Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 10 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 April 2016, Liverpool 4 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 33 72 +26 20.51 99.19 16.79 79.02 2.92 26.21 85.39 97.89 99.93 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 33 65 +35 5.83 75.41 13.66 73.85 2.87 37.95 12.23 72.46 95.56 99.61 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 32 59 +22 0.50 51.70 -0.47 71.40 2.90 28.67 2.18 24.06 74.51 96.13 99.96 0.00 0.00 Man_City 32 57 +25 -6.48 20.63 -6.40 67.90 3.18 29.12 0.20 5.44 27.50 77.63 98.91 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 32 53 +9 0.09 50.28 -4.25 64.56 3.08 13.95 0.00 0.15 2.18 20.11 87.72 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 32 52 +12 5.77 75.53 8.71 60.72 3.22 12.72 0.00 0.01 0.18 3.53 51.44 0.00 0.00 Southampton 33 50 +10 -1.85 41.33 0.25 57.26 2.86 10.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 12.50 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 31 48 +8 -0.98 44.95 -1.71 60.17 3.52 11.98 0.00 0.00 0.13 2.78 45.35 0.00 0.00 Stoke 33 47 -6 4.95 72.51 -1.48 53.12 2.79 -7.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.66 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 32 44 +7 -13.11 5.56 -13.20 53.95 3.25 9.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 33 41 -15 5.16 73.79 1.28 45.65 2.72 -18.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 33 40 -8 -1.68 42.62 -2.65 45.52 2.81 -9.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 West_Brom 32 40 -8 2.14 60.95 0.54 46.44 3.03 -10.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 31 39 +9 -8.32 15.64 1.96 50.34 3.52 11.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.00 0.00 Watford 32 38 -6 1.20 56.94 4.45 46.01 3.15 -6.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 32 37 -7 -0.88 46.67 1.80 43.22 2.97 -9.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Norwich 33 31 -22 -2.37 39.69 -2.51 35.95 2.68 -25.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.91R 0.00 Sunderland 32 27 -21 -4.80 27.43 -1.50 32.64 2.98 -24.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.75R 0.01 Newcastle 32 25 -29 -4.81 27.15 -5.28 30.79 2.94 -33.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.27R 0.32 Aston_Villa 33 16 -41 -9.99 7.68 -9.98 19.75 2.41 -46.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.68Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Bristol_City 4 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 41 80 +31 6.81 75.89 6.15 88.45 2.89 33.28 42.39 85.80 100.00 90.25P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 40 79 +30 8.22 81.34 7.13 89.33 3.10 32.97 52.98 88.02 100.00 91.73P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 40 75 +18 14.01 93.25 8.60 83.87 3.15 19.09 3.72 17.51 99.99 34.18P 0.00 0.00 Hull 40 70 +27 -0.05 49.51 5.04 81.86 3.08 32.20 0.90 8.04 99.89 40.25P 0.00 0.00 Derby 41 70 +22 0.21 50.74 1.35 78.51 2.93 24.43 0.02 0.61 98.40 26.14P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 41 68 +19 6.96 76.45 11.26 75.43 2.87 19.85 0.00 0.01 86.80 14.94P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 41 63 +8 4.63 69.06 4.16 70.54 2.88 9.07 0.00 0.00 12.65 2.12P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 41 60 +0 1.54 56.82 -3.87 66.47 2.78 -0.45 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 40 59 +6 4.88 70.03 6.16 66.83 3.15 5.64 0.00 0.00 1.44 0.24P 0.00 0.00 Preston 41 56 +0 2.19 59.62 1.99 62.87 2.82 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 41 55 +4 -6.03 27.28 -3.50 61.85 2.83 4.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 41 53 -4 -4.42 32.59 -6.24 59.70 2.83 -4.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 40 52 -4 -3.02 38.03 -4.18 60.67 3.23 -3.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 40 51 -1 -1.53 43.83 1.65 57.56 3.00 -3.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 40 48 -10 0.20 51.38 -0.82 55.39 3.04 -11.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Blackburn 41 47 -1 -9.04 16.90 -1.84 54.91 2.91 0.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Fulham 41 47 -4 -5.97 27.47 1.79 53.51 2.88 -4.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Bristol_City 41 47 -19 -0.73 48.09 -6.12 52.24 2.81 -21.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.66R 0.00 Huddersfield 41 46 -5 -4.50 32.20 3.69 52.43 2.94 -5.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 40 46 -6 -5.95 26.22 -2.85 54.17 3.21 -5.