Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 12 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 April 2016, Liverpool 4 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        33   72  +26      20.49    99.33    16.76    79.03     2.91    26.26    85.49    98.03    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   65  +35       5.85    75.37    13.67    73.84     2.88    37.93    12.08    72.14    95.56    99.67   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   59  +22       0.40    51.50    -0.64    71.39     2.92    28.65     2.24    24.08    74.02    96.17    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   57  +25      -6.62    19.84    -6.60    67.92     3.17    29.15     0.19     5.56    27.78    77.99    98.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   53   +9       0.14    50.70    -4.13    64.55     3.08    13.93     0.00     0.17     2.37    20.07    87.81     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   52  +12       6.00    76.39     9.08    60.66     3.22    12.69     0.00     0.01     0.17     3.26    50.78     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   50  +10      -1.80    41.63     0.34    57.26     2.87    10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19    12.84     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        31   48   +8      -0.93    45.33    -1.72    60.14     3.53    11.95     0.00     0.00     0.15     2.65    45.58     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   47   -6       4.81    72.36    -1.65    53.15     2.80    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          32   44   +7     -13.12     5.57   -13.29    53.94     3.27     9.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.03     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      33   41  -15       5.11    73.63     1.18    45.68     2.71   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          33   40   -8      -1.70    42.47    -2.74    45.56     2.82    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   40   -8       2.25    61.93     0.70    46.45     3.02   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   39   +9      -8.23    15.95     2.06    50.32     3.52    11.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   38   -6       1.39    57.54     4.82    45.99     3.13    -6.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   37   -7      -0.94    46.34     1.76    43.22     2.99    -9.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Norwich          33   31  -22      -2.44    39.28    -2.60    35.97     2.66   -25.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.56R    0.00  
Sunderland       32   27  -21      -4.87    27.00    -1.58    32.61     2.99   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.14R    0.01  
Newcastle        32   25  -29      -4.75    27.63    -5.15    30.76     2.96   -33.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.22R    0.29  
Aston_Villa      33   16  -41     -10.15     7.50   -10.26    19.78     2.42   -46.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.70  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2016, Birmingham 1 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   41   82  +31       9.22    83.91     7.17    90.31     2.83    33.09    59.57    89.46   100.00    92.74P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         41   80  +31       6.98    76.58     6.35    88.44     2.88    33.29    34.12    79.08   100.00    85.82P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        41   78  +19      15.37    94.87     9.15    85.55     2.89    20.13     5.89    25.68   100.00    41.05P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            40   70  +27      -0.09    49.26     5.00    81.84     3.06    32.18     0.42     5.42    99.90    37.72P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   70  +22       0.11    50.10     1.18    78.53     2.92    24.46     0.00     0.36    98.42    25.27P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   68  +19       6.88    76.17    11.17    75.44     2.86    19.86     0.00     0.00    87.53    15.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         41   63   +8       4.49    68.27     4.00    70.56     2.90     9.08     0.00     0.00    12.98     2.18P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         41   60   +0       1.65    57.16    -3.77    66.47     2.79    -0.44     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      41   59   +5       3.61    65.29     5.33    65.11     2.84     4.13     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   56   +0       2.07    58.81     1.84    62.92     2.84     0.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             41   55   +4      -5.96    27.53    -3.42    61.83     2.85     4.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   41   53   -4      -4.72    31.37    -6.73    59.75     2.84    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   52   -4      -3.05    37.89    -4.22    60.68     3.21    -3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         41   51   -2      -2.25    41.09     1.64    56.80     2.80    -3.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    41   51   -9       1.72    57.83     0.02    57.40     2.78    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       41   47   -1      -9.12    16.87    -1.91    54.93     2.92     0.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Fulham          41   47   -4      -6.07    27.11     1.67    53.54     2.88    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_City    41   47  -19      -0.59    48.50    -5.89    52.20     2.81   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.00  
