41 97.08 27.05P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 42 68 +13 7.39 77.06 8.42 73.75 2.64 13.40 0.00 0.03 89.03 16.36P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 43 64 +6 -0.27 48.92 -2.10 67.70 2.20 5.51 0.00 0.00 3.80 0.88P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 43 63 +10 2.67 60.73 8.02 67.01 2.27 9.88 0.00 0.00 2.89 0.53P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 43 63 +3 3.10 62.03 1.83 67.01 2.26 2.85 0.00 0.00 1.61 0.24P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 43 63 -2 -3.76 35.87 -13.65 67.61 2.28 -1.28 0.00 0.00 3.73 0.89P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 43 62 +9 5.07 69.50 11.62 65.96 2.27 8.78 0.00 0.00 1.15 0.19P 0.00 0.00 Luton 43 62 +1 0.98 54.00 -2.20 66.24 2.25 1.15 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 43 61 +1 3.38 63.45 3.47 64.87 2.28 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 43 58 -3 3.61 64.00 4.22 62.07 2.29 -3.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 43 51 -14 2.14 59.44 0.82 53.54 2.02 -16.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 43 48 -24 -5.85 28.94 -15.85 52.09 2.30 -24.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 43 47 -26 -4.10 34.65 -14.23 51.21 2.30 -25.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 43 44 -16 -9.95 16.23 -9.91 47.50 2.20 -16.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 43 44 -19 -7.23 24.13 -5.60 48.11 2.31 -19.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 43 43 -18 -11.84 11.86 -11.90 46.73 2.26 -18.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 43 42 -19 -7.45 22.56 -5.48 45.41 2.19 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 York 43 33 -30 -13.73 7.52 -11.35 36.00 2.16 -31.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.97R 3.16 Dag_&_Red 43 28 -38 -15.59 4.49 -14.19 30.73 2.04 -40.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 96.84National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Halifax 0 0 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 44 95 +54 4.80 68.56 8.57 98.95 1.73 55.85 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 44 86 +27 10.44 85.22 4.27 89.47 1.79 28.14 0.00 100.00 27.33P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 44 80 +39 -2.88 37.88 5.08 83.56 1.75 40.33 0.00 99.92 38.62P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 44 79 +23 9.08 81.40 8.71 82.02 1.87 23.40 0.00 99.41 16.16P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 44 75 +14 9.52 83.11 6.06 78.10 1.75 14.55 0.00 53.59 9.05P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 44 75 +13 6.41 73.32 0.74 77.66 1.86 12.87 0.00 36.01 6.08P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 44 72 +15 -3.39 36.71 -7.14 74.74 1.85 15.02 0.00 10.89 2.73P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 44 69 +18 -0.11 49.58 5.07 72.16 1.85 18.60 0.00 0.17 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 44 65 +13 -2.11 41.53 3.01 67.58 1.79 12.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 44 64 -11 6.60 74.47 -6.17 66.88 1.87 -10.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 44 61 +4 0.43 51.99 4.21 63.07 1.67 2.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 44 61 -9 8.58 79.96 4.30 63.28 1.82 -9.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 44 60 -1 3.70 64.07 6.18 62.83 1.85 -0.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 44 55 +1 -8.93 19.15 -3.92 57.73 1.88 0.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 44 53 -19 0.78 53.73 -6.60 55.69 1.83 -19.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 44 52 -13 2.37 60.52 2.99 54.64 1.82 -13.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 44 50 -21 -4.85 31.78 -12.31 53.07 1.86 -20.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 44 48 -7 -6.10 27.46 3.59 50.08 1.68 -8.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Guiseley 44 46 -23 1.05 55.41 0.32 48.37 1.78 -23.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.69R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 44 44 -9 -6.71 25.20 3.62 46.96 1.82 -8.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.35R 0.00 Halifax 44 44 -28 -7.63 22.36 -13.37 45.85 1.67 -29.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.68R 0.00 Altrincham 44 41 -27 -3.48 36.45 -2.26 43.31 1.70 -27.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.28R 0.58 Kidderminster 44 36 -23 -14.94 5.72 -9.05 38.35 1.80 -23.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 30.48 Welling 44 35 -30 -8.99 16.51 -5.88 37.53 1.78 -30.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 68.94