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23R 0.00 Rotherham 41 46 -13 0.66 53.66 3.56 51.59 2.76 -14.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67R 0.00 MK_Dons 41 37 -25 -7.56 21.05 -8.27 42.20 2.75 -27.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.30R 0.09 Charlton 41 36 -35 -4.61 31.01 -11.79 40.84 2.72 -37.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.58R 0.79 Bolton 41 26 -38 -14.16 5.28 -13.06 30.70 2.67 -41.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.13League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Barnsley 1 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 41 80 +35 2.38 58.83 3.04 89.22 2.87 38.41 91.75 99.44 100.00 99.67P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 41 76 +16 15.72 94.53 9.65 83.20 2.96 16.59 7.42 66.75 99.95 74.10P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 41 70 +9 10.61 86.33 3.80 77.03 2.92 9.35 0.03 3.42 90.90 21.89P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 41 69 +18 2.68 60.19 2.84 76.96 2.94 19.59 0.03 4.47 93.01 30.34P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 40 68 +21 5.54 71.30 9.48 77.32 3.24 22.64 0.15 9.70 93.24 30.83P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 39 68 +16 8.44 81.34 6.82 78.94 3.49 18.00 0.62 16.18 95.45 36.24P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 40 62 +11 0.46 51.99 1.11 70.87 3.16 12.09 0.00 0.04 19.31 5.02P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 41 61 +6 2.30 59.33 2.40 68.82 3.01 7.42 0.00 0.00 5.84 1.34P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 41 59 +6 2.55 60.49 5.39 66.23 2.95 6.51 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 41 59 +5 -3.45 36.14 -4.39 66.32 2.97 5.67 0.00 0.00 0.93 0.25P 0.00 0.00 Southend 41 59 +1 5.49 71.25 4.72 64.96 2.82 -0.33 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 42 59 -1 3.44 64.02 1.81 63.83 2.57 -1.95 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 41 57 +14 -4.11 34.01 6.63 64.38 2.96 14.79 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 41 54 +4 -6.26 26.35 -1.91 61.72 3.00 5.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Bury 41 54 -13 6.43 74.89 0.39 59.39 2.85 -15.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Swindon 41 51 -10 -6.47 26.13 -11.55 58.49 2.96 -9.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18R 0.00 Chesterfield 41 49 -9 -6.27 26.25 -7.33 56.08 2.95 -8.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.29R 0.00 Oldham 40 47 -10 -1.48 44.23 -1.34 54.05 3.09 -11.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.98R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 41 46 -3 -6.34 25.57 2.06 52.95 2.84 -2.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.48R 0.00 Shrewsbury 40 46 -16 -2.23 41.70 -5.93 52.48 3.14 -18.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.46R 0.00 Blackpool 42 45 -12 -7.12 23.67 -4.97 49.00 2.45 -14.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.92R 0.00 Doncaster 41 38 -18 -12.18 9.68 -9.42 44.01 2.86 -19.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.59R 1.63 Colchester 41 38 -35 -2.93 38.75 -8.27 43.28 2.87 -37.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.10R 4.87 Crewe 41 30 -35 -7.55 19.90 -5.01 35.68 2.85 -36.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 93.49League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Barnet 3 0 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 41 88 +32 18.87 97.27 12.50 96.18 2.98 33.96 99.66 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 41 76 +37 4.79 68.53 14.97 84.98 2.91 40.09 0.31 87.57 100.00 91.56P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 41 74 +21 12.83 89.89 13.74 82.27 2.98 23.16 0.02 49.34 100.00 60.18P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 41 72 +24 6.93 75.17 10.95 80.85 2.95 26.86 0.00 33.22 99.95 50.97P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 41 71 +19 5.05 69.81 4.87 79.06 2.92 20.78 0.00 12.87 99.64 36.46P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 40 69 +31 1.90 57.52 12.90 78.78 3.25 33.25 0.00 16.98 98.97 41.25P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 40 62 +10 5.68 71.87 7.80 70.93 3.28 11.02 0.00 0.02 49.32 8.85P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 41 62 +6 0.67 52.75 -1.78 68.92 2.89 6.20 0.00 0.00 17.28 3.82P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 41 62 +4 4.40 