Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 18 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 April 2016, Stoke 0 4 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        34   73  +26      20.01    98.97    16.69    78.46     2.58    25.97    75.72    98.40    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   68  +39       5.87    75.11    15.21    75.28     2.55    41.71    23.54    89.04    98.79    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         33   60  +28      -5.83    23.28    -4.94    69.71     2.83    32.46     0.40     6.34    50.57    89.10    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   60  +22      -0.59    46.69    -1.44    70.16     2.62    27.31     0.33     6.18    48.38    91.90    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   56  +10       1.04    54.80    -4.22    65.15     2.85    13.34     0.00     0.02     2.11    15.69    89.76     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   53  +12       5.61    74.77     9.10    60.69     2.95    13.24     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.26    46.37     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   51  +10      -2.18    40.13     0.31    56.96     2.52    10.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        32   51   +9       0.05    50.12    -1.63    61.41     3.23    12.38     0.00     0.00     0.13     2.08    56.72     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   47  -10       5.09    73.19    -3.19    51.86     2.46   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   44   +4     -13.33     5.76   -14.31    52.33     2.96     6.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   41   +9      -9.01    14.66     2.15    49.21     2.90    11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   41   -5       2.81    63.89     5.32    47.79     2.85    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      34   41  -16       4.35    70.43     1.15    44.71     2.40   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   40   -9       1.06    56.03    -0.10    44.92     2.71   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          34   40  -11      -2.01    41.08    -4.13    43.85     2.45   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   39   -7      -1.19    45.02     2.26    43.56     2.46    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Norwich          34   31  -25      -2.98    36.98    -4.12    34.31     2.28   -28.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.72R    0.00  
Sunderland       33   30  -18      -4.22    30.49    -0.24    34.67     2.72   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.22R    0.00  
Newcastle        33   28  -26      -4.04    31.14    -3.87    32.63     2.64   -29.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      34   16  -42     -10.56     6.88   -10.00    19.26     2.24   -45.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 April 2016, Birmingham 1 2 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   42   85  +32      10.22    86.12     7.25    91.35     2.53    33.27    57.04    90.16   100.00    93.33P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         42   83  +32       8.04    79.61     6.52    89.91     2.57    34.03    38.07    84.32   100.00    89.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        42   81  +24      14.79    93.81    10.98    86.82     2.55    24.57     4.76    22.55   100.00    39.66P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            41   73  +28       0.94    53.33     5.12    82.94     2.78    32.44     0.12     2.88   100.00    35.78P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           42   73  +23       1.14    54.44     1.44    79.59     2.60    24.62     0.00     0.09    99.86    25.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   69  +19       6.30    74.04    10.88    74.80     2.54    19.49     0.00     0.00    89.32    15.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         42   64   +8       4.15    66.72     4.01    70.02     2.56     8.85     0.00     0.00    10.59     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         42   61   +0       1.35    55.93    -3.64    66.44     2.48     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      42   59   +4       2.80    61.61     5.12    63.92     2.52     3.32     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   57   +0       1.65    57.34     1.67    62.10     2.51    -0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   56   +4      -6.31    26.46    -3.41    61.61     2.51     4.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   54   -8       2.84    62.40     0.41    58.95     2.44    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   53   -4      -3.60    35.76    -4.48    59.77     2.90    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   42   53   -5      -5.29    29.71    -6.55    58.93     2.60    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         42   51   -3      -3.03    37.93     1.56    55.58     2.49    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   49   -3      -3.64    35.92     4.44    54.59     2.67    -2.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    42   48  -19      -1.10    46.33    -6.07    52.36     2.50   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Blackburn       42   47   -3      -9.57    15.93    -2.67    53.03     2.60    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   47   -7      -7.38    21.97    -3.45    52.53     2.61    -6.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Fulham          42   47   -9      -5.51    28.91    -0.06    52.50     2.58    -9.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Rotherham       42   47  -13       0.45    52.52     3.64    51.16     2.43   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
MK_Dons         42   38  -25      -7.52    21.58    -7.78    42.26     2.47   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.21R    0.00  
Charlton        42   36  -36      -5.21    28.81   -11.75    39.87     2.41   -38.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R    0.33  
Bolton          42   26  -39     -14.98     4.24   -13.19    29.95     2.38   -41.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.67  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 April 2016, Burton_Albion 0 0 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            42   80  +33       1.46    55.26     1.73    87.30     2.56    35.63    84.76    97.17   100.00    98.22P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    42   77  +16      15.34    93.98     9.53    82.74     2.61    16.46     9.39    51.38   100.00    62.62P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   74  +18      10.61    86.12     7.25    82.09     2.92    19.83     5.84    48.72    99.93    61.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         42   71   +9      10.43    85.95     4.04    76.56     2.58     9.21     0.01     1.56    91.04    20.56P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         42   69  +17       1.68    56.53     2.39    75.65     2.62    18.66     0.00     0.88    87.10    26.52P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       42   68  +18       3.70    64.51     7.91    73.81     2.63    18.49     0.00     0.28    68.72    17.21P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         42   66  +12       1.14    54.60     1.23    71.86     2.54    12.70     0.00     0.00    31.16     7.85P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   64   +9       2.30    59.31     2.96    70.23     2.70    10.14     0.00     0.00    15.89     3.70P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        42   62   +8      -3.12    37.72    -3.31    68.04     2.65     8.82     0.00     0.00     3.66     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   62   +7       3.81    64.97     5.88    67.51     2.61     6.99     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        43   62   +1       4.64    68.48     3.09    65.88     2.25     0.68     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   60  +15      -2.94    38.41     6.93    65.95     2.64    15.69     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         42   59   +0       4.68    68.43     4.45    63.98     2.51    -0.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   57   +7      -5.99    27.80    -1.11    63.17     2.66     7.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             42   57  -12       7.95    79.25     1.03    61.56     2.55   -13.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   51  -11      -7.57    22.66   -12.17    56.55     2.62   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Chesterfield     42   49  -12      -6.26    26.47    -8.23    54.54     2.60   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.44R    0.00  
