Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 10 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 April 2016, Liverpool 4 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        33   72  +26      20.51    99.19    16.79    79.02     2.92    26.21    85.39    97.89    99.93   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   65  +35       5.83    75.41    13.66    73.85     2.87    37.95    12.23    72.46    95.56    99.61   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   59  +22       0.50    51.70    -0.47    71.40     2.90    28.67     2.18    24.06    74.51    96.13    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   57  +25      -6.48    20.63    -6.40    67.90     3.18    29.12     0.20     5.44    27.50    77.63    98.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   53   +9       0.09    50.28    -4.25    64.56     3.08    13.95     0.00     0.15     2.18    20.11    87.72     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   52  +12       5.77    75.53     8.71    60.72     3.22    12.72     0.00     0.01     0.18     3.53    51.44     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   50  +10      -1.85    41.33     0.25    57.26     2.86    10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20    12.50     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        31   48   +8      -0.98    44.95    -1.71    60.17     3.52    11.98     0.00     0.00     0.13     2.78    45.35     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   47   -6       4.95    72.51    -1.48    53.12     2.79    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          32   44   +7     -13.11     5.56   -13.20    53.95     3.25     9.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      33   41  -15       5.16    73.79     1.28    45.65     2.72   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          33   40   -8      -1.68    42.62    -2.65    45.52     2.81    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        32   40   -8       2.14    60.95     0.54    46.44     3.03   -10.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   39   +9      -8.32    15.64     1.96    50.34     3.52    11.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   38   -6       1.20    56.94     4.45    46.01     3.15    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   37   -7      -0.88    46.67     1.80    43.22     2.97    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Norwich          33   31  -22      -2.37    39.69    -2.51    35.95     2.68   -25.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.91R    0.00  
Sunderland       32   27  -21      -4.80    27.43    -1.50    32.64     2.98   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.75R    0.01  
Newcastle        32   25  -29      -4.81    27.15    -5.28    30.79     2.94   -33.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.27R    0.32  
Aston_Villa      33   16  -41      -9.99     7.68    -9.98    19.75     2.41   -46.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.68  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Bristol_City 4 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         41   80  +31       6.81    75.89     6.15    88.45     2.89    33.28    42.39    85.80   100.00    90.25P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   40   79  +30       8.22    81.34     7.13    89.33     3.10    32.97    52.98    88.02   100.00    91.73P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        40   75  +18      14.01    93.25     8.60    83.87     3.15    19.09     3.72    17.51    99.99    34.18P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            40   70  +27      -0.05    49.51     5.04    81.86     3.08    32.20     0.90     8.04    99.89    40.25P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   70  +22       0.21    50.74     1.35    78.51     2.93    24.43     0.02     0.61    98.40    26.14P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   68  +19       6.96    76.45    11.26    75.43     2.87    19.85     0.00     0.01    86.80    14.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         41   63   +8       4.63    69.06     4.16    70.54     2.88     9.07     0.00     0.00    12.65     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         41   60   +0       1.54    56.82    -3.87    66.47     2.78    -0.45     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      40   59   +6       4.88    70.03     6.16    66.83     3.15     5.64     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   56   +0       2.19    59.62     1.99    62.87     2.82     0.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             41   55   +4      -6.03    27.28    -3.50    61.85     2.83     4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   41   53   -4      -4.42    32.59    -6.24    59.70     2.83    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   52   -4      -3.02    38.03    -4.18    60.67     3.23    -3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         40   51   -1      -1.53    43.83     1.65    57.56     3.00    -3.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    40   48  -10       0.20    51.38    -0.82    55.39     3.04   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       41   47   -1      -9.04    16.90    -1.84    54.91     2.91     0.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Fulham          41   47   -4      -5.97    27.47     1.79    53.51     2.88    -4.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Bristol_City    41   47  -19      -0.73    48.09    -6.12    52.24     2.81   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Huddersfield    41   46   -5      -4.50    32.20     3.69    52.43     2.94    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   40   46   -6      -5.95    26.22    -2.85    54.17     3.21    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Rotherham       41   46  -13       0.66    53.66     3.56    51.59     2.76   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67R    0.00  