67.29 2.14 68.72 2.97 3.77 0.00 0.00 15.03 2.69P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 41 60 +2 4.67 68.30 3.81 66.55 2.99 1.47 0.00 0.00 4.73 0.76P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 41 60 -1 -4.42 33.13 -13.12 68.10 2.96 0.83 0.00 0.00 11.38 2.86P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 41 59 +3 4.37 67.44 5.45 65.81 2.99 2.95 0.00 0.00 3.18 0.53P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 41 56 +3 4.04 66.77 8.81 62.40 2.92 2.37 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 41 54 -5 3.12 63.10 3.40 60.51 2.94 -5.48 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Luton 40 53 -2 -2.76 39.18 -3.52 61.28 3.23 -1.94 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 40 48 -13 2.70 62.06 1.11 54.20 3.06 -16.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 41 47 -24 -2.65 39.96 -14.05 53.22 2.94 -25.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 40 45 -18 -6.81 24.94 -13.18 53.67 3.33 -17.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 41 43 -12 -8.28 20.05 -3.48 49.58 3.00 -12.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Yeovil 41 43 -15 -8.91 18.26 -9.78 48.59 2.83 -16.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Newport_County 41 41 -18 -6.48 25.02 -5.54 46.48 2.84 -19.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19R 0.00 Stevenage 41 39 -19 -12.72 9.31 -12.22 45.30 2.93 -19.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.68R 0.01 York 41 30 -31 -13.90 6.30 -12.37 35.04 2.79 -33.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.35R 33.51 Dag_&_Red 40 28 -34 -13.55 6.58 -13.41 33.63 2.99 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.75R 66.48National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Altrincham 0 0 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 43 92 +52 4.43 67.41 8.51 98.36 2.03 55.60 99.50 100.00 99.67P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 43 86 +28 11.52 87.87 4.80 91.40 2.20 30.01 0.50 100.00 27.17P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 42 77 +23 9.58 83.08 8.27 82.46 2.64 22.95 0.00 99.25 15.17P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 41 76 +38 -2.17 40.24 4.83 84.64 2.87 40.71 0.00 99.66 37.59P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 43 72 +16 -2.25 40.74 -6.44 76.45 2.27 16.50 0.00 47.73 11.57P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 42 69 +12 6.83 76.02 4.93 74.25 2.48 11.77 0.00 10.93 1.83P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 41 68 +9 5.57 71.63 -0.16 76.15 2.94 11.00 0.00 36.56 5.85P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 42 66 +19 -0.61 47.63 5.69 71.95 2.59 19.70 0.00 5.87 1.15P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 43 64 -10 7.66 78.16 -5.67 68.25 2.28 -9.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 42 61 +12 -2.90 38.39 2.68 67.12 2.58 12.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 43 60 +4 0.81 53.38 4.19 63.48 2.14 2.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 43 60 +1 4.15 65.91 6.75 64.53 2.30 1.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 42 60 -7 8.91 81.52 4.18 64.43 2.58 -8.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 43 53 -18 1.71 57.74 -6.22 57.29 2.24 -17.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 42 52 +2 -9.66 16.63 -3.70 56.72 2.58 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 43 51 -13 2.91 62.61 3.17 54.96 2.25 -13.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 43 45 -11 -5.80 28.13 2.65 48.71 2.11 -11.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00R 0.00 Torquay 42 44 -25 -6.71 24.48 -14.11 49.90 2.65 -24.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.91R 0.00 Guiseley 42 43 -24 0.91 54.72 -0.30 47.09 2.46 -25.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.93R 0.01 Halifax 41 43 -25 -6.28 25.85 -13.05 47.70 2.69 -28.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.06R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 43 41 -10 -7.87 21.14 3.34 45.04 2.20 -9.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.38R 0.06 Altrincham 42 41 -23 -2.75 39.12 -1.30 45.06 2.41 -25.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.75R 0.62 Welling 43 35 -26 -9.04 16.41 -4.18 38.60 2.19 -26.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.56R 41.89 Kidderminster 42 32 -24 -15.64 4.32 -8.85 37.40 2.64 -24.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.41R 57.43