Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 19 April 2016 at 21:00:02 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Newcastle 1 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        34   73  +26      20.16    99.05    16.87    78.44     2.58    25.93    76.16    99.10   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   68  +39       5.95    75.43    15.36    75.25     2.56    41.65    23.46    91.98    99.37    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   61  +28      -6.73    20.65    -5.65    68.42     2.56    30.92     0.03     2.13    37.22    82.37    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   60  +22      -0.42    47.46    -1.12    70.15     2.65    27.30     0.35     6.76    59.92    92.09    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   56  +10       1.02    54.69    -4.23    65.16     2.87    13.37     0.00     0.04     3.19    20.90    89.83     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   53  +12       5.48    74.33     8.86    60.68     2.95    13.23     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.66    46.68     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   51  +10      -2.17    40.27     0.34    56.97     2.53    10.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.11     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        32   51   +9       0.21    51.02    -1.45    61.38     3.24    12.29     0.00     0.00     0.22     3.01    56.16     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   47  -10       4.91    72.23    -3.41    51.88     2.50   -10.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   44   +4     -13.42     5.63   -14.44    52.37     2.97     6.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   41   +9      -8.99    14.59     2.15    49.22     2.91    11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   41   -5       2.59    62.93     4.99    47.81     2.84    -5.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      34   41  -16       4.51    70.78     1.43    44.73     2.40   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        33   40   -9       1.16    56.52     0.03    44.88     2.70   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          34   40  -11      -2.13    40.47    -4.35    43.87     2.44   -13.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   39   -7      -1.16    45.28     2.36    43.53     2.46    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          34   31  -25      -3.00    36.78    -4.28    34.34     2.29   -28.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.92R    0.00  
Sunderland       33   30  -18      -4.19    30.85    -0.19    34.64     2.71   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.41R    0.00  
Newcastle        34   29  -26      -4.01    31.64    -3.26    33.11     2.42   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.66R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      34   16  -42     -10.58     6.85   -10.03    19.24     2.24   -45.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Birmingham 2 2 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   43   86  +32      10.04    85.40     7.52    91.16     2.20    33.44    58.65    86.18   100.00    90.52P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         43   84  +32       7.52    77.72     6.28    89.42     2.19    33.86    29.03    73.70   100.00    82.13P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        43   84  +28      14.57    93.21    12.47    88.24     2.19    28.27    12.10    35.39   100.00    50.87P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            42   76  +29       1.84    57.58     5.10    84.34     2.43    33.10     0.22     4.69   100.00    36.70P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   76  +24       2.34    58.99     1.73    80.87     2.23    25.11     0.00     0.05   100.00    23.46P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   70  +19       5.63    71.76    10.48    73.84     2.21    18.64     0.00     0.00    94.29    15.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         43   64   +7       3.26    63.28     3.70    68.78     2.18     8.03     0.00     0.00     5.66     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         43   62   +0       0.82    53.52    -3.96    65.58     2.07    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      43   60   +4       2.11    58.89     4.75    63.43     2.16     3.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   58   +0       1.31    55.48     1.83    61.95     2.19    -0.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    43   57   -7       3.98    66.53     0.74    60.57     2.05    -7.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             43   56   +0      -5.36    29.92    -4.05    60.45     2.16     0.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   56   -3      -2.47    40.73    -4.23    61.23     2.58    -3.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   43   53   -6      -6.09    27.31    -6.73    57.58     2.24    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         43   51   -4      -4.02    34.33     1.11    54.55     2.16    -4.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   50   -3      -3.88    35.23     4.67    54.26     2.30    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       43   48   -3     -10.22    14.84    -3.02    52.88     2.25    -1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   43   48   -7      -7.66    21.32    -3.34    52.04     2.26    -7.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          43   48   -9      -5.55    29.23     0.42    52.54     2.26    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       43   48  -13       0.25    52.03     3.75    50.72     2.00   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_City    43   48  -20      -1.91    42.88    -6.02    51.33     2.18   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
MK_Dons         43   39  -25      -7.89    20.63    -7.98    42.52     2.18   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.69R    0.00  
Charlton        43   37  -36      -5.53    27.84   -11.84    39.69     2.03   -37.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          43   27  -39     -15.36     4.25   -13.37    29.33     1.97   -41.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Barnsley 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            43   81  +33       1.06    53.71     1.71    86.77     2.19    35.39    90.24    98.78   100.00    99.20P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    43   78  +16      15.08    93.14     9.71    82.60     2.27    16.73     6.31    57.49   100.00    67.35P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   75  +18      10.16    85.09     7.11    81.34     2.58    19.28     3.44    41.56    99.93    56.45P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   72  +18       2.71    60.57     2.53    76.81     2.26    19.00     0.00     1.74    94.13    28.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         43   71   +8       9.54    83.42     3.63    75.41     2.25     8.49     0.00     0.33    80.00    17.17P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       43   69  +18       3.31    62.81     7.90    73.56     2.26    18.71     0.00     0.10    63.19    15.45P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         43   69  +13       2.63    60.38     1.95    73.20     2.13    13.25     0.00     0.00    46.76    11.61P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   65   +9       2.06    58.19     3.07    69.69     2.31     9.90     0.00     0.00     6.15     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   65   +9      -1.92    42.41    -2.93    69.51     2.27     9.59     0.00     0.00     6.40     1.68P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   65   +8       4.66    68.13     5.72    68.73     2.22     7.39     0.00     0.00     2.33     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   63  +16      -1.72    43.38     7.33    67.39     2.28    16.42     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        43   62   +1       4.49    67.67     2.84    65.88     2.25     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   59   -1       3.94    65.59     4.33    62.35     2.13    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   57   +6      -6.76    25.62    -1.14    62.00     2.29     7.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             43   57  -13       7.29    77.19     1.04    60.56     2.23   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   52  -11      -7.62    22.66   -11.69    56.53     2.30   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Oldham           43   51  -10      -1.36    45.16    -1.19    54.95     2.15   -10.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Chesterfield     43   50  -12      -6.81    25.36    -8.51    53.93     2.23   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   43   47   -4      -7.65    21.80     1.58    51.44     2.18    -3.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.65R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   47  -17      -3.47    36.74    -6.21    50.98     2.49   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.70R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   45  -15      -7.36    23.00    -6.35    47.98     2.11   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.52R    0.00  