MK_Dons         41   37  -25      -7.56    21.05    -8.27    42.20     2.75   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.30R    0.09  
Charlton        41   36  -35      -4.61    31.01   -11.79    40.84     2.72   -37.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.58R    0.79  
Bolton          41   26  -38     -14.16     5.28   -13.06    30.70     2.67   -41.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.13  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Barnsley 1 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            41   80  +35       2.38    58.83     3.04    89.22     2.87    38.41    91.75    99.44   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    41   76  +16      15.72    94.53     9.65    83.20     2.96    16.59     7.42    66.75    99.95    74.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         41   70   +9      10.61    86.33     3.80    77.03     2.92     9.35     0.03     3.42    90.90    21.89P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   69  +18       2.68    60.19     2.84    76.96     2.94    19.59     0.03     4.47    93.01    30.34P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       40   68  +21       5.54    71.30     9.48    77.32     3.24    22.64     0.15     9.70    93.24    30.83P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   68  +16       8.44    81.34     6.82    78.94     3.49    18.00     0.62    16.18    95.45    36.24P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         40   62  +11       0.46    51.99     1.11    70.87     3.16    12.09     0.00     0.04    19.31     5.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   61   +6       2.30    59.33     2.40    68.82     3.01     7.42     0.00     0.00     5.84     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   59   +6       2.55    60.49     5.39    66.23     2.95     6.51     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        41   59   +5      -3.45    36.14    -4.39    66.32     2.97     5.67     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         41   59   +1       5.49    71.25     4.72    64.96     2.82    -0.33     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        42   59   -1       3.44    64.02     1.81    63.83     2.57    -1.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         41   57  +14      -4.11    34.01     6.63    64.38     2.96    14.79     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   54   +4      -6.26    26.35    -1.91    61.72     3.00     5.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bury             41   54  -13       6.43    74.89     0.39    59.39     2.85   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          41   51  -10      -6.47    26.13   -11.55    58.49     2.96    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Chesterfield     41   49   -9      -6.27    26.25    -7.33    56.08     2.95    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.29R    0.00  
Oldham           40   47  -10      -1.48    44.23    -1.34    54.05     3.09   -11.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.98R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   41   46   -3      -6.34    25.57     2.06    52.95     2.84    -2.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.48R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       40   46  -16      -2.23    41.70    -5.93    52.48     3.14   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.46R    0.00  
Blackpool        42   45  -12      -7.12    23.67    -4.97    49.00     2.45   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.92R    0.00  
Doncaster        41   38  -18     -12.18     9.68    -9.42    44.01     2.86   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.59R    1.63  
Colchester       41   38  -35      -2.93    38.75    -8.27    43.28     2.87   -37.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.10R    4.87  
Crewe            41   30  -35      -7.55    19.90    -5.01    35.68     2.85   -36.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.49  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Barnet 3 0 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          41   88  +32      18.87    97.27    12.50    96.18     2.98    33.96    99.66   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   76  +37       4.79    68.53    14.97    84.98     2.91    40.09     0.31    87.57   100.00    91.56P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   74  +21      12.83    89.89    13.74    82.27     2.98    23.16     0.02    49.34   100.00    60.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       41   72  +24       6.93    75.17    10.95    80.85     2.95    26.86     0.00    33.22    99.95    50.97P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             41   71  +19       5.05    69.81     4.87    79.06     2.92    20.78     0.00    12.87    99.64    36.46P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           40   69  +31       1.90    57.52    12.90    78.78     3.25    33.25     0.00    16.98    98.97    41.25P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   62  +10       5.68    71.87     7.80    70.93     3.28    11.02     0.00     0.02    49.32     8.