Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 20 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 20 April 2016, Liverpool 4 0 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        34   73  +26      19.98    99.02    16.65    78.49     2.58    25.99    76.60    99.12   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   68  +39       5.95    75.55    15.28    75.24     2.55    41.63    23.05    91.85    99.26    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   61  +28      -6.78    20.42    -5.79    68.42     2.57    30.92     0.03     2.16    36.18    75.67    99.24     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   60  +22      -0.41    47.83    -1.14    70.15     2.62    27.32     0.32     6.76    58.75    88.70    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   59  +12       1.58    57.12    -3.73    66.27     2.56    14.63     0.00     0.11     5.12    27.75    90.22     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   56  +14       6.41    76.99     9.87    61.96     2.64    14.72     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.39    43.93     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        33   54  +13       0.36    51.63     0.22    62.96     2.92    16.27     0.00     0.00     0.56     5.55    64.28     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   51  +10      -2.19    40.09     0.35    56.95     2.52    10.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.45     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   47  -10       5.05    72.89    -3.24    51.91     2.48   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   44   +4     -13.48     5.41   -14.53    52.33     2.96     6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   41   +5      -8.95    15.15     0.41    47.92     2.58     7.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   41   -7       2.36    61.55     4.82    46.75     2.55    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      34   41  -16       4.27    69.96     1.11    44.73     2.39   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   40   -9       1.03    55.88    -0.10    44.86     2.69   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          34   40  -11      -2.13    40.71    -4.30    43.83     2.45   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   39   -9      -1.63    43.05     1.68    42.70     2.17    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Norwich          34   31  -25      -2.84    37.47    -3.94    34.35     2.30   -28.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.19R    0.00  
Sunderland       33   30  -18      -4.08    31.02    -0.01    34.71     2.72   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.52R    0.00  
Newcastle        34   29  -26      -4.18    30.84    -3.50    33.09     2.42   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.26R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      34   16  -42     -10.65     6.46   -10.10    19.26     2.23   -45.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Birmingham 2 2 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   43   86  +32      10.12    85.40     7.67    91.17     2.21    33.46    58.81    86.19   100.00    90.53P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         43   84  +32       7.61    78.12     6.43    89.43     2.20    33.86    29.06    74.14   100.00    82.24P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        43   84  +28      14.61    93.29    12.59    88.24     2.19    28.27    11.88    35.05   100.00    50.65P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            42   76  +29       1.90    57.46     5.17    84.30     2.45    33.08     0.25     4.59   100.00    36.54P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   76  +24       2.28    58.93     1.71    80.87     2.21    25.12     0.00     0.03   100.00    23.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   70  +19       5.75    72.12    10.60    73.82     2.18    18.62     0.00     0.00    94.33    15.24P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         43   64   +7       3.33    63.54     3.83    68.77     2.18     8.01     0.00     0.00     5.61     0.88P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         43   62   +0       0.90    53.84    -3.76    65.59     2.08    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      43   60   +4       2.14    58.90     4.76    63.41     2.18     3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   58   +0       1.29    55.69     1.73    61.94     2.18    -0.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    43   57   -7       3.82    66.04     0.53    60.57     2.05    -7.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             43   56   +0      -5.57    29.39    -4.34    60.45     2.17     0.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   56   -3      -2.45    40.73    -4.16    61.25     2.57    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   43   53   -6      -6.21    26.71    -6.89    57.57     2.24    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         43   51   -4      -3.85    35.01     1.34    54.57     2.17    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   50   -3      -3.92    34.77     4.69    54.26     2.30    -2.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       43   48   -3      -9.92    15.44    -2.61    52.86     2.26    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   43   48   -7      -7.58    21.58    -3.28    52.02     2.25    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          43   48   -9      -5.74    28.47     0.11    52.55     2.24    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       43   48  -13      -0.10    50.48     3.26    50.75     2.01   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_City    43   48  -20      -2.06    42.31    -6.27    51.34     2.18   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
MK_Dons         43   39  -25      -7.58    21.64    -7.48    42.50     2.18   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.71R    0.00  
Charlton        43   37  -36      -5.46    28.00   -11.80    39.69     2.04   -37.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          43   27  -39     -15.61     3.89   -13.82    29.35     1.98   -41.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Barnsley 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            43   81  +33       0.98    53.52     1.60    86.78     2.19    35.40    90.36    98.65   100.00    99.22P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    43   78  +16      15.00    93.16     9.53    82.60     2.27    16.74     6.16    57.78   100.00    67.52P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   75  +18      10.04    84.44     6.97    81.36     2.58    19.29     3.49    41.41    99.90    56.84P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   72  +18       2.74    60.64     2.55    76.80     2.26    18.98     0.00     1.73    93.87    29.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         43   71   +8       9.40    83.14     3.52    75.42     2.23     8.49     0.00     0.33    80.08    16.90P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       43   69  +18       3.51    63.57     8.22    73.57     2.26    18.71     0.00     0.09    63.03    15.09P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         43   69  +13       2.45    59.43     1.70    73.21     2.13    13.28     0.00     0.01    47.14    11.62P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   65   +9       2.12    58.43     3.19    69.67     2.32     9.87     0.00     0.00     6.08     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   65   +9      -1.78    42.94    -2.78    69.50     2.28     9.57     0.00     0.00     6.31     1.63P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   65   +8       4.92    69.00     6.11    68.74     2.24     7.41     0.00     0.00     2.42     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   63  +16      -1.88    42.93     7.06    67.38     2.27    16.42     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        43   62   +1       4.57    67.96     2.96    65.88     2.25     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   59   -1       3.57    63.95     3.77    62.34     2.13    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   57   +6      -6.70    25.51    -1.04    61.98     2.30     7.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             43   57  -13       7.06    76.03     0.74    60.58     2.23   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   52  -11      -7.92    21.47   -12.19    56.59     2.29   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Oldham           43   51  -10      -1.25    45.44    -1.04    54.96     2.17   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Chesterfield     43   50  -12      -6.75    25.45    -8.44    53.89     2.22   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   43   47   -4      -7.64    22.03     1.59    51.44     2.17    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.35R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   47  -17      -3.51    36.77    -6.30    50.98     2.49   -19.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.36R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   45  -15      -6.88    24.58    -5.72    47.96     2.11   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.89R    0.00  
