Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 11 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 April 2016, Liverpool 4 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        33   72  +26      20.47    99.28    16.72    79.03     2.93    26.23    85.52    98.12    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   65  +35       5.91    75.62    13.80    73.81     2.89    37.90    11.99    72.11    95.46    99.60   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   59  +22       0.43    51.49    -0.54    71.39     2.90    28.62     2.29    24.14    74.23    96.22    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   57  +25      -6.56    20.45    -6.52    67.90     3.19    29.12     0.21     5.51    27.82    77.93    98.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   53   +9       0.16    50.77    -4.08    64.53     3.08    13.90     0.00     0.12     2.24    20.08    87.54     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   52  +12       5.96    76.36     9.05    60.66     3.23    12.67     0.00     0.01     0.16     3.36    50.59     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   50  +10      -1.81    41.66     0.32    57.27     2.87    10.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19    12.82     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        31   48   +8      -1.01    45.04    -1.84    60.20     3.53    12.05     0.00     0.00     0.14     2.61    46.01     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   47   -6       4.85    72.28    -1.56    53.12     2.80    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          32   44   +7     -12.98     5.85   -13.06    53.90     3.27     9.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.07     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      33   41  -15       5.06    73.21     1.12    45.67     2.72   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          33   40   -8      -1.83    41.84    -2.90    45.56     2.84    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   40   -8       2.26    61.88     0.78    46.47     3.03   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   39   +9      -8.21    16.06     2.15    50.28     3.51    11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.00R    0.00  
Watford          32   38   -6       1.40    57.66     4.86    45.98     3.16    -6.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   37   -7      -1.08    45.58     1.49    43.25     3.00    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Norwich          33   31  -22      -2.59    38.76    -2.90    36.00     2.68   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.74R    0.00  
Sunderland       32   27  -21      -4.89    27.25    -1.63    32.64     2.99   -24.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.11R    0.01  
Newcastle        32   25  -29      -4.76    27.38    -5.24    30.80     2.95   -33.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.07R    0.32  
Aston_Villa      33   16  -41      -9.95     7.71   -10.01    19.77     2.41   -46.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.67  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 April 2016, Nott'm_Forest 1 2 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         41   80  +31       6.88    76.22     6.25    88.42     2.88    33.23    40.38    80.68   100.00    86.61P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   40   79  +30       8.18    81.36     7.09    89.31     3.12    32.94    51.41    83.19   100.00    88.58P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        41   78  +19      15.46    95.00     9.27    85.52     2.87    20.11     7.46    29.02   100.00    43.71P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            40   70  +27      -0.08    49.37     5.03    81.84     3.08    32.18     0.74     6.64    99.88    38.56P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   70  +22       0.10    50.18     1.18    78.52     2.95    24.43     0.01     0.46    98.37    25.38P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   68  +19       6.89    76.70    11.27    75.47     2.88    19.90     0.00     0.01    86.90    14.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         41   63   +8       4.74    69.04     4.30    70.52     2.90     9.01     0.00     0.00    12.68     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         41   60   +0       1.66    57.16    -3.75    66.44     2.79    -0.48     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      40   59   +6       4.77    69.78     6.05    66.90     3.14     5.70     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   56   +0       2.22    59.83     1.97    62.88     2.83     0.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             41   55   +4      -5.90    27.55    -3.32    61.83     2.84     4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   41   53   -4      -4.23    33.25    -5.99    59.71     2.85    -4.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   52   -4      -2.98    37.91    -4.10    60.67     3.23    -3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         40   51   -1      -1.46    44.53     1.78    57.58     3.02    -3.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    40   48  -10       0.00    50.62    -1.12    55.37     3.04   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       41   47   -1      -9.02    17.05    -1.72    54.89     2.92     0.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Fulham          41   47   -4      -6.10    27.05     1.58    53.56     2.86    -4.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Bristol_City    41   47  -19      -0.84    47.35    -6.26    52.23     2.81   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Huddersfield    41   46   -5      -4.69    31.74     3.38    52.44     2.94    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   41   46   -7      -7.03    22.75    -3.42    52.79     2.93    -7.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Rotherham       41   46  -13       0.73    53.79     3.62    51.58     2.77   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.00  
