Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 8 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 April 2016, Leicester 1 0 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        32   69  +24      19.73    99.10    16.05    77.67     3.20    24.61    78.04    94.36    99.35    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   62  +32       5.31    73.74    12.43    72.13     3.20    34.82    11.20    51.05    84.69    96.06    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          31   58  +22       0.88    53.85    -0.31    72.04     3.23    28.99    10.04    44.94    80.50    95.17    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   54  +24      -7.49    17.08    -6.40    67.14     3.40    29.46     0.50     7.05    23.89    64.23    97.72     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          31   53  +12       0.53    52.51    -2.58    65.90     3.37    16.95     0.22     2.54    10.84    37.99    93.98     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         31   51  +12       6.18    77.66     8.71    60.73     3.46    12.24     0.00     0.06     0.63     4.75    53.38     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   47   +8      -2.45    38.69    -0.23    56.39     3.13     9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     9.80     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   47   -3       5.14    73.89    -0.34    54.21     3.09    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.84     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        30   45   +5      -1.34    43.58    -2.77    58.75     3.82     9.25     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.51    30.51     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          31   44   +8     -11.82     7.31   -12.44    55.82     3.55    11.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19    10.83     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        31   40   -7       2.92    65.04     0.46    47.08     3.23   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          30   38   +9      -7.69    17.10     2.32    50.96     3.79    12.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      32   38  -16       3.99    69.29     0.90    44.14     3.04   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Watford          31   37   -6       1.78    59.38     4.84    46.12     3.43    -6.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05R    0.00  
Swansea          32   37   -9      -3.14    35.31    -3.45    43.53     3.12   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   34   -8      -2.17    39.91     1.39    41.79     3.30   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.19R    0.00  
Norwich          32   31  -21      -1.82    42.23    -2.77    37.09     2.98   -24.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.30R    0.00  
Sunderland       31   27  -19      -4.38    29.09    -0.98    33.65     3.27   -23.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.17R    0.05  
Newcastle        31   25  -27      -4.39    28.86    -5.05    31.57     3.19   -32.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.81R    0.79  
Aston_Villa      32   16  -40      -8.99     9.68    -9.78    20.95     2.77   -45.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.16  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2016, Birmingham 1 2 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         40   77  +30       5.96    73.16     6.16    87.56     3.16    33.31    41.46    77.17   100.00    84.24P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   39   76  +29       7.19    78.42     6.86    88.17     3.40    32.60    48.05    78.92   100.00    85.44P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        40   75  +18      14.10    93.47     8.65    83.93     3.16    19.17     6.25    23.65    99.91    38.96P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            39   69  +27       0.61    52.12     5.52    82.62     3.32    32.74     4.20    19.16    99.71    47.29P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   68  +22       7.11    77.75    12.60    77.11     3.18    23.28     0.02     0.46    87.90    16.65P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           40   67  +19       0.16    50.53     0.81    77.64     3.17    22.66     0.02     0.65    92.17    23.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         40   63   +9       5.65    72.57     4.62    71.87     3.20     9.98     0.00     0.00    17.36     3.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         40   60   +2       2.38    59.99    -2.67    68.21     3.10     2.11     0.00     0.00     2.62     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      39   56   +4       3.70    66.09     4.82    64.95     3.38     3.29     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   56   +1       2.73    61.91     1.93    63.66     3.06     0.48     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             40   52   +3      -6.76    24.61    -3.16    60.90     3.11     4.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   40   52   -4      -4.02    34.04    -6.21    60.32     3.14    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         39   51   +1      -0.98    46.41     2.48    59.18     3.31    -0.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   49   -6      -3.81    34.51    -4.84    58.53     3.48    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    39   48   -9       0.95    54.70    -0.68    56.02     3.23   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       40   46   -1      -8.66    17.91    -1.76    55.07     3.20     0.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   40   46   -6      -5.76    27.03    -2.56    54.17     3.23    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Huddersfield    40   45   -5      -4.22    33.19     3.52    52.58     3.22    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.00  
