Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 14 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 April 2016, Crystal_Palace 0 0 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        33   72  +26      20.58    99.27    16.89    79.01     2.91    26.23    85.10    98.02    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   65  +35       5.87    75.48    13.73    73.81     2.89    37.93    12.41    71.98    95.44    99.62   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   59  +22       0.24    50.69    -0.87    71.41     2.91    28.68     2.29    24.34    74.17    96.15    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   57  +25      -6.49    20.63    -6.39    67.92     3.17    29.15     0.19     5.52    27.76    78.09    98.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   53   +9       0.21    50.77    -4.03    64.51     3.09    13.86     0.00     0.13     2.38    19.82    87.55     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   52  +12       6.07    76.61     9.17    60.68     3.21    12.69     0.00     0.01     0.16     3.32    50.85     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   50  +10      -1.88    41.36     0.27    57.28     2.86    10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21    12.57     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        31   48   +8      -1.18    44.26    -2.05    60.20     3.55    12.06     0.00     0.00     0.15     2.79    46.27     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   47   -6       4.98    72.75    -1.44    53.12     2.79    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          32   44   +7     -12.94     5.92   -13.00    53.90     3.27     9.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.10     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      33   41  -15       4.92    72.67     0.89    45.69     2.71   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          32   40   +9      -8.63    15.37     2.10    49.70     3.22    11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          33   40   -8      -1.62    42.97    -2.65    45.55     2.83    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        32   40   -8       2.24    61.74     0.70    46.44     3.03   -10.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   38   -6       1.33    57.35     4.72    45.98     3.13    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   38   -7      -1.24    44.83     1.67    43.10     2.67    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Norwich          33   31  -22      -2.39    39.65    -2.61    35.99     2.67   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.58R    0.00  
Sunderland       32   27  -21      -4.95    26.23    -1.72    32.66     3.00   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.00R    0.02  
Newcastle        32   25  -29      -4.74    27.60    -5.23    30.75     2.92   -33.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.37R    0.29  
Aston_Villa      33   16  -41     -10.04     7.57   -10.13    19.75     2.41   -46.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.70  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2016, Birmingham 1 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   41   82  +31       9.54    84.73     7.70    90.29     2.84    33.05    59.36    89.50   100.00    92.74P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         41   80  +31       7.02    76.44     6.38    88.43     2.89    33.26    34.40    78.97   100.00    85.52P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        41   78  +19      15.11    94.46     8.77    85.59     2.87    20.17     5.81    25.89   100.00    41.40P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            40   70  +27      -0.06    49.52     4.99    81.84     3.06    32.18     0.42     5.25    99.90    37.58P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   70  +22       0.29    50.92     1.50    78.50     2.93    24.40     0.00     0.38    98.50    25.39P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   68  +19       6.93    76.37    11.20    75.44     2.87    19.86     0.00     0.01    87.43    15.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         41   63   +8       4.64    68.71     4.16    70.54     2.89     9.06     0.00     0.00    12.96     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         41   60   +0       1.47    56.27    -3.97    66.49     2.78    -0.41     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      41   59   +5       3.57    65.06     5.27    65.14     2.83     4.17     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   56   +0       2.11    59.33     1.85    62.87     2.82     0.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             41   55   +4      -6.12    27.15    -3.64    61.87     2.85     4.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   41   53   -4      -4.47    32.56    -6.38    59.69     2.82    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   52   -4      -2.78    39.02    -3.86    60.63     3.23    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         41   51   -2      -2.28    40.83     1.60    56.81     2.80    -3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    41   51   -9       1.49    56.82    -0.34    57.41     2.77    -9.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       41   47   -1      -8.93    17.56    -1.64    54.89     2.93     0.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Fulham          41   47   -4      -6.00    27.17     1.80    53.52     2.88    -4.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_City    41   47  -19      -0.73    47.62    -6.04    52.24     2.81   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Huddersfield    41   46   -5      -4.50    32.23     3.74    52.49     2.97    -5.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   41   46   -7      -6.98    22.92    -3.38    52.83     2.94    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Rotherham       41   46  -13       0.70    53.86     3.55    51.58     2.78   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.00  