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   62   +6       0.67    52.75    -1.78    68.92     2.89     6.20     0.00     0.00    17.28     3.82P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   62   +4       4.40    67.29     2.14    68.72     2.97     3.77     0.00     0.00    15.03     2.69P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             41   60   +2       4.67    68.30     3.81    66.55     2.99     1.47     0.00     0.00     4.73     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        41   60   -1      -4.42    33.13   -13.12    68.10     2.96     0.83     0.00     0.00    11.38     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        41   59   +3       4.37    67.44     5.45    65.81     2.99     2.95     0.00     0.00     3.18     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   56   +3       4.04    66.77     8.81    62.40     2.92     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               41   54   -5       3.12    63.10     3.40    60.51     2.94    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                40   53   -2      -2.76    39.18    -3.52    61.28     3.23    -1.94     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           40   48  -13       2.70    62.06     1.11    54.20     3.06   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         41   47  -24      -2.65    39.96   -14.05    53.22     2.94   -25.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         40   45  -18      -6.81    24.94   -13.18    53.67     3.33   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   43  -12      -8.28    20.05    -3.48    49.58     3.00   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil               41   43  -15      -8.91    18.26    -9.78    48.59     2.83   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County       41   41  -18      -6.48    25.02    -5.54    46.48     2.84   -19.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Stevenage            41   39  -19     -12.72     9.31   -12.22    45.30     2.93   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.01  
York                 41   30  -31     -13.90     6.30   -12.37    35.04     2.79   -33.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.35R   33.51  
Dag_&_Red            40   28  -34     -13.55     6.58   -13.41    33.63     2.99   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   66.48  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Altrincham 0 0 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       43   92  +52       4.43    67.41     8.51    98.36     2.03    55.60    99.50   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     43   86  +28      11.52    87.87     4.80    91.40     2.20    30.01     0.50   100.00    27.17P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   42   77  +23       9.58    83.08     8.27    82.46     2.64    22.95     0.00    99.25    15.17P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   76  +38      -2.17    40.24     4.83    84.64     2.87    40.71     0.00    99.66    37.59P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   72  +16      -2.25    40.74    -6.44    76.45     2.27    16.50     0.00    47.73    11.57P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   42   69  +12       6.83    76.02     4.93    74.25     2.48    11.77     0.00    10.93     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        41   68   +9       5.57    71.63    -0.16    76.15     2.94    11.00     0.00    36.56     5.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          42   66  +19      -0.61    47.63     5.69    71.95     2.59    19.70     0.00     5.87     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        43   64  -10       7.66    78.16    -5.67    68.25     2.28    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     42   61  +12      -2.90    38.39     2.68    67.12     2.58    12.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     43   60   +4       0.81    53.38     4.19    63.48     2.14     2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          43   60   +1       4.15    65.91     6.75    64.53     2.30     1.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           42   60   -7       8.91    81.52     4.18    64.43     2.58    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        43   53  -18       1.71    57.74    -6.22    57.29     2.24   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           42   52   +2      -9.66    16.63    -3.70    56.72     2.58     0.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        43   51  -13       2.91    62.61     3.17    54.96     2.25   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   45  -11      -5.80    28.13     2.65    48.71     2.11   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00R    0.00  
Torquay          42   44  -25      -6.71    24.48   -14.11    49.90     2.65   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.91R    0.00  
Guiseley         42   43  -24       0.91    54.72    -0.30    47.09     2.46   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.93R    0.01  
Halifax          41   43  -25      -6.28    25.85   -13.05    47.70     2.69   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.06R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     43   41  -10      -7.87    21.14     3.34    45.04     2.20    -9.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.38R    0.06  
Altrincham       42   41  -23      -2.75    39.12    -1.30    45.06     2.41   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.75R    0.62  
Welling          43   35  -26      -9.04    16.41    -4.18    38.60     2.19   -26.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.56R   41.89  
Kidderminster    42   32  -24     -15.64     4.32    -8.85    37.40     2.64   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.41R   57.43