Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 6 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 April 2016, Leicester 1 0 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        32   69  +24      19.73    99.12    16.01    77.67     3.19    24.62    77.59    94.31    99.35    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   62  +32       5.37    73.96    12.53    72.16     3.20    34.86    11.47    50.95    84.61    96.23   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          31   58  +22       0.71    53.04    -0.57    72.09     3.22    29.09    10.19    45.20    81.16    95.28    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   54  +24      -7.50    17.11    -6.39    67.14     3.40    29.45     0.60     7.06    23.66    64.07    97.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          31   53  +12       0.51    52.28    -2.58    65.89     3.36    16.94     0.16     2.39    10.45    37.98    93.86     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         31   51  +12       6.21    77.66     8.82    60.72     3.48    12.22     0.00     0.07     0.68     4.73    53.16     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   47   +8      -2.35    39.10    -0.08    56.36     3.13     9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     9.73     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   47   -3       5.07    73.59    -0.51    54.22     3.09    -4.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.90     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        30   45   +5      -1.26    43.79    -2.64    58.72     3.80     9.21     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.41    30.67     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          31   44   +8     -11.86     7.21   -12.50    55.86     3.53    11.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    10.98     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        31   40   -7       2.95    65.24     0.52    47.06     3.22   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          30   38   +9      -7.84    16.68     2.10    51.02     3.79    12.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      32   38  -16       3.99    69.39     0.92    44.14     3.04   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Watford          31   37   -6       1.62    59.00     4.67    46.11     3.44    -6.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08R    0.00  
Swansea          32   37   -9      -3.15    35.36    -3.45    43.51     3.11   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   34   -8      -2.08    40.25     1.50    41.75     3.29   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.14R    0.00  
Norwich          32   31  -21      -1.84    42.04    -2.74    37.07     2.98   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.35R    0.00  
Sunderland       31   27  -19      -4.38    28.72    -1.03    33.65     3.28   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.20R    0.03  
Newcastle        31   25  -27      -4.30    29.34    -4.92    31.57     3.19   -32.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.79R    0.80  
Aston_Villa      32   16  -40      -8.93     9.77    -9.66    20.98     2.75   -45.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.17  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2016, Birmingham 1 2 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         40   77  +30       6.18    74.17     6.41    87.49     3.16    33.26    40.96    76.90   100.00    84.07P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   39   76  +29       7.44    79.38     7.19    88.17     3.38    32.57    48.19    79.10   100.00    85.63P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        40   75  +18      14.30    93.63     8.93    83.90     3.16    19.13     6.30    23.71    99.90    38.90P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            39   69  +27       0.51    51.80     5.39    82.62     3.36    32.76     4.48    19.26    99.63    47.41P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   68  +22       7.11    77.80    12.54    77.09     3.16    23.28     0.02     0.37    87.73    16.46P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           40   67  +19       0.23    50.96     0.97    77.64     3.16    22.66     0.05     0.65    91.90    24.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         40   63   +9       5.40    71.88     4.29    71.94     3.20    10.07     0.00     0.00    17.96     3.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         40   60   +2       2.43    60.34    -2.62    68.24     3.10     2.15     0.00     0.00     2.55     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      39   56   +4       3.73    65.94     4.87    64.94     3.39     3.28     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   56   +1       2.83    62.29     2.05    63.64     3.04     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             40   52   +3      -6.77    24.76    -3.22    60.91     3.10     4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   40   52   -4      -4.09    33.54    -6.28    60.30     3.16    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         39   51   +1      -0.86    46.67     2.59    59.22     3.31    -0.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   49   -6      -4.04    33.66    -5.18    58.56     3.46    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    39   48   -9       0.68    53.58    -1.03    56.06     3.26   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       40   46   -1      -8.74    17.63    -1.87    55.13     3.20     0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   40   46   -6      -5.92    26.50    -2.80    54.19     3.25    -5.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Huddersfield    40   45   -5      -4.15    33.39     3.69    52.52     3.22    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.29R    0.00  
