Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 9 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Aston_Villa 1 2 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        32   69  +24      19.81    99.20    16.14    77.67     3.20    24.63    80.56    95.13    99.41    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   62  +32       5.31    73.81    12.45    72.17     3.21    34.88    12.28    54.90    84.39    95.69    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   59  +22       0.13    50.16    -0.99    71.42     2.91    28.67     6.09    37.69    75.11    94.30    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   57  +25      -6.62    20.26    -6.68    67.92     3.16    29.14     0.84     9.67    30.55    71.87    99.03     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          31   53  +12       0.46    51.96    -2.66    65.92     3.35    16.98     0.23     2.61    10.22    34.01    94.13     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   52  +12       5.87    76.15     8.90    60.66     3.22    12.66     0.00     0.01     0.24     2.85    54.84     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   50  +10      -1.83    41.46     0.29    57.28     2.85    10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    13.99     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   47   -3       5.05    73.41    -0.43    54.22     3.10    -4.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.06     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        30   45   +5      -1.38    43.42    -2.84    58.75     3.80     9.24     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.14    30.88     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          32   44   +7     -13.01     5.80   -13.07    53.97     3.28     9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.61     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      33   41  -15       5.33    74.24     1.46    45.65     2.71   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          33   40   -8      -1.58    42.93    -2.59    45.59     2.84    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom        32   40   -8       2.12    61.31     0.50    46.51     3.04   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   39   +9      -8.35    15.41     1.93    50.40     3.51    11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.01R    0.00  
Watford          32   38   -6       1.47    57.79     4.90    45.98     3.15    -6.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   37   -7      -0.99    45.94     1.64    43.17     2.99   -10.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Norwich          33   31  -22      -2.54    38.81    -2.91    35.93     2.68   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.95R    0.00  
Sunderland       31   27  -19      -4.28    29.41    -0.83    33.65     3.28   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.99R    0.00  
Newcastle        32   25  -29      -4.61    28.22    -5.10    30.81     2.96   -33.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.87R    0.26  
Aston_Villa      33   16  -41     -10.00     7.63   -10.11    19.74     2.41   -46.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.73  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Bristol_City 4 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         41   80  +31       6.99    76.59     6.33    88.42     2.89    33.25    42.00    85.61   100.00    90.06P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   40   79  +30       8.31    81.62     7.19    89.30     3.11    32.94    53.11    87.59   100.00    91.48P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        40   75  +18      14.01    93.36     8.54    83.92     3.16    19.15     3.95    17.91    99.97    34.16P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            40   70  +27      -0.15    49.07     4.94    81.86     3.08    32.21     0.93     8.21    99.89    40.15P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   70  +22       0.28    50.95     1.44    78.50     2.93    24.41     0.01     0.67    98.34    26.28P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   68  +19       6.62    75.68    10.84    75.50     2.87    19.94     0.00     0.01    87.28    15.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         41   63   +8       4.51    68.37     4.03    70.53     2.88     9.03     0.00     0.00    12.38     2.07P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         41   60   +0       1.60    56.98    -3.84    66.46     2.77    -0.46     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      40   59   +6       4.87    70.25     6.12    66.87     3.13     5.66     0.00     0.00     1.31     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   56   +0       2.15    59.43     1.85    62.91     2.83     0.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             41   55   +4      -5.76    28.40    -3.12    61.83     2.85     4.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   41   53   -4      -4.50    32.24    -6.37    59.73     2.84    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   52   -4      -3.08    37.57    -4.29    60.68     3.22    -3.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         40   51   -1      -1.39    44.41     1.87    57.56     3.03    -3.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    40   48  -10       0.15    51.38    -0.89    55.35     3.05   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       41   47   -1      -8.99    17.05    -1.76    54.90     2.94     0.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Fulham          41   47   -4      -5.96    27.50     1.84    53.52     2.88    -4.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Bristol_City    41   47  -19      -0.72    47.82    -6.06    52.23     2.81   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Huddersfield    41   46   -5      -4.56    31.77     3.62    52.46     2.94    -5.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   40   46   -6      -5.89    26.54    -2.76    54.16     3.25    -6.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Rotherham       41   46  -13       0.78    54.07     3.70    51.57     2.77   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.00  