MK_Dons         41   37  -25      -7.45    21.54    -8.08    42.20     2.76   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.20R    0.08  
Charlton        41   36  -35      -4.63    30.84   -11.90    40.87     2.73   -37.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.55R    0.73  
Bolton          41   26  -38     -14.17     5.07   -13.10    30.72     2.66   -41.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.20  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Barnsley 1 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            41   80  +35       2.42    59.39     3.18    89.20     2.87    38.38    91.47    99.41   100.00    99.64P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    41   76  +16      15.81    94.61     9.71    83.21     2.94    16.59     7.72    66.38    99.94    73.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         41   70   +9      10.65    86.66     3.90    77.03     2.92     9.34     0.03     3.44    91.02    22.28P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   69  +18       2.35    59.12     2.35    76.99     2.95    19.62     0.03     4.57    92.95    30.60P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       40   68  +21       5.35    71.04     9.21    77.35     3.24    22.67     0.15     9.85    93.18    31.06P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   68  +16       8.43    81.24     6.84    78.94     3.49    17.98     0.60    16.30    95.58    35.92P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         40   62  +11       0.64    52.89     1.36    70.88     3.16    12.07     0.00     0.04    19.36     5.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   61   +6       2.14    58.85     2.15    68.83     3.02     7.46     0.00     0.00     5.79     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   59   +6       2.85    61.98     5.79    66.21     2.94     6.48     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        41   59   +5      -3.45    36.23    -4.37    66.31     2.98     5.66     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         41   59   +1       5.50    71.47     4.76    64.97     2.81    -0.32     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        42   59   -1       3.48    64.09     1.83    63.83     2.57    -1.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         41   57  +14      -4.09    33.87     6.66    64.37     2.98    14.78     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   54   +4      -6.23    26.81    -1.88    61.72     2.98     5.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             41   54  -13       6.67    75.76     0.67    59.35     2.84   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          41   51  -10      -6.31    26.23   -11.27    58.47     2.94    -9.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Chesterfield     41   49   -9      -6.18    26.84    -7.24    56.09     2.95    -8.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.00  
Oldham           40   47  -10      -1.57    44.05    -1.42    54.04     3.10   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.07R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   41   46   -3      -6.47    25.37     1.94    52.95     2.83    -2.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.49R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       40   46  -16      -2.39    40.98    -6.20    52.52     3.14   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.42R    0.00  
Blackpool        42   45  -12      -7.27    23.03    -5.25    49.01     2.45   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.03R    0.00  
Doncaster        41   38  -18     -12.13    10.00    -9.32    44.02     2.87   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.49R    1.80  
Colchester       41   38  -35      -3.10    37.90    -8.55    43.27     2.86   -37.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.05R    4.85  
Crewe            41   30  -35      -7.42    20.92    -4.84    35.67     2.85   -36.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.35  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Barnet 3 0 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          41   88  +32      18.94    97.30    12.61    96.17     2.98    33.94    99.65   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   76  +37       4.75    68.26    14.89    84.98     2.92    40.08     0.33    87.69   100.00    91.59P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   74  +21      13.03    90.28    14.05    82.26     2.96    23.12     0.02    49.52   100.00    59.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       41   72  +24       6.90    75.52    10.96    80.83     2.94    26.86     0.00    33.00    99.94    50.72P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             41   71  +19       5.46    71.08     5.41    79.01     2.91    20.70     0.00    12.56    99.59    36.05P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           40   69  +31       1.64    56.29    12.54    78.80     3.25    33.30     0.00    17.20    98.95    41.55P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   62  +10       5.67    71.91     7.84    70.93     3.27    11.01     0.00     0.03    49.55     9.