Huddersfield    41   46   -5      -4.43    32.38     3.77    52.46     2.95    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   41   46   -7      -6.96    23.07    -3.35    52.81     2.93    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Rotherham       41   46  -13       0.79    54.17     3.75    51.55     2.78   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75R    0.00  
MK_Dons         41   37  -25      -7.35    22.07    -7.97    42.18     2.75   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.08R    0.08  
Charlton        41   36  -35      -4.41    31.82   -11.39    40.79     2.73   -37.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.59R    0.87  
Bolton          41   26  -38     -14.41     4.91   -13.40    30.74     2.67   -41.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.06  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2016, Barnsley 2 1 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            41   80  +35       2.15    58.25     2.79    89.25     2.87    38.45    91.12    99.07   100.00    99.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    41   76  +16      16.02    94.79    10.06    83.18     2.95    16.56     7.22    60.05    99.95    68.66P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   71  +17       9.52    84.08     7.03    80.88     3.22    19.43     1.59    30.91    98.90    48.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         41   70   +9      10.65    86.57     3.88    77.00     2.92     9.31     0.03     3.19    89.19    21.32P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   69  +18       2.59    60.32     2.69    76.98     2.94    19.62     0.02     3.93    91.31    30.26P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       41   68  +20       4.53    67.80     9.01    75.72     2.96    21.30     0.01     2.80    84.93    23.06P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         41   65  +12       1.64    56.41     1.41    72.02     2.86    12.39     0.00     0.05    27.55     7.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   61   +6       2.14    58.89     2.22    68.84     3.02     7.45     0.00     0.00     6.00     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   59   +6       2.72    61.34     5.72    66.22     2.94     6.49     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        41   59   +5      -3.49    36.24    -4.46    66.33     2.98     5.69     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         41   59   +1       5.56    71.37     4.89    64.94     2.81    -0.36     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        42   59   -1       3.39    63.88     1.73    63.84     2.58    -1.95     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         41   57  +14      -4.10    33.96     6.60    64.38     2.98    14.79     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   54   +4      -6.30    26.57    -2.00    61.73     2.99     5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury             41   54  -13       6.69    75.71     0.74    59.36     2.85   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          41   51  -10      -6.63    25.29   -11.72    58.48     2.96    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Chesterfield     41   49   -9      -6.27    26.10    -7.35    56.06     2.93    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.16R    0.00  
Oldham           41   47  -11      -2.42    40.61    -1.68    53.16     2.81   -11.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.58R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   41   46   -3      -6.48    25.23     1.87    52.95     2.83    -2.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.10R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       40   46  -16      -2.19    41.84    -5.87    52.45     3.12   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.08R    0.00  
Blackpool        42   45  -12      -7.21    22.99    -5.08    49.00     2.46   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.53R    0.00  
Doncaster        41   38  -18     -12.04    10.10    -9.18    44.02     2.87   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.34R    1.74  
Colchester       41   38  -35      -3.11    38.08    -8.63    43.32     2.85   -37.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.05R    4.53  
Crewe            41   30  -35      -7.31    20.84    -4.66    35.63     2.84   -36.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.73  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2016, Luton 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          41   88  +32      18.88    97.21    12.54    96.17     2.98    33.95    99.67   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   76  +37       4.87    69.08    15.05    84.94     2.92    40.05     0.32    87.06   100.00    91.20P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   74  +21      12.91    90.23    13.94    82.26     2.97    23.14     0.02    49.06   100.00    59.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       41   72  +24       6.76    74.75    10.75    80.89     2.94    26.95     0.00    33.82    99.94    51.57P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             41   71  +19       4.84    69.03     4.54    79.10     2.91    20.82     0.00    13.22    99.65    36.90P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           40   69  +31       1.82    57.15    12.80    78.76     3.25    33.24     0.00    16.80    98.88    40.62P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   62  +10       5.31    70.58     7.30    71.04     3.29    11.16     0.00     0.03    50.36     9.