Doncaster        43   42  -16     -11.37    12.20    -8.08    46.10     2.23   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.17R    0.00  
Colchester       43   39  -38      -3.29    37.41    -8.89    41.81     2.12   -40.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R    0.54  
Crewe            43   31  -36      -8.69    17.20    -5.04    33.99     2.11   -37.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.46  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Barnet 3 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          43   92  +33      19.45    97.49    12.54    96.67     2.29    33.80   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   78  +22      13.48    90.56    13.84    82.86     2.27    23.15     0.00    54.99   100.00    64.43P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   77  +36       3.05    61.68    13.83    82.32     2.23    37.77     0.00    57.53   100.00    71.14P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             43   77  +22       7.18    76.24     6.18    82.50     2.21    23.99     0.00    49.92   100.00    64.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   76  +25       7.53    76.89    11.05    81.49     2.25    27.02     0.00    37.12   100.00    53.89P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           42   69  +28      -0.32    48.61    10.62    75.27     2.64    29.14     0.00     0.41    97.08    27.05P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   68  +13       7.39    77.06     8.42    73.75     2.64    13.40     0.00     0.03    89.03    16.36P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   64   +6      -0.27    48.92    -2.10    67.70     2.20     5.51     0.00     0.00     3.80     0.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        43   63  +10       2.67    60.73     8.02    67.01     2.27     9.88     0.00     0.00     2.89     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               43   63   +3       3.10    62.03     1.83    67.01     2.26     2.85     0.00     0.00     1.61     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        43   63   -2      -3.76    35.87   -13.65    67.61     2.28    -1.28     0.00     0.00     3.73     0.89P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            43   62   +9       5.07    69.50    11.62    65.96     2.27     8.78     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                43   62   +1       0.98    54.00    -2.20    66.24     2.25     1.15     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             43   61   +1       3.38    63.45     3.47    64.87     2.28     0.59     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               43   58   -3       3.61    64.00     4.22    62.07     2.29    -3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           43   51  -14       2.14    59.44     0.82    53.54     2.02   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         43   48  -24      -5.85    28.94   -15.85    52.09     2.30   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         43   47  -26      -4.10    34.65   -14.23    51.21     2.30   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               43   44  -16      -9.95    16.23    -9.91    47.50     2.20   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   44  -19      -7.23    24.13    -5.60    48.11     2.31   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            43   43  -18     -11.84    11.86   -11.90    46.73     2.26   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       43   42  -19      -7.45    22.56    -5.48    45.41     2.19   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
York                 43   33  -30     -13.73     7.52   -11.35    36.00     2.16   -31.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R    3.16  
Dag_&_Red            43   28  -38     -15.59     4.49   -14.19    30.73     2.04   -40.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.84  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Halifax 0 0 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       44   95  +54       4.80    68.56     8.57    98.95     1.73    55.85   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     44   86  +27      10.44    85.22     4.27    89.47     1.79    28.14     0.00   100.00    27.33P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   80  +39      -2.88    37.88     5.08    83.56     1.75    40.33     0.00    99.92    38.62P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   44   79  +23       9.08    81.40     8.71    82.02     1.87    23.40     0.00    99.41    16.16P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   44   75  +14       9.52    83.11     6.06    78.10     1.75    14.55     0.00    53.59     9.05P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        44   75  +13       6.41    73.32     0.74    77.66     1.86    12.87     0.00    36.01     6.08P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +15      -3.39    36.71    -7.14    74.74     1.85    15.02     0.00    10.89     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          44   69  +18      -0.11    49.58     5.07    72.16     1.85    18.60     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     44   65  +13      -2.11    41.53     3.01    67.58     1.79    12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        44   64  -11       6.60    74.47    -6.17    66.88     1.87   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     44   61   +4       0.43    51.99     4.21    63.07     1.67     2.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           44   61   -9       8.58    79.96     4.30    63.28     1.82    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          44   60   -1       3.70    64.07     6.18    62.83     1.85    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           44   55   +1      -8.93    19.15    -3.92    57.73     1.88     0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        44   53  -19       0.78    53.73    -6.60    55.69     1.83   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        44   52  -13       2.37    60.52     2.99    54.64     1.82   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          44   50  -21      -4.85    31.78   -12.31    53.07     1.86   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   48   -7      -6.10    27.46     3.59    50.08     1.68    -8.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         44   46  -23       1.05    55.41     0.32    48.37     1.78   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     44   44   -9      -6.71    25.20     3.62    46.96     1.82    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.00  
Halifax          44   44  -28      -7.63    22.36   -13.37    45.85     1.67   -29.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.68R    0.00  
Altrincham       44   41  -27      -3.48    36.45    -2.26    43.31     1.70   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.28R    0.58  
Kidderminster    44   36  -23     -14.94     5.72    -9.05    38.35     1.80   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   30.48  
Welling          44   35  -30      -8.99    16.51    -5.88    37.53     1.78   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   68.94