MK_Dons         41   37  -25      -7.41    21.76    -8.03    42.17     2.74   -27.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.40R    0.06  
Charlton        41   36  -35      -4.51    31.61   -11.60    40.82     2.71   -37.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.64R    0.76  
Bolton          41   26  -38     -14.44     4.76   -13.58    30.73     2.65   -41.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.18  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Barnsley 1 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            41   80  +35       2.53    59.78     3.29    89.20     2.87    38.39    91.46    99.36   100.00    99.59P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    41   76  +16      15.81    94.64     9.75    83.21     2.96    16.61     7.71    66.46    99.96    73.75P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         41   70   +9      10.56    86.40     3.76    77.01     2.92     9.33     0.03     3.26    90.77    21.94P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   69  +18       2.48    59.79     2.51    76.99     2.96    19.62     0.02     4.71    93.24    30.96P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       40   68  +21       5.80    72.21     9.89    77.29     3.26    22.58     0.16     9.55    93.07    30.45P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   68  +16       8.30    80.93     6.63    79.00     3.48    18.07     0.61    16.60    95.78    36.53P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         40   62  +11       0.72    53.28     1.45    70.84     3.15    12.04     0.00     0.06    18.94     4.90P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   61   +6       2.21    58.98     2.27    68.85     3.00     7.47     0.00     0.00     5.94     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   59   +6       2.59    60.69     5.48    66.20     2.93     6.48     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        41   59   +5      -3.58    35.87    -4.51    66.33     2.99     5.70     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         41   59   +1       5.57    71.71     4.84    64.92     2.81    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        42   59   -1       3.56    64.56     1.93    63.83     2.58    -1.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         41   57  +14      -4.20    33.74     6.49    64.37     2.97    14.77     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   54   +4      -6.29    26.57    -1.93    61.73     3.00     5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             41   54  -13       6.35    74.75     0.18    59.40     2.84   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          41   51  -10      -6.50    25.76   -11.57    58.46     2.96    -9.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Chesterfield     41   49   -9      -6.27    26.44    -7.32    56.06     2.94    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.30R    0.00  
Oldham           40   47  -10      -1.64    43.83    -1.61    54.06     3.08   -11.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.95R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   41   46   -3      -6.46    25.11     1.88    52.98     2.83    -2.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.18R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       40   46  -16      -2.24    41.42    -6.00    52.49     3.14   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.43R    0.00  
Blackpool        42   45  -12      -7.01    23.99    -4.79    48.99     2.45   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.51R    0.00  
Doncaster        41   38  -18     -12.23     9.60    -9.40    44.07     2.86   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.35R    1.68  
Colchester       41   38  -35      -2.89    38.81    -8.22    43.29     2.87   -37.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.09R    4.74  
Crewe            41   30  -35      -7.52    19.97    -4.99    35.64     2.83   -36.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.58  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Barnet 3 0 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          41   88  +32      18.77    97.23    12.35    96.23     2.98    34.04    99.63   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   76  +37       4.76    68.42    14.86    84.98     2.92    40.08     0.35    87.61   100.00    91.55P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   74  +21      12.97    90.25    14.01    82.25     2.97    23.12     0.02    49.33    99.99    59.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       41   72  +24       7.01    75.41    11.10    80.81     2.94    26.84     0.00    32.99    99.93    50.59P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             41   71  +19       5.17    70.14     5.03    79.05     2.91    20.76     0.00    12.99    99.60    36.90P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           40   69  +31       1.72    56.69    12.63    78.76     3.26    33.23     0.00    17.04    98.90    41.53P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   62  +10       5.47    71.17     7.49    70.96     3.29    11.08     0.00     0.04    49.40     9.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   62   +6       0.38    51.69    -2.15    68.97     2.88     6.26     0.00     0.00    17.56     4.