Fulham          40   44   -5      -7.21    22.94     1.39    51.87     3.20    -5.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.75R    0.00  
Bristol_City    40   44  -22      -1.13    45.86    -7.28    50.29     3.07   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.17R    0.00  
Rotherham       40   43  -17       0.46    53.00     1.70    49.46     3.06   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.49R    0.00  
MK_Dons         40   37  -21      -7.89    19.89    -6.96    44.05     3.10   -22.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.89R    0.08  
Charlton        40   36  -34      -3.81    34.14   -11.67    41.55     2.96   -37.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.74R    1.24  
Bolton          40   26  -35     -14.48     4.83   -13.07    31.35     2.86   -39.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.69  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2016, Fleetwood_Town 2 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            40   77  +34       1.32    54.78     2.77    88.12     3.17    38.17    77.17    96.04   100.00    97.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    40   76  +17      16.73    95.73    10.15    84.53     3.24    17.55    18.92    69.53    99.96    76.16P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          38   68  +17       9.18    84.00     6.90    80.61     3.75    19.40     3.27    23.52    97.29    42.48P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       39   67  +21       5.82    72.79     9.36    77.52     3.53    22.36     0.58     7.97    91.18    28.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         40   67   +8       9.52    84.26     3.59    75.53     3.20     8.55     0.04     1.12    75.40    16.77P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         40   66  +16       2.18    58.45     2.60    75.86     3.21    18.34     0.02     1.54    82.51    24.92P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   62  +12       1.78    57.39     1.98    72.72     3.44    13.84     0.01     0.27    44.08    11.30P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   58   +5      -3.13    37.34    -4.48    66.90     3.29     5.97     0.00     0.00     3.35     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         40   58   +5       0.83    53.82     1.65    66.93     3.32     5.97     0.00     0.00     3.02     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         40   58   +1       5.93    73.18     4.79    65.53     3.11    -0.03     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   57  +15      -3.44    36.44     6.65    65.26     3.20    15.05     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       40   56   +5       1.43    56.45     5.27    64.58     3.25     5.50     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        41   56   -4       3.26    63.46     0.93    62.64     2.88    -4.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   54   +5      -5.00    30.52    -1.14    63.38     3.31     6.71     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          40   51   -9      -5.60    28.62   -11.28    59.66     3.25    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Bury             40   51  -14       5.19    71.02     0.08    57.85     3.19   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74R    0.00  
Chesterfield     40   46  -10      -7.54    21.82    -7.78    53.99     3.24   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.35R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       39   46  -14      -1.86    42.99    -5.53    53.34     3.35   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.39R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   40   45   -3      -6.15    26.06     1.83    53.08     3.13    -3.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.28R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   45  -11      -6.04    26.89    -4.21    50.86     2.83   -12.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.77R    0.00  
Oldham           39   44  -11      -3.14    37.38    -2.24    52.21     3.35   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.12R    0.00  
Doncaster        40   38  -17     -11.21    11.63    -8.87    45.31     3.19   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.47R    1.21  
Colchester       40   35  -36      -4.62    31.61    -9.11    41.16     3.11   -39.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.65R   20.24  
Crewe            40   30  -32      -7.32    20.45    -3.92    36.65     3.12   -34.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   78.55  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2016, Carlisle 1 0 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          40   87  +32      19.37    97.81    12.70    96.60     3.28    34.03    99.78   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   73  +33       4.92    69.34    13.56    83.56     3.22    36.38     0.19    76.50    99.99    83.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       40   71  +24       7.41    76.80    11.12    81.06     3.26    26.65     0.02    42.68    99.89    57.71P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             40   71  +20       6.33    74.39     5.70    80.77     3.20    22.25     0.00    34.94    99.69    52.68P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   71  +19      12.12    89.10    13.18    80.54     3.27    21.00     0.01    31.85    99.71    45.29P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   66  +28       1.52    56.06    11.81    77.57     3.51    30.88     0.00    13.99    96.35    38.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   61   +6       1.07    54.52    -1.76    69.77     3.19     6.89     0.00     0.01    27.27     6.37P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             40   60   +3       5.47    71.31     3.90    68.11     3.30     2.78     0.00     0.00    12.99     2.