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   62   +6       0.63    52.54    -1.83    68.95     2.89     6.23     0.00     0.00    17.06     3.82P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   62   +4       4.45    67.25     2.16    68.72     2.97     3.76     0.00     0.00    14.86     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             41   60   +2       4.51    67.59     3.51    66.54     2.98     1.46     0.00     0.00     4.54     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        41   60   -1      -4.29    33.70   -12.95    68.06     2.94     0.79     0.00     0.00    11.05     2.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        41   59   +3       4.45    67.97     5.55    65.77     2.98     2.90     0.00     0.00     3.09     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   56   +3       4.19    67.07     8.97    62.39     2.92     2.36     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                41   56   -1      -1.60    43.78    -3.32    62.51     2.92    -1.52     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               41   54   -5       3.52    64.44     4.05    60.44     2.94    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           41   48  -14       1.94    58.77     0.88    53.04     2.74   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         41   48  -17      -6.00    27.84   -13.44    55.11     3.01   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         41   47  -24      -2.68    40.01   -14.11    53.24     2.95   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   43  -12      -8.29    20.14    -3.41    49.61     2.99   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil               41   43  -15      -8.78    18.35    -9.60    48.58     2.83   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County       41   41  -18      -6.58    24.81    -5.72    46.49     2.82   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Stevenage            41   39  -19     -12.58     9.95   -12.04    45.27     2.94   -19.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44R    0.00  
York                 41   30  -31     -13.69     6.60   -12.00    35.01     2.77   -33.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.45R   24.63  
Dag_&_Red            41   28  -35     -14.33     5.55   -13.63    32.62     2.70   -38.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   75.37  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2016, Eastleigh 3 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       43   92  +52       4.24    66.69     8.13    98.35     2.04    55.60    99.40   100.00    99.66P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     43   86  +28      11.75    88.35     5.22    91.37     2.20    29.96     0.60   100.00    27.64P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   43   78  +23       9.61    83.47     8.86    82.25     2.29    23.20     0.00    99.04    15.86P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   76  +37      -3.39    35.60     4.19    82.69     2.58    38.91     0.00    98.12    36.12P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   72  +16      -2.28    40.74    -6.54    76.48     2.26    16.54     0.00    36.85     9.42P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   43   72  +13       8.40    80.49     5.77    76.45     2.18    13.52     0.00    24.31     4.17P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        42   71  +11       6.27    73.69     0.46    77.26     2.62    12.18     0.00    41.31     7.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          43   66  +17      -1.58    43.72     4.26    70.15     2.24    17.08     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        43   64  -10       7.62    77.99    -5.77    68.27     2.29    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     43   62  +12      -3.24    37.14     2.67    66.58     2.19    12.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     43   60   +4       0.91    53.99     4.31    63.46     2.13     2.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          43   60   +1       4.40    67.05     7.08    64.50     2.30     1.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           43   60   -9       8.84    80.86     4.29    63.52     2.25    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        43   53  -18       1.78    57.88    -6.08    57.29     2.23   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           42   52   +2      -9.96    15.94    -4.20    56.76     2.60     0.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        43   51  -13       2.96    62.87     3.28    54.94     2.25   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          43   47  -23      -5.76    27.97   -13.15    51.14     2.27   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Guiseley         43   46  -22       1.50    57.21     0.14    49.17     2.11   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.00  
Chester          43   45  -11      -5.74    28.43     2.63    48.73     2.12   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.00  
Halifax          42   43  -26      -7.26    23.20   -13.58    46.49     2.32   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.42R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood     43   41  -10      -7.84    21.16     3.36    45.03     2.19   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.08R    0.13  
Altrincham       43   41  -25      -3.33    36.92    -2.17    44.06     2.04   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.76R    1.90  
Kidderminster    43   35  -23     -14.59     5.88    -8.86    38.90     2.25   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.75R   39.15  
Welling          43   35  -26      -9.16    16.06    -4.34    38.59     2.19   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.32R   58.81