MK_Dons         41   37  -25      -7.54    21.14    -8.23    42.21     2.75   -27.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.18R    0.09  
Charlton        41   36  -35      -4.47    31.55   -11.62    40.78     2.70   -37.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R    0.74  
Bolton          41   26  -38     -14.40     4.84   -13.42    30.71     2.65   -41.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.17  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2016, Barnsley 2 1 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            41   80  +35       2.11    58.26     2.65    89.25     2.88    38.44    90.74    99.05   100.00    99.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    41   76  +16      15.85    94.56     9.79    83.24     2.95    16.62     7.76    60.91    99.94    69.74P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   71  +17       9.56    84.08     7.17    80.83     3.21    19.37     1.44    30.07    98.96    47.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         41   70   +9      10.53    86.20     3.71    77.02     2.92     9.33     0.03     3.15    89.52    21.41P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   69  +18       2.49    59.67     2.56    77.00     2.94    19.65     0.03     4.06    91.63    30.08P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       41   68  +20       4.57    67.64     9.10    75.70     2.96    21.26     0.01     2.69    84.62    23.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         41   65  +12       1.83    57.39     1.69    72.01     2.85    12.37     0.00     0.08    27.40     6.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   61   +6       2.24    59.02     2.32    68.82     3.01     7.44     0.00     0.00     5.86     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   59   +6       2.68    61.19     5.64    66.23     2.93     6.48     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        41   59   +5      -3.57    35.85    -4.56    66.33     2.99     5.69     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         41   59   +1       5.56    71.41     4.84    64.93     2.81    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        42   59   -1       3.63    64.66     2.10    63.83     2.58    -1.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         41   57  +14      -4.32    32.86     6.30    64.42     2.95    14.85     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   54   +4      -6.23    26.81    -1.88    61.73     3.02     5.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             41   54  -13       6.55    75.41     0.50    59.38     2.86   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          41   51  -10      -6.66    25.07   -11.78    58.49     2.96    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Chesterfield     41   49   -9      -6.35    26.11    -7.45    56.08     2.94    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22R    0.00  
Oldham           41   47  -11      -2.54    40.24    -1.88    53.14     2.82   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.61R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   41   46   -3      -6.42    25.47     2.02    52.96     2.83    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.14R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       40   46  -16      -2.18    41.78    -5.83    52.45     3.12   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.11R    0.00  
Blackpool        42   45  -12      -7.04    23.69    -4.85    49.00     2.45   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.46R    0.00  
Doncaster        41   38  -18     -11.88    10.26    -8.97    43.98     2.86   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.30R    1.75  
Colchester       41   38  -35      -3.01    38.47    -8.45    43.30     2.87   -37.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.01R    4.73  
Crewe            41   30  -35      -7.38    20.55    -4.74    35.64     2.85   -36.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.53  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2016, Luton 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          41   88  +32      18.87    97.35    12.55    96.17     2.99    33.96    99.66   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   76  +37       4.71    68.37    14.81    85.01     2.92    40.12     0.33    87.70   100.00    91.62P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   74  +21      12.90    90.27    13.85    82.28     2.97    23.16     0.02    49.55    99.99    60.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       41   72  +24       6.99    75.69    11.07    80.83     2.92    26.85     0.00    32.96    99.94    50.80P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             41   71  +19       5.16    69.90     5.03    79.08     2.89    20.77     0.00    12.79    99.65    35.97P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           40   69  +31       1.72    56.84    12.68    78.77     3.26    33.25     0.00    16.98    98.86    41.42P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   62  +10       5.54    71.54     7.62    71.00     3.27    11.13     0.00     0.02    49.93     9.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   62   +6       0.52    52.20    -1.92    68.95     2.89     6.24     0.00     0.00    17.38     4.