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        40   60   +2      -4.10    34.00   -11.70    69.92     3.26     4.50     0.00     0.00    28.86     7.73P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   59   +9       4.15    66.94     6.99    68.91     3.53     9.47     0.00     0.02    25.12     4.61P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               40   59   +2       3.54    64.44     1.26    67.04     3.26     1.68     0.00     0.00     7.31     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        40   56   +2       3.33    63.65     5.34    64.20     3.30     1.97     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            40   53   +2       2.80    61.68     8.28    60.63     3.24     1.14     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                39   53   +0      -1.96    42.15    -2.38    62.77     3.53     0.19     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               40   51   -8       2.65    61.21     2.25    58.29     3.23    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         40   47  -20      -3.29    37.49   -13.33    54.40     3.22   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           39   45  -16       2.30    60.75    -0.31    52.15     3.29   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            40   43   -9      -7.76    21.71    -2.02    51.43     3.32    -8.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil               40   43  -13      -8.31    19.57    -8.79    49.97     3.14   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County         39   42  -19      -8.12    20.34   -13.58    52.23     3.60   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Newport_County       40   41  -17      -5.40    28.63    -4.98    47.81     3.16   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Stevenage            40   39  -18     -11.90    10.69   -12.03    46.60     3.25   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.01  
York                 40   29  -31     -13.70     6.52   -12.44    35.06     3.08   -34.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.42R   43.69  
Dag_&_Red            39   28  -31     -13.57     6.34   -12.77    34.51     3.23   -35.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.52R   56.30  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2016, Aldershot 3 4 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       42   89  +50       3.99    65.70     8.18    97.45     2.39    54.67    95.53   100.00    97.29P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     42   85  +28      12.16    89.07     5.19    91.76     2.59    30.02     4.39   100.00    30.66P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   75  +38      -1.44    42.85     5.06    85.62     3.17    41.65     0.09    99.61    37.92P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   41   74  +22       8.14    79.69     7.63    80.54     2.96    21.53     0.00    92.24    13.96P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   69  +15      -3.55    35.66    -7.04    75.09     2.65    15.89     0.00    31.17     7.62P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   41   68  +12       7.17    77.49     4.86    74.52     2.79    11.67     0.00    19.32     3.09P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        40   67   +9       5.82    72.39    -0.33    75.92     3.20    10.02     0.00    37.78     5.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          41   66  +20       0.41    51.79     6.08    73.63     2.93    21.12     0.00    19.68     3.76P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        42   63  -10       7.97    79.53    -5.75    68.28     2.63   -10.33     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     41   60  +12      -2.52    39.88     2.68    67.65     2.92    13.20     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          42   59   +1       4.49    67.55     6.82    65.04     2.68     1.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           41   59   -7       9.34    82.91     4.47    64.64     2.90    -8.97     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     42   57   +3      -0.31    48.77     3.97    62.30     2.55     2.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           41   51   +2      -9.29    16.96    -3.67    57.51     2.94     1.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        42   50  -20       0.92    54.44    -6.82    55.36     2.60   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Southport        42   48  -15       1.92    59.00     2.36    53.04     2.57   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Chester          42   45  -10      -4.98    30.78     2.68    49.73     2.48   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.97R    0.00  
Torquay          41   44  -24      -5.75    27.65   -13.52    50.97     2.95   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.75R    0.00  
Guiseley         41   43  -22       1.13    55.82    -0.02    47.70     2.67   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.05R    0.00  
Halifax          40   43  -23      -5.49    28.62   -11.95    49.43     3.04   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.84R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     42   41   -8      -7.59    21.76     3.77    46.72     2.57    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.43R    0.01  
Altrincham       41   40  -23      -2.60    39.76    -1.40    45.37     2.77   -25.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.87R    0.39  
Welling          42   35  -25      -8.25    18.43    -3.97    40.03     2.55   -25.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.15R   19.21  
Kidderminster    41   29  -25     -16.98     2.86    -9.26    35.68     2.94   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   80.39