Doncaster        43   42  -16     -11.28    12.39    -7.98    46.10     2.27   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.98R    0.00  
Colchester       43   39  -38      -3.56    36.56    -9.31    41.81     2.11   -40.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R    0.50  
Crewe            43   31  -36      -8.74    17.19    -5.14    34.01     2.11   -37.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.50  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Barnet 3 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          43   92  +33      19.54    97.16    12.66    96.67     2.28    33.80   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   78  +22      13.38    90.37    13.68    82.85     2.27    23.12     0.00    54.87   100.00    64.51P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   77  +36       3.16    61.88    13.94    82.32     2.23    37.76     0.00    57.70   100.00    71.36P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             43   77  +22       7.12    76.00     6.09    82.47     2.21    23.98     0.00    49.70   100.00    64.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   76  +25       7.76    77.17    11.37    81.48     2.24    26.98     0.00    37.26   100.00    54.11P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           42   69  +28      -0.09    49.37    10.97    75.25     2.64    29.11     0.00     0.44    96.86    26.94P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   68  +13       7.32    76.65     8.41    73.78     2.65    13.42     0.00     0.03    89.18    16.10P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   64   +6      -0.30    48.98    -2.19    67.72     2.21     5.54     0.00     0.00     3.74     0.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        43   63  +10       2.60    60.40     7.92    67.01     2.27     9.87     0.00     0.00     2.95     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               43   63   +3       2.96    61.49     1.59    67.02     2.26     2.87     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        43   63   -2      -3.31    37.61   -12.98    67.58     2.29    -1.33     0.00     0.00     3.64     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            43   62   +9       4.64    68.08    11.12    66.00     2.26     8.83     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                43   62   +1       0.92    53.80    -2.34    66.24     2.25     1.17     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             43   61   +1       3.31    63.25     3.34    64.87     2.27     0.60     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               43   58   -3       3.66    64.31     4.32    62.03     2.28    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           43   51  -14       2.25    59.85     1.01    53.54     2.02   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         43   48  -24      -5.57    29.79   -15.50    52.07     2.31   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         43   47  -26      -4.19    34.57   -14.30    51.21     2.31   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               43   44  -16      -9.89    15.94    -9.85    47.51     2.21   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   44  -19      -7.27    23.88    -5.69    48.11     2.30   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            43   43  -18     -11.96    11.63   -12.06    46.73     2.26   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       43   42  -19      -7.52    22.35    -5.61    45.42     2.19   -19.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
York                 43   33  -30     -13.78     7.37   -11.38    36.02     2.16   -31.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R    3.07  
Dag_&_Red            43   28  -38     -15.78     4.38   -14.54    30.75     2.05   -40.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.93  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2016, Halifax 0 0 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       44   95  +54       4.94    69.06     8.75    98.94     1.72    55.84   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     44   86  +27      10.38    85.13     4.21    89.45     1.79    28.12     0.00   100.00    27.29P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   80  +39      -2.99    37.26     4.93    83.59     1.74    40.37     0.00    99.91    38.47P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   44   79  +23       9.06    81.44     8.61    82.03     1.87    23.41     0.00    99.44    16.14P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   44   75  +14       9.60    83.53     6.21    78.10     1.74    14.54     0.00    53.62     9.19P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        44   75  +13       6.29    73.04     0.56    77.67     1.86    12.87     0.00    36.39     6.22P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +15      -3.37    36.71    -7.09    74.73     1.84    15.00     0.00    10.49     2.66P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          44   69  +18       0.01    50.25     5.19    72.14     1.85    18.58     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     44   65  +13      -2.21    41.58     2.83    67.58     1.80    12.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        44   64  -11       6.51    74.34    -6.29    66.89     1.88   -10.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     44   61   +4       0.31    51.61     4.03    63.06     1.67     2.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           44   61   -9       8.57    79.88     4.41    63.28     1.82    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          44   60   -1       3.79    64.51     6.33    62.82     1.85    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           44   55   +1      -8.83    19.28    -3.77    57.72     1.87     0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        44   53  -19       0.66    53.39    -6.75    55.70     1.82   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        44   52  -13       2.49    60.66     3.16    54.64     1.81   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          44   50  -21      -4.97    31.26   -12.53    53.08     1.86   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   48   -7      -5.95    27.82     3.84    50.06     1.68    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         44   46  -23       1.13    55.58     0.46    48.38     1.78   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     44   44   -9      -6.87    24.78     3.34    46.97     1.81    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.46R    0.00  
Halifax          44   44  -28      -7.76    21.85   -13.59    45.87     1.68   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.93R    0.00  
Altrincham       44   41  -27      -3.57    36.18    -2.52    43.33     1.70   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.95R    0.56  
Kidderminster    44   36  -23     -14.72     5.90    -8.69    38.33     1.79   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   30.38  
Welling          44   35  -30      -8.78    17.27    -5.66    37.52     1.79   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   69.06