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   62   +4       4.53    67.70     2.35    68.72     2.98     3.76     0.00     0.00    15.04     2.64P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             41   60   +2       4.55    67.91     3.58    66.53     2.98     1.44     0.00     0.00     4.58     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        41   60   -1      -4.14    34.21   -12.75    68.07     2.95     0.81     0.00     0.00    11.16     2.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        41   59   +3       4.34    67.22     5.45    65.83     3.00     2.98     0.00     0.00     3.31     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   56   +3       4.20    67.32     9.02    62.42     2.94     2.38     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               41   54   -5       3.22    63.11     3.56    60.48     2.96    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton                40   53   -2      -2.59    39.81    -3.38    61.27     3.22    -1.98     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           40   48  -13       2.64    61.75     1.03    54.19     3.06   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         41   47  -24      -2.59    40.36   -14.05    53.21     2.95   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         40   45  -18      -7.04    24.02   -13.44    53.68     3.32   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   43  -12      -8.46    19.96    -3.61    49.57     3.00   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil               41   43  -15      -8.62    19.17    -9.35    48.55     2.81   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County       41   41  -18      -6.42    25.32    -5.51    46.50     2.84   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Stevenage            41   39  -19     -12.82     9.28   -12.35    45.32     2.94   -19.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.01  
York                 41   30  -31     -13.97     6.36   -12.38    35.05     2.79   -33.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.34R   33.65  
Dag_&_Red            40   28  -34     -13.63     6.60   -13.49    33.66     3.00   -37.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.74R   66.34  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2016, Altrincham 0 0 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       43   92  +52       4.43    67.42     8.51    98.34     2.04    55.59    99.44   100.00    99.66P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     43   86  +28      11.92    88.75     5.42    91.38     2.21    29.97     0.56   100.00    26.68P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   42   77  +23       9.57    83.41     8.26    82.46     2.64    22.97     0.00    99.23    15.58P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   76  +38      -2.15    40.38     4.84    84.62     2.90    40.69     0.00    99.61    37.23P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   72  +16      -2.68    38.96    -7.09    76.47     2.26    16.51     0.00    47.94    11.93P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   42   69  +12       7.06    76.72     5.21    74.23     2.48    11.75     0.00    10.95     1.95P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        41   68   +9       5.52    71.35    -0.18    76.18     2.94    11.01     0.00    36.55     5.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          42   66  +19      -0.64    47.26     5.60    71.93     2.59    19.67     0.00     5.73     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        43   64  -10       7.72    78.64    -5.56    68.28     2.29    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     42   61  +12      -3.01    38.03     2.52    67.15     2.58    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     43   60   +4       0.99    54.49     4.46    63.49     2.14     2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          43   60   +1       4.40    66.95     7.06    64.49     2.29     1.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           42   60   -7       9.03    81.48     4.38    64.41     2.58    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        43   53  -18       1.66    57.35    -6.30    57.30     2.25   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           42   52   +2      -9.81    15.91    -3.90    56.73     2.59     0.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        43   51  -13       3.08    63.25     3.45    54.94     2.24   -13.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   45  -11      -5.78    27.93     2.63    48.71     2.13   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.97R    0.00  
Torquay          42   44  -25      -6.68    24.69   -14.06    49.90     2.64   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.10R    0.00  
Guiseley         42   43  -24       0.98    55.32    -0.21    47.08     2.43   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.88R    0.00  
Halifax          41   43  -25      -6.37    25.60   -13.18    47.71     2.69   -28.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.31R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood     43   41  -10      -8.15    20.30     2.90    45.09     2.19    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.75R    0.07  
Altrincham       42   41  -23      -2.77    39.16    -1.31    45.07     2.41   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.09R    0.52  
Welling          43   35  -26      -9.19    15.89    -4.40    38.59     2.19   -26.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.46R   42.22  
Kidderminster    42   32  -24     -15.79     4.26    -9.05    37.42     2.63   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.45R   57.18