Fulham          40   44   -5      -7.43    21.92     1.14    51.91     3.19    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.66R    0.00  
Bristol_City    40   44  -22      -1.31    45.30    -7.55    50.30     3.08   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.37R    0.00  
Rotherham       40   43  -17       0.52    53.24     1.80    49.48     3.05   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.33R    0.00  
MK_Dons         40   37  -21      -7.75    20.24    -6.73    44.04     3.09   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.02R    0.08  
Charlton        40   36  -34      -3.88    33.85   -11.81    41.54     2.95   -37.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.68R    1.22  
Bolton          40   26  -35     -14.36     4.76   -12.93    31.34     2.85   -39.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.70  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2016, Fleetwood_Town 2 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            40   77  +34       1.24    54.72     2.69    88.11     3.17    38.15    76.76    96.23   100.00    97.69P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    40   76  +17      16.63    95.60    10.01    84.55     3.24    17.59    19.37    69.99    99.95    76.44P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          38   68  +17       9.33    84.11     7.19    80.55     3.76    19.33     3.27    22.96    97.25    41.99P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       39   67  +21       5.80    72.75     9.31    77.51     3.54    22.35     0.51     7.78    91.16    28.50P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         40   67   +8       9.31    83.66     3.37    75.57     3.22     8.60     0.02     1.07    75.47    17.14P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         40   66  +16       2.02    57.90     2.31    75.87     3.23    18.37     0.05     1.68    82.88    24.91P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   62  +12       2.05    58.37     2.37    72.70     3.46    13.77     0.01     0.30    43.78    11.06P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   58   +5      -3.05    37.83    -4.35    66.85     3.28     5.90     0.00     0.00     3.13     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         40   58   +5       0.75    53.12     1.51    66.93     3.31     5.98     0.00     0.00     3.09     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         40   58   +1       5.97    73.23     4.84    65.51     3.11    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   57  +15      -3.46    35.94     6.54    65.25     3.21    15.03     0.00     0.00     1.56     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       40   56   +5       1.34    55.99     5.12    64.60     3.24     5.51     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        41   56   -4       3.29    63.61     0.98    62.66     2.90    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   54   +5      -4.93    30.80    -0.98    63.38     3.31     6.72     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          40   51   -9      -5.51    28.71   -11.15    59.65     3.26    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Bury             40   51  -14       5.35    71.63     0.27    57.84     3.16   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67R    0.00  
Chesterfield     40   46  -10      -7.65    21.49    -8.00    54.01     3.23   -10.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.31R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       39   46  -14      -2.12    41.63    -5.90    53.39     3.38   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.55R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   40   45   -3      -6.16    26.27     1.77    53.09     3.11    -3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.24R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   45  -11      -6.19    26.70    -4.44    50.89     2.83   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.67R    0.00  
Oldham           39   44  -11      -3.10    37.60    -2.16    52.23     3.35   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.12R    0.00  
Doncaster        40   38  -17     -11.03    11.90    -8.60    45.29     3.19   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.57R    1.17  
Colchester       40   35  -36      -4.59    31.81    -9.09    41.17     3.14   -39.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.62R   20.12  
Crewe            40   30  -32      -7.12    21.36    -3.61    36.63     3.11   -34.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.71  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2016, Carlisle 1 0 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          40   87  +32      19.33    97.73    12.69    96.63     3.28    34.07    99.74   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   73  +33       4.91    69.32    13.56    83.53     3.24    36.34     0.20    75.99    99.99    83.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       40   71  +24       7.28    76.89    10.99    81.09     3.23    26.69     0.04    42.98    99.86    57.85P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             40   71  +20       6.08    73.17     5.35    80.77     3.20    22.25     0.01    35.22    99.77    53.03P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   71  +19      12.08    88.82    13.07    80.53     3.29    21.00     0.01    31.79    99.71    45.14P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   66  +28       1.70    56.92    12.03    77.55     3.51    30.86     0.00    13.98    96.40    38.