Oldham           42   48  -11      -2.73    39.52    -1.64    53.05     2.51   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.19R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   42   47   -3      -6.71    24.57     2.03    52.35     2.50    -3.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.74R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   47  -16      -2.68    39.78    -6.07    52.20     2.83   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.03R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   45  -15      -6.94    24.45    -5.73    47.94     2.09   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.92R    0.00  
Doncaster        42   41  -16     -11.05    12.65    -8.07    46.23     2.61   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.54R    0.01  
Colchester       42   38  -38      -3.09    38.05    -9.00    42.04     2.51   -40.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R    3.49  
Crewe            42   30  -36      -8.40    17.54    -5.11    34.54     2.52   -37.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.50  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 April 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          42   89  +32      18.58    96.94    12.69    95.56     2.64    33.58   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   76  +36       3.35    62.80    13.74    83.21     2.59    38.52     0.00    73.52   100.00    81.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       42   75  +25       7.90    77.83    11.06    82.16     2.60    27.44     0.00    54.33   100.00    66.52P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   75  +21      12.18    88.67    13.31    81.56     2.63    22.61     0.00    38.31   100.00    51.33P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             42   74  +20       6.69    74.85     5.81    80.82     2.60    21.94     0.00    27.35    99.99    46.98P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           41   69  +30       0.61    52.04    11.98    77.29     2.95    32.09     0.00     6.45    98.02    33.54P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   65  +11       6.81    75.64     8.06    72.35     2.96    11.71     0.00     0.04    66.84    12.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   63   +6       0.18    51.05    -1.95    68.29     2.56     5.82     0.00     0.00     8.33     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               42   63   +4       4.30    66.71     2.44    68.46     2.64     3.98     0.00     0.00     8.91     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        42   63   +0      -3.23    37.51   -12.82    69.06     2.64     0.84     0.00     0.00    13.94     3.38P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             42   61   +2       4.34    66.81     3.81    66.24     2.64     1.59     0.00     0.00     1.83     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        42   60   +3       4.18    66.75     5.65    65.35     2.64     2.84     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            42   59   +8       3.55    64.31    10.84    64.24     2.62     7.65     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                42   59   +0      -0.20    49.62    -2.57    64.59     2.64     0.11     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               42   55   -5       2.86    61.91     3.59    60.45     2.67    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           42   51  -13       2.97    63.18     1.02    54.62     2.39   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         42   48  -22      -5.10    31.21   -14.87    53.52     2.68   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         42   47  -25      -3.56    36.95   -14.44    52.07     2.62   -25.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   44  -12      -8.61    19.88    -3.30    49.53     2.67   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               42   43  -16      -9.58    16.75    -9.79    47.58     2.52   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            42   42  -18     -11.86    11.73   -12.35    46.80     2.60   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County       42   41  -19      -7.28    22.94    -5.73    45.29     2.51   -20.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
York                 42   30  -32     -14.75     5.74   -12.43    33.73     2.45   -34.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   27.09  
Dag_&_Red            42   28  -36     -15.23     4.75   -13.76    31.84     2.43   -38.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   72.91  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 April 2016, Aldershot 1 2 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       44   95  +54       4.96    69.12     8.75    98.94     1.73    55.84   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     44   86  +27      10.39    85.30     4.22    89.46     1.78    28.13     0.00   100.00    27.62P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   44   79  +23       9.02    81.12     8.55    82.03     1.86    23.41     0.00    99.03    16.49P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   77  +37      -3.87    33.90     4.03    82.18     2.20    38.70     0.00    97.83    37.10P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   44   75  +14       9.65    83.27     6.26    78.10     1.75    14.55     0.00    47.32     8.25P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        43   74  +13       6.94    75.48     0.94    78.22     2.30    13.14     0.00    46.80     8.23P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +15      -3.23    37.51    -6.91    74.73     1.85    15.01     0.00     8.80     2.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          44   69  +18      -0.09    49.53     5.09    72.13     1.85    18.57     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     44   65  +13      -2.32    40.94     2.68    67.58     1.80    12.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        44   64  -11       6.63    74.76    -6.17    66.90     1.87   -10.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     44   61   +4       0.32    51.44     3.99    63.05     1.68     2.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           44   61   -9       8.67    80.27     4.50    63.28     1.81    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          44   60   -1       3.94    65.19     6.61    62.80     1.85    -0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           43   55   +3      -8.44    20.20    -3.32    58.90     2.28     2.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        44   53  -19       0.60    52.89    -6.78    55.71     1.83   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        44   52  -13       2.35    60.01     2.97    54.65     1.82   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          44   50  -21      -4.94    31.31   -12.46    53.08     1.87   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   48   -7      -5.82    28.45     4.01    50.07     1.68    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley         44   46  -23       1.12    55.65     0.47    48.38     1.78   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     44   44   -9      -6.66    25.59     3.70    46.96     1.81    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.56R    0.00  
Halifax          43   43  -28      -7.74    21.69   -13.94    46.06     2.14   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.14R    0.00  
Altrincham       44   41  -27      -3.60    35.89    -2.49    43.33     1.71   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.52R    0.53  
Kidderminster    44   36  -23     -14.82     6.19    -8.81    38.33     1.80   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   30.98  
Welling          44   35  -30      -8.99    16.80    -5.87    37.53     1.80   -30.24     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   68.49