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   62   +6       0.47    52.28    -2.02    68.94     2.89     6.23     0.00     0.00    17.28     3.87P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   62   +4       4.16    66.35     1.79    68.74     2.97     3.80     0.00     0.00    15.10     2.76P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             41   60   +2       4.76    68.42     3.93    66.48     2.97     1.38     0.00     0.00     4.44     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        41   60   -1      -4.43    33.20   -13.11    68.12     2.95     0.89     0.00     0.00    11.38     2.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        41   59   +3       4.39    67.49     5.47    65.84     2.98     2.99     0.00     0.00     3.31     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   56   +3       4.04    66.47     8.78    62.40     2.92     2.38     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               41   54   -5       3.39    63.85     3.76    60.47     2.93    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                40   53   -2      -2.70    39.47    -3.45    61.29     3.22    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           40   48  -13       2.71    62.19     1.05    54.19     3.05   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         41   47  -24      -2.91    39.18   -14.49    53.28     2.94   -24.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         40   45  -18      -6.92    24.45   -13.31    53.70     3.32   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            41   43  -12      -8.27    20.18    -3.40    49.57     2.99   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil               41   43  -15      -8.68    18.37    -9.50    48.56     2.81   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County       41   41  -18      -6.44    25.55    -5.51    46.47     2.85   -19.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Stevenage            41   39  -19     -12.96     9.19   -12.55    45.34     2.93   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
York                 41   30  -31     -13.89     6.57   -12.30    35.04     2.78   -33.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.43R   33.37  
Dag_&_Red            40   28  -34     -13.57     6.42   -13.42    33.61     2.99   -38.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.79R   66.62  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Altrincham 0 0 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       43   92  +52       4.45    67.31     8.59    98.35     2.04    55.61    99.56   100.00    99.72P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     43   86  +28      11.60    88.00     4.94    91.40     2.20    30.00     0.44   100.00    27.25P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   42   77  +23       9.53    83.21     8.15    82.46     2.64    22.97     0.00    99.22    15.14P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   76  +38      -2.26    39.76     4.63    84.63     2.87    40.71     0.00    99.63    37.29P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   72  +16      -2.47    40.08    -6.81    76.45     2.27    16.49     0.00    47.71    11.67P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   42   69  +12       6.98    76.54     5.08    74.21     2.47    11.75     0.00    10.71     1.88P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        41   68   +9       5.52    71.50    -0.18    76.17     2.94    11.02     0.00    36.85     5.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          42   66  +19      -0.61    47.11     5.62    71.98     2.60    19.73     0.00     5.87     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        43   64  -10       7.78    78.40    -5.47    68.24     2.27    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     42   61  +12      -2.90    38.25     2.58    67.15     2.58    12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     43   60   +4       0.89    53.92     4.27    63.47     2.13     2.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          43   60   +1       4.04    65.42     6.55    64.54     2.30     1.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           42   60   -7       9.15    82.13     4.62    64.40     2.58    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        43   53  -18       1.84    58.18    -6.02    57.26     2.24   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           42   52   +2      -9.75    16.28    -3.83    56.72     2.57     0.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        43   51  -13       2.73    62.13     2.91    54.96     2.25   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   45  -11      -5.68    28.42     2.77    48.73     2.14   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.00  
Torquay          42   44  -25      -6.63    25.03   -13.94    49.87     2.65   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.15R    0.00  
Guiseley         42   43  -24       0.94    55.07    -0.25    47.09     2.44   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.05R    0.00  
Halifax          41   43  -25      -6.22    26.26   -12.85    47.69     2.68   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.29R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     43   41  -10      -7.90    21.33     3.30    45.06     2.19    -9.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.26R    0.06  
Altrincham       42   41  -23      -2.87    38.90    -1.53    45.09     2.41   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.31R    0.53  
Welling          43   35  -26      -9.20    15.96    -4.38    38.60     2.19   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.53R   42.07  
Kidderminster    42   32  -24     -15.59     4.30    -8.75    37.42     2.63   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.39R   57.33