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   61   +6       1.13    54.99    -1.64    69.77     3.18     6.87     0.00     0.02    27.63     6.32P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             40   60   +3       5.65    71.76     4.13    68.10     3.30     2.74     0.00     0.00    12.82     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        40   60   +2      -3.98    34.40   -11.53    69.92     3.25     4.51     0.00     0.01    28.56     7.95P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   59   +9       4.23    67.03     7.13    68.94     3.51     9.50     0.00     0.02    25.31     4.60P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               40   59   +2       3.66    64.65     1.46    67.00     3.26     1.64     0.00     0.00     7.15     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        40   56   +2       3.04    62.60     4.96    64.22     3.29     1.99     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            40   53   +2       2.84    62.31     8.38    60.61     3.23     1.10     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                39   53   +0      -1.97    41.92    -2.41    62.77     3.52     0.21     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               40   51   -8       2.63    61.24     2.19    58.35     3.23    -9.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         40   47  -20      -3.08    38.37   -13.01    54.39     3.22   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           39   45  -16       2.10    59.90    -0.61    52.17     3.31   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            40   43   -9      -7.85    21.27    -2.16    51.42     3.31    -8.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil               40   43  -13      -8.31    19.30    -8.84    49.98     3.13   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County         39   42  -19      -8.06    20.56   -13.50    52.22     3.61   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Newport_County       40   41  -17      -5.48    28.58    -5.03    47.82     3.14   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.01  
Stevenage            40   39  -18     -11.82    10.67   -11.92    46.60     3.26   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.01  
York                 40   29  -31     -13.76     6.42   -12.56    35.06     3.08   -34.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.34R   43.76  
Dag_&_Red            39   28  -31     -13.54     6.42   -12.72    34.52     3.24   -35.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.46R   56.22  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2016, Aldershot 3 4 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       42   89  +50       4.00    66.04     8.24    97.47     2.38    54.69    95.72   100.00    97.43P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     42   85  +28      12.15    89.54     5.16    91.77     2.58    30.03     4.23   100.00    30.21P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   75  +38      -1.51    42.94     5.04    85.63     3.18    41.68     0.05    99.67    38.11P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   41   74  +22       8.30    80.29     7.78    80.52     2.95    21.49     0.00    92.39    13.77P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   69  +15      -3.58    35.60    -7.12    75.11     2.65    15.91     0.00    31.64     7.77P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   41   68  +12       7.24    77.68     5.04    74.52     2.81    11.67     0.00    19.23     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        40   67   +9       5.84    72.60    -0.28    75.94     3.18    10.02     0.00    37.85     5.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          41   66  +20       0.57    52.20     6.32    73.57     2.92    21.07     0.00    19.02     3.59P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        42   63  -10       7.78    78.98    -6.05    68.32     2.62   -10.27     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     41   60  +12      -2.40    40.42     2.79    67.67     2.89    13.23     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          42   59   +1       4.48    67.48     6.81    65.02     2.68     1.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           41   59   -7       9.43    83.25     4.61    64.64     2.90    -8.96     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     42   57   +3      -0.26    49.24     4.07    62.27     2.52     2.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           41   51   +2      -9.39    16.53    -3.81    57.49     2.94     1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        42   50  -20       0.62    52.98    -7.30    55.39     2.59   -20.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        42   48  -15       1.96    59.24     2.35    53.03     2.54   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Chester          42   45  -10      -5.08    30.44     2.61    49.69     2.47   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.04R    0.00  
Torquay          41   44  -24      -5.69    27.90   -13.51    50.97     2.96   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.83R    0.00  
Guiseley         41   43  -22       1.25    56.31     0.21    47.71     2.66   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.78R    0.00  
Halifax          40   43  -23      -5.55    28.39   -11.95    49.43     3.03   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.68R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     42   41   -8      -7.43    22.44     4.08    46.70     2.57    -7.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.65R    0.01  
Altrincham       41   40  -23      -2.62    39.55    -1.44    45.37     2.77   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.13R    0.33  
Welling          42   35  -25      -8.35    18.25    -4.22    40.04     2.57   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.97R   19.38  
Kidderminster    41   29  -25     -17.05     2.86    -9.44    35.68     2.95   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   80.28