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   62   +4       4.45    67.09     2.24    68.71     2.98     3.76     0.00     0.00    14.67     2.66P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             41   60   +2       4.46    67.72     3.52    66.53     2.97     1.44     0.00     0.00     4.48     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        41   60   -1      -3.98    34.73   -12.52    68.05     2.96     0.78     0.00     0.00    11.27     2.78P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        41   59   +3       4.31    67.32     5.32    65.82     2.98     2.97     0.00     0.00     3.21     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   56   +3       4.13    67.05     8.90    62.40     2.93     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                41   56   -1      -1.59    43.79    -3.30    62.49     2.93    -1.55     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               41   54   -5       3.11    62.56     3.45    60.47     2.94    -5.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           41   48  -14       1.87    58.61     0.79    53.03     2.74   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         41   48  -17      -5.86    28.45   -13.26    55.08     3.01   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         41   47  -24      -2.89    39.06   -14.43    53.23     2.94   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   43  -12      -8.26    20.23    -3.40    49.59     3.00   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil               41   43  -15      -8.94    18.09    -9.84    48.58     2.83   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County       41   41  -18      -6.33    25.53    -5.37    46.47     2.85   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Stevenage            41   39  -19     -12.68     9.44   -12.15    45.31     2.96   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.01  
York                 41   30  -31     -13.81     6.68   -12.18    35.05     2.80   -33.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.41R   24.87  
Dag_&_Red            41   28  -35     -14.24     5.81   -13.47    32.63     2.71   -38.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   75.13  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2016, Eastleigh 3 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       43   92  +52       4.53    67.81     8.66    98.36     2.03    55.61    99.47   100.00    99.70P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     43   86  +28      11.75    88.27     5.16    91.39     2.22    30.00     0.53   100.00    27.41P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   43   78  +23       9.47    82.70     8.70    82.26     2.29    23.21     0.00    98.99    15.98P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   76  +37      -3.34    35.93     4.30    82.68     2.57    38.89     0.00    98.11    36.28P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   72  +16      -2.44    40.23    -6.77    76.50     2.27    16.56     0.00    37.16     9.50P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   43   72  +13       8.60    81.13     6.05    76.42     2.17    13.50     0.00    23.60     4.05P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        42   71  +11       6.25    73.30     0.38    77.30     2.63    12.22     0.00    41.74     7.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          43   66  +17      -1.43    44.26     4.48    70.15     2.24    17.08     0.00     0.40     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        43   64  -10       7.73    78.43    -5.66    68.26     2.28    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     43   62  +12      -3.29    37.05     2.67    66.58     2.20    12.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     43   60   +4       0.92    53.97     4.28    63.47     2.14     2.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          43   60   +1       4.19    66.29     6.78    64.50     2.30     1.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           43   60   -9       8.77    80.89     4.26    63.53     2.25    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        43   53  -18       1.75    57.72    -6.21    57.28     2.24   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           42   52   +2      -9.86    16.19    -3.98    56.75     2.60     0.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        43   51  -13       2.92    62.48     3.20    54.95     2.25   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          43   47  -23      -5.91    27.67   -13.39    51.13     2.28   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Guiseley         43   46  -22       1.52    57.06     0.13    49.18     2.11   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88R    0.00  
Chester          43   45  -11      -5.73    28.52     2.65    48.73     2.13   -11.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75R    0.00  
Halifax          42   43  -26      -7.03    23.76   -13.18    46.45     2.32   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.72R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood     43   41  -10      -8.06    20.85     3.08    45.04     2.19   -10.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.64R    0.10  
Altrincham       43   41  -25      -3.40    36.81    -2.30    44.04     2.05   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.96R    2.05  
Kidderminster    43   35  -23     -14.53     6.09    -8.79    38.89     2.25   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.69R   39.46  
Welling          43   35  -26      -9.25    15.80    -4.51    38